J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
J.P Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference March 24, 2011 Wick Moorman Chairman, President & CEO Norfolk Southern Corporation Norfolk Southern Corporation 2 Agenda NS Business Outlook Resource Initiatives
Norfolk Southern Corporation
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Agenda
NS Business Outlook Resource Initiatives Financial Objectives
Chicago
January 31, 2011
Railway Volume
First Quarter through Week 11 2011 vs. 2010
1QTD 2011 vs. 2010 Units Abs. % Chg.
Agriculture 134,522 (3,673) (3%) Chemicals 81,309 (1,795) (2%) MetCon 124,266 8,262 7% Paper 68,960 1,259 2% Automotive 66,313 5,266 9% Merchandise 475,370 9,319 2% Intermodal 641,750 57,019 10% Coal 345,212 34,149 11% Total 1,462,332 100,487 7% Source: AAR carloadings, which are reported weekly and may not equal NS' reported volumes.
Responding to Growth
- Employees
- Equipment:
– Locomotives and Freight Cars
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T&E Employment Count
Net of Furloughs, Trainees, and Projected Attrition
10,000 10,500 11,000 11,500 12,000 12,500 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11
Resource Initiatives - Locomotives
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Productivity Scorecard
Two Months 2011 vs. 2010
Carload Volume Crew Starts Railroad Employees GTMs per Employee GTMs per Gallon GTMs per Train Hour
8% 5% 6% 3% 0% 2%
Railway Volume
First Quarter through Week 11 2011 vs. 2010
1QTD 2011 vs. 2010 Units Abs. % Chg.
Agriculture 134,522 (3,673) (3%) Chemicals 81,309 (1,795) (2%) MetCon 124,266 8,262 7% Paper 68,960 1,259 2% Automotive 66,313 5,266 9% Merchandise 475,370 9,319 2% Intermodal 641,750 57,019 10% Coal 345,212 34,149 11% Total 1,462,332 100,487 7% Source: AAR carloadings, which are reported weekly and may not equal NS' reported volumes.
Outlook – Business Portfolio
General Merchandise
- Manufacturing recovery
Chemicals
- Build out of ethanol network and export grain
growth Agriculture
- New business, improved auto production and
sales Automotive
- Recovery in global steel production
Steel
- Uncertainty in housing, but improving paper
markets Forest Products
Outlook – Business Portfolio
Intermodal
- Truckload conversions
Domestic Intermodal
- Improving imports/exports
International Intermodal
- New business opportunity
Premium
Within our service territory: 74% of the 2009 US population 58% of total energy consumption in U.S. 63% of U.S. manufacturing One study suggests that at least 30 million truck shipments over 550 miles touch our service territory
U.S. Demographics
Truck Volume in 2007
Projected Truck Volume in 2040
Chicago Cincinnati Columbus Pritchard Roanoke Norfolk Detroit Philadelphia Ayer Atlanta
Charlotte
Lynchburg Corinth Shreveport Meridian New Orleans
Memphis
NY/NJ Bethlehem Titusville Jacksonville
Corridor Volume Increases 2010 vs. 2009 Premier Route 18% PanAm Southern 32% Crescent Corridor 31% Meridian Speedway 36% Titusville 146%
NS Corridor Strategy
Greencastle Mechanicville Birmingham
Outlook – Business Portfolio
Coal
- Falling stockpiles and increased electricity
generation Utility Coal
- Improving exports
Export Coal
- Recovery in global steel production
Domestic Met Coal
Northern Appalachia 2009-41.3 M 2010-45.3 M Central Appalachia 2009-62.3 M 2010-64.8 M Illinois 2009-10.8 M 2010-11.1 M Powder River Basin 2009-30.1 M 2010-32.8 M
2009-2010 NS Origin Coal Volume (Tons)
Notes: Excludes coke and iron ore volume.
Lamberts Point Coal Docks
Outlook – Business Portfolio
- Manufacturing recovery
Chemicals
- Build out of ethanol network and export grain
growth Agriculture
- Truckload conversions
Domestic Intermodal
- Improving imports/exports
International Intermodal & Export Coal
- Recovery in global steel production
Domestic Met Coal & Steel
- Falling stockpiles and increased electricity
generation Utility Coal
- New business, improved auto production and
sales Automotive
- Uncertainty in housing, but improving paper
markets Forest Products
Financial Objectives
- Margin Expansion
- Operating Ratio Reductions
- Cash Flow Improvement
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Margin Expansion and Operating Ratio Improvement
- Operating Leverage
- Productivity
- Pricing
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Margin Expansion and Operating Ratio Improvement
- Continued global demand for coal
- Price to the market
- Intermodal growth
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Balanced Cash Flow Utilization
2006-2010 $6.8 Billion $6.3 Billion
Share Repurchases Capital Expenditures Dividends $2.1 Billion $4.2 Billion
Total Shareholder Distributions
Relative to Free Cash Flow* 2006-2010
*See reconciliation to GAAP posted on our website Dividends Share Repurchases Free Cash Flow
$6.3 Billion $5.0 Billion
- All of NS’ Free Cash
Flow Returned to Shareholders
$2.1 Billion $4.2 Billion
One line, infinite possibilities
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