Kellogg Company FIRST QUARTER 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS May 3, 2018 - - PDF document

kellogg company first quarter 2018 financial results
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Kellogg Company FIRST QUARTER 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS May 3, 2018 - - PDF document

Kellogg Company May 3, 2018 Kellogg Company FIRST QUARTER 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS May 3, 2018 Forward-Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Measures This presentation contains, or incorporates by reference, forward - looking statements with


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May 3, 2018 Page 1 of 10 Kellogg Company

May 3, 2018

Kellogg Company FIRST QUARTER 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

Forward-Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Measures

This presentation contains, or incorporates by reference, “forward-looking statements” with projections concerning, among other things, the Company’s global growth and efficiency program (Project K), the integration of acquired businesses, the Company’s strategy, zero-based budgeting, and the Company’s sales, earnings, margin, operating profit, costs and expenditures, interest expense, tax rate, capital expenditure, dividends, cash flow, debt reduction, share repurchases, costs, charges, rates of return, brand building, ROIC, working capital, growth, new products, innovation, cost reduction projects, workforce reductions, savings, and competitive pressures. Forward-looking statements include predictions of future results or activities and may contain the words “expects,” “believes,” “should,” “will,” “anticipates,” “projects,” “estimates,” “implies,” “can,” or words or phrases of similar meaning. The Company’s actual results or activities may differ materially from these predictions. The Company’s future results could also be affected by a variety

  • f factors, including the ability to implement Project K (including the exit from its Direct Story Delivery system) as planned, whether the expected amount of

costs associated with Project K will differ from forecasts, whether the Company will be able to realize the anticipated benefits from Project K in the amounts and times expected, the ability to realize the benefits from our implementation of a more formal Revenue Growth Management discipline, the ability to realize the anticipated benefits and synergies from the acquisitions in the amounts and at the times expected, the impact of competitive conditions; the effectiveness of pricing, advertising, and promotional programs; the success of innovation, renovation and new product introductions; the recoverability of the carrying value of goodwill and other intangibles; the success of productivity improvements and business transitions; commodity and energy prices; labor costs; disruptions or inefficiencies in supply chain; the availability of and interest rates on short-term and long-term financing; actual market performance of benefit plan trust investments; the levels of spending on systems initiatives, properties, business opportunities, integration of acquired businesses, and other general and administrative costs; changes in consumer behavior and preferences; the effect of U.S. and foreign economic conditions

  • n items such as interest rates, statutory tax rates, currency conversion and availability; legal and regulatory factors including changes in food safety,

advertising and labeling laws and regulations; the ultimate impact of product recalls; business disruption or other losses from war, terrorist acts or political unrest; and other items. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they were made, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update them publicly. This presentation includes non‐GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the earnings press release, which is available on the Investor Relations page on the Company’s website, www.Kelloggcompany.com, for a reconciliation of these non‐GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. Management believes that the use of such non-GAAP measures assists investors in understanding the underlying operating performance of the company and its segments.

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May 3, 2018 Page 2 of 10 Kellogg Company

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

Strong Start to 2018

3 Improving Performance On Track For Year Shaping Portfolio

  • Frozen Foods
  • Post-DSD U.S.

Snacks

  • Pringles Europe
  • Emerging Markets
  • Top-line
  • Savings
  • Increased Brand

Building

  • No change to

base guidance

  • Parati growth
  • RX growth
  • West Africa

investment

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

Summary of Financial Results – On Track

4

Reported

+81.7%

Currency-Neutral Adjusted*

+5.1%

* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Change Versus Prior Year

Net Sales Operating Profit Earnings Per Share

Reported +69.3% Currency-Neutral Adjusted*

+11.2%

Reported

+4.7%

Currency-Neutral *

+2.2%

Q1 Results

  • RX largely offset by DSD impact
  • Double-digit Brand Building increase
  • Operating Profit growth
  • Tax Reform
  • Timing of discrete tax benefits
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SLIDE 3

May 3, 2018 Page 3 of 10 Kellogg Company

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

Net Sales – Strong Start

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Year-over-year, % change

* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Q1 2018 Net Sales Growth by Component *

Volume +2.9% Price/Mix (2.3)% Organic +0.6% Acquisitions/divest. +1.6% Currency-Neutral +2.2% Currency Translation +2.5% Reported +4.7%

  • RX acquisition and growth
  • Includes negative DSD impact

(SKU rationalization, elimination

  • f price premium)

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

Profit Margins – Underlying Improvement

6

Q1 2018

% of Net Sales, Adjusted Basis *

* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

37.5% 36.3% Q1 2017 2018 14.3% 14.7% Q1 2017 2018

+40

basis points

Even with +DD Brand Building DSD re-set ~(125) bp negative impact

Gross Profit Margin * Operating Profit Margin *

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May 3, 2018 Page 4 of 10 Kellogg Company

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

Affirming 2018 Base Guidance

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(a) 2018 guidance for Currency Neutral Net Sales growth excludes the impact of foreign currency translation. Organic growth also excludes acquisitions, divestitures, and changes in shipping days. (b) 2018 guidance for adjusted Operating Profit and adjusted Earnings Per Share excludes the impact of mark-to-market adjustments and costs related to Project K. Currency neutral also excludes the impact of foreign currency translation.

Adjusted EPS(b)

Currency Neutral

Adjusted Operating Profit(b)

Currency Neutral

Net Sales(a)

Currency Neutral

~ Flat +4-6% +9-11%

  • Down (1)-(2)% on Organic basis
  • Organic decline comprised of DSD exit ~(1)%, with underlying

business improving to (0)-(1)%

  • Includes roughly 1-2% of acquisition-related sales (RXBAR)
  • Productivity savings
  • Increased Brand Building investment
  • Includes impact of acquisitions +1-2%
  • Higher interest expense due to acquisition
  • Tax rate 20-21%, due to Tax Reform
  • Modest decrease in average shares outstanding
* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Cash Flow * $1.2-1.3 billion

  • Underlying growth plus Tax Reform benefit
  • Includes remaining cash outlays for Project K
  • Includes capital expenditure of ~0.5 billion
  • Before potential voluntary contribution to pension plans

Before West Africa Investment; Growth vs. Prior Year, Except Cash Flow *

Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

West Africa – Increased Investment…and Consolidated Results

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Financial Details

Impact on Kellogg P&L

  • Consolidates

Distributor’s Net Sales & Operating Profit

  • Adds share of

Manufacturer’s earnings to JV Earnings, offset by minority interest in Distributor

Impact on 2018 Guidance

  • Adds to currency-neutral

Net Sales and Adjusted Operating Profit

  • Adds to Interest Expense
  • Reduction in net JV

Earnings/Minority Interest

  • Immaterial to currency-

neutral Adjusted EPS

* 2018 guidance for adjusted Operating Profit and adjusted Earnings Per Share excludes the impact of mark-to-market adjustments and costs related to Project K. Currency neutral also excludes the impact of foreign currency translation.

*

New stake in:

Multipro Dufil

TAF

Part

  • wner

Increased interest in:

Packaged food manufacturer Packaged food distributor

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May 3, 2018 Page 5 of 10 Kellogg Company

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

2018 Guidance – Including West Africa Investment

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Adjusted EPS(b)

Currency Neutral

Adjusted Operating Profit(b)

Currency Neutral

Net Sales(a)

Currency Neutral

~ Flat +4-6% +9-11% Cash Flow * $1.2-1.3 billion

Growth vs. Prior Year, Except Cash Flow *

+3-4% +1%

  • Base

Business

West Africa Investment

(a) 2018 guidance for Currency Neutral Net Sales growth excludes the impact of foreign currency translation. Organic growth also excludes acquisitions, divestitures, and changes in shipping days. (b) 2018 guidance for adjusted Operating Profit and adjusted Earnings Per Share excludes the impact of mark-to-market adjustments and costs related to Project K. Currency neutral also excludes the impact of foreign currency translation. * Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

+3-4% +5-7% +9-11%

Total

$1.2-1.3 billion

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

Asia Pacific – Accelerated Growth

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  • Strong cereal growth in Asia

and Sub-Saharan Africa

  • Pringles momentum and

expansion

  • Australia cereal share gains

continued

  • Rapid growth in joint

ventures

* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Currency-Neutral Basis; Results Do Not Include Joint Ventures

Q1 Highlights:

Q1 Net Sales * +6%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

+17%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

+100 bp

What to Watch For In 2018: Cereal and Pringles growth in Asia & Africa Stable Australia Growth in West Africa now in consolidated results

Accelerated Growth in Asia Pacific Organic-Basis Net Sales Growth

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May 3, 2018 Page 6 of 10 Kellogg Company

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

High Quality Assets – Partnering with Tolaram

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Equity Stake September, 2015 Joint Venture January, 2016

  • A leading food

distributor in Nigeria & Ghana

  • Rapid expansion
  • Joint venture with

Tolaram

  • Manufacturing

and marketing

  • Cereal and snacks

in West Africa

  • Kellogg’s noodles

in Africa (outside

  • f West Africa)

Equity Stake in Holding Company April, 2018

  • A leading

manufacturer and marketer of packaged foods

  • #1 in noodles in

Nigeria & Ghana

  • Distributes

primarily through Multipro

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

West Africa Ventures – Key Element to African Expansion

12 North Africa

Base: Egypt’s #1 cereal company and #1 biscuit company, both acquired in 2015 Expansion: Launched Kellogg’s noodles with Tolaram in early 2018

West Africa

Base: Equity interests in major distributor and noodles manufacturer in Nigeria and Ghana Expansion: Expansion throughout West Africa for distributor, Pringles expansion, launched cereal in early 2018

South Africa

Base: Longstanding Kellogg cereal operations Expansion: Pringles, launched Kellogg noodles in late 2017

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May 3, 2018 Page 7 of 10 Kellogg Company

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

U.S. Snacks – Improving Underlying Performance

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Q1 Highlights:

Q1 Net Sales (4)%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

+29%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

+360 bp

  • In-market velocities continue to

improve

  • Consumption and share growth

for key supported brands

  • Double-digit investment in

Brand Building

  • Significant savings from DSD
  • verhead

What to Watch For in 2018: Expanded brand support Steady consumption improvement Re-shaped P&L post-DSD

* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

U.S. Morning Foods – Stabilizing H&W Brands

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Q1 Highlights:

Q1 Net Sales (2)%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

(4)%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

(40) bp

  • Special K back to consumption

and share growth

  • Improving other H&W brands’

performance

  • Increasing investment

What to Watch For in 2018: Stabilize cereal Invest behind adult-segment brands Pop-Tarts food news E-Commerce expansion

* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

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May 3, 2018 Page 8 of 10 Kellogg Company

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

U.S. Specialty Channels – Steady Growth

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Q1 Highlights:

Q1 Net Sales +1%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

(16)%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

(420) bp

  • Continued top-line growth
  • Continued expansion in

emerging channels

  • Reallocated costs from other

U.S. units What to Watch For in 2018: Steady sales growth Expand reach, improve core mix Share growth in key channels

* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

North America Other – Frozen is Hot, so is RX

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Currency-Neutral Basis

Q1 Highlights:

Q1 Net Sales * +21%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

+21%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

+10 bp

  • Accelerated growth for U.S.

Frozen Foods

  • Rapid RX expansion and

growth

  • Sustained momentum for

Bear Naked

  • Canada share gains

What to Watch For in 2018: Frozen Foods growth RX expansion Canada steady improvement

* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

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May 3, 2018 Page 9 of 10 Kellogg Company

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

Europe – Back to Growth

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Currency-Neutral Basis

Q1 Highlights:

Q1 Net Sales * +2%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

+1%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

(20) bp

  • Pringles growth in

consumption and net sales

  • U.K. cereal stabilized
  • Substantial increase in Brand

Building What to Watch For in 2018: Pringles firmly in growth Improving sales performance in cereal Increase operating profit margin

* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. ** Constant-currency net sales are translated using 2016 foreign exchange rates. KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

Latin America – Resumed Top-Line Growth

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Currency-Neutral Basis

Q1 Highlights:

Q1 Net Sales * +3%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

(33)%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

(550) bp

  • Pringles momentum
  • Mexico’ sustained growth in

cereal consumption and sales

  • Brazil’s expansion of Parati
  • Slowing declines in

Caribbean/Central America

  • Expected COGS impact in Q1

* Please refer to Q1 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

What to Watch For in 2018: Expansion of Parati Growth in Pringles Mexico Cereal Growth Stabilization in Caribbean/Central America

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May 3, 2018 Page 10 of 10 Kellogg Company

KELLOGG COMPANY Q1 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | MAY 3, 2018

Summary

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  • Solid performance in Q1
  • Reinvestment in Brand Building
  • On track to meet guidance
  • Investing in West Africa

Deploying for Growth:

Q&A

Q1 2018 FINANCIALS I MAY 3, 2018

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KELLOGG COMPANY