key highlights 9m 2018 business results oct 2018
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Key Highlights 9M/2018 Business results Oct 2018 Disclaimer - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Key Highlights 9M/2018 Business results Oct 2018 Disclaimer INFORMATION CONTAINED IN OUR PRESENTATION IS INTENDED SOLELY FOR YOUR REFERENCE. SUCH INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE, ITS ACCURACY IS NOT GUARANTEED AND IT MAY NOT


  1. Key Highlights –9M/2018 Business results Oct 2018

  2. Disclaimer INFORMATION CONTAINED IN OUR PRESENTATION IS INTENDED SOLELY FOR YOUR REFERENCE. SUCH INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE, ITS ACCURACY IS NOT GUARANTEED AND IT MAY NOT CONTAIN ALL MATERIAL INFORMATION CONCERNING THE COMPANY. NEITHER WE NOR OUR ADVISOR MAKES ANY REPRESENTATION REGARDING, AND ASSUMES NO RESPONSIBILITY OR LIABILITY FOR, THE ABILITY, THE ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF, ANY ERRORS OR OMISSION IN, ANY INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN. IN ADDITION, THE INFORMATION MAY CONTAIN PROJECTIONS AND FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT THAT REFLECTS THE COMPANY'S CURRENT VIEWS WITH RESPECT TO FUTURE EVENTS AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE. THESE VIEW ARE BASED ON CURRENT ASSUMPTIONS WHICH ARE SUBJECT TO VARIOUS RISK FACTORS AND WHICH MAY CHANGE OVER TIME. NO ASSURANCE CAN BE GIVEN THAT FUTURE EVENTS WILL OCCURS, THAT PROJECTIONS WILL BE ACHIEVED, OR THAT COMPANY ASSUMPTIONS ARE CORRECT. ACTUAL RESULT MAY DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE PROJECTED. THIS PRESENTATION IS STRICTLY NOT TO BE DISTRIBUTED WITHOUT THE EXPLICIT CONSENT OF THE COMPANY'S MANAGEMENT UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES. 1

  3. Largest domestic airline in Vietnam, the fastest growing aviation market in Asia Pacific Highest growth in air passenger traffic and inbound tourism Air passenger traffic growth Inbound tourism growth (1) 2012-2017 Historical Passenger Traffic CAGR (%) 2012-2017 Inbound Tourism CAGR (%) 8.7% 8.6% Vietnam 28.9% China 11.5% 6.9% Thailand 11.1% 6.5% South Korea 10.4% India 10.1% Malaysia 8.1% New Zealand 5.9% 3.1% Philippines 5.0% 2.0% Indonesia 4.2% Singapore 3.9% Australia 2.5% Vietnam Thailand Philippines Indonesia Singapore Malaysia Asia Pacific Avg.: 8.7% Japan 2.2% Source: Euromonitor, EIU; Note: (1) Refers to number of non-resident visitors who travel to the country for a period not exceeding 12 months for non-commercial related activities 2 2

  4. Largest domestic airline in Vietnam, the fastest growing aviation market in Asia Pacific Vietnam is supported by strong fundamentals One of the fastest growing SEA economies A powerful consumer economy (1) Large population estimated to reach 96.5 million in 2018 (2016-2018e GDP CAGR) Highest forecasted growth in personal disposable income + 8% 8.0% 6.7% 6.7% 7% 7.0% Young population with a 2012-2018e Disposable Income sizable 25.9% between 20 5.6% 6% 6.0% per Capita CAGR (%) and 34 years of age 5.2% 5% 5.0% + 3.9% 4% 4.0% 3.3% 3% High growth in personal 3.0% disposable income 2% 2.0% + 1% 1.0% - - VN PH MY ID TH SG Lengthy topography lacking 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% effective road / rail connectivity % of Population in Workforce (%) + Demonstrated growth in private consumption Large upside potential with low LCC penetration Low air travel penetration (2012-2018e private consumption per Capita) LCC Seats / 383 4,627 1,901 1,103 2,729 1,746 1,018 379 335 8% ‘000 + 6.9% people 7% 6% 45 Growing tourism industry 38.8 40 5% 35 28.8 4% + 30 25.9 # aircraft 3.0% 2.9% / million 25 3% people 2.0% 20 14.9 Emergence of LCC as an 1.6% 2% 15 affordable option 9.5 10 0.6% 1% 4.7 2.6 2.1 1.7 5 - - VN MY PH TH ID SG VN SG AU US UK MY TH ID PH Large LCC market with significant growth opportunities Source: EIU, CAPA, Euromonitor; Note: (1) Population size is proportional to size of country flag 3 3

  5. Largest domestic airline in Vietnam, the fastest growing aviation market in Asia Pacific Allowing air travel to become a more accessible and efficient mode of transportation Air travel is the most efficient means of transportation in Vietnam Travel is substantially faster and more efficient by air compared to bus and rail as a result of Hanoi Vietnam’s terrain. For example, a flight from HCMC to Hanoi takes c.2 hours compared to c.34 – 35 hours for bus and rail Hai Phong As income levels rise and air fares decrease, people are expected to continue to switch from bus Thanh Hoa and rail to air travel Vinh Low cost air travel has also made flying a viable option for the masses Dong Hoi With more than 40% of the population in the 25-59 years working class age band and increasing Hue inter-city travel demand as the national economy develops, air travel is expected to gain in Da Nang popularity and prevalence over other modes of transport Chu Lai Air travel is the most cost effective mode of transportation (1) Pleiku Quy Nhon HCMC – Hanoi HCMC – Danang Buon Ma Thuot Travel Tuy Hoa modes Time (hrs) Fare (VND) Fare (USD) Time (hrs) Fare (VND) Fare (USD) Nha Trang Da Lat (2) Air 44 (3) 28 (4) 2:05 961,000 1:20 615,000 Phu Quoc HCMC Bus 35:00 861,385 39 15:30 405,458 19 Rail 34:00 1,066,278 49 17:00 616,833 28 Can Tho stimulates airline travel and captures market share from other modes of transport such as bus and rail due to the advantages of air travel vis-à-vis land transport Source: SAP Independent Industry Report, IMF; Note: (1) Bus and rail fares shown are based on average fares for travelling on 1 Mar 2016 and 1 Apr 2016, as of 1 Feb 2016; US$1:VND 21,890, (2) Airfare refers to average VietJet ticket base 4 4 fares for FY2015, (3) Base airfare excludes other ancillary fee of USD8.3; total gross fare of USD52.3, (4) Base airfare excludes other ancillary fee of USD7.4; total gross fare of USD35.4

  6. Largest domestic airline in Vietnam, the fastest growing aviation market in Asia Pacific Domestic market leader with strong government support “Viet Nam regards the private sector as a development force” –Mr. Nguyen Xuan Phuc, Prime Minister Largest airline in Vietnam by capacity (1) Key government incentives to support VietJet  70% US$10.5bn commitment to develop airport infrastructure across Air Transport the country, increasing the number of operational airports from Masterplan 60% 22 to 26 by 2020 44.8% 50% 39.6% Changes in regulations to support the airline industry 36.6% 40% 31.4% 31.4%  24.7% 30% Petrolimex Aviation JSC (Petrolimex Aviation) was permitted to Reduction in Fuel supply air fuel in August 2009, ending monopoly by Skypec, a 17.8% Supply Monopoly 20% Vietnam Airlines owned company 10% Others  Only CAAV / MOT approval (as opposed to PM’s previously) - would be required for the first-time transfer of shares to foreign 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Aug 18 shareholders, opening the door for investor participation in Decree 92 on airlines transfer of Highly concentrated domestic markets, effectively a duopoly  shares in airlines However, investment opportunities in Vietnamese airlines are to foreigner limited as the remaining 3 airlines are state-owned Vietnam domestic market share % air passenger volume (2)  Foreign ownership limit at 30% and largest shareholder must be Vietnamese 2% 15% Changes in regulations to support the airline industry  Historically Two other domestic airlines in the past went bankrupt (Mekong 45% struggled Air and Indochina Airlines) and their licenses have been airlines withdrawn  Although the Government is open for new entrants, no new 38% airlines entered the market since 2011 Potential new  No foreign airline is permitted to operate domestic routes, entrants  Minimal foreign competition as no foreign airlines permitted to operate which allows local airlines like VJC to enjoy the growth of local domestic routes market Source: CAPA, SAP independent industry report; CAAV, Ministry of Transportation Republic of Indonesia, Civil Aviation Authority of the Philippines, Department of Civil Aviation (DCA) of Thailand, Axis Research Ltd. report dated July 2015; 5 5 Note: (1) Market share by capacity as of week commencing 31 Dec 2012, 30 Dec 2013, 29 Dec 2014, 28 Dec 2015, 26 Dec 2016, 25 Dec 2017 and 27 Aug 2018 respectively, (2) CAAV data: Passenger Market share for H1 2018

  7. Young fleet with large growing order book Young, modern and fuel efficient fleet, driving lower maintenance & fuel cost in the long term Youngest fleet in APAC (average age of aircraft fleet) Asia (1) Europe / Middle East (1) Average: 5.78 years Average: 5.46 years Significant fleet growth with sizeable orderbook (# aircraft) 242 250 211 200 176 116 97 139 150 74 49 96 100 74 18 8 50 126 114 102 50 90 78 66 50 - FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 6 VietJet VietJet Affiliates Source: Company Information; Note: (1) Based on latest reported financial year 6

  8. Fleet Expansion Vietjet’s aircraft fleet by 30 th September, 2018 stood at 57 aircraft including 23 Airbus A320s and 34 Airbus A321s with the average age of 2.95 years. The fleet of aircraft has seat configuration from 180 to 220-230 seats and the designs are in tune with the low cost airline business model. Vietjet made an order of 171 Airbus A320/321 aircraft and an order of another 200 737MAX 200 aircraft with Boeing. The orders with Airbus and Boeing will be completed at the end of 2025. 7 12 11

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