SECOND QUARTER 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS August 2, 2018 - - PDF document

second quarter 2018 financial results
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SECOND QUARTER 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS August 2, 2018 - - PDF document

Kellogg Company August 2, 2018 Kellogg Company SECOND QUARTER 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS August 2, 2018 Forward-Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Measures This presentation contains, or incorporates by reference, forward - looking statements


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Kellogg Company August 2, 2018 1 of 9

August 2, 2018

Kellogg Company SECOND QUARTER 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Forward-Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Measures

This presentation contains, or incorporates by reference, “forward-looking statements” with projections concerning, among other things, the Company’s global growth and efficiency program (Project K), the integration of acquired businesses, the Company’s strategy, zero-based budgeting, and the Company’s sales, earnings, margin, operating profit, costs and expenditures, interest expense, tax rate, capital expenditure, dividends, cash flow, debt reduction, share repurchases, costs, charges, rates of return, brand building, ROIC, working capital, growth, new products, innovation, cost reduction projects, workforce reductions, savings, and competitive pressures. Forward-looking statements include predictions of future results or activities and may contain the words “expects,” “believes,” “should,” “will,” “anticipates,” “projects,” “estimates,” “implies,” “can,” or words or phrases of similar meaning. The Company’s actual results or activities may differ materially from these predictions. The Company’s future results could also be affected by a variety

  • f factors, including the ability to implement Project K (including the exit from its Direct Story Delivery system) as planned, whether the expected amount of

costs associated with Project K will differ from forecasts, whether the Company will be able to realize the anticipated benefits from Project K in the amounts and times expected, the ability to realize the benefits from our implementation of a more formal Revenue Growth Management discipline, the ability to realize the anticipated benefits and synergies from the acquisitions in the amounts and at the times expected, the impact of competitive conditions; the effectiveness of pricing, advertising, and promotional programs; the success of innovation, renovation and new product introductions; the recoverability of the carrying value of goodwill and other intangibles; the success of productivity improvements and business transitions; commodity and energy prices; transportation costs; labor costs; disruptions or inefficiencies in supply chain; the availability of and interest rates on short-term and long-term financing; actual market performance of benefit plan trust investments; the levels of spending on systems initiatives, properties, business opportunities, integration of acquired businesses, and other general and administrative costs; changes in consumer behavior and preferences; the effect of U.S. and foreign economic conditions on items such as interest rates, statutory tax rates, currency conversion and availability; legal and regulatory factors including changes in food safety, advertising and labeling laws and regulations; the ultimate impact of product recalls; business disruption or other losses from war, terrorist acts or political unrest; and other items. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they were made, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update them publicly. This presentation includes non‐GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the earnings press release, which is available on the Investor Relations page on the Company’s website, www.Kelloggcompany.com, for a reconciliation of these non‐GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. Management believes that the use of such non-GAAP measures assists investors in understanding the underlying operating performance of the company and its segments.

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Kellogg Company August 2, 2018 2 of 9

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Good Progress Continues

3 Big Brands Are Growing Investing for Future Improved Outlook

  • Brand Building +DD
  • New pack formats
  • Pension contribution
  • RX and West Africa
  • Improved organic

and currency- neutral Net Sales guidance

  • Higher reinvestment
  • Lower tax rate
  • Higher EPS

YTD, Global, Organic Net Sales Growth

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Summary of Financial Results – On Track

4

Reported Currency-Neutral Adjusted*

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

% Change Versus Prior Year

Net Sales Operating Profit Earnings Per Share

Reported Currency-Neutral Adjusted* Reported Currency-Neutral *

1H Results

  • Organic flat, despite DSD impact
  • RX and Multipro acquisitions
  • RX and Multipro acquisitions
  • Double-digit Brand Building increase
  • Operating Profit growth
  • Tax Reform, tax benefit from

pension contribution

Q2 Results

+5.9% +5.3% +6.3% +4.2% +23.5% +48.1% (0.7)% +2.1% +15.5% +13.7% +113.8% +91.7%

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Kellogg Company August 2, 2018 3 of 9

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Net Sales – Ahead of Pace

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Year-over-year, % change

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Q2 & 1H 2018 Net Sales Growth by Component *

Volume +2.9% Price/Mix (2.8)% Organic +0.1% Acquisitions +4.1% Currency-Neutral +4.2% Currency Translation +1.1% Reported +5.3%

  • RX acquisition and growth
  • Two months of Multipro (West Africa)
  • Currency-neutral impact
  • Lapped YAG promo reductions in

Europe and U.S. Snacks

  • Includes negative DSD impact

(SKU rationalization, elimination

  • f price premium)

+2.8% (3.2)% (0.4)% +6.7% +6.3% (0.4)% +5.9% Q2 1H

  • Q2: Negative impact from Multipro

(Nigeria Naira), slightly positive impact elsewhere

Q2 Comments:

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Gross Profit Margin – Impacted by DSD and Mix

6

% of Net Sales, Adjusted Basis *

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Ongoing:

Cost inflation (transportation, energy, inputs) Productivity savings

Mechanical:

DSD impact ~(125) bp in both Q1 and Q2 Multipro impact ~(80) bp in Q2

Growth-Related:

Adverse mix shifts accelerated in Q2 (country,

category, pack format)

Operating leverage

_

+

_ _ _

+

Q2 and 1H 2018

Gross Profit Margin *

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Kellogg Company August 2, 2018 4 of 9

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Operating Profit Margin – Mix, Brand Investment

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Q2 and 1H 2018

% of Net Sales, Adjusted Basis *

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Operating Profit Margin *

  • Brand Building +DD in Q1 and Q2
  • Multipro impact ~(35) bp in Q2
  • Savings on track, operating leverage

positive

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

2018 Guidance – Improved Outlook

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(a) 2018 guidance for Currency Neutral Net Sales growth excludes the impact of foreign currency translation. Organic growth also excludes acquisitions, divestitures, and changes in shipping days. (b) 2018 guidance for adjusted Operating Profit and adjusted Earnings Per Share excludes the impact of mark-to-market adjustments, costs related to Project K, and other gains/costs impacting

  • comparability. Currency neutral also excludes the impact of foreign currency translation.

Adjusted EPS(b)

Currency Neutral

Adjusted Operating Profit(b)

Currency Neutral

Net Sales(a)

Currency Neutral

+4-5% +5-7% +11-13%

  • Improved Organic growth outlook, now (1)%-0%
  • DSD exit still ~(1)% to Organic growth, with underlying business

improving to 0-1%

  • Includes roughly 4-6% of acquisition-related sales (RX, Multipro)
  • Productivity savings on track
  • Increased Brand Building investment
  • Mix impact, mainly in 1H
  • Includes impact of acquisitions +2-3%
  • Tax rate reduced by 1-2 pts. for pension contribution, on top
  • f previously guided 5-6 pts. from Tax Reform
  • Interest expense remains higher due to acquisition
  • Still projecting modest decrease in average shares outstanding

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Cash Flow * ~ $1 billion

  • Now includes voluntary contribution to pension plans, and

increased capital for growth (pack formats, emerging markets)

  • Underlying improvement plus Tax Reform benefit
  • Includes cash outlays for Project K

Growth vs. Prior Year, Except Cash Flow *

Previous: +3-4% Unchanged Previous: $1.2-1.3 bn Previous: +9-11%

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Kellogg Company August 2, 2018 5 of 9

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

U.S. Snacks – Improving Underlying Performance

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Q2 Highlights:

  • 4th consecutive quarter of net

sales growth excluding DSD impact

  • Consumption and share growth

for key supported brands

  • Double-digit investment in

Brand Building

  • Significant savings from DSD
  • verhead

What to Watch For in 2018: Expanded brand support Steady consumption improvement Re-shaped P&L post-DSD

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Q2 1H Net Sales (9)% (6)%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

+6% +16%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

+210 bp +290 bp

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

U.S. Morning Foods – Stabilizing Key Brands

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  • Collective share gain by Core

6 cereal brands

  • Improving Adult brands

performance through H&W food news and communication

  • Increasing investment

What to Watch For in 2018: Stabilize cereal Invest behind health & wellness brands Pop-Tarts food news E-Commerce expansion

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Q2 Highlights:

Q2 1H Net Sales (3)% (3)%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

(14)% (9)%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

(270) bp (150) bp

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Kellogg Company August 2, 2018 6 of 9

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

U.S. Specialty Channels – Steady Growth

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  • Continued top-line growth
  • Continued expansion in

emerging channels

  • Reallocated costs from other

U.S. units What to Watch For in 2018: Lapping FEMA impact in 2H Expand reach, improve core mix Share growth in key channels

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Q2 Highlights:

Q2 1H Net Sales +1% +1%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

(16)% (16)%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

(440) bp (430) bp

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

North America Other – Frozen Momentum, RX Expansion

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  • Strong growth in Frozen

Foods

  • Rapid RX expansion and

growth

  • Share gains in cereal for both

Bear Naked and Kashi brands

  • Canada sales and share gains

What to Watch For in 2018: Frozen Foods growth RX expansion Kashi improvement Canada steady performance

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Q2 Highlights:

Q2 1H Net Sales * +18% +19%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

+22% +22%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

+70 bp +30 bp

Currency-Neutral Basis

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Kellogg Company August 2, 2018 7 of 9

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Kellogg North America – Improving Performance

13 Net Sales Growth, in Percent, Organic Basis *

* Organic net sales growth excludes the impact of foreign currency translation, acquisitions, divestitures, and changes in shipping days. Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Europe – Pringles & Emerging Markets

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  • Pringles growth in consumption

and net sales

  • Continued U.K. cereal share gain
  • Strong growth in emerging

markets

  • Double-digit increase in Brand

Building What to Watch For in 2018: Pringles firmly in growth Improving sales performance in cereal Increase operating profit margin

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

Q2 Highlights:

Q2 1H Net Sales * +6% +4%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

+3% +2%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

(30) bp (30) bp

Currency-Neutral Basis

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Kellogg Company August 2, 2018 8 of 9

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Latin America – Accelerated Growth

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  • Pringles momentum
  • Mexico cereal consumption and

share growth acceleration

  • Rebound in Caribbean/Central

America

  • Brazil growth led by Parati
  • Substantial increase in Brand

Building; costs related to Brazil trucking strike

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

What to Watch For in 2018: Expansion of Parati Growth in Pringles Mexico Cereal Growth Stabilization in Caribbean/Central America Q2 Highlights:

Q2 1H Net Sales * +9% +6%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

(19)% (27)%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

(320) bp (430) bp

Currency-Neutral Basis

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Asia Pacific – Broad-Based Growth

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  • Emerging-markets cereal growth
  • Pringles momentum and

expansion

  • Australia cereal consumption

growth

  • Rapid expansion in West Africa

* Please refer to Q2 2018 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

What to Watch For In 2018: Cereal and Pringles growth in Asia & Africa Stable Australia Multipro now in consolidated results Q2 Highlights:

Q2 1H Net Sales * +71% +39%

Organic Net Sales* +5% +6%

  • Adj. Op. Profit *

+53% +34%

  • Adj. OP Margin *

(90) bp (40) bp

Currency-Neutral Basis

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Kellogg Company August 2, 2018 9 of 9

Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

International Regions – Solidly in Growth

17 Net Sales Growth, in Percent, Organic Basis *

* Organic net sales growth excludes the impact of foreign currency translation, acquisitions, divestitures, and changes in shipping days. Q2 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS | AUGUST 2, 2018

Summary

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  • Shaping portfolio toward growth
  • Improved net sales performance

and guidance

  • Improved in-market performance
  • Reinvestment continues
  • Raised earnings guidance

Deploying for Growth: