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Investing in Staffords Future: Creating a Journey of Excellence for All Stafford County Public Schools Fiscal Year 2019-2020 Proposed Operational Budget January 29, 2019 Presented by Scott Kizner, Ph.D. 1 Goals and Priorities 2 School


  1. Investing in Stafford’s Future: Creating a Journey of Excellence for All Stafford County Public Schools Fiscal Year 2019-2020 Proposed Operational Budget January 29, 2019 Presented by Scott Kizner, Ph.D. 1

  2. Goals and Priorities 2

  3. School Board Budget Goals and Priorities Organizational Standardize Equity and Student Efficiency and Funding Opportunity Achievement Effectiveness Streams Attract, Develop and Community Retain and Family School Safety Exceptional Engagement Professionals 3

  4. Superintendent’s Budget Expectations Staff Compensation Attract, Retain and Develop the SCPS Workforce Promote a Positive Learning Experience for Each Child Ensure Equity and Excellence Expand Learning Opportunities 4

  5. Additional Objectives Address Growth Close Achievement Gaps Meet Required Needs of Children with Disabilities Anticipated Cost Neutral Reorganization Strengthen Administrative Building Support Support Staffing Initiatives 5

  6. The focus is on the academic, social, and emotional needs of all children 6

  7. State of the Division 7

  8. Quality Academics • Fully accredited with on-time graduation and drop out rates are better than the state average. • K-12 Improvement Model with Measurable Goals • Students earned over 4,000 CTE Industry credentials Dedicated Professionals • State Teacher of the Year Finalist • Washington Post Principal of the Year Finalist 8

  9. Keeping Technology Looking Safety a Leader forward Summer Priority Leadership Threat assessment Computer upgrades Academy focused training on diversity awareness Cybersecurity and Geospatial Risk management Technology excellence award Programs Chromebook initiative 9

  10. Average Daily Membership (K-12) 30,000 29,000 29,351 28,934 28,487 28,000 27,000 26,000 25,000 24,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019* 2020* *Projected 10

  11. Teacher Scale Comparison - Prince William & Spotsylvania $120,000 $110,000 $100,000 Base Teacher Salary $90,000 $80,000 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Years of Experience PWC Spotsy AVG Stafford Pr. William Spotsy 11

  12. Where Teachers Went Spotsylvania Prince William Manassas Loudoun King George Fredericksburg Fauquier Fairfax Culpeper Caroline Alexandria Arlington 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2017-2018 2016-2017 12

  13. Top Two Places Teachers Went Spotsylvania Prince William 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2017-2018 2016-2017 13

  14. Student Teacher Ratios 12.31 State Average 8th-12th 13.08 K-7th 10.78 Fauquier 12.05 12.69 Fairfax 12.41 17.88 Prince William 15.4 14.27 Spotsylvania 14.54 12.13 Stafford 16.45 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 14

  15. Per Pupil Expenditures for Operations $16,000.00 $15,000.00 $14,000.00 $13,000.00 State average: $12,000.00 $12,171 State median: $11,000.00 $11,274 $10,000.00 $9,000.00 $10,533 $10,873 $11,536 $14,897 $12,567 $8,000.00 Stafford Spotsylvania Prince William Fairfax Fauquier 15

  16. Out of 133 school divisions in Virginia, Stafford ranks 95 th in per pupil expenditures. 16

  17. Bus Driver Hourly Rates Spotsylvania $15.91 $18.63 Prince William $15.01 Stafford $0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 17

  18. Bus Driver Salaries At 6.5 hours a day, 183 days a year, the annual salary for a beginning bus driver in Stafford would be $17,854.40. In Spotsylvania it would be $18,924.95. In Prince William it would be $22,160.39. 18

  19. Students with Disabilities 4000 14.00% 3500 12.00% 3541 3303 3000 10.00% 2964 2788 2500 2669 2578 2560 8.00% 2000 6.00% 1500 4.00% 1000 2.00% 500 0 0.00% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total Students with Disabilities Percent of Student Population 19

  20. Autism Emotional Disability 500 220 450 200 400 180 350 160 300 140 250 120 200 100 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* Other Health Impairment Specific Learning Disability 950 900 900 800 700 850 600 800 500 750 400 300 700 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* 20 Student Enrollment Data for Division is the local Membership Report from November 26. 2018 *

  21. School Funding Context 21

  22. Average VA Salary - All Instructional Positions* $70,000 Instructional Pay $57,766 $60,000 $53,581 Increases Have $50,000 Slowed Considerably: $42,788 $40,000 Average instructional pay $30,000 would have been $62,000 in 2017 if grown at the rate of VA $20,000 wage inflation since FY2009. $10,000 $0 2002 2009 2017 Source: Superintendent’s Annual Report. * All instructional positions include classroom teachers, guidance counselors, librarians, principals, and assistant principals. 22 Jim Regimbal- Fiscal Analytics- VASS/VSBO Conference January 7, 2019 22 22 22 22 22

  23. K-12 Education Funding Summary and Needs State e Actions: From FY 2001 through FY 2019 state general fund appropriations for K-12 education have grown at a compound annual rate of 2.6 percent versus 3.0 percent growth in total general funds. State cuts in K-12 from FY 2010 have yet to be restored. Since FY 2009, the K-12 appropriation has dropped from 35.2 percent of total GF appropriations to 29.9 percent in FY 2019. In addition, inflation-adjusted (2005 $) average per pupil state funding has dropped nine percent from $4,692 in FY 2009 to $4,266 in FY 2019. From FY 2009 to FY 2017, average instructional pay in Virginia has grown less than the rate of inflation – from $53,581 to $57,766. If instructional pay had grown at the rate of the consumer price index (CPI), average pay would have been $62,000 in FY 2017. 23 Jim Regimbal- Fiscal Analytics- VASS/VSBO Conference January 7, 2019 23 23 23 23

  24. K-12 Education Funding Summary and Needs Loc ocal R Reaction ons: • Most locality revenue sources have not kept pace with inflation and population growth, despite median real property tax rates increasing 17 cents for cities and 12 cents for counties since FY 2009. • As a result of the slower growth in state K-12 funding, local funding for K-12 operations has increased from 52.0 percent (FY 2009) to 55.3 percent (FY 2017) of total state-local expenditures (DOE Superintendents Annual Report). • Localities also borrowed $2.6 billion for school construction, additions, and renovations from 2013-2017. Direct state grants for capital improvements have not been available since FY 2010. Literary fund loans to school divisions have also been minimal since the recession. 24 Jim Regimbal- Fiscal Analytics- VASS/VSBO Conference January 7, 2019 24 24 24 24

  25. State Standards of Quality Do Not Reflect True Costs for Local K-12 Divisions • Only 136,000 out of 200,000 K-12 positions (68 percent) employed by local school divisions are recognized by the SOQ; many support positions and other support costs were de-funded after 2009. • Raising teacher salaries from 29 th ( JLARC 2017 ) to the national average and funding prevailing support costs requires an additional $750 million GF/year. Source: https://rga.lis.virginia.gov/Published/2018/RD43/PDF 25 Jim Regimbal- Fiscal Analytics- VASS/VSBO Conference January 7, 2019 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25

  26. State Standards of Quality Do Not Reflect True Costs for Local K-12 Divisions Localities on average spend about double, or $4.0 billion beyond state requirements to meet SOL and SOA requirement in FY 2017. All 134 local school divisions exceeded Required Local Effort (RLE) in FY 2017. Divisions up to 25% Above RLE 15 Divisions Exceeding 25% to 75% 47 Divisions Exceeding 76% to 100% 27 Divisions Exceeding 100% RLE 46 Source: https://rga.lis.virginia.gov/Published/2018/RD43/PDF 26 Jim Regimbal- Fiscal Analytics- VASS/VSBO Conference January 7, 2019 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26

  27. Major Spending Choices in the Introduced State Budget K-12 Education: $230 mil. increase in direct aid K-12 funding (including $70 mil. in new lottery funding) - $87.6 mil. to increase teacher salaries by 2% (to 5%) July 1, 2019 - $80 mil. to the Literary Fund for school construction loans - $36 mil. for school counselors to begin phase-in from 1:500 to 1:250 - $35 mil. to increase At-risk Add-on from 14% to 16% max. (Lottery) - $35 mil. for additional Lottery Supplement (Lottery) - $14.4 mil. in additional internet sales tax revenue and $10.9 mil. in revised sales tax forecast. - $9.7 mil. to continue VPI+ program without federal funds - Save GF by revising enrollments down: overall students - $55.2; Special Education Regional Tuition - $12.5 mil.; and Remedial Summer and ESL - $6.1 mil. 27 Jim Regimbal- Fiscal Analytics- VASS/VSBO Conference January 7, 2019 27 27 27

  28. State Funding Represents a Larger Share of the Budget $180,000,000 57.0% 56.4% $160,000,000 55.8% 56.0% $140,000,000 55.2% $120,000,000 55.0% 54.1% 54.1% $100,000,000 54.0% 54.0% 54.0% $80,000,000 53.1% 53.0% $60,000,000 53.0% $40,000,000 52.0% $20,000,000 $- 51.0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 State Funds % of Budget 28

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