Investor Presentation
March 2019
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Investor Presentation March 2019 (c) 2019 PulteGroup 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Investor Presentation March 2019 (c) 2019 PulteGroup 1 Forward-Looking Statements This presentation includes "forward-looking statements." These statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could
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This presentation includes "forward-looking statements." These statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause our actual results, performance, prospects or opportunities, as well as those of the markets we serve or intend to serve, to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these statements. You can identify these statements by the fact that they do not relate to matters of a strictly factual or historical nature and generally discuss or relate to forecasts, estimates or other expectations regarding future events. Generally, the words “believe,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “project,” “may,” “can,” “could,” “might,” "should", “will” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, including statements related to any impairment charge and the impacts or effects thereof, expected operating and performing results, planned transactions, planned objectives of management, future developments or conditions in the industries in which we participate and other trends, developments and uncertainties that may affect our business in the future. Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, among other things: interest rate changes and the availability of mortgage financing; competition within the industries in which we operate; the availability and cost of land and other raw materials used by us in our homebuilding operations; the impact of any changes to our strategy in responding to the cyclical nature of the industry, including any changes regarding our land positions and the levels of our land spend; the availability and cost of insurance covering risks associated with
governmental regulation directed at or affecting the housing market, the homebuilding industry or construction activities; uncertainty in the mortgage lending industry, including revisions to underwriting standards and repurchase requirements associated with the sale of mortgage loans; the interpretation of or changes to tax, labor and environmental laws, including, but not limited to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act which could have a greater impact on our effective tax rate or the value of our deferred tax assets than we anticipate; economic changes nationally
in general; legal or regulatory proceedings or claims; our ability to generate sufficient cash flow in order to successfully implement our capital allocation priorities; required accounting changes; terrorist acts and other acts of war; and other factors of national, regional and global scale, including those of a political, economic, business and competitive nature. See PulteGroup's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2018, and other public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") for a further discussion of these and other risks and uncertainties applicable to our businesses. PulteGroup undertakes no duty to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or changes in PulteGroup's expectations.
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17,196 17,127 19,951 21,052 23,107
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
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Northeast 7% Southeast 18% Florida 21% Midwest 16% Texas 18% West 20%
Northeast 8% Southeast 18% Florida 19% Midwest 15% Texas 13% West 27%
Northeast 6% Southeast 19% Florida 23% Midwest 15% Texas 17% West 20%
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Under $250K 12% $250K - $299K 14% $300k - $399K 30% $400K - $499K 19% $500K & above 25%
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Brian Anderson* Former CFO, OfficeMax (2005) Richard Dreiling* Former Chairman and CEO, Dollar General (2015) Bryce Blair* Former Chairman and CEO, AvalonBay Communities (2011) Thomas Folliard* Former Chairman, CarMax (2012) Cheryl Grise* Former EVP, Northeast Utilities (2008) Ryan Marshall President & CEO, PulteGroup (2016) Andre Hawaux* Former EVP & COO, Dick’s Sporting Goods (2013) John Peshkin* Founder & Managing Partner, Vanguard Land, former North American CEO & Pres.Taylor Woodrow plc. (2016) Scott Powers* Former President & CEO, State Street Global Advisors (2016) Lila Snyder* EVP & President, Commerce Services, Pitney Bowes (2018) William Pulte* CEO, Pulte Capital Partners (2016)
* Independent Director
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000 125,000 150,000 175,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Owned Optioned Years Owned 40% 37%
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000
Years of Owned Lots 3.1 10+ First Time Move Up Active Adult Del Webb Legacy*
(as of 12/31/18)
* Multi‐thousand unit Del Webb communities established prior to 2005. 26% 31% 31% 74% 69% 69% 63% 60%
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28% 29% 31% 33% 34% 35% 33% 32% 38% 36% 35% 35%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
2015 2016 2017 2018
First Time Move Up Active Adult
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20% 43% 58% 67% 77% 81%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
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0.82 0.83 0.87 0.98
0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 2015 2016 2017 2018
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$246 $434 $600 $910 $295 $76 $116 $125 $113 $104 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Share Repurchases ($ millions) Dividends ($ millions)
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200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 TTM 11/18 50 Year Average
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018
6 months of supply typically viewed as a healthy market
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
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0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19
15 Year FRM (%) 30 Year FRM (%)
Source: MBA
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95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18
Unemployment rate Number of employees (M)
$650 $675 $700 $725 $750 $775 $800 $825 $850 $875 $900 $925 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 Qtr1 Qtr2 Qtr3 Qtr4
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
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1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 1952 1964 1976 1988 2000 2012 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 Boomers Gen X Millennials Gen Z
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
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$150,000 $170,000 $190,000 $210,000 $230,000 $250,000 $270,000 $290,000 $310,000 $330,000 $350,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Median New Price (NSA, 12mo ave) Median Single Family Price (NSA, 12mo ave)
Sources: NAR; U.S. Census Bureau; John Burns Real Estate Consulting, LLC (Data: Nov-18, updated quarterly†)
3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.0 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 15 Year FRM (%) 30 Year FRM (%)
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0% 4% 8% 12% 16%
1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018
Burns Home Value Index YOY % Income YOY %
Sources: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, LLC; Census Bureau; Moody's Analytics (Data: Jan-
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