Investor Presentation Third Quarter 2017
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Investor Presentation Third Quarter 2017 Forward Looking Statements - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Images from The Palms at Town & Country, Miami, FL Investor Presentation Third Quarter 2017 Forward Looking Statements Statements included herein that state the Companys or Managements intentions, hopes, beliefs, expectations or
Images from The Palms at Town & Country, Miami, FL
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Forward Looking North Creek Plaza Laredo, TX
Richmond Square Houston, TX
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12.55% 10.24% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% Since IPO
WRI NAREIT Equity REIT Index
Debt
Common Equity
$2.2 Billion 35% $4.1 Billion 65%
$6.3 Billion
(based on September 30, 2017 closing stock price of $31.74)
Company Overview
(as of 9/30/17)
As of 9/30/17
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Company Overview
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Company Overview
Drew Alexander
President and CEO - 37 years in industry
Steve Richter
Exec VP / CFO - 35 years in industry
Johnny Hendrix
Exec VP / COO - 35 years in industry
21 years in industry
16 years in industry
35 years in industry
25 years in industry
Stanford Alexander
Chairman of the Board - 60 years in industry
Regional Office
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tax states
Markets with Strong Demographic Profiles Locations with Strong Barriers
Target Market
the US
international trade
Company Overview
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Falls Pointe Shopping Center Raleigh, NC
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ABR: $21.72 PSF AHHI: $139,542 Major Tenants: Nordstrom Rack, Saks Off 5th, HomeGoods, Marshalls, Ross Dress For Less
ABR: $19.49 PSF 3 Mile Population: 210,655 Major Tenants: Home Depot, Albertsons, Ross Dress For Less, Petco, Rite Aid ABR: $38.93 PSF AHHI: $144,908 Major Tenants: Kroger, Barnes & Noble, Gap, Americas, Sur La Table, Talbots ABR: $15.73 PSF % College Grads: 51% Major Tenants: Ross Dress For Less, Marshalls, Old Navy, Floor & Décor, Hobby Lobby, Staples, Stein Mart, Barnes & Noble, Petco High Quality Portfolio ABR: $22.69 PSF 3 Mile Population: 171,702 Major Tenants: Publix, Kohl’s, Nordstrom Rack, Dick’s, Marshalls, CVS, Total Wines
ABR: $42.70 PSF AHHI: $114,832 Major Tenants: Trader Joe’s, CVS, Crunch Fitness, CB2, Sundance Cinemas
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ABR: $33.88 PSF % College Grads: 58% Major Tenants: Wegmans, L.A. Fitness ABR: $22.18 PSF AHHI: $102,750 Major Tenants: Smart & Final, Rite Aid, Dollar Tree, 24 Hour Fitness ABR: $17.61 PSF 3 Mile Population: 112,842 Major Tenants: Target, PetSmart, Bealls, Marshalls, Bed Bath & Beyond, Michaels, Regal Theater High Quality Portfolio
ABR: $16.72 PSF 3 Mile Population: 195,050 Major Tenants: TJ Maxx, Best Buy, Bed Bath & Beyond, PetSmart, DSW, Stein Mart, Old Navy, Babies R Us
ABR: $35.38 PSF AHHI: $134,918 Major Tenants: Marshalls, Nordstrom Rack, Old Navy, Arhaus, Grand Lux Café, Morton’s
ABR: $24.61 PSF AHHI: $127,045 Major Tenants: HEB, Academy, Toys R Us, Sam Moon, PetSmart, Nordstrom Rack
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Same Property NOI* Leased Occupancy ABR PSF Rent Growth
High Quality Portfolio
WRI Peer Average
0.2% 0.4% 4.2% 4.2% 3.4% 3.3% 2.7% 2.5%
0.0% 2.5% 5.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q3 17 93.0% 91.8% 93.0% 93.0% 93.7% 94.8% 95.4% 95.1% 94.3% 94.8% 90.0% 92.0% 94.0% 96.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q3 17 $13.16 $13.31 $13.60 $14.51 $15.14 $15.66 $16.24 $16.92 $17.93 $18.58 $12.00 $14.00 $16.00 $18.00 $20.00 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q3 17 11.0% 2.0%
4.2% 6.3% 10.1% 12.5% 13.1% 16.6%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q3 17 Note: Q3 17 peer information includes DDR, KIM, BRX, RPAI, and REG *SPNOI excludes redevelopment
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Note: Number of leases for the 12 months ended 9/30/2017.
51 Leases
48 Leases
94 Leases
19 Leases
72 Leases
24 Leases
High Quality Portfolio
67 Leases
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High Quality Portfolio Note: Based on signed leases for the 18 months ended 9/30/17.
9 signed leases 4 signed leases 3 signed leases 5 signed leases 3 signed leases 3 signed leases 3 signed leases 3 signed leases 3 signed leases 3 signed leases 3 signed leases 3 signed leases
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High Quality Portfolio Note: Based on signed leases for the 18 months ended 9/30/17.
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
High Quality Portfolio
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Closure Tenants since 3/31 WRI Store Count 6/30 WRI Store Count 9/30 9/30 % ABR 25 23 0.56% 21 14 0.22% 5 5 0.44% 6 5 0.09% 3 3 0.00% 3 1 0.00% 3 0.00% Total 61 51 1.31%
Centers with a Grocer Component
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Grocery with Another Anchor 41% Power and Specialty 25% Grocery Anchored 34%
Grocers Sales Average
Strong Grocery Ties: Relating to a grocery store started in 1901, Weingarten Realty has always emphasized the stability of grocery anchored centers to
success.
Portfolio Segmentation Grocer Types
$627 PSF $638 PSF
% of ABR Sales PSF National 43% $606 Regional 23% $685 Specialty 8% $670 Independent 1% $302 Total 75% $632
High Quality Portfolio
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Internet Resistant 80%
Full Service Restaurants 19%
15%
12%
Other Misc. Retail 8%
7%
7%
5%
4%
3%
Potential Risk 15%
5%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
High Risk 5%
2%
2%
1%
High Quality Portfolio
As of 9/30/17
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People
By promoting healthy lifestyles for associates and their families, we believe we are building a strong and healthy
includes exercise challenges, nutrition consultation, financial seminars and much more.
Weingarten Realty’s principals in Corporate Responsibility embrace achieving success in ways that honor and respect people, communities and the environment.
Green Lease Leader
Named a Green Lease Leader at the U.S. Dep.
2016 REME Award Finalist
Finalist in the category of Best Sustainability Program. WRI was one of only 5 finalists in this category
GRESB Survey Participant
Increased GRESB score each year of submission.
IREM Certified Sustainable Property
Centerwood Plaza (Bellflower, CA) has been recognized as an IREM Certified Sustainable Property
View our first annual Corporate Sustainability Report at
www.weingarten.com/about/GreenForward.aspx
Communities
Weingarten’s annual philanthropy campaign benefitting United Way raises over $150,000 for the communities we
important to our associates, often matching what they raise
Environment
Weingarten Realty recognizes that environmental responsibility is both an obligation and an opportunity to benefit our patrons, tenants, investors and the property as a whole. Areas of focus include Recycling, Energy Management, Water Management and Alternative Transportation.
Awards and Acknowledgements:
High Quality Portfolio
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Centre at Post Oak Houston, TX
LEGEND
Super Zip WRI Center Sold in whole or part
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Total Houston Portfolio Today
Average HH Income(a)
$118,000
Population(a)
146,000
Note: Demographics for 3 mile trade area (a) Weighted by ABR
As of 9-30-17
The per capita space in the trade area around our centers has declined over the past 5 years
Houston Centers primarily service Superzips WRI Key Centers have higher AHHI and % college grads than the Houston CBSA
Nearly 60% of NOI is within 5 miles of The Galleria
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– WRI’s properties are located in dense, high income areas of the city primarily servicing superzips – Houston accounts for only 16% of WRI’s total ABR with average HHI of $118,000
– WRI’s same property occupancy in Houston is at 98% and rent growth for third quarter 2017 is 35.6%
– The Medical Center is the largest healthcare complex in the world employing 106,000 – The Port of Houston has led the nation in exports the last three years and is expanding in anticipation of increased tonnage with the opening of the Panama Canal – Energy employment accounts for 38% of local GDP vs 75% in the 1980s – Houston Gulf Area active investment in chemical plant expansions of ~$50 billion (1)
(1) Dr. Gilmer, UH Institute for Regional Forecasting How Do Oil Prices Impact WRI?
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Population: 87,817 AHHI: $139,542 Major Tenants: Nordstrom Rack, Saks Off 5th, HomeGoods, Marshalls, Ross Dress For Less
Population: 197,408 % College Grads: 45% Major Tenants: Whole Foods, Target, Ross Dress For Less, Palais Royal, Petco Population: 170,725 AHHI: $144,908 Major Tenants: Kroger, Barnes & Noble, Gap, Americas, Sur La Table, Talbots Population: 206,784 AHHI: $133,751 Major Tenants: Best Buy, Cost Plus Population: 135,651 AHHI: $127,045 Major Tenants: HEB, Academy, Toys R Us, PetSmart, Nordstrom Rack Population: 188,788 AHHI: $134,918 Major Tenants: Marshalls, Nordstrom Rack, Old Navy, Arhaus, Grand Lux Café, Morton’s How Do Oil Prices Impact WRI?
71% 15.8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 1985 Q3 17 ABR $7.30 PSF ABR $20.00 PSF
How Do Oil Prices Impact WRI?
% of ABR in Houston
3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 Population (000s) Retail Completions (000’s SF) Net Retail Completions (000's SF) Population (000s)
The per capita space in the trade area around our centers has declined over the past 5 years Healthy Houston Growth Total WRI Occupancy Never Below 90%
84% 86% 88% 90% 92% 94% 96% 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q1 2017 Exposure to Houston is a small part of our overall portfolio Added over 800,000 people since 2010
*2016 Census estimate population
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Hilltop Village Center Alexandria, VA
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Large Re-Developments Developments
Strategic Growth (SF in thousands) Decatur 215 Las Vegas, NV
346 SF 100% Leased $79,039 AHHI / 137,244 pop.
Sunset Point 19 Clearwater, FL
266 SF 86% Leased $61,682 AHHI / 104,145 pop.
Centro Arlington (formerly
Columbia Pike)
Arlington, VA
65 SF (retail) $118,314 AHHI / 302,126 pop
West Alex (formerly Gateway
Alexandria)
Alexandria, VA
100 SF (retail) $109,746 AHHI / 288,679 pop
River Oaks Houston, TX
30 story mixed-use tower with 10 SF (retail) $144,908 AHHI / 170,725 pop
The Whittaker Seattle, WA
63 SF (retail) 89% Leased $98,131 AHHI / 85,170 pop.
Winter Park Corners Winter Park, FL
83 SF 100% Leased $86,631 AHHI / 104,772 pop.
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Cost Incurred - YTD 2017 Cost Incurred - To - Date Estimated Final Est Final ROI% The Whittaker 25,857 26,096 31,064 West Alex (formerly Gateway Alexandria) 18,911 65,105 185,772 Centro Arlington (formerly Columbia Pike) 30,267 31,153 134,468 Total New Development $75,035 $122,354 $351,304 5.7%
Strategic Growth
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Total Activity Cost Incurred: YTD 2017 Cost Incurred: Inception-to-Date Estimated Final Est Final ROI% Total $23,471 $82,271 $273,619 8.0 – 10.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Future Total 155 500 New Dev $13 $42 $27 $68 Redevelopment $16 $19 $23 $32
$- $100 $200 $300 $400 $500
Strategic Growth
Redevelopment Spotlight: The Driscoll at River Oaks Shopping Center, a 30- story residential high-rise with 300 luxury living spaces and 10,000 SF of ground floor
for more information.
+
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Population 3 Mi: 85,170 Avg HH Income 3 Mi: $98,131 Property Size: 63,043 SF (retail) Investment: $31.1M NOI: $2.1M Return on Investment: ~7%
375 residential units with 2 levels of parking
WRI the retail and 1 level of parking
Strategic Growth
West Alex, a premier mixed-used development in Alexandria, VA.
retail anchored by an upscale 62,000 SF Harris Teeter grocery store, 93,000 SF of office space and 870 below-grade parking spaces.
and will include retail, luxury residences and approximately 23,000 SF
2021.
WRI Net Investment Summary
Retail ~$49M 100K SF Office ~$9M 23K SF Multifamily ~$127M 278 residences
~$185M
seven years to entitle. 62% of the 3-mile population has a college degree.
incomes of $86,000 and average incomes of $110,000
379,000 workers within a 5-mile radius.
Demographics 3-Mile Radius 5-Mile Radius Population 288,679 551,853 Households 131,647 249,105 Avg HHI $109,746 $126,858 Median HHI $86,241 $98,946 % College Graduates 62.41% 67.25% Median Housing Value $519,855 $598,770
STRONG DEMOGRAPHICS
INVESTMENT
West Alex | Alexandria, VA
100,000 SF (retail) | Acquired 11/1/16 (Formerly Gateway Alexandria) 30
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approximately 150% over the average of 43,600. Experts consider 55,000 new jobs as “expansionary” job growth for the area.” (HFF LP)
submarket is expected to reach 3.72% by the time the project delivers in 2019. It is also expected to be one of two multifamily projects to deliver that year.” (HFF LP)
(TOD), West Alex is one-half mile from I-395, three miles from the Pentagon, five miles from downtown D.C, four miles from Old Town Alexandria and three miles from the Capital Beltway.
Bus system, upon completion of the project, the site will be served via a new Bus Rapid Transit station that will connect the Pentagon Metro station to the Van Dorn Street station.
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construction on Centro Arlington, a premier, mixed- use project in Arlington, Virginia.
feet of retail anchored by an upscale 52,000 square foot Harris Teeter grocery store.
at $135 million.
store opening in 2020.
WRI Net Investment Summary
Retail ~$28M 65K SF Multifamily ~$107M 366 residences
~$135M
college degree.
residing within 5 miles.
$118,000 within 3 miles.
687,000 workers within a 5-mile radius.
Demographics 3-Mile Radius 5-Mile Radius Population 302,126 587,999 Households 142,677 270,572 Avg HHI $118,314 $128,982 Median HHI $93,115 $97,529 % College Graduates 67.86% 69.94% Median Housing Value $548,615 $596,558
STRONG DEMOGRAPHICS
INVESTMENT
Centro Arlington | Arlington, VA
65,000 SF (retail) | Acquired 6/23/17 (Formerly Columbia Pike Village Center) 32
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Pentagon to Fairfax County.
Arlington Transit, Columbia Pike provides numerous bus routes serving the Columbia Pike corridor with connections to the Pentagon and Pentagon City, Washington Metro stations
Centro Arlington submarket is expected to reach 3.72% by the time the project delivers in
expected to be one of two multifamily projects to deliver that year.” (HFF LP)
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Population: 3 Mi: 170,725 | 5 Mi: 452,275 Average Household Income: 3 Mi: $144,908 | 5 Mi: $123,814 Property Size: 10,000 SF (retail)
story residential luxury high rise within River Oaks Shopping Center.
estimated 10,000 SF of ground floor retail.
2021.
Strategic Growth
Incremental Investment: $12.1M ROI: ~ 10% The redevelopment consists of adding a 30,000 square foot Sprouts and adding around 14,500 square feet of shop space buildings.
Strategic Growth
Winter Park Corners caters to savvy consumers in the upscale, high-density Winter Park community in Northeast Orlando. This center offers an attractive location on the highly-traveled Aloma Avenue retail corridor and includes several restaurant options such as Outback Steakhouse and Jersey Mike's.
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City Center Englewood Denver, CO
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Shawnee Village Shopping Center, Shawnee, KS 8000 Sunset Strip Shopping Center, Hollywood, CA=
Transformed Portfolio
12/31/10 12/31/2016
Change
Number of Properties 312 216 GLA SF 32.8 M 28.3 M Avg Base Rent PSF $13.60 $17.93
32%
Average HH Income(a) $80,000 $86,000
8%
Households(a) 39,000 46,000
18%
Population(a) 103,000 115,000
12%
College Graduates(a) 37.0% 44.4%
20%
Grocer Sales PSF $460 $630
37%
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(a) Weighted by ABR (b) Grocer Sales PSF As of 12/31/14
Acquisitions to improve the quality of the portfolio:
major metropolitan markets
Wegmans, Publix) to drive traffic to retailers
While selling lower quality properties in tertiary markets results in:
tenants
Total Portfolio Transformation
Transformed Portfolio
Acquisitions Dispositions
Change
Number of Properties 31 127 GLA SF 6.1 M 10.6 M Avg Base Rent PSF $20.88 $11.52
81%
Average HH Income(a) $94,000 $80,000
18%
Households(a) 57,000 39,000
46%
Population(a) 136,000 95,000
43%
College Graduates(a) 58.4% 36.6%
60%
Grocer Sales PSF(b) $700 $417
68%
Volume $1.3 Billion $1.8 Billion
8000 Sunset Strip Shopping Center Los Angeles, CA
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Net Debt to EBITDA Debt to Market Capitalization
5.9 6.3 5.4 5.8 5.9 5.6 5.0x 5.5x 6.0x 6.5x 7.0x 7.5x
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q3 17
Debt Debt + Preferreds
37.2% 39.4% 30.2% 32.8% 33.7% 34.9%
28.0% 33.0% 38.0% 43.0% 48.0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q3 17
Debt Debt + Preferred Strong Financial Position
*Remaining Series F Preferreds were redeemed May 2015
7.0 6.8 5.8
44.4% 42.0% 32.5%
Fixed Charge Coverage
2.1 2.4 2.8 3.4 3.8 3.9
1.9x 2.2x 2.5x 2.8x 3.1x 3.4x 3.7x 4.0x
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q3 17
Secured Debt to Total Assets
18.5% 14.3% 12.8% 9.6% 8.3% 8.0%
6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q3 17
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39 35 60 93 53 9 7 54 5 10
300 250 250 273 34
$45 $60 $293 $53 $309 $307 $257 $304 $278 $42 $83 $10
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350
Mortgage Debt Med-Term Notes/Bonds
In Millions, at pro-rata
Strong Financial Position
Weighted Average Interest Rate = 3.77%
S&P: BBB, Stable Moody’s: Baa1, Stable
* Year 2020 includes the Term Loan ($200 million) which is at a floating rate of LIBOR + 97.5 bps that has been swapped to a fixed rate of 2.47%. The weighted average rate reflects the fixed rate.
As of 9/30/17
The Whittaker Seattle, WA
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Assumes 2.75% - 3.25% SPNOI growth
$15 - $30 million at a 12% return
$200 - $300 million at 0 to 25 bps spread*
$125 - $175 million at 100 bps spread*
$75 - $125 million of completions at 250 bps spread*
* All spreads are to our Weighted Average Cost of Capital which is assumed to be 60% equity and 40% debt
Vision and Guidance
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rent and ancillary income account for ~ 0.4% - 0.5% to SPNOI annually
in a typical year
in SPNOI impact of 1.35% - 1.50%
Vision and Guidance
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Vision and Guidance
As of 9/30/17
Previous Guidance Q3 Revised
Net income attributable to common shareholders $2.22 - $2.28 $2.47 - $2.52 Depreciation and amortization 1.39 – 1.41 1.38 – 1.40 Impairment of operating properties and real estate equity investments 0.08 – 0.10 0.08 – 0.10 (Gain) on sale of property and interests in real estate equity investments (1.40) – (1.44) (1.61) – (1.67) Noncontrolling interests 0.04 – 0.06 0.04 – 0.06 (Benefit) provision for income taxes (0.01) – (0.03) (0.00) – (0.02) NAREIT FFO - Basic 2.32 - 2.38 2.36 - 2.39 Income attributable to operating partnership units 0.02 - 0.02 0.02 - 0.02 NAREIT FFO Per Common Share - Diluted $2.34 - $2.40 $2.38 - $2.41 Other impairment loss 0.02 - 0.02 0.02 - 0.02 (Benefit) provision for income taxes (0.01) – (0.01) (0.01) – (0.01) Other 0.03 – 0.03 0.03 – 0.03 Core FFO Per Common Share - Diluted $2.38 - $2.44 $2.42 - $2.45 Portfolio Activity Acquisitions $50 - $150 M $50 - $150 M Re / New Development $125 - $175 M $125 - $175 M Dispositions $200 - $400 M $300 - $550 M Operating Information Same Property Net Operating Income with redevelopments +2.5% to +3.5% +2.5% to +3.5% Same Property Net Operating Income without redevelopments +2.0% to +3.0% +2.0% to +3.0%
Denotes change to guidance
Core FFO* Stock Price (as of 11/6/17)
*Midpoint of 2017 Guidance **Previously stated Guidance
$5.91 $3.68 $1.13 $2.41 $1.52 $1.04 $2.07 $1.14** $126.92 $64.24 $18.49 $31.51 $18.62 $12.50 $17.57 $7.89
Vision and Guidance
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Hilltop Village Center Alexandria, VA
Images from The Palms at Town & Country, Miami, FL