Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014 Dr. Nicolas Antony Valcik, Director Dr. Kimberly Scruton, Professor Office of Institutional Research of Business Management West Virginia University Dean


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  • Dr. Kimberly Scruton, Professor
  • f Business Management

Dean Business Administration, Marketing, and Management Methodist University

Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

  • Dr. Nicolas Antony Valcik, Director

Office of Institutional Research West Virginia University

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

August 19, 2015

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

The authors would like to extend our thanks for all of the support given to us by the personnel at the Kentucky Campus Compact, Berea College, the Kentucky Higher Education Assistance Authority, and the Kentucky Department of Education Office of Career and Technical Education in compiling data when we requested it and putting the information in a usable format. The authors would also like to thank the Kentucky College Coach program participants who were interviewed for this project, who took time and effort out of their schedules to provide the authors with valuable qualitative information. The authors were impressed by the professionalism of all of the administrators of the Kentucky College Coach program. Without the support of all of these individuals, performing an accurate assessment of the Kentucky College Coach program would not have been possible. AmeriCorps funded this external assessment.

Acknowledgements

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

This assessment is to determine the state of the KCC program as well as delve deeper into characteristics that make the program successful with the “ignored cohort” that the evaluators discussed in the last assessment report. To restate the purpose of this assessment, the program evaluators were contracted through the Kentucky Campus Compact (paid by AmeriCorps) to provide an evaluation of the KCC program and to assess whether the KCC program has been effective in achieving its three main program goals:

  • 1. To increase the number of Kentucky high school students graduating from high school;
  • 2. To increase the number of Kentucky high school graduates choosing to pursue postsecondary education;
  • 3. To help build a college-going culture among Kentucky high school students.

Introduction and Purpose

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

The evaluation of the first two goals uses Quantitative data from KCC and KHEAA. 1) First goal measured: Increasing high school graduation rates 2) Second goal measured: The rate of high school students going to postsecondary education

Introduction and Purpose (Continued)

The evaluation of the third goal uses quantitative and qualitative data collected from a variety of sources. 3) Third goal measured: Building of a college-going culture in the Commonwealth of Kentucky. The data collected and provided has allowed the program evaluators to determine the effectiveness and impact of the KCC program.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

Organization and Structure of the KCC Program

Kentucky Campus Compact (KCC) Berea College (2011 – 2014) Office of Career and Technical Education (OCTE) (2011 – 2013) Kentucky Higher Education Assistance Authority (KHEAA)

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

Research Design and Methodology

1) Qualitative Methodology 2) Quantitative Methodology 3) Spatial Data Analysis – Added for the 2012 – 2014 Evaluation 4) Site Visits – Added for the 2012 – 2014 Evaluation

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

The empirical portion of this study uses a quasi-experimental design to estimate the causal impact of the KCC intervention

  • n the target population because random assignment of the population was not available.
  • The population consisted specifically of high school students.
  • The “core” group students represent the experimental group in each high school individually coached/mentored by the

programs.

  • The non-core group students did not receive any individual coaching or intervention services.
  • A control group was used to provide valid measurements to which the results of the KCC program could be compared.
  • This data was also used for the Geospatial Analysis for this study.

Quantitative Data – Information Provided by AmeriCorps and KHEAA

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

Quantitative Statistical Tests Used in the Evaluation

  • Analyses of Variance (ANOVA) and t-tests were used to compare differences in means for statistical significance and to

determine comparability of the program and control group.

  • Chi-square statistics were used to evaluate the success of the program by analyzing the enrollment status in college of

the KCC program and comparison group during the follow-up school year.

  • The study also further categorized the students by the three different administering agencies — Berea College, KHEAA

and ATC’s — and compared the results, since the main goal of this study was to capture as much detail as possible about the program and its participants.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

Quantitative Statistical Tests Used in the Evaluation ( Continued)

  • In order to estimate the effect of the KCC program on students’ academic achievement as measured by GPA, a

regression analysis was applied.

  • Through the use of this approach, it was determined that the KCC program had a positive impact upon high school

students graduating from targeted high schools during the 2012-2014 school years after controlling for confounding variables.

  • Statistical significance was assessed at the 5% level of significance (p-value < 0.05).
  • All analyses were performed using IBM SPSS statistics version 20.
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  • A population of 1,705 students participated in this study from 29 schools.
  • Overall, 1,194 students received either individual or group mentoring.
  • There were 1,073 female (62.9%) and 632 male (37.1%).
  • Of the 1,194 students who received either group or individualized

mentoring 63.7% were female and 36.3% were male.

  • A total of 511 students did not receive any mentoring.

Of those, 61.3% were female and 38.7% were male.

Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

Results of Analysis

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Ethnicity Breakdown of Total Population

  • 80.8% of the students are White/Caucasian
  • 17.2% are Black or African American
  • 1.1% are Asian
  • 0.8% are American Indian
  • 0.1% are Pacific Islander/Native Hawaiian.
  • 3.8% identified themselves as being of Hispanic or Latino origin or descent.
  • Of those who were mentored, the majority was white (79.6%).
  • The remaining were either black/African American (17.9%), or Asian, American

Indian and Pacific Islander/Native Hawaiian (2.5%).

  • Of those who were not mentored, 83.7% of the participants were white and 15.5%

were black, while the remaining 0.8% were Asian, American Indian and Pacific Islander/Native Hawaiian.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Results of Analysis ( Continued)

FRPL (free- and reduced-price lunch program) 87.9% of the mentored students also participated in free-and reduced- price lunch program (FRPL), while 80.4% of non-mentored students participated in FRPL program.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Mother’s Education

  • 38.2% of mothers have a high school education and/or GED graduate
  • 15.5% have attended college but did not graduate
  • 8.5% have attended high school but did not graduate
  • 10.8% have an associate’s degree
  • 3.3% of mothers have less than a high school education
  • 6.4% have just a post-secondary certificate or technical diploma
  • 3.9% have up to an baccalaureate degree
  • 2.2% have obtained a master’s degree or higher
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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Father’s Education

  • 38.1% have a high school education and/or GED
  • 9.3% have attended college but did not graduate
  • 9.3% have attended high school but did not graduate
  • 5.3% have post secondary certificate or technical diploma
  • 2.9% of fathers have an Associate's degree
  • 2.6 % have up to a baccalaureate degree
  • 1.6% have obtained a master’s degree or higher
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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Social Living Arrangement for Students

  • 42% of the students are living with both parents, either biological or adoptive
  • 39% of the students live in an only-mother household
  • 9.1% of the students live with their father.
  • 10% of the students were found to live in a variety of other arrangements.
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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Individualized Mentoring

  • In 2014, 6,687 individuals were mentored as compared to 11,479 individuals who were mentored last year, a decline of

41.7%.

  • In 2014, children of parents in prison comprise only 2.27% of mentored, down from 3.14% in 2013.
  • According to the results, individuals attached with independent living services decreased during 2014. In 2014, they

comprise only 0.79% as compared to 4.54% previous year.

  • Disadvantaged children participation saw a decline of 7.7%, from 7,587 children in 2013 to 7,004 in 2014.
  • In 2013, only seven individuals reported that they have assisted disaster prep/recovery as compared to only one

individual in 2014. Furthermore, only two individuals had responded to local disasters in 2013 as compared to none in 2014.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Individualized/Group Mentoring and Persistence to Enroll

  • The chi-square statistics (X2(1) = 123.6, p = 0.00), shows that student’s persistence to enroll in the college was

dependent on the individualized mentoring.

  • The results indicate that the percentage of individually mentored students enrolled in college (36.7%) is higher

than that of not individually mentored (12.9%).

  • There was a significant difference in the time spent individually with a mentor between students who applied for

the college and those who did not, t(605.506) = 4.084, p = 0.000.

  • According to the results, students who met with a mentor in a group were more likely to apply to college

(28.3%) than students who did not meet with a mentor in a group (24.1%).

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Effect of Individualized Mentoring on Student’s Success

  • Effective mentoring appears to serve as a catalyst for persistence, which creates a cascade effect toward student

success.

  • Student success for this study is to increase students’ college-going rates as well as the ability to get accepted to

college.

  • 35.1% of the students who received individualized mentoring had successful college application as opposed to only

12.4% students who did not receive individualized mentoring.

  • Statistics obtained from the independent sample t-test confirm that students with successful application received a

significantly greater individualized mentoring time (M = 8.21, SD=20.96) than students with unsuccessful application (M = 3.77, SD=14.42), t(563.085) = 4.058, P = 0.00 < 0.001. These results suggest that students receiving more individualized mentoring are more likely to have successful college application.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Effect of Group Mentoring on Student’s Success

  • According to the results, 27.6% of the students who received group mentoring had successful college application as
  • pposed to 22.7% students who did not receive group mentoring.
  • Statistics obtained from the independent sample t-test confirm that students having successful application also

received a significantly greater group mentoring time (M = 3.21, SD=6.05) than students with unsuccessful college application (M = 2.13, SD=4.40), t(579.899) = 3.391, P = 0.00 < 0.001.

  • These numbers suggest that students receiving more time during group mentoring are significantly more likely to have

successful college application.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Postsecondary Enrollment Seniors 2013 N Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Summer 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Summer 2015 Coached (38 Schools) 866 582 529 71 456 407 54 100% 67.2% 61.1% 8.2% 52.7% 47% 6.2% Non- Coached 6,365 3,491 3,225 585 2,904 2,604 412 100% 54.8% 50.7% 9.2% 45.6% 40.9% 6.5% 12.4% 10.4%

  • 1.0%

7.0% 6.1%

  • 0.2%
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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Postsecondary Enrollment Seniors 2014 N Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Summer 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Summer 2015 Coached (38 Schools) 448

  • 12

294 246 26 100%

  • 2.7%

65.6% 54.9% 5.8% Non- Coached 4,938

  • 135

2,729 2,481 361 100%

  • 2.7%

55.3% 50.2% 7.3%

  • 0.1%

10.4% 4.7%

  • 1.5%
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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Results of Analysis ( Continued)

Geospatial Analysis

  • A Geospatial Analysis was undertaken using Geospatial Information Systems (GIS) on all cohorts that were high school

seniors from 2012 to 2014.

  • The students in the KCC program were mapped according to zip code and compared to non-KCC program students in the

same zip code in order to see if there were any patterns within the data that could not be seen by a traditional data analysis methodology.

  • All data was collected from KHEAA and the analysis was used with ESRI software ArcGIS 10.2.1.
  • The KCC program has both gained and lost coverage geographically throughout the Commonwealth from 2012 to 2014.
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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Results of Analysis ( Continued)

In this GIS Map, Non-College Coached students throughout the state are clustered in densely populated in zip codes of major metropolitan areas (e.g. Frankfort). In comparison, KCC students for 2012 are served in both rural and urban communities.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

AmeriCorps funds paid for this assessment and report.

In this GIS map, KCC students for 2012 are served in both rural and urban communities.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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  • In this GIS map in terms of percent,

there are a few zip code areas of KCC students that did not have many going to college after their senior year in high school.

  • Most KCC students in the majority of

zip codes were over 60% that ended up attending college.

  • The KCC students in Western part of

the Commonwealth in particular appeared to benefit from the program since all but a couple of zip codes were over 20% with the majority of zip codes showing a 61% to 100% college attendance rate.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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  • As can be seen in this GIS Map, the

number of communities sending their children to college is higher if their children are participating in the KCC program.

  • This also does not account for students in

the KCC program that in fact went successfully into a technical or vocational trade after high school, which is also a goal of the program.

  • This aspect of the KCC program was lost in

2014 with the non-participation of the ATC schools for that year.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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In the 2013 GIS Maps, the population of KCC program students have shifted completely away from the Western part

  • f the Commonwealth in 2013 to more

Eastern zip codes of the

  • Commonwealth. Very few zip codes

throughout the Commonwealth had between 0% to 20% college attending rates from KCC program students, which would suggest that areas of the Commonwealth that received KCC programs benefited from the positive intervention.

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  • Very few zip codes throughout the

Commonwealth had between 0% to 20% college attending rates from KCC program students, which would suggest that areas of the Commonwealth that received KCC programs benefited from the positive intervention.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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  • This GIS map shows overall that KCC

students have an increased percentage chance of going to college over non- college coached students.

  • The researchers did not have data

available to tie in house hold income by zip code to perform a more definitive analysis to see if potential affluence of a student could be correlated to whether or not a student was more likely to go to college.

  • Based on the 2012 information, this would

be an area that should be explored further in future studies.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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  • In next four GIS maps for 2014, one can see

how the program geographically has shifted from away from the Southern and Eastern parts of the Commonwealth presumably due to the discontinuation of the OCTE’s with the KCC program.

  • This leaves large areas of the

Commonwealth barren of participation in the KCC program for the 2014 year.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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  • As can be seen in GIS maps for the KCC

program, the KCC program for 2014 does not have any activity in most of the Southern and Western parts of the Commonwealth.

  • With the ATC schools not being funded for

the KCC program, this clearly leaves large parts of the Commonwealth barren of students being advantage by such a program.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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  • As can be seen in GIS map,

most of the zip code areas that had a college coaching program where students participated had percentages that were over 40% for their college attendance rates.

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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  • The KCC program staff and

coordinators should investigate why rates were under 60% in those areas of the Commonwealth that participated in the KCC program in 2012 to 2014.

  • In GIS map, the college-going rate

by percentage favors the KCC students over the non-college coached students

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Investing in the Future: Evaluating the Kentucky College Coaching Program 2012-2014

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Financial Breakdown of KCC Coach Program – 2012 -2013

2012 – 2013 Berea College (12 Schools) KHEAA (30 Schools – plus 6 OTCE Schools) KCC Program Oversight Average $ Per student cost for coaches (2012 - 2013 financial data and number of schools) $359.45 (527 students for 12 schools in 2012 – 2013) $196.63 (2,004 students for 36 schools in 2012 - 2013) Not Applicable $ Per school cost for coaches (Less administrative costs included coaches’ training) $17,221 $14,594.44 $130,830 Scale up costs (Approximate estimate per school per administrative agency) $0 $15,683.33 N/A Administrative costs (fixed costs) $0 $29,400 $175,070 $ Per sponsor (Less administrative costs includes coaches training) $189,432 $394,050 (Murray State University subsidized 1 KHEAA school) $116,428 Total costs per administrative agency $189,432 $423,450 $305,900

Table 50

Financial Analysis – Costs of Coaches per High School and Student

  • Overall, the annual budget, which is between $734,427 (FY2014 did

not have ATC’s participating) and $918,782 (FY2013) to operate the three entities, is consistent from the previous year’s evaluation report.

  • It is not possible to determine a return on investment in terms of

dollars earned since the program is still very new and cohorts have not had time to graduate from college, much less enter the workforce.

  • Over time, gathering information on students that have gone through

the college coaching program and entered the workforce should allow for a calculation of a return on investment.

  • To expand the program, if the Commonwealth of Kentucky so desires,

it will be necessary to grow the program by including additional high schools, which at some point will require an increase in administrative costs to provide proper oversight of the program without

  • verwhelming existing personnel.
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Financial Analysis – Costs of Coaches per High School and Student

(Continued)

Financial Breakdown of KCC Coach Program – 2013 - 2014

2013 – 2014 Berea College (5 Schools) KHEAA (30 Schools plus 2 OTCE schools) KCC Program Oversight Average $ Per student cost for coaches (2013 - 2014 financial data and number of schools) $147.11 (320 students for 5 schools in 2013 -2014) $76.93 (5,504 students for 32 schools in 2013 - 2014) Not Applicable $ Per school cost for coaches (Less administrative costs included coaches’ training) $15,692.66 $14,115 $61,102 Scale up costs (Approximate estimate per school per administrative agency for coaches only) $0 $0 N/A Administrative costs (fixed costs) $0 $0 $202,797 $ Per sponsor (Less administrative costs includes coaches training) $47,078 $423,450 $0 Total costs per administrative agency $47,078 $423,450 $263,899

Table 51

  • As seen in Table 50 (2012 – 2013) and Table 51 (2013 – 2014) is the

difference in cost per student for each of the administrative

  • agencies. In 2012 – 2013, Berea College costs per student averaged

$359.45 while KHEAA averaged $196.63 per student.

  • In 2013 – 2014, Berea College costs per student averaged $147.11

while KHEAA averaged $76.93 per student.

  • These differences may be more attributable to the scale of the

KHEAA involvement in the KCC program rather than any implication that the KHEAA program appears to be more economical.

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Discussion Points on the Three Goals Set Forth for the KCC Program to Accomplish

  • In last year’s assessment of the KCC program, the evaluators determined that the KCC program did make a positive difference

between students that were in the program versus students who did not participate in the program.

  • While the KCC program was initially envisioned to assist high school students in Kentucky graduate, be admitted into college at a

higher rate and create a “college-going culture” in Kentucky, the program has actually accomplished more than the original goals intended.

  • Essentially, the KCC program has also assisted in the professional development of college coaches who graduate from

undergraduate and graduate programs in Kentucky, which impacts Kentucky residents after postsecondary education.

  • Qualitative data shows new graduates in the KCC program are working with students and families outside the core student

group, providing them with assistance within the rules, which permit them to do so.

  • Two other points of discussion with policy makers are: Is the program worth expanding to all high schools, and should the

program be funded by the state should federal funding become unavailable? Based on the evidence that the program evaluators have collected and analyzed, the KCC program is scalable and should be successful if administered and implemented in a very controlled manner.

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Conclusion

  • The KCC coaches program has already had great success in attaining its goals and making a difference in the

Commonwealth of Kentucky.

  • The evaluators would highly recommend that OTCE recommit to the KCC college coaches program, which would

increase the number of schools hosting college coaches.

  • The evaluators believe that the KCC college coaches program is reproducible in other states and regions outside of the

Commonwealth of Kentucky, which bodes well for the overall future of the program.

  • The assessment did reveal that the diffusion of a college going culture is ongoing and is disseminating throughout

surrounding communities, which is a very positive sign. Parental statements such as, “Enjoy your senior year, it’s the best year of your life” can cause high school seniors to delay applying to college and entering in the following fall semester, which creates a gap of continuous attendance in a school environment. Changing the perception of parents that have not pursued an education after high school will take generations of college coaches to alter within the Commonwealth of Kentucky. Without programs such as the KCC college coaches program, the chance of altering the perception of those parents is very low.

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  • Students who are mentored are significantly more likely to apply and get admission in the college of their choice. The amount of time that mentors and

students spent together in a relationship, either individually or in a group, was also related to an increase in students’ enrollment and successful college application.

  • The percentage of individually mentored students enrolled in college (36.7%) is higher than the percentage of those not individually mentored (12.9%).
  • 35.1% of the students who received individualized mentoring applied successfully to college as opposed to only 12.4% of students who did not receive

individualized mentoring.

  • Students who met with a mentor in a group were more likely to apply to college (28.3%) than students who did not meet with a mentor in a group (24.1%).
  • 27.6% of the students who received any group mentoring applied successfully to college as opposed to 22.7% of the students who did not receive group

mentoring.

  • The amount of time that mentors and student spent together in a relationship, either individually or in a group, was also related to increase in students’

enrollment and successful college application.

  • For each one-hour increase in average time spent with a mentor individually, the odds of having successful application increase by 84.8% when all other

variables are held at constant.

Conclusion

(Continued)

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Questions?

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End of Presentation