Killer Heat and its Effect on Public Health Adrienne L. Hollis, PhD, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Killer Heat and its Effect on Public Health Adrienne L. Hollis, PhD, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Killer Heat and its Effect on Public Health Adrienne L. Hollis, PhD, JD Lead Climate Justice Analyst Berkeley Earth. (n/a) (Data: Climate Prediction Center/Southeast Regional Climate Center) Its Us


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Adrienne L. Hollis, PhD, JD Lead Climate Justice Analyst

Killer Heat and its Effect on Public Health

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Berkeley Earth. (n/a)

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(Data: Climate Prediction Center/Southeast Regional Climate Center)

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It’s Us

https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/chapter/2/

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We’re Really, Really Sure!

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IPCC 2018 SR15 Fig FAQ 1.2

2.00 1.75 1.50 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.00 Global temperature change relative to 1850-1900 (°C) 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 Human-induced warming

It’s Bad

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1 ℃ World

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Photo: Patrick Lafreniere Photo: Vermont.gove

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Photo: U.S. Coast Guard

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IPCC 2018 SR15 Fig FAQ 1.2

Current warming rate 2.00 1.75 1.50 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.00 Global temperature change relative to 1850-1900 (°C) 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 Human-induced warming

It’s Bad

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AP/Ross D. Franklin

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About the Killer Heat Analysis

  • High-resolution climate models
  • Use temperature and humidity

to calculate heat index

  • Three future emissions scenarios
  • Data for every community in the

lower 48

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/ab27cf

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About the Heat Index

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About the Scenarios

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Midcentury (2036-2065): Steep increase in extreme heat

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Cities with frequent, dangerous heat

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Late century (2070-2099): Unprecedented heat

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http://www.cdc.gov/climateandhealth/images/climate_change_health_impacts600w.j pg

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A woman works as an advertising sign holder in Las Vegas during a heat wave in July 2014. While extreme heat already affects the lives of many US residents—killing hundreds each year and sending many more to the hospital with heat-related illnesses—continued global warming will cause a steep increase in extreme heat conditions nationwide.

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“We have seen a huge spike in ER visits and admissions…in the past several weeks.

  • Huge. We have been

admitting people left and right.”

  • -Dr. Arash Armin, chief of

Emergency Medicine and Chief of Staff at Beaumont Hospital, Trenton,

  • MI. July 19, 2019
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Asthma and Climate Change

  • 11.4 Million People had asthma attacks in

2017

  • >3 Million Children
  • African-American children – highest

prevalence of asthma

  • 13.4% have asthma compared to 7.4% of

white children

  • Emergency department and Urgent Care

Centers – highest among Black children < 4

This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-ND
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Adult Self-Reported Current Asthma Prevalence (%) by State or Territory, 2017

Current asthma prevalence among adults varies in states and Puerto Rico, ranging from 7.3% in Texas to 13.2% in New Hampshire. The median across all states and Puerto Rico was 9.4% with current asthma.

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2 4 6 8 10 12 14

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Percent Year White Black Hispanic

Current Asthma Prevalence by Race and Ethnicity: United States, 2001-2017

Blacks are more likely to have asthma than both whites and Hispanics. Percent of current asthma increased for whites, blacks, and Hispanics from 2001 to 2017.

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This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA

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Taking Action Now Limits Expansion

  • f Extreme Heat
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  • Putting the Nation on a Rapid Path to

Reduced Emissions

  • Keeping People Safe from Extreme

Heat

  • Investing in Heat-Smart

Infrastructure

  • Investing in Climate-Smart Power

Systems

Our Challenge and Our Choices:

Limiting Extreme Heat and Its Accompanying Harm

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Keep People Safe

  • Improved heat early-warning systems
  • State/local heat adaptation and emergency response plans
  • Cooling standards for public housing
  • Investments in community cooling infrastructure, trees,

shading, cool roofs

  • Bill assistance programs for low-income households
  • Investments in heat- and climate-smart infrastructure
  • Reforming utility disconnect policies
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Be Climate Smart

  • Increase renewable electricity from 18% in

2018 to at least 50% in 2035

  • Nearly eliminate coal, 38% reduction in

natural gas

  • Results in 46% decrease in power sector CO2

emissions in 2035

  • Consumers would see $34 billion in savings
  • n energy bills between 2020 and 2035
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Resources

Lots of localized info at http://www.ucsusa.org/killer-heat

Interactive maps Interactive data widget + Spreadsheets with all the data + Spanish language webpage and materials

https://es.ucsusa.org/nuestro-trabajo/calentamiento-global/calor-fatal-estados-unidos

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Takeaways

  • Failing to take action to reduce emissions

would lead to a staggering expansion of dangerous heat.

  • Aggressively reducing emissions could contain

that expansion.

  • Climate Change is a Public Health Emergency.
  • The time to act is now.
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There are no passengers

  • n spaceship earth.

We’re all crew.

Photo: nasa.gov Quote: Marshall McLuhan

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Thank You!

Adrienne L. Hollis ahollis@ucsusa.org, @EJToxicdoc Learn more: www.ucsusa.org/killer-heat