Mass 1
J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
Greg Wasson President and CEO January 15, 2014
2
J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference January 15, 2014 Greg Wasson - - PDF document
Mass J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference January 15, 2014 Greg Wasson President and CEO 2 1 Mass Safe Harbor and Non-GAAP Safe Harbor and Non-GAAP Certain statements and projections of future results made in these presentations
2
Certain statements and projections of future results made in these
Please see our latest Form 10-K &10-Q filings for a discussion of risk factors
Today’s presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures, and we
3
(Corner of Powell and O’Farrell)
4
5
6
Creating a Well Experience Advancing Community Pharmacy Establishing an Efficient Global Platform
7 8
* Non-GAAP Financial Measures – see Appendix.
9
10
11
12
14 *Including associates and joint ventures of Alliance Boots
Creating a Well Experience Advancing Community Pharmacy Establishing an Efficient Global Platform
15
16
17
0% 1% 2% 3%
Dec Dec Dec Dec Jan Jan Jan Jan Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar/Apr Mar/Apr Mar/Apr Mar/Apr May May May May June June June June July July July July Aug Aug Aug Aug Sep Sep Sep Sep Oct Oct Oct Oct Nov Nov Nov Nov Dec Dec Dec Dec One-Year One-Year One-Year One-Year
1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% Two-Year Two-Year Two-Year Two-Year
1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Two - Year Stack One - Year % Change
*February FE Comp excludes the benefit of Leap Day
FY 2013 FY 2014
Front End Comp Store Sales % Change
18
Creating a Well Experience Advancing Community Pharmacy Establishing an Efficient Global Platform
19
Accessed April 24, 2012. 3. Isetts BJ et al. Am J Pharm Assoc. 2008;48:203-214.
20
0.8 7.4 6.8 6.7 8.7
2 4 6 8 10
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
Millions
Walgreens Immunizations Administered
$3.5B $2.0B $1.2B $1.2B $0.9B $1.5B
Seasonal Influenza HPV TetDipPertussis/Td Meningitis Hep A/ Hep B Pneumococcal/ Zoster/ Varicella
Estimated Size of US Immunization Market*
*Walgreen Co. Estimates
21
22
23
Lab tests on samples as small as 1/1,000 the size of a typical blood draw Results to you and your doctor in less than four hours, on average Pricing dramatically low rates and accepting major insurance carriers as well as Medicare and Medicaid.
24
25
26
27
Overall Unplanned Admissions – Hospitals <30 Days by TIme
Well Transitions Procedure:
medications
reinforce adherence
community pharmacists
20.0% 18.4% 21.3% 13.1% 12.8% 10.0%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
CY13 Q1 CY13 Q2 CY13 Q3
Readmissions %
28
Patients eligible but not enrolled Patients enrolled in program
29
30
52wks through Nov 2013 vs LY. 30-day equivalent prescriptions
Mass
13.4%
Food
17.3%
Independents
8.0%
Other Chain Drug
14.0%
Walgreens
21.2%
Market
14.1%
93 113 145 178 208
50 100 150 200 250
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
(30-Day Equivalents)
+22.2% CAGR
Millions
1.1% 0.0% 0.3%
0% 2%
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
*IMS Data
31
0% 2% 4% 6% 8%
Dec Dec Dec Dec Jan Jan Jan Jan Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar Mar Mar Mar Apr Apr Apr Apr May May May May June June June June July July July July Aug Aug Aug Aug Sep Sep Sep Sep Oct Oct Oct Oct Nov Nov Nov Nov Dec Dec Dec Dec One-Year One-Year One-Year One-Year
7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% Two-Year Two-Year Two-Year Two-Year 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
Comp Data Adjustments: Day Fall, 90 Day, Flu Shot, and Flu Script
Two - Year Stack One - Year % Change
FY 2013 FY 2014
Script Comp Store % Change
32
Creating a Well Experience Advancing Community Pharmacy Establishing an Efficient Global Platform
33
34
$154M $350M- $400M† $1B† $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000
FY13 FY14E FY16 Goal
Combined Synergies with Alliance Boots
Generics Branded Products (Pharma) Branded Products (Non-Pharma) Own Brands and General Merch. Goods not for Resale Front of Store Growth
† Forward-Looking Statements – See cautionary note in attached Appendix.
Six Synergy Work Streams
35
Distribution Agreement Equity Alignment Strategic Collaboration
36
FY 2016 Goals† Revenue >$130 Billion Operating Income (GAAP) $8.5 - $9.0 Billion Adjusted Operating Income* $9.0 - $9.5 Billion Synergies $1 Billion Operating Cash Flow ~$8 Billion Net Debt** ~$11 Billion
†Forward-Looking Statements – See cautionary note in attached Appendix.
All figures assume constant currency and exercise of option to acquire remaining 55% interest. All financial goals assume no major mergers and acquisitions or strategic transactions. * Non-GAAP Financial Measures – see Appendix. ** Net debt defined as balance sheet debt less cash and cash equivalents. Net debt excludes lease obligations. ~ 1.1B shares projected to be outstanding in FY 2016. Projected shares outstanding assumes no share repurchases.
37
38
39
40
*Includes cash and equity investments
Crescent Healthcare Omnicare Infusion Cardinal Specialty Rx Solutions McKesson Specialty BioScrip Specialty
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$
E
20 Year Total Shareholder Return CAGR --- 14.6% 5 Year Total Shareholder Return CAGR --- 20.8% 1 Year Total Shareholder Return CAGR --- 60.3%
42
The following information provides reconciliations of the supplemental non-GAAP financial measures, as defined under SEC rules, presented in this presentation to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (GAAP). The company has provided these non-GAAP financial measures in the presentation, which are not calculated or presented in accordance with GAAP, as supplemental information in addition to the financial measures that are calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. These supplemental non-GAAP financial measures are presented because management has evaluated the company’s financial results both including and excluding the adjusted items and believes that the non-GAAP financial measures presented provide additional perspective and insights when analyzing the core operating performance of the Company’s business from period to period and trends in the company’s historical operating results. These supplemental non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered superior to, as a substitute for or as an alternative to, and should be considered in conjunction with, the GAAP financial measures presented in the presentation. The company does not provide a non-GAAP reconciliation for non-GAAP estimates on a forward-looking basis where it is unable to provide a meaningful or accurate calculation or estimation of reconciling items and the information is not available without unreasonable effort.
43
Net Earnings (GAAP) Acquisition Related Costs Hurricane Sandy Acquisition Related Amortization LIFO Provision Gain on WHI Sale Fair Market Value of warrants Adjustment DEA Settlement Costs Medicare Part D Organizational Efficiency Costs Alliance Boots Related Tax Adjusted Net Earnings (Non-GAAP)
Fiscal 2009 Q1 408
27
Q2 640
31
Q3 522
20
Q4 348
31
Full Year 2,006
109
Fiscal 2010 Q1 489
20
Q2 669
17
Q3 463
11
Q4 470
39
Full Year 2,091
87
Fiscal 2011 Q1 580
26
Q2 739
35
Q3 603
32
Q4 792
38 (273)
Full Year 2,714
131 (273)
Fiscal 2012 Q1 554
28
Q2 683
45
Q3 537 12
38
Q4 353 70
85
Full Year 2,127 82
195
Fiscal 2013 Q1 413 23 24 59 34
Q2 756 13
46 (13)
915 Q3 624 17
76
47
812 Q4 657 7
(5)
38 702 Full Year 2,450 60 24 241 151 (13) (110) 47
124 2,982
$ in Millions
44
Net Earnings (GAAP) Acquisition Related Costs Hurricane Sandy Acquisition Related Amortization LIFO Provision Gain on WHI Sale Fair Market Value of warrants Adjustment DEA Settlement Costs Medicare Part D Organizational Efficiency Costs Alliance Boots Related Tax Adjusted Net Earnings (Non-GAAP)
Fiscal 2014 Q1 695 16
37
28 688
$ in Millions
45
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 Cash Flow from Operations (GAAP) $390 $1,116 $985 $548 $312 $1,428 $1,519 $852 Capital Expenditures (GAAP) (490) (553) (610) (572) (638) (454) (442) (393) Free Cash Flow (Non- GAAP)* ($100) $563 $375 ($24) ($326) $974 $1,077 $459
46
*Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities in a period minus additions to property and equipment (capital expenditures) made in that period. This measure does not represent residual cash flows available for discretionary expenditures as the measure does not deduct the payments required for debt service and other contractual obligations or payments for future business acquisitions. Therefore, we believe it is important to view free cash flow as a measure that provides supplemental information to our entire statements of cash flows.
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 Cash Flow from Operations (GAAP) $1,168 $595 $1,056 $925 $1,165 $886 $1,230 $362 Capital Expenditures (GAAP) (304) (220) (262) (228) (273) (196) (230) (514) Free Cash Flow (Non- GAAP)* $864 $375 $794 $697 $892 $690 $1,000 ($152)
47
*Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities in a period minus additions to property and equipment (capital expenditures) made in that period. This measure does not represent residual cash flows available for discretionary expenditures as the measure does not deduct the payments required for debt service and other contractual obligations or payments for future business acquisitions. Therefore, we believe it is important to view free cash flow as a measure that provides supplemental information to our entire statements of cash flows. 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 Cash Flow from Operations (GAAP) $809 $1,007 $1,847 $768 $601 $1,198 $1,379 $1,123 Capital Expenditures (GAAP) (419) (304) (379) (448) (336) (245) (293) (338) Free Cash Flow (Non- GAAP)* $390 $703 $1,468 $320 $265 $953 $1,086 $785
48
*Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities in a period minus additions to property and equipment (capital expenditures) made in that period. This measure does not represent residual cash flows available for discretionary expenditures as the measure does not deduct the payments required for debt service and other contractual obligations or payments for future business acquisitions. Therefore, we believe it is important to view free cash flow as a measure that provides supplemental information to our entire statements of cash flows.
1Q14 Cash Flow from Operations (GAAP) $133 Capital Expenditures (GAAP) (364) Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP)* (231)
49
*Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities in a period minus additions to property and equipment (capital expenditures) made in that period. This measure does not represent residual cash flows available for discretionary expenditures as the measure does not deduct the payments required for debt service and other contractual obligations or payments for future business acquisitions. Therefore, we believe it is important to view free cash flow as a measure that provides supplemental information to our entire statements of cash flows.
50
CERTAIN ASSUMPTIONS: Unless the context otherwise indicates or requires:
so Walgreens shareholders will not benefit from the financial performance of Galenica Ltd. even though Alliance Boots proportionate interest in their profits is reflected in Alliance Boots financial statements for periods prior to May 10, 2013; and
Trading Profit - Profit from operations before amortization of customer relationships and brands, exceptional items and share of post-tax earnings of associates and joint ventures Historical Alliance Boots Financial Information – Alliance Boots’ audited consolidated financial statements for the years ended March 31, 2013 and 2012 were filed as Exhibit 99.1 to the Walgreen Co. Form 8-K filed on May 15, 2013. Such financial statements of Alliance Boots were prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IFRS) and audited in accordance with auditing standards generally accepted in the United States. All descriptions of the company’s agreements relating to Alliance Boots and the arrangements and transactions contemplated thereby in this presentation are qualified in their entirety by reference to the full text of the agreements, copies of which have been filed with the SEC. See the Company’s Form 8-K filings on June 19, 2012, August 6, 2012, September 10, 2012 and September 13, 2012. All descriptions in this presentation of the agreements relating to the strategic long-term relationship with AmerisourceBergen announced by the Company and Alliance Boots on March 18, 2013 and the arrangements and transactions contemplated thereby are qualified in their entirety by reference to the description and the full text of the agreements in the Company’s Form 8-K filing on March 20, 2013.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements. Statements in these materials and the accompanying presentation that are not historical, including, without limitation, estimates of future financial and operating performance, including the amounts and timing of future accretion and synergies, are forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as "expect," "likely," "outlook," "forecast, "would," "could," "should," "can," "will," "project," "intend," "plan," "goal," “target,” "continue," "sustain," "synergy," "on track," "believe," "seek," "estimate," "anticipate," "may," "possible," "assume," variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, assumptions and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, those relating to our commercial agreement with AmerisourceBergen, the arrangements and transactions contemplated by our Framework Agreement with AmerisourceBergen and Alliance Boots and their possible effects, the Purchase and Option Agreement and other agreements relating to our strategic partnership with Alliance Boots, the arrangements and transactions contemplated thereby and their possible effects, the parties' ability to realize anticipated synergies and achieve anticipated financial results, the risks associated with transitions in supply arrangements, the risks associated with international business operations, the risks associated with governance and control matters in minority investments, whether the option to acquire the remainder of the Alliance Boots equity interest will be exercised and the financial ramifications thereof, the risks associated with equity investments in AmerisourceBergen including whether the warrants to invest in AmerisourceBergen will be exercised and the financial ramifications thereof, changes in vendor, payer and customer relationships and terms, changes in network participation, the implementation, operation and growth of our customer loyalty program, changes in economic and market conditions, competition, risks associated with new business areas and activities, risks associated with acquisitions, joint ventures and strategic investments, the ability to realize anticipated results from capital expenditures and cost reduction initiatives, outcomes of legal and regulatory matters, and changes in legislation or regulations. These and other risks, assumptions and uncertainties are described in Item 1A (Risk Factors) of our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, which is incorporated herein by reference, and in other documents that we file or furnish with the Securities and Exchange
materially from those indicated or anticipated by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made. Except to the extent required by law, Walgreens does not undertake, and expressly disclaims, any duty or obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statement after the initial distribution of this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events, changes in assumptions or otherwise.
51