January 2017 TSX: YGR TSX: YGR Corporate Snapshot Capitalization - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
January 2017 TSX: YGR TSX: YGR Corporate Snapshot Capitalization - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Corporate Presentation January 2017 TSX: YGR TSX: YGR Corporate Snapshot Capitalization Reserves and Locations (2) December 31, 2015 mmboe NPV10 ($mm) Ticker TSX: YGR Proved Developed 5.6 $97.9 Shares Outstanding (mm) Basic 79.8
TSX: YGR 2
Corporate Snapshot
1) Price as at February 3, 2017
Capitalization Reserves and Locations (2)
Ticker TSX: YGR Shares Outstanding (mm) Basic 79.8 Options (weighted avg. price $1.50) 7.9 Fully Diluted 87.7 Market Cap ($mm) (at $2.65 / share)(1) $211 Estimated 2016 Year-End Net Debt ($mm) $65 ($80mm credit facility with ATB) Enterprise Value ($mm) $276 Insider Ownership Basic 13% Fully Diluted 21%
2) Reserves effective as at December 31, 2015 based on the reserve report prepared by Deloitte LLP, independent petroleum engineers (the “Reserves Report”) 3) NAV = NPV10 Reserve Value less Net Debt
- Highly motivated management and board with insiders owning 13% of the basic shares and 21% of
the fully diluted shares December 31, 2015 mmboe NPV10 ($mm) Proved Developed 5.6 $97.9 Total Proved 24.7 $315.9 2P 40.6 $499.5 Total Cardium Locations 690 Gross (430 Net) Booked Cardium Locations 140 Gross (87 Net)
NAV(3) / Share (Excl. land) December 31, 2015 Proved Developed $0.58 Total Proved $3.33 Total Proved + Probable $5.65
TSX: YGR 3
2016 – Prepare for future growth Acquire land at the low-end of the cycle Consolidate partner interests Secure infrastructure capacity Prepare and drill (one-well) pad-drilling sites; leaving significant torque to add 3 wells on existing pads 2017 – Focus on Growth
- Current inventory and full cycle returns now supports an increased pace of
development
- Now utilizing 2 rigs
- Will ramp up to 3 rigs as commodity prices improve
- Multi-well pads with one well now ready for a quick ramp-up to a 4-5 well pad
Corporate Strategy
Low commodity prices
- Build inventory, avoid eroding well
economics Recovering commodity prices
- Accelerate drilling and add lower-cost
production on half-cycle economics
TSX: YGR 4
Jim Evaskevich, President & CEO
- 30+ years extensive executive experience with strong
- perations background
Lorne Simpson B.Sc., C.E.T., VP, Operations
- 30+ years experience in the industry
- Supervisor, Drilling Ops with PetroBakken Energy Ltd.
- Engineered, drilled or completed 250 HZ Cardium
wells, 200 HZ Bakken wells, 2 HZ Duvernay wells, 25 HZ Montney wells, and dozens of Blue Sky, Viking, SWS, Glauc, and Rock Creek HZ wells
Randall Faminow, VP, Land
- 30+ years of experience in all aspects of oil and gas land work,
including negotiation, acquisitions and divestments, contracts and mergers
James Glessing, CA, CFO
- 17+ years oil and gas accounting experience
- Executive and financial experience as CFO with North Peace
Energy Corp
- Controller at BlackRock Ventures,
- Canadian Natural Resources, Shell and Deloitte
Board of Directors Management Team
Neil Mackenzie
- Director of various public companies, including Canyon
Technical Services
- Currently a partner in Blackstone Fluids, an oil and gas
drilling fluids company
Ted Morton
- A former Canadian politician and cabinet minister in
the Alberta government
- Has held various positions in the Alberta Government
included Minister of Energy (2011-2012), Minister of Finance and Enterprise (2010-2011), and Minster of Sustainable Resources (2006-2010)
Gordon Bowerman
- Chairman
- President of Cove Resources Ltd
- Founder of several successful private and public oil
and gas companies
Robert Weir
- President of Weir Resource Management Ltd
Jim Evaskevich
- President and CEO of Yangarra Resources Ltd
People
TSX: YGR 5
Why Own Yangarra?
- Top Decile Full Cycle rates of return
- Low-cost operator, high netbacks
- Cash costs totaled $12.71/boe
- Operating costs of $6.97boe
- Transportation costs of $1.17/boe
- Royalties of $1.14/boe (4% of revenue)
- G&A costs of $1.58/boe
- Finance and interest costs of $1.85/boe
- Low-cost philosophy, not just a result of current low commodity prices
- Central Alberta Cardium formation focus
- Large future drilling inventory
- Consistent, low risk Cardium economics
- Potential Duvernay upside
TSX: YGR 6
24% 41% 67% 65% 33% 79% 12% 34% 26% 31% 27% 44%
31%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 IRR Half Cycle IRR ⁽¹⁾ Full Cycle IRR ⁽²⁾ Full Cycle with Duvernay
Full Cycle Returns
1. Half cycle IRR is based on actual drilling and completion costs, production to date and P+P reserves 2. Full cycle IRR allocates all other capital costs to the wells (i.e. land, G&G, infrastructure)
- Capital allocation is determined based on narrowing the gap between half
cycle and full cycle returns
TSX: YGR 7
2017 Capital Plan
CAPEX budget for 2017 $50.0 million Budget focused on Cardium Wells
- 5 wells in the first quarter and 10 wells in the second half
Funded with cash flow and the existing credit facilities 2017 Guidance Production (boe/d) Annual Average 4,500 – 5,000 boe/d Cash flow from operations $45 – 50 million Year end net debt Annual debt to cash flow $65 – 70 million 1.3 – 1.6 : 1 Pricing Assumptions (annual average) WTI (USD/bbl) $55.00 Edmonton Par (CDN/bbl) $68.71 AECO (CDN/GJ) $3.00
TSX: YGR 8
$0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00
2017 Free Cash Flow ($3.00/mcf Gas)
WTI Prices ($US/bbl)
Free Cash Flow Sensitivity
Assumptions: $1.30 FX Rate, 20% corporate decline, 20,000 capital efficiency Liquids prices move proportionately with WTI price increases 3,500 boe/d 3,000 boe/d Sustaining Capital
- 3,000 boe/d = $12,000,000
- 3,500 boe/d = $14,000,000
$0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00
2017 Free Cash Flow ($2.50/mcf Gas)
WTI Prices ($US/bbl)
TSX: YGR 9
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Boe/d
1-Rig 2-Rigs 3-Rigs
Production Potential
TSX: YGR 10 TSX: YGR
Cardium Formation
108 (78 net) Sections of Cardium
TSX: YGR 11
Cardium 2016 Initial Production
Well Rate (liquids) (Stages 103/04-07-41-5W5 (1.5 mile) IP 90 480 boe/d 82% liquids (71 stages & 1,070 tons of sand) 100/01-14-41-6W5 (2.0 mile) IP 60 120 boe/d 94% liquids (74 stages & 1,120 tons of sand) 104/14-19-41-5W5 (1.5 mile) IP 60 506 boe/d 82% liquids (69 stages & 1,056 tons of sand) 100/01-26-37-8w5 (2.0 mile) IP 30 395 boe/d 76% liquids (101 stages & 1,520 tons of sand)
- Well 2 drilled using old well path (higher in formation similar to older drill programs)
and therefore needed artificial lift (larger pumpjack to be installed once second well
- n pad is complete).
- Well 4 restricted more than previous wells with current flow rate higher than its IP 30
rate.
TSX: YGR 12
Cardium Drilling Inventory (1)
- 690 gross (430 net) future 1-mile Cardium future drilling locations (1)
- Opportunity to drill extended reach wells
- Willesden Green rock is generally tighter then Ferrier and North Willesden green
1) Management estimate is based on an estimate prepared by a non-independent qualified reserves evaluator of the Company in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 and the COGE Handbook, with an effective date of October 15, 2015.
Drilling Locations (1-mile laterals) Proportionate (gross locations)
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Locations
Net Gross
236 Ferrier Locations 324 Willesden Green Locations 130 North Willesden Green Locations
TSX: YGR 13
PDP 14% 1P 47% 2P 39%
2015 F&D and Recycle Ratios
0.0x 1.0x 2.0x 3.0x 4.0x 5.0x 6.0x 7.0x 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Proven Recycle P+P Recycle $- $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $25.00 $30.00 $35.00 $40.00 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 $/boe Proven F&D P+P F&D
- Consistent improvement in, and
continued focus on, F&D costs and recycle ratios
- In Yangarra’s view Probable and
proven Cardium locations have a similar chance of success
- Reserve Life Index (“RLI”)
- 37 years with one rig
- 18 years with two rigs
- 12 years with three rigs
PDP 19% 1P 44% 2P 37%
Finding and Development Recycle Ratios NPV10 BT Volumes Reserves (1)
2P Reserves: 40.6 mmboe 2P NPV10: $499.5 million
1) Reserves effective as at December 31, 2015 based on the Reserves Report
Upper Cardium (5-15% Porosity) Bioturbated Zone (20-80% Sand) 2.5-4.0m 3.0-7.0m Old Well Path New Well Path Old Frac Plane New Frac Plane
Upper Cardium Lower Cardium Bioturbated Zone
Upper Cardium Bioturbated Conglomerate/Upper Cardium
Deeper Drill Path
14
TSX: YGR 15
Impact of Deeper Drill Path
100 200 300 400 500 600 30 60 90 120 150 180 Production Rate (boe/d) 100/1-26-41-8W5 (30% Liquids) 103/04-07-41-5w5 (82% Liquids) 104/14-19-41-5w5 (82% Liquids)
Drilling into the Bioturbated Zone/Lower Cardium
TSX: YGR 16
Impact of More Stages
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Daily Oil Rate (bbl/d) Days on Production 00/05-17-041-07W5 (1-mile, sleeves, 18 stage, 360T) 02/12-17-041-07W5 (1-mile, sleeves, 30 stages, 540 T)
Cumulative Production 05-17 10.30 Mbbl 12-17 12.52 Mbbl
20% Improvement in IRR
TSX: YGR 17
Impact of Extended Reach
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Daily Oil Rate (bbl/d) Days on Production 02/13-09-041-07W5 (2-mile, sleeves, 60 stage, 900T) 00/04-09-041-07W5 (1-mile, ball-drop, 20 stage, 500 T)
Cumulative Production 04-09 10.29 Mbbl 13-09 17.87 Mbbl
33% Improvement in IRR
TSX: YGR 18
Low-Cost Driller
- Experienced drilling team
- Pad drilling from existing locations
- Long-term relationship with service providers
- Cemented liners and sliding sleeves reduce costs significantly
- Coil fracs without nitrogen require less horsepower on location resulting in reduced completion costs
Cost per Meter Drilled vs. Drilling Cost per Well
$691 $524 $474 $486 $372 $285 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Cost per Meter Drilled $ / Meter Drilled
TSX: YGR 19
Updated Completion Technology
- Cemented liners and sliding sleeve
- Tighter well frac spacing
- Increased ability to target fracs
- Better frac isolation
- No longer losing energy to packers
- Improved initial rates
18 Stages 30 Stages 45 Stages 85 Stages 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 KG of Sand/M3
Completion Stages and Costs Sand Concentration
$196,500 $129,500 $91,500 $60,500 $59,250 $29,500 $16,250 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
$/stage
TSX: YGR 20
New Alberta Royalties
For wells with TVD shallower than or equal to 2,000 metres C* ($) = 1,170*(TVD-249) + 800*TLL + 0.6*TVD*TPP For wells with TVD deeper than 2,000 metres C* ($) = 1,170*(TVD-249) + 3,120*(TVD-2,000) + 800*TLL + 0.6*TVD*TPP 1.0-Mile 1.5 Mile 2.0 Mile Duvernay TVD 2,150 2,150 2,150 3,420 TLL 1,609 2,414 3,217 1,825 Tonne per stage 15 15 15 137 # Fracs 40 60 80 27 Total Propant 600 900 1,200 3,699 C* 4,753,370 $ 5,784,370 $ 6,813,770 $ 17,190,818 $ Well Cost 2,500,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 3,500,000 $ 8,000,000 $ Potential IRR Increase +10% +15% +20% Cardium
TSX: YGR 21 $40/bbl $50/bbl $60/bbl
WTI (USD/bbl) WTI (USD/bbl) WTI (USD/bbl)
Willesden Green
IRR (%) Payout (yrs) IRR (%) Payout (yrs) IRR (%) Payout (yrs)
1-Mile ($2.5 million well cost)
18% 3.2 41% 1.6 70% 1.1
1.5-Mile ($3.0 million well cost)
36% 1.5 74% 1.1 121% 0.8
2-Mile ($3.5 million well cost)
49% 1.3 96% 0.9 154% 0.7
North Willesden Green 1-Mile ($2.7 million well cost)
31% 1.9 57% 1.5 87% 1.2
1.5-Mile ($3.2 million well cost)
61% 1.4 95% 1.2 135% 1.0
Ferrier 1-Mile ($2.5 million well cost)
61% 1.4 82% 1.1 114% 0.8
2-Mile ($3.5 million well cost)
80% 1.1 110% 0.8 151% 0.6
Well Economics (with MRF)
Assumptions
- $2.50/GJ Natural Gas
- $8.00/boe Operating Costs
Current costs are trending lower than budget
TSX: YGR 22
Duvernay Formation
15-19-39-6W5 (1.5 Mile) IP 20 - 700 boe/d 52% liquids (81 stages & 1,744 tons of sand)
TSX: YGR 23
Risk Management Program
Oil Hedges 2017 200 bbl/d collar C$65.00 WTI/bbl and a ceiling of C$75.00 WTI/bbl 100 bbl/d at C$70.00 WTI/bbl 200 bbl/d at C$64.45 WTI/bbl Jan – Mar 2017 200 bbl/d at C$71.00 WTI/bbl Feb – Jun 2017 2018 Sold Call on 200 bbl/d at US$70.00 WTI/bbl Natural Gas 2017 2,000 GJ/d at $3.12/GJ 2,000 GJ/d at $3.01/GJ Interest Rate Swaps 4.400% (2.150% + 2.25% Stamping Fee) Fixed rate on $10 million (June 2014-May 2018) 4.600% (2.350% + 2.25% Stamping Fee) Fixed rate on $10 million (June 2014-June 2018) 4.185% (1.935% + 2.25% Stamping Fee) Fixed rate on $10 million (May 2018-Nov 2023) 4.195% (1.945% + 2.25% Stamping Fee) Fixed rate on $10 million (June 2018-Nov 2023)
TSX: YGR 24
Analyst Coverage
Acumen Capital Finance Partners Limited Trevor Reynolds Oil and Gas Research Analyst treynolds@acumencapital.com (403) 410-6842 AltaCorp Capital Inc. Thomas Matthews, P.Eng, CFA Analyst - Institutional Research tmatthews@altacorpcapital.com (403) 539-8621 Clarus Securities Inc. Robert Pare, CA, CFA Managing Director, Equity Research rpare@clarussecurities.com (403) 767-0821 Industrial Alliance Securities Inc. Michael Charlton Research Analyst - Oil & Gas mcharlton@mgisecurities.com (403) 705-4978 Paradigm Capital Inc. Ken Lin, CFA Oil and Gas Analyst kenl@paradigmcap.com (403) 513-1042 PI Financial Corp. Brian Purdy, P.Eng, MBA, CFA Research Analyst - Energy bpurdy@pifinancial.com (403) 543-2823 Raymond James Ltd. Jeremy McCrea, CFA Oil and Gas Analyst jeremy.mccrea@raymondjames.ca (403) 509-0518
25 TSX: YGR
Appendix
TSX: YGR 26
Glauconite Formation
Legend Wells glauc pens Glauc Prod_Inj glauc @TD Working Yangarra land
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 3 4 3 5 3 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 50 50 CHANNEL CHANNEL CHANNEL 50 nde Channel Porosity t in Mid Mann Mann CHANNEL 50 100 100 no logs over zone 50 50 50 50 V m chan 100 50 50 100 50 50 5 50 50 100 100 50 50 3-20 GR/neutron/strip log- nly. looks shaley with 0
C H A N N E L CHANNE CHANNEL
an any cut cut amo amoun unt an any cut cut amo amoun unt
H O A D L E Y B A R R I E R B A R H O A D L E Y B A R R I E R B A R
LOWER SHOREFACE SANDS O F F S H O R E S H A L E F A C I E S
V i k i n g P r- d
- d
- d
- d
- d
- d
- d
- l
- g
- r
- s
- l
- f
- l
- g
- p
- m
- n
- p
- m
- n
- w
- d
- r
- n
- t
- n
- t
- 1
TSX: YGR 27
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Share Capital 2P NPV10 (less debt)
Creating Shareholder Value
TSX: YGR 28 Production Run Rate Production boe/d 3,000 3,500 Decline Rate % 20% 20% Annual Production Decline boe/d 600 700 Maintenance Capex Production Replacement boe/d 600 700 Capital Efficiency $/boe/d 20,000 20,000 Maintenance Capex $ 12,000,000 14,000,000 Cash Flow $40 WTI USD/bbl ($20/bbl netback) $ 21,900,000 25,600,000 $50 WTI USD/bbl ($26/bbl netback) $ 28,500,000 33,200,000 $60 WTI USD/bbl ($33/bbl netback) $ 36,100,000 42,200,000
Sustainability Analysis
Assumptions: $2.50mcf AECO Gas & 1.30 FX Rate Liquids prices move proportionately with WTI price increases
TSX: YGR 29 Production Run Rate Production boe/d 3,000 3,500 Decline Rate % 20% 20% Annual Production Decline boe/d 600 700 Maintenance Capex Production Replacement boe/d 600 700 Capital Efficiency $/boe/d 20,000 20,000 Maintenance Capex $ 12,000,000 14,000,000 Cash Flow $40 WTI USD/bbl ($22/bbl netback) $ 24,100,000 28,100,000 $50 WTI USD/bbl ($28/bbl netback) $ 30,700,000 35,800,000 $60 WTI USD/bbl ($36/bbl netback) $ 39,400,000 46,000,000
Sustainability Analysis
Assumptions: $3.00 mcf AECO Gas & 1.30 FX Rate Liquids prices move proportionately with WTI price increases
TSX: YGR 30
Statements in this presentation may contain forward-looking information including expectations of future production and components of cash flow and
- earnings. Forward looking statements or information are based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks and
uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by the Company and described in the forward looking statements or
- information. These risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to differ materially from the forward looking statements or information include,
among other things: general economic and business conditions; the risk of instability affecting the jurisdictions in which the Company operates; the risks of the
- il and natural gas industry, such as operational risks in exploring for, developing and producing crude oil and natural gas and market demand; the possibility
that government policies or laws may change or governmental approvals may be delayed or withheld; risks and uncertainties involving geology of oil and natural gas deposits; the uncertainty of reserves estimates and reserves life; the ability of the Company to add production and reserves through acquisition, development and exploration activities; the Company’s ability to enter into or renew leases; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production (including decline rates), costs and expenses; fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices, foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates; risks inherent in the Company’s marketing operations, including credit risk; health, safety and environmental risks; and uncertainties as to the availability and cost of financing. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list is not exhaustive of all possible risks and uncertainties. The reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on this forward-looking information. The forward looking statements or information contained in this presentation are made as of the date hereof and the Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise unless required by applicable securities laws. The forward looking statements
- r information contained in this presentation are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
Forward-looking Statements
31 TSX: YGR
Natural gas has been converted to a barrel of oil equivalent (Boe) using 6,000 cubic feet (6 Mcf) of natural gas equal to one barrel of oil (6:1), unless
- therwise stated. The Boe conversion ratio of 6 Mcf to 1 Bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method and does not represent a value
equivalency; therefore Boe's may be misleading if used in isolation. References to natural gas liquids ("NGLs") in this news release include condensate, propane, butane and ethane and one barrel of NGLs is considered to be equivalent to one barrel of crude oil equivalent (Boe). One ("BCF") equals one billion cubic feet of natural gas. One ("Mmcf") equals one million cubic feet of natural gas. Reserve Definitions: (a) "Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. (b) "Probable" reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. (c) "Developed" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from existing wells and installed facilities or, if facilities have not been installed, that would involve a low expenditure (e.g. when compared to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves on production. (d) "Developed Producing" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been on production, and the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable certainty. (e) "Developed Non-Producing" reserves are those reserves that either have not been on production, or have previously been on production, but are shut in, and the date of resumption of production is unknown. (f) "Undeveloped" reserves are those reserves expected to be recovered from know accumulations where a significant expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production. They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves classification (proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned. (g) The Net Present Value (NPV) is based on Deloitte AJM Forecast Pricing and costs. The estimated NPV does not necessarily represent the fair market value of our reserves. There is no assurance that forecast prices and costs assumed in the Deloitte AJM evaluations will be attained, and variances could be material. This presentation contains references to measures used in the oil and natural gas industry such as “netback”. These measures do not have standardized meanings prescribed by GAAP and therefore should not be considered in isolation. These reported amounts and their underlying calculations are not necessarily comparable or calculated in an identical manner to a similarly titled measure of other companies where similar terminology is used. Where these measures are used they should be given careful consideration by the reader. These measures have been described and presented in this presentation in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with additional information regarding the Corporation's liquidity and its ability to generate funds to finance its operations. Netback denotes petroleum and natural gas revenue and realized gains or losses on financial instruments less royalty expenses, operating expenses and transportation and marketing expenses calculated on a per boe basis.