January 2020 Accretive and strategic UK North Sea acquisitions and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
January 2020 Accretive and strategic UK North Sea acquisitions and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
January 2020 Accretive and strategic UK North Sea acquisitions and proposed extension of credit facilities Disclaimer & confidentiality notice By attending (whether in person or by telephone) this presentation, or by reading the
January 2020
Disclaimer & confidentiality notice
P1
- By attending (whether in person or by telephone) this presentation, or by reading the presentation slides, you agree to the conditions set out below. This presentation has been
prepared by Premier Oil pic ("Premier Oil") in connection with the proposed acquisition of BP’s interests in the Andrew Area and the Shearwater field and an additional 25 per
- cent. interest in Tolmount and the associated placing and rights issue, and is confidential. It contains confidential information about Premier Oil and other subsidiaries (together,
the "Group") and is being provided on a confidential basis and it does not constitute an offer or invitation to the public. This presentation does not constitute an offer to acquire any securities and is not intended to be used as a basis for credit or any other evaluation. This presentation is an advertisement and not a prospectus or
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Highlights
January 2020
Trading update highlights
P2
- 2019 outcome in line with previous reporting at the upper end of guidance
– Production of 78.4 kboepd – Net debt reduced by over US$330 million from $2.33 billion to less than $2 billion – Opex (US$11/boe) and capex (US$300 million) lower than planned
- Sanctioned projects
– BIG-P under budget, on-stream and performing well – Tolmount on schedule for Q4 2020 First Gas and tracking below budget
- New partnerships for future projects
– Heads of terms agreed for proposed farm-out of Sea Lion – Tuna appraisal programme to be fully funded by a new investor
Highlights
January 2020
Transactions overview
P3
- Headline price of US$816m (1
January 2019 effective date)
- Fully underwritten US$500m
(net of expenses) equity raise
- US$300m Acquisition Bridge
Facility
- Working capital adjustments
expected to reduce cash payable at completion; Acquisition Bridge Facility not expected to be drawn
- Extension of maturity of
existing non-amortising facilities
- Adds immediately cash
generative production with development upside
- Adds 82 mmboe of 2P+2C at
<US$10/boe
- Accelerates use of Premier’s
US$4.2bn of UK tax losses
- Accelerates debt reduction and
materially improves financial position
- Reduces covenant leverage
ratio (net debt/EBITDA) towards 1x by 2022
- US$625m for BP’s assets
adding 59 mmboe 2P+2C and 23 kboepd
- BP responsible for
abandonment security1 and will transfer tax history to Premier2
- US$191m for 25% in Tolmount,
adding 23 mmboe3 of 2P+2C and >10 kboepd4
- Kellas to extend existing
Tolmount infrastructure arrangements
- Proposed acquisition of BP’s interests in the Andrew Area and Shearwater field and a further 25% in
Tolmount from Dana Petroleum. Premier also proposes to extend its credit facilities to 30 Nov 2023.
Step change for Premier, materially accretive to value and credit metrics
KEY TERMS CASH GENERATIVE FULLY FUNDED
1 Except for Arundel and Cyrus (abandonment security not yet required) 2 BP will transfer the tax history relating to the Andrew, Kinnoull and Farragon fields 3 Excludes Tolmount East 4 At peak production rates, net to the 25% interest
Highlights
59% 41% 47% 53% 60% 40%
January 2020
Transaction metrics
COMPELLING VALUATION
- Adds 82 mmboe 2P+2C at <US$10/boe
- Contributes to rising production out to 2024 with
pro forma 2019 production in excess of 100 kboepd
- Operator of >160 kboepd (2019 pro forma, gross)
- Material incremental investment opportunities
ADDITION OF QUALITY BARRELS WITH HIGH VALUE TO PREMIER
- Adds low cost assets with combined opex of
<US$20/boe (2019 to 2025)
- Adds low carbon emission assets
- Accelerates use of Premier’s US$4.2bn of tax losses
- Infrastructure funding minimises Tolmount capex
MATERIALLY STRENGTHENS LONG-TERM FINANCIAL POSITION
- Acquisitions forecast to generate >US$1bn FCF to
end 2023
- Additional FCF accelerates debt reduction and
balance sheet deleveraging
- Significantly reduces forward accounting leverage
ratio towards <1x by Q4 2021
- Limited near-term decommissioning expenditure
- Extends existing, non-amortising facilities ahead of
a full refinancing, anticipated in 2022 Accounting leverage ratio1
(Net debt/EBITDA)
Adds a balanced oil and gas portfolio
2P+2C mmboe as at 1.1.19
Premier
Oil Gas
Acquired assets Pro-forma
50 100 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Premier Acquired Assets
Group production
kboepd 0.50 1.50 2.50 Q419 Q220 Q420 Q221 Q421 Q222 Premier Proforma
1Based on current production forecasts and commodity price estimates
P4
Highlights
January 2020
Acquired assets overview, impact on Premier UKCS
P5
Andrew Area (Op.)
- Andrew (63%), Cyrus (100%), Kinnoull (77%), Arundel
(100%), Farragon1 (50%)
- Andrew Lower Cretaceous development (73%)
- 2019 Production: 18 kboepd (net); 2P+2C: 34 mmboe (net)
- Life extension to 2028 adds substantial value
Shearwater1 (27.5%, non-Op.)
- HPHT gas condensate field
- Partners: Shell (Op, 28%), Exxon (44.5%)
- 2P+2C : 25 mmboe (net)
- 2019 Production: 5 kboepd (net)
- Operator’s hub plan defers COP to 2028
Tolmount (25%)
- Long life gas asset with material upside
- First gas on schedule by end 2020
- Peak production rates of >10 kboepd (net to 25% interest)
- 2P+2C: 23 mmboe2 (net to 25% interest)
- Material upside at Tolmount East, Mongour
2019 Pro forma Group
>100 kboepd
UK production
kboepd
2019 Pro forma UKCS
>75 kboepd
1 Farragon and Shearwater are subject to pre-emption rights by partners 2 Excludes Tolmount East
UK 2P reserves
mmboe 50 100 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Premier UKCS Acquired Assets
100 200 Premier UKCS Proforma UKCS
Premier UKCS Acquired Assets
Production
5 10 15 20 25 UKCS PMO Group Andrew Catcher January 2020
Andrew Area – a new operated production hub
- Andrew, Cyrus, Kinnoull, Arundel and Farragon1 produce
through the Andrew platform
- Acquisition completion expected by end Q3 2020
- Net 2P+2C of 34 mmboe
- 2019 production of 18 kboepd (89% liquids, 11% gas)
- Low opex of US$17/boe
- Low emissions 13kg/boe, 2nd lowest of BP’s op. UKCS assets
- Limited near-term abandonment obligations
- High value infrastructure led investment opportunities
P6
Delivers material production with near term development opportunities
GHG intensity
kg CO2e/boe
1 Farragon is subject to pre-emption by joint venture partner
Cumulative net FCF from Andrew Area 2P Reserves & 2C Resources (pre-tax)
US$m
c.US$1bn FCF
(2019 to 2025)
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Source: Oil & Gas UL 2018 Environment Report; Company estimates
Development
January 2020
Andrew Lower Cretaceous Development
P7
Near-term, material upside through the Lower Cretaceous development
- Lower Cretaceous commercial gas discovery made by BP in 1974
- Two well subsea tie-back to the Andrew platform to develop
9 mmboe (net)
- FEED on-going with contractor discussions well advanced
- Estimated total capex of up to c. US$120m (net to Premier)
- BP had planned to sanction 2020 1H
Andrew Area Production (net)
kboepd
Lower Cretaceous Production
>6 kboepd (net) in 2022
Field life
Extended to 2028
Lower Cretaceous Development
Increases gas weighting
Andrew Area field schematic
3 6 9 12 15 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Andrew Area Andrew LC
Production
3 6 9 12 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Liquids Sales Gas January 2020
Shearwater (27.5% non-operated interest) 1
- Shell (op. 28%), Exxon (44.5%), BP (27.5%)
- Completion 2020 1H, subject to partners not
exercising pre-emption rights
- HP/HT gas condensate field
- Adds net 25 mmboe 2P+2C
- 2019 production of 5 kboepd (net)
- Incremental investment opportunities
- Significant 3rd party tariff income and opex
cost sharing
P8 P8
Non-operated interest in an existing producer and significant UKCS hub Shearwater 2P+2C (net) Shearwater production (net)
kboepd
25 mmboe
1Shearwater is subject to pre-emption rights by partners
Operating efficiency
90% (2010-2018)
Hub plan to defer
COP to 2028
Oil 53% Gas 47%
Development
- US$191m for additional 25% interest in Tolmount and up to
US$55m of contingent payments related to Tolmount East FDP / production milestones
- 500 BCF Tolmount gas development on budget and on
schedule for First Gas by end of 2020
- Adds 23 mmboe 2P+2C and 12 kboepd in 2022 (net to the
25% interest)1
- Agreement with Kellas to extend infrastructure arrangements
for additional 25 per cent acquired
– Minimises Premier’s pre-first gas capex; pro forma 2020 Tolmount capex expected to be c. US$100m (net to Premier)
- Acquisition completion expected 2020 1H
January 2020
Tolmount – additional 25% interest
P9 15 30 45 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Tolmount 5th well, Tolmount East
Tolmount: Premier’s next UK growth project
kboepd (Pro forma, Premier 75% op.)
Consolidates interest in high return development with material upside following recent drilling success
1 Excludes Tolmount East
Gross resource
500 Bcf1
Gross peak rates
50 kboepd
Development
January 2020
Material upside beyond Tolmount
- Targeted 220 Bcf (P50) gross resource
– Well results currently under evaluation
- Reservoir quality & thickness at upper
end of expectations
– 71% NTG, 16% porosity, 82% gas saturation
- Tolmount East to be tied back to
Tolmount
– Development planning already underway – Benefits from low tariff structure, quick pay-back – Potential to extend infrastructure funding similar to existing Kellas arrangements
- Positive implications for other targets
within the Greater Tolmount Area
– Reduces uncertainty at Tolmount Far East – Unlocks the Mongour discovery
P10 Tolmount development Tolmount Far East prospect Tolmount East discovery Mongour discovery
Pre-drill top depth structure map
Finance
January 2020
Acquisitions materially strengthen credit metrics
- Consistent with deleveraging strategy; additional
free cash flow accelerates debt reduction
- Increases 2P reserves and pro forma 2019
production by 29%
- Diversifies portfolio, reduces asset concentration
- Materially reduces forward covenant leverage ratio
- Extension of existing non-amortising facilities to
November 2023 and relaxation of certain existing
- perational covenants
- Enhances position ahead of next refinancing,
anticipated in 2022
P11
Covenant leverage ratio
(Covenant net debt/EBITDA)
2P Reserves
(mmboe)
Production
(kboepd)
20 40 60 80 100 PMO TLW KOS ENQ GENL SQZ CNE Premier Acquired Assets 1.0 2.0 3.0 Q419 Q220 Q420 Q221 Q421 Q222 Premier Proforma
Reduces covenant leverage ratio towards 1x
194 251 100 200 Premier Proforma
Finance
January 2020
NAV summary
Field(s) Reserves/resources (mmboe) NAVs (pre-tax, US$m) Bid price (US$m) 2P 2C Total 2P 2C Total Andrew Area1 21 13 34 386 213 599 450 Shearwater1,2 15 10 25 213
- 213
175 Tolmount1,3 21 2 23 240
- 240
191 Total3 57 25 82 839 213 1052 816
P12
1 CPR conducted by Senergy for Andrew Area and TRACS for Shearwater with valuations as at 1.1.19 2 2C resource not valued by TRACS 3 CPR conducted by ERCE and excludes Tolmount East; Valuation as at 30.9.19
Finance
January 2020
Acquisition Financing
P13
Acquisitions funded via a fully underwritten equity raise and a debt bridge
- Aggregate headline price: US$816m, with
effective date 1 January 2019 – Andrew and Shearwater Acquisitions: US$625m – Tolmount Acquisition: US$191m plus up to US$55m contingent payments – All acquisitions subject to working capital adjustment from 1 January 2019 which is expected to reduce cash payable at completion
- Source of Funds:
– Equity: a fully underwritten US$500m equity raise (net of expenses) – initially on a standby basis – Debt: a US$300m Acquisition Bridge Facility, if required
Funding Overview
- Full equity raise underwritten on a standby basis
from announcement
- Launch of traditional equity raise post lender
scheme approval
- The company expects the equity raise to include
both a placing and rights issue component – Any shares issued under the placing will qualify for the subsequent pre-emptive rights issue
- Further details regarding the equity structure will
be outlined in the combined Prospectus and Circular to be published post creditor scheme approvals
Equity Structure
Summary
January 2020
Proposed Timetable and Process
P14
Timing Action Tuesday 7 January 2020 Announcement of the Acquisitions and Underwritten Financing Q1 2020 Launch of scheme of arrangement
- Creditors meeting
- Court sanction of the scheme of arrangement
- Publication and posting of combined Prospectus and Circular
Q1-Q2 2020
- General Meeting
- Conditional allotment under the Placing
- Record Date for the Rights Issue1
- Admission of shares under the Placing
- Admission of nil-paid rights
Q2 2020
- Close of Rights Issue
- Announcement of results of Rights Issue
Q2 – Q3 2020 Completion of the Acquisitions Completion of underwritten equity raise expected in Q2 2020
1 Post conditional allotment of the Placing, Placing shares will be eligible for the rights issue
Summary
January 2020
Acquisitions in line with strategy; investment case enhanced
Rising production profile generating strong EBITDA from a tax efficient and low
- pex, low emissions asset base.
P15
Increased interest in Tolmount and Tolmount East, together with Andrew Lower Cretaceous interest add to near-term portfolio of development opportunities which extend and prolong production profile. Capital efficient development funding. Free cash flow generation continues de-leveraging process and supports next re-financing. 1x Net debt/EBITDA is achievable. Development opportunities in Falklands, Mexico and Indonesia; Options to realise value by sale or right size investment via farm-down progressing Pipeline of high value exploration wells over next 24 months: Malguk (Alaska); Berimbau/Maraca (Brazil); Wahoo (Mexico); Timpan (Indonesia); Tolmount Far East (UK).
Appendix
January 2020
Appendix
P16
Appendix
January 2020
CPR key price assumptions
P17
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ Oil (US$/bbl) 63.9 64.0 68.0 69.0 70.4 72.9 +2% p.a. Gas (p/therm) 38.8 45.9 46.8 47.8 48.7 49.7 +2% p.a. USD/GBP 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24
Andrew CPR Shearwater CPR Tolmount CPR
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ Oil (US$/bbl) 69.0 66.0 63.0 65.0 70.4 71.8 +2% p.a. Gas (p/therm) 40.7 40.0 39.8 48.4 52.3 53.4 +2% p.a. USD/GBP 1.28 1.27 1.41 1.45 1.52 1.52 1.52 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025+ Oil (US$/bbl) 66 70 71 74 76 79 +2.5% p.a. Gas (p/therm) 47 48 50 53 55 57 +2.5% p.a. USD/GBP 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25
Premier Oil Plc 23 Lower Belgrave Street London SW1W 0NR T: +44 (0)20 7730 1111 E: premier@premier-oil.com www.premier-oil.com