Institutional Presentation September/2012 Overview of Brazils - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Institutional Presentation September/2012 Overview of Brazils - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Institutional Presentation September/2012 Overview of Brazils education sector 1. Most of students are in 3. Most of students are 5. Distance Learning is Private Institutions women gaining share 15% DL 26% Public 43% 43% Homem 57%
Overview of Brazil’s education sector
- 6. Distance Learning students
are older 2
- 4. Less than half of students
graduate
- 2. Private institutions students
study at the night period (working adult)
27% Others 73% Night 46% Graduate 54% Leave the Course
- 5. Distance Learning is
gaining share 15% DL 85% On-Campus
DL Penetration rate: 17%
15% DL
DL Student On-Campus Student
29 years old 21 years old
1) Source: Censo MEC/INEP. 2)Source: UOL/MEC/INEP
26% Public 74% Private
- 1. Most of students are in
Private Institutions
- 3. Most of students are
women 43% Homem 57% Mulher
- 7. North and Northeast
regions increased more than the national average between 2001 and 2010 43% Men 57% Women
3
2,7 3,0 3,5 3,9 4,2 4,6 4,9 5,3 5,8 6,0 6,4 0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 7,0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Total Students in Postsecondary Education (in millions)
CAGR 11% CAGR 7%
Total projected for 2012(1) : 7.3 million students
2008/2009 Growth: 4% 2009/2010 Growth : 7%
FIES First Impacts
Students in Public Schools : 1,643,298 (26%) Students in Private Schools : 4,735,981 (74%) DL Students: 930,179 (15%) On-Campus Students: 5,449,120 (85%)
(1) Assuming 7% growth in 2011 and 2012
- Source: INEP-MEC
4
- Source: INEP-MEC
2 5 41 50 60 115 207 370 728 838 930 2,7 3,0 3,5 3,9 4,2 4,5 4,7 4,9 5,1 5,1 5,4
0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0
- 100
100 300 500 700 900 1.100 1.300 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Distance Learning vs. On-Campus Students in Postsecondary Education (in '000 and million)
CAGR 06-10: 4%
On-Campus
CAGR 06-10: 46%
Distance Learning
On-Campus - 2008/2009 Growth: 0% On-Campus - 2009/2010 Growth: 6%
FIES First Impacts
5
1 Enrollment rate = (Students in postsecondary education / total population from the age of 18 to 22 years).
35%
Brazilian government set a target in its National Education Plan (PNE) of a total enrollment rate1 of 50% by 2020 Total enrollment rate: students in postsecondary education / population from 18 to 22 years
Source: Unesco. 6
Percentage of population holding a postsecondary degree
Brazil grew by only 3 percentage points (from 9% to 12%) the number of postsecondary degree holders, while South Korea managed to grow by 52 percentage points (from 13% to 65%) in the same period
Source: Education at a Glance 2012: OECD Indicators
7
Brazil has the highest index in relative earnings from employment among 25-64 year-olds, by level of educational attainment
Source: Education at a Glance 2012: OECD Indicators (Relative earnings from employment among 25-64 year-olds, by level of educational attainment)
8
Pent-up demand
31.8 million people 25 to 34 years old
(highest probability of returning to school) 16 million people concluded secondary education (50%) 3.5 million attained a post- secondary degree (11%) 12.5 million potential enrollments in postsecondary education Today there are 12.5 million people aged 25- 34 who concluded secondary education but did not enter postsecondary education
Each year 2 million students are in their last
year of secondary education(1) Focus: Distance Learning Focus: On-Campus Learning Recurring demand
(1)Source: Census MEC / INEP 2010.
Source: Professor Maurício Garcia’s analysis presented in the IV Brazilian Congress of Private Education (May 2011). 9
Student loans subsidized by federal government Over 0.5 million students Private institutions offer seats at discounted prices in exchange for tax subsidies Over 1 million students
Government strategies to expand Postsecondary Education
Public Institutions
Free for student 100% subsidized by state High quality High cost per student
Private Institutions
Paid by student Cost per student significantly
lower than at public institutions
Inaccessible for part of population
10
11
Interest of 3.4% p.a. Economically viable for Class C 18-month grace period after graduation Payment term over 3x program duration, starting after grace
period
4 years (48 months) Program Length 11/2 years (18 months) Grace Period 13 years (156 months) Pay back
Product
Eligibility Criteria
Costs and PDA Kroton’s Base
R$ 14.41 per month R$ 16.67 per month R$ 204.89 per month
January 2011 Beginning August 2029 End July 2016 End of Grace Period January 2015 Graduation
Note: (1) Considering courses with an average ticket of R$ 500.00. The Law states that financed monthly tuition must be 20% higher than per capita family income. (2) Amount equivalent to 1.5 minimum wage. (3) To finance 50 to 100% - maximum gross family income between 10 to 20 minimum wage
11
Conditions
Example of a 4-year program and R$500 monthly tuition
FIES Structure
With Co-signer Without Co-signer Guarantor Fund Maximum monthly income of R$ 2,500¹
per family member
Maximum monthly income of R$ 8182
per family member
~2.0% of Net Revenues
Kroton shares 15% of collections losses
5.6% on Revenues
Contribution to Guarantor Fund
65% of Contracts 35% of Contracts
Higher Net Ticket Lower dropout Lower PDA Higher penetration x Higher turnover days
Higher value per student during the course…
+ R$/students received Duration
FIES Benefits Students without FIES ... and more students
12 11 10 09
+ Intake
2011
+183%
2012
+ Share in the current base
12
FIES Growth inside Kroton (thousands)
Number of students
13
Intakes Process - % FIES 5.5% 14.1% 27.6% 47.0% 65.8%
2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12 Aug/2012
4 14 20 43 53
1H10 1H11 2H11 1H12 Aug/12
23%
% Student Base 4.4% 18.2% 21.1% 33.9%
3%
97%
High Eligibility Quality
97% of all courses with satisfactory concepts are eligible to FIES
Why Kroton is the benchmark on FIES?
42.8%
Kroton’s position in Brazil’s education market
Kroton
496 cities
National Presence 3 Businesses Brands On-Campus
141,000 students
Distance Learning
271,000 students
K-12
289,000 students
Net Revenues 2012E
Uniasselvi
Campuses (#)
53
Distance Learning Centers(1) (#)
447
Nº of Students
(1)DLCs accredited by Ministry of Education
28% 61% 11% Distance Learning On-Campus K-12
15
Advent
Grupo IUNI R$ 420 M 45k students
Follow On Secondary Offering R$380 MM
FAMA R$ 24 M 5k students FAIS R$ 7 M 1,3k students UNOPAR R$1,300 M 162k students
(146k DL students)
Capital Increase Secondary Offering R$597 MM Debentures R$ 550 MM
UNIRONDON R$ 28 M 5,5k students
1 2 3 5 6
- 7 Acquisitions (3 transformational / 4 complementary)
- 98 new regions in Brazil (11 campi and 87 centers)
- 306 thousand new students - x9
- R$ 980 MM (equity) and R$ 550 MM (debt)
UNIASSELVI R$510 M 86 k students (76k DL students) UNIÃO R$ 8 M 1,5k students
7 4
May/2011 Mar/10 Jun/09 Jul//11 Nov/11 Dec/11 Apr/12 May/12
Market Consolidation Through Acquisitions
16
17
Jan/12
- 17 Work
Fronts
- 125 Projects
- 17 Work Fronts
- 89 Projects
Phase 1
Control, stability and enrollment
Phase 2
Organizational restructuring
Phase 3
Academic Model
Phase 4
Integration of systems and processes
Phase 1
Control, stability and enrollment
Phase 2
Organizational restructuring and systems
Phase 3
Academic Model
Phase 4
Integration of systems and processes
90-days Integration
Conclusion: March 2013 Conclusion: June 2013 Integration Concluded:
ERP Academic System and LMS Academic Model Jun/12 Dec/12 Jun/13
Concluded Ongoing
Mar/12 Sep/12 Mar/13
18
34% 66%
On-Campus Distance Learning
Students – 1H12
(Only Postsecondary Education)
62% 24% 14%
On-Campus Distance Learning K-12
Net Revenues – 1H12
47% 38% 15%
On-Campus Distance Learning K-12
Gross Income – 1H12
44% 42% 14%
On-Campus Distance Learning K-12
Operating Results – 1H12
- Total Students: 6.4 milllion
- Kroton Students: 128 k
95%
5%
98%
2%
75%
25%
Market Kroton
On-Campus Students Distance Learning Students
- Total Students: 1.0 million
- Kroton Students: 248 k
Market Kroton
Postsecondary Students
- Total Students: 7.3 million1
- Kroton Students: 376k
Market Kroton
- Source: 2010 Postsecondary Census, with growth of 7% in 2011/2010 and 7% in 2012/2011
19
Strategies
Market Consolidation Through Acquisitions Technology in Education Student Organic Growth Management Efficiency
- Improve the level of digitalization of
education (On-Campus and Distance Learning)
- Technology assisting quality
- Increase profitability from
current 25% to 30% of EBITDA Margin in 2016
- Scale gains, productivity
improvement and management
- ptimization
- Highly fragmented market: more
than 2,300 institutions
- Low level of professionalization
- Inefficient competition
- Strengthening of the distribution
channels’ contents through technology
- Growth of 10% to 15% of
students base per year.
- Main Drivers:
i) Funding (FIES) ii) Distance Learning
21
Market Consolidation Through Acquisitions Technology in Education Student Organic Growth Management Efficiency
- Improve the level of digitalization of
education (On-Campus and Distance Learning)
- Technology assisting quality
- Increase profitability from
current 25% to 30% of EBITDA Margin in 2016
- Scale gains, productivity
improvement and management
- ptimization
- Highly fragmented market: more
than 2,300 institutions
- Low level of professionalization
- Inefficient competition
- Strengthening of the distribution
channels’ contents through technology
- Growth of 10% to 15% of
students base per year.
- Main Drivers:
i) Funding (FIES) ii) Distance Learning
22
On-Campus 100% On-Campus with complementary activities via DL
121 thousand Students
On-Campus with 20% DL Minimum of 80% On-Campus and up to 20% DL
20 thousand Students
Uniasselvi DL (“Semi- presence”) 20% Telepresence and 80% DL Web Based
48 Centers
74 thousand Students Unopar DL (“Telepresence”) 20% Telepresence and 80% DL Web Based
399 Centers
172 thousand Students
* Data as of June/2012
Highly Complementary Business Models
100% DL Web Based 100% DL Web Based
600 Centers
22 thousand Students
( + ) Digital
On-Campus 100% On-Campus with On-Campus complementary activities
“Zero” Students
2009 2012
Regulatory: On-Campus Regulatory: Distance Learning
Technology in Education
23
2010 2011
...
- Turnaround
- Focus on Short Term
Results
- Budget
- Scope: 1 - 2 years
2012
2013 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
- Quinquenials Plans
- Planning
- Strategic Decision of
Teaching Digitalization
- Scope: 5 years
- Building the future
- Technology impacts in
the final activity
- Long term planning
24
25
Structure, Organization and Delivery Certification Content Socialization
With free content available, the value is how it is organized, structured and delivered. Trend to increase the free content
- available. The "value“ migrates
from the offering of content, to how the content is structured and the way is provided. The socialization experience generates value. This socialization
- ccurs in the classroom and in the
digital communication networks. Regulated markets have additional value.
KLS
1) Same product/service 2) Different deliveries: On-campus Semi-presence Tele-presence 100% web 3) Extensive use of technology
SP Semi-presence disciplines GRID Standard curricular structure PPI/PPC Standard educational projects SGP Test Management System BV Virtual Library MD KROTON Educational Material
Kroton Learning System project construction, with deliveries and interim reviews UNOPAR Academic Model KROTON Academic Model UNIASSELVI Academic Model
MARKET
Trends Best Practices
INOVATION
Blended learning Adaptative learning
PARTNERS
26
Market Consolidation Through Acquisitions Technology in Education Student Organic Growth Management Efficiency
- Improve the level of digitalization of
education (On-Campus and Distance Learning)
- Technology assisting quality
- Increase profitability from
current 25% to 30% of EBITDA Margin in 2016
- Scale gains, productivity
improvement and management
- ptimization
- Highly fragmented market: more
than 2,300 institutions
- Low level of professionalization
- Inefficient competition
- Strengthening of the distribution
channels’ contents through technology
- Growth of 10% to 15% of
students base per year.
- Main Drivers:
i) Funding (FIES) ii) Distance Learning
27
% EBITDA Margin Bridge
9.8% 14.7% 26.0% 30.0%
2010 2011 2012E 2016E
Cost and Expense Management Dilution of the Corporate Structure
...
Management Efficiency
Synergies – Unopar and Uniasselvi Impacts from the New FIES
Scale Gains, Productivity Improvement and Management Optimization
28
Market Consolidation Through Acquisitions Technology in Education Student Organic Growth Management Efficiency
- Improve the level of digitalization of
education (On-Campus and Distance Learning)
- Technology assisting quality
- Increase profitability from
current 25% to 30% of EBITDA Margin in 2016
- Scale gains, productivity
improvement and management
- ptimization
- Highly fragmented market: more
than 2,300 institutions
- Low level of professionalization
- Inefficient competition
- Strengthening of the distribution
channels’ contents through technology
- Growth of 10% to 15% of
students base per year.
- Main Drivers:
i) Funding (FIES) ii) Distance Learning
29
FIES Students per semester – June/2012
43.7% 16.1% 14.4% 5.2%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Student Organic Growth
20.6%
30
FIES Growth in Brazil (thousands)
Kroton has 53k FIES students Kroton’s FIES Market share: 10%
Number of students
76 154
483
2011 June 12
536
2010
Freshman represent 43.7% (17,100 students) of the total Kroton FIES students The first two years (first to fourth semester) account for 31,053 students, or 79.4% of
FIES students
Channel Expansion
DL Undergraduate
Offering Expansion
DL Undergraduate DL Graduate Free Courses
1) DL Graduate Offering Expansion: 2012/2 2) Free Courses: 2013 1) Activations of 40 centers from Unopar already accredited 2) 260 new centers accreditation from Unopar/Uniasselvi
Technology in Education
31
Expand the DL Distribution Channel Network
40 new DL centers already accredited to be activated
New DL Centers to be in operation as of 2013/1
32
447 487 747
Current After Activation Additional 260 Centers
+53% +9%
Capture an Additional 260 DL centers
Event at Unopar, for 500 guests, with presentations and visits to the distance learning structure
Preliminary contracts at the end of the event and final contracts signed after inspection
Filing with MEC to occur in October/2012, and expectation to be in operation as of 2014/1 Number of DL Centers
447 40 487
Current Centers accredited to be activated Total
Number of DL Centers
Market Consolidation Through Acquisitions Technology in Education Student Organic Growth Management Efficiency
- Improve the level of digitalization of
education (On-Campus and Distance Learning)
- Technology assisting quality
- Increase profitability from
current 25% to 30% of EBITDA Margin in 2016
- Scale gains, productivity
improvement and management
- ptimization
- Highly fragmented market: more
than 2,300 institutions
- Low level of professionalization
- Inefficient competition
- Strengthening of the distribution
channels’ contents through technology
- Growth of 10% to 15% of
students base per year.
- Main Drivers:
i) Funding (FIES) ii) Distance Learning
33
Strategic Focus
+2,300 Institutions in Brazil 645 targets
- Brand Strength
- Good courses offering
- Good infrastucture
- Good academic evaluation
Target Priorization Rationale
Kroton’s Priority Targets
Strategy 1: Large-scale acquisitions Lower quantity of quality assets available Valuation discipline Strategy 2: Medium-Scale Acquisitions Institutions of up to 7,000 students Capacity to complete the merger within 90
days, with important gains in scale
Strategy 3: Semi-organic Growth Institutions with less than 2,000 students,
but with a wide ranging offer of courses and seats
Agility in the course
accreditation/authorization process
13 6 3 12 10 4 3 1 18 4 20 14 2 5 41 4 7 12 12 12 20 11 26 83 2
130 municipalities 347 targets 1.4 million target students (4.2k average
students)
4.2mm students in secondary education
Among the 645 potential targets, 347 are tier 1
34
Operating Results
325,599 321,124 412,835 6,675 86,241 5,470 ( 802) (10,348)
1Q12 Students New Students Graduates Dropouts 2Q12 Students Uniasselvi acquisition ¹ Unirondon acquisition ¹ 2Q12 final base
+27%
Students Total Undergraduate Total Graduate Total 1Q12 Base 305,378 20,221 325,599 New Students 2,491 4,184 6,675 Graduates (223) (579) (802) Dropouts (9,471) (877) (10,348) 2Q12 Base ex-acquisitions 298,175 22,949 321,124 % Change 2Q12 (ex-acquisitions) / 1Q12
- 2.4%
13.5%
- 1.4%
Uniasselvi acquisition ¹ 72,707 13,534 86,241 Unirondon acquisition ¹ 4,959 511 5,470 2Q12 Base post-acquisitions 375,841 36,994 412,835 % Change 2Q12 (post-acquisitions) / 1Q12 23.1% 82.9% 26.8%
- 1%
¹ Figures for Uniasselvi are as of March 31, 2012, and for Unirondon are as of April 20, 2012
Postsecondary Students
36
37
+14%
Students On-Campus Undergraduate On-Campus Graduate On-Campus Total 1Q12 Base 112,923 10,360 123,283 New Students 2,172 1,965 4,137 Graduates (123) (303) (426) Dropouts (3,330) (543) (3,873) 2Q12 Base ex-acquisitions 111,642 11,479 123,121 % Change 2Q12 (ex-acquisitions) / 1Q12
- 1.1%
10.8%
- 0.1%
Uniasselvi acquisition¹ 11,276 1,267 12,543 Unirondon acquisition¹ 4,959 511 5,470 2Q12 Base post-acquisitions 127,877 13,257 141,134 % Change 2Q12 (post-acquisitions) / 1Q12 13.2% 28.0% 14.5%
123.283 123.121 141.134 4.137 12.543 5.470 ( 426) (3,873)
1Q12 Students New Students Graduates Dropouts 2Q12 Students Uniasselvi acquisition Unirondon acquisition 2Q12 Final Base
202.316 198.003 271.701 2.538 73.698 ( 376) (6,475)
1Q12 Students New Students Graduates Dropouts 2Q12 Students Uniasselvi acquisition 2Q12 Final Base
+34%
¹ Figures for Uniasselvi are as of March 31, 2012, and for Unirondon are as of April 20, 2012 Students DL Undergraduate DL Graduate DL Total 1Q12 Base 192,445 9,861 202,316 New Students 319 2,219 2,538 Graduates (100) (276) (376) Dropouts (6,141) (334) (6,475) 2Q12 Base ex-acquisitions 186,533 11,470 198,003 % Change 2Q12 (ex-acquisitions) / 1Q12
- 3.1%
16.3%
- 2.1%
Uniasselvi acquisition¹ 61,431 12,267 73,698 Unirondon acquisition¹
- 2Q12 Base post-acquisitions
247,964 23,737 271,701 % Change 2Q12 (post-acquisitions) / 1Q12 28.8% 140.7% 34.3%
On-Campus Postsecondary Students Distance Learning Postsecondary Students
38
Intake 2011/2 % Growth Total (On-Campus) 17,677 37% Total (DL) 43,408 15% Total (On-Campus + DL) 61,085 21% Intake 2012/2
2011/2 Intakes 2012/2 Intakes
Intakes - Distance Learning 2012/2 Intakes – Undergraduate Students
2011/2 Intakes 2012/2 Intakes
Intakes – On-Campus 24,266 49,916 74,182 15% 37%
Kroton Standalone On-Campus Same Units - Growth of 36%
39
Re-enrollments 2011/2 Re-enrollments 2012/2 % Growth Total (On-Campus) 82,324 99,754 21% Total (DL) 161,183 192,028 19% Total (On-Campus + DL) 243,507 291,782 20%
2011/2 Enrollments 2012/2 Enrollments
Re-enrollments - Distance Learning 2012/2 Re-enrollments – Undergraduate Students
2011/2 Enrollments 2012/2 Enrollments
Re-enrollments – On-Campus 21% 19%
Kroton Standalone On-Campus Same Units - Growth of 19%
40
Total Students 2011/2 Total Students 2012/2 % Growth Total (On-Campus) 100,001 124,020 24% Total (DL) 204,591 241,944 18% Total (On-Campus + DL) 304,592 365,964 20%
2011/2 Enrollments 2012/2 Enrollments
Total Students - Distance Learning 2012/2 Students Base – Undergraduate Students
2011/2 Enrollments 2012/2 Enrollments
Total Students – On-Campus 24% 18%
Kroton Standalone On-Campus Same Units - Growth of 22%
Financial Performance
26.5 40.8
18.6% 20.6% 2Q11 2Q12
% Operating Margin
45.9 69.0
32.3% 34.9% 2Q11 2Q12
% Gross Margin
+39%
142.1 197.8
2Q11 2Q12 +50% +54%
Net Revenue (NR)
Quarterly - R$ million
Gross Income (GI)
Quarterly - R$ million
Operating Result (OR)
Quarterly - R$ million
% Business GI / Total GI
93% 49%
% Business NR / Total NR
88% 66%
% Business OR / Total OR
111% 46%
61.7 103.6
22.3% 25.9% 1H11 1H12
% Operating Margin
96.6 159.1
34.9% 39.8% 1H11 1H12
% Gross Margin
+44%
276.9 399.8
1H11 1H12 +65% +68%
Net Revenue (NR)
6 Months - R$ million
Gross Income (GI)
6 Months- R$ million
Operating Results (OR)
6 Months - R$ million
% Business GI / Total GI
70% 47%
% Business NR / Total NR
77% 62%
% Business OR / Total OR
69% 44% 42
43
+5%
73.4 76.9 1Q12 2Q12
+1% +2%
49.2 50.0
67.0% 65.0%
1Q12 2Q12
% Operating Margin
62.9 63.4
85.7% 82.5%
1Q12 2Q12
% Gross Margin
Net Revenue (NR)
Quarterly - R$ million
Gross Income (GI)
Quarterly - R$ million
Operating Result (OR)
Quarterly - R$ million
% Business GI / Total GI
32% 45%
% Business NR / Total NR
22% 26%
% Business OR / Total OR
34% 56%
+5% 150.3
1H12 126.4
84.1%
1H12
% Gross Margin
99.2
66.0%
1H12
% Operating Margin
Net Revenue (NR)
6 Months - R$ million
Gross Income (GI)
6 Months- R$ million
Operating Results (OR)
6 Months - R$ million
% Business GI / Total GI
38%
% Business NR / Total NR
23%
% Business OR / Total OR
42%
44
3.2 8.3
15.9% 31.7%
2Q11 2Q12
% Gross Margin
- 2.6
- 1.1
- 12.7%
- 4.4%
2Q11 2Q12
% Operating Margin
+29% +157%
20.2 26.0 2Q11 2Q12
- 55%
Net Revenue (NR)
Quarterly - R$ million
Gross Income (GI)
Quarterly - R$ million
Operating Result (OR)
Quarterly - R$ million
% Business GI / Total GI
7% 6%
% Business NR / Total NR
12% 9%
% Business OR / Total OR
- 11%
- 1%
40.5 51.0
50.3% 55.9%
1H11 1H12
% Gross Margin
27.7 32.2
34.4% 35.3%
1H11 1H12
% Operating Margin
+13% +26%
80.4 91.2 1H11 1H12
16%
Net Revenue (NR)
6 Months - R$ million
Gross Income (GI)
6 Months- R$ million
Operating Results (OR)
6 Months - R$ million
% Business GI / Total GI
30% 15%
% Business NR / Total NR
23% 14%
% Business OR / Total OR
31% 14%
45
23.9 89.6
14.7% 29.8%
2Q11 2Q12
% Operating Margin
+85% +186% +275% 162.3 300.6 2Q11 2Q12 49.1 140.6
30.2% 46.8%
2Q11 2Q12
% Gross Margin
Net Revenue (NR)
Quarterly - R$ million
Gross Income (GI)
Quarterly - R$ million
Operating Result (OR)
Quarterly - R$ million
89.4 235.0
25.0% 36.7%
1H11 1H12
% Operating Margin
+79% +145% +163% 357.3 641.2 1H11 1H12 137.1 336.4
38.4% 52.5%
1H11 1H12
% Gross Margin
Net Revenue (NR)
6 Months - R$ million
Gross Income (GI)
6 Months- R$ million
Operating Results (OR)
6 Months - R$ million
46
62.9 198.7 17.6% 31.0% 1H11 1H12 % EBITDA Margin
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
+216%
10.8 72.4 6.7% 24.1% 2Q11 2Q12 % EBITDA Margin
+569%
Quarterly - R$ million 6 Months - R$ million
- 3.6
49.2
- 2.2%
16.4% 2Q11 2Q12 % Net Margin
Net Income and Net Margin*
29.1 148.1 8.1% 23.1% 1H11 1H12 % Net Margin +409%
Quarterly - R$ million 6 Months - R$ million * Excludes amortization of intangible assets (acquisitions)
EBITDA
357.3 459.2
1H11 1H12
+29% Net Revenue
6 Months - R$ million
Net revenue of R$459 million, growing 29% from 1H11
Analysis: excludes effects from Unopar and Uniasselvi acquisition
47
Excluding the On-Campus Postsecondary Units acquired
(FAMA, FAIS, União), organic (same-unit) growth in Net Revenue was 26% in 1H12
¹ In 1H11, EBITDA was R$62.9 million with EBITDA Margin of 17.6%
Corporate Expenses allocated in accordance with Net Revenue
1 2 3
100% of Corporate Expenses at Kroton Corporate Expenses in 1H11 restated by IPCA 62.9 110.9
17.6% 24.1%
1H11 1H12
% EBITDA Margin
62.9 121.2
17.6% 26.4%
1H11 1H12
% EBITDA Margin
62.9 119.4
17.6% 26.0%
1H11 1H12
% EBITDA Margin
+76% +93% +90%
Provisioning and Receivables
49
0.2 0.4
1.2% 1.5% 2Q11 2Q12 7.2 9.7 6.6 7.8 5.1% 4.9% 5.7% 6.7% 2Q11 2Q12 2Q11 ex- FIES 2Q12 ex- FIES
5.1 4.9
6.9% 6.4% 1Q12 2Q12
On-Campus Postsecondary
Quarterly - R$ million and % NR of Business
DL Postsecondary
Quarterly - R$ million and % NR of Business
Primary and Secondary
Quarterly - R$ million and % NR of Business
0.5 1.5
0.7% 1.6% 1H11 1H12 14.1 19.4 13.0 15.7 5.1% 4.8% 5.7% 6.6% 1H11 1H12 1H11 ex- FIES 1H12 ex- FIES
10.0
6.7% 1H12
On-Campus Postsecondary
6 Months - R$ million and % NR of Business
DL Postsecondary
6 Months - R$ million and % NR of Business
Primary and Secondary
6 Months - R$ million and % NR of Business
50 On-Campus Postsecondary Education 2Q12 2Q11
- Chg. %
1Q12
- Chg. %
Values in R$ '000 Net Accounts Receivable 255,185 163,074 56.5% 247,149 3.3% Short Term - Tuition and Agreements Receivable 94,412 93,195 1.3% 89,101 6.0% Long Term Receivables 16,718 18,099
- 7.6%
16,921
- 1.2%
FIES 144,055 51,780 178.2% 141,127 2.1% Balance of certificates issued and blocked by CND 74,806 23,347 220.4% 55,924 33.8% Distance Leaning Postsecondary Education 2Q12 2Q11
- Chg. %
1Q12
- Chg. %
Values in R$ '000 Net Accounts Receivable 25,991 n.a n.a 16,257 59.9% Primary and Secondary Education 2Q12 2Q11
- Chg. %
1Q12
- Chg. %
Values in R$ '000 Net Accounts Receivable 31,042 33,607
- 7.6%
62,964
- 50.7%
Issue of CND in July allowed Kroton to receive R$103.2 million through credit repurchases
during the month, of which R$79.6 million was related to CND-related blocked amounts
Increase in accounts receivable in the Distance Learning business compared to 1Q12,
reflecting the seasonality inherent to the business
On-Campus Postsecondary - Accounts Receivable Average Term (days) 2Q12 2Q11
- Chg. (days)
1Q12
- Chg. (days)
Criterion (1) Net Accounts Receivable (ex-FIES) Net Revenues 47 59
- 12 days
47 0 days Criterion (2) Net Accounts Receivable (ex-FIES) Net Revenues (ex-FIES) 70 69 +1 day 65 +5 days Criterion (3) FIES Net Accounts Receivable ex-blocked CND FIES Net Revenues 101 126
- 25 days
160
- 59 days
DL Postsecondary - Accounts Receivable Average Term (days) 2Q12 2Q11
- Chg. (days)
1Q12
- Chg. (days)
Net Accounts Receivable Net Revenues 37 n.a n.a 24 +13 days Primary and Secondary Education – Accounts Receivable Average Term
(days)
2Q12 2Q11
- Chg. (days)
1Q12
- Chg. (days)
Net Accounts Receivable Net Revenues 76 98
- 22 days
160
- 84 days
In the On-Campus Postsecondary business, accounts receivable ex-FIES (Criterion 1) remained stable
compared to 1Q12 and decreased from 2Q11, indicating a consistent provisioning policy
In Criterion 3, the reduction of 25 days from 2Q11 reflects the good management of FIES receivables and the
improvements in the credit repurchase process
As a result of the increase in accounts receivable, the average term in the Distance Learning business
increased 13 days, reflecting the seasonality of the second quarter
In the Primary and Secondary business, the improvement of 22 days from 2Q11 was due to the stricter
collections policy
51
Capex and Debt
53
21.5 13.0 17.4
6.3% 8.0% 5.8%
(5,0) (3,0) (1,0) 1,0 3,0 5,0 7,0 9,01Q12 2Q11 2Q12
Capex 2Q12 Kroton’s Capex
Quarterly - R$ million
* Excludes amounts related to acquisitions of Education Institutions and Special Projects (acquisitions of properties and brownfield projects)
Reduction in the balance of Cash and Financial Investments arising from the payment of
R$335 million related to the Uniasselvi acquisition
Increase in Other short and long-term obligations due to the Seller’s Note for the Unopar
acquisition (due year-end 2012) and the outstanding amounts for the Uniasselvi acquisition
Adequate debt level:
54 ¹ Net cash (debt) considering only bank obligations
2 Net cash (debt) considering all short- and long-term obligations related to tax liabilities and the acquisitions concluded up to
2Q12, including the Seller’s Note for the Unopar acquisition maturing in December 2012 and the amount to be paid over 6 years for the Uniasselvi acquisition
Financial Net Debt¹ / EBITDA* = 0.9x Total Net Debt² / EBITDA* = 1.9x
* Based on pro-forma EBITDA in the New Guidance for 2012
Consolidated 2Q12 1Q12 Chg.% Values in R$ ('000) Cash
56,984 28,607 99.2%
Securities
155,713 502,773
- 69.0%
Loans and Financing
553,298 578,373
- 4.3%
Short-term Debt
6,388 27,993
- 77.2%
Long-term Debt
546,910 550,380
- 0.6%
Net Cash (Debt)1
(340,601) (46,993) 624.8%
Other Short and Long Term Debt
401,605 197,172 103.7%
Net Cash (Debt)2
(742,206) (244,165) 204.0%
Cash Generation
Strong increases in operating cash generation before capex, which reached 142% and 78% of
“Actual” EBITDA in 2Q12 and 1H12
After recurring capex, operating cash generation was R$73.8 million in 2Q12 and R$107 million
in 1H12
Considering also the capex for special projects, cash generation was R$55.4 million in 2Q12 and
R$88.6 million in 1H12
56
Quarterly - R$ million and % “Actual” EBITDA
Operating Cash Generation
9.9 92.3
- 3.1
73.8 95% 142%
- 30%
114% 2Q11 2Q12 2Q11 after Capex - Recurring 2Q12 after Capex - Recurring 22.5 143.9 1.2 107.0 36% 78% 2% 58% 1H11 1H12 1H11 after Capex - Recurring 1H12 after Capex - Recurring 6 Months - R$ million and % “Actual” EBITDA
Guidance
Guidance Kroton + Unopar:
58
R$336 million +10% R$305 million
Guidance Kroton + Unopar + Uniasselvi ¹ + Unirondon¹:
Net Revenue EBITDA EBITDA Margin (%) R$1,351 million R$358 million 26%
Pro Forma: considering 12 months of results from Uniasselvi and Unirondon leads to EBITDA
- f R$384 million
R$1,303 million² R$326 million 25% Capex Guidance unchanged
6.5% of Net Revenue
EBITDA
+ R$60 million in Special Projects R$90 million R$60 million R$150 million
+ R$21 MM
from Uniasselvi¹ + R$1 MM from Unirondon¹
¹ Considers 7 months from Uniasselvi and 5 months from Unirondon ² Considers adjustment in Net Revenue from Uniasselvi due to the standardization of accounting criteria
New 2012 Guidance
Kroton: a company that reinvented itself
EBITDA (R$ MM)
CAGR 07-12: 62%
29 51 42 52 111 358
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E
Market Cap (R$ MM)
CAGR 07-12: 37%
148 280 343 642 734 1,351
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E
Net Revenues (R$ MM) Number of Students (‘000)1
CAGR 07-12: 87% CAGR 07-12: 56%
881 379 1,106 1,428 2,452 4,460
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*
18 38 44 85 253 413
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E
1 Postsecondary Students - 2007-2011 data: students at the end of period; 2012.1: students at june/12 * Market Cap at 08/14/2012
223% 63% 82% 84%
60
Relações com Investidores
www.kroton.com.br/ri
Carlos Lazar
carlos.lazar@kroton.com.br +55 11 3775-2288
Carolina Igi
carolina.igi@kroton.com.br +55 11 3775-2003
José Eduardo Szuster
jose.szuster@kroton.com.br +55 11 3775-2249
Backup
413 364 278
Player Campuses
DL Centers 53 447
Anhanguera
70 69
Estacio
47 44
271 87 57 53 50 49 45 28 27
Anhanguera Ulbra Fatec Internacional Estácio Unip Castelo Branco COC FTC
384 330 200
*Considering pro-forma results from Uniasselvi and Unirondon
Ranking of Postsecondary Students EBITDA 2012E* Ranking of Distance Learning Students Positioning
63
Founding Partners Advent International PAP + Direct Participation Treasury Stocks Free-Float
39.5% 1.0% 59.5%
Code of Conduct Transparency Dividends and Share Trade Policies 100% Tag along
4 Consulting Committees
Academic Auditing Financial HR
9 members – Board of Directors
(2 independents)
35.5%
New Capital Increase
0.9% 63.6% + 2 from Unopar
64
65
Five vice presidencies were created, of which two as part of corporate activities and two as business activities Variable compensation considering financial and operational performance 3-5 year stock option plan, aligning shareholder and management interest
65
President Rodrigo Galindo CEO VP of Finance (CFO) Frederico Abreu VP of Operations (COO) Igor Lima Postsecondary System Officer Orlando Junior VP of On-Campus Postsecondary Rodrigo Galindo* VP of Distance Learning Rui Fava Uniasselvi Officer Paulo de Tarso Primary and Secondary Officer Monica Ferreira IR and Planning Officer Carlos Lazar
- Inst. Development
Officer Gislaine Moreno
- Inst. Development
Officer Gislaine Moreno Projects and Process Officer Eberson Terra *Temporarily accumulate the position
Business Activities Corporate Activities