Industry Overview: Aerospace & Defense Supplemental Discussion Materials
Materials Presented by: January 2018
Industry Overview: Aerospace & Defense Supplemental Discussion - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Industry Overview: Aerospace & Defense Supplemental Discussion Materials Materials Presented by: January 2018 Executive Summary Columbia West Capital, LLC (CWC) appreciates the opportunity to present our firm and to provide our
Materials Presented by: January 2018
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Recapitalizations
Evaluation
Valuation
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I. Credibility and Reputation. CWC’s deal team has long-established reputations with leading Wall Street financial institutions and major corporations, providing our clients with unparalleled access to providers of capital II. Focused Attention. We work with our clients as partners to achieve their goals. We view ourselves as the extension of our client's senior management team, and the full resources of our experience and expertise are available throughout the entire process. We succeed as a team. We limit our engagements to a few select clients that receive 100% of our attention and our highest priority III. Entrepreneurial Spirit. We offer our clients the expertise and capabilities of a large investment banking firm with the energy and focused attention of a small entrepreneurial firm. As business owners and operators
IV. Experience Counts. Our senior partners have a wide array of experience and a depth of knowledge in many disciplines and across geographies. Our partners have both extensive deal experience from large Wall Street firms and middle market boutiques as well as hands-on senior management experience
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Superior Senior- Level Attention at Each Stage of the Process Dedication to Middle-Market M&A and Capital Raising Unparalleled Commitment and Attention to Detail Innovative Strategies and Outstanding Negotiating Skills Deep Knowledge of Industry and Business Model Institutional Knowledge of Potential Buyers and Investors
process timing
appropriate process
group of buyers or investors
conveying the “story” and growth
competitive group of investors
presenting the Company in the best light possible
buyer proposals to develop a “true” comparison between
advantageous time to negotiate with potential buyers and investors
evaluating advantages with proposals
proposal(s) and the best script to deliver them
Critical “Back-End” Process Considerations Critical “Front-End” Process Considerations
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John Farr has spent his career serving companies in the Consumer, Manufacturing, Industrial Technology, and Aerospace & Defense industries. His transaction experience includes public and private companies such as Honeywell International, General Electric, Nutraceutical International, Boeing, General Dynamics, Kroger Inc., the Vanguard group, and Atrium Innovations.
making acquisitions in the commercial and business aviation and defense markets. Additionally, Mr. Farr was the Finance Manager for a $525 million MRO division. Previously he worked with PNC Equity Management, a $1 billion private equity group engaged in growth equity, leveraged buyout, and mezzanine loan investing primarily in consumer, manufacturing, distribution, and services businesses. Mr. Farr began his investment banking career in New York where he worked as an Analyst and Associate with the Private Placement team at Deutsche Bank Alex Brown. He originated, structured, and placed investment grade and mezzanine loan transactions for a variety of industries.
University and an MBA with concentrations in Finance, Accounting, and Strategy from the Kellogg School of Management.
NASD) and has series 7, 63, and 24 securities licenses. He is a past recipient of The M&A Advisor’s national 40 Under 40 Award, is involved with several finance industry
Aerospace M&A
Prior Experience
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David Barnett brings more than 20 years experience in both public and private sector investments to Columbia West Capital. Previously, he spent more than 8 years at Morgan Stanley working mainly with owners and operators of closely held businesses. He has been involved in successfully structuring and executed transactions in both the corporate and commercial real estate arena. Additionally, he has worked in the US Senate, focusing exclusively in healthcare legislation, and later developed a governmental affairs team at a 530 bed hospital and the 3rd largest home health care company in the United States. Recently he was Chairman of the City of Scottsdale Planning Commission, Trustee and past Treasurer of the Desert Botanical Garden, Greater Phoenix Economic Council (GPEC) International Leadership Committee member and is also involved in numerous other volunteer organizations. Mr. Barnett has a B.S. in Political Science from Arizona State University, and a Masters of Public Policy – Regulatory Affairs from the College of William and Mary.
NASD) and holds Series 7 and Series 63 securities licenses.
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Evan Brindley joined Columbia West Capital in 2016, assisting senior bankers with transaction execution including valuation analysis and industry research across a broad range of industries and assisting in the preparation of pitch books, investment memoranda, marketing materials and in all aspects of due diligence and client
Hexagon AB in their Corporate Strategy division. Evan received a B.S. in Business Administration and Finance from The University
and Series 79 securities licenses.
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Share Enterprise Value as a Multiple of LTM Price % of Market Enterprise Revenues EBITDA EBITDA Aerospace & Defense 29-Dec-17 52 Wk High Value Value LTM 2018 LTM 2018 Margin The Boeing Company $294.91 98.5% $175,642 $176,437 1.93x 1.92x 15.7x 14.8x 12.3% Airbus SE 99.66 93.0% 77,187 80,174 1.02x 1.00x 33.2x 10.3x 3.1% Embraer S.A. 23.93 91.2% 4,439 5,981 0.96x 1.02x 9.6x 7.6x 9.9% BAE Systems plc 7.74 84.0% 24,659 26,987 1.12x 1.02x 10.9x 8.9x 10.3% General Dynamics Corporation 203.45 94.7% 60,747 62,907 2.02x 2.02x 12.8x 13.5x 15.8% Northrop Grumman Corporation 306.91 98.6% 53,426 58,638 2.29x 2.30x 15.4x 15.4x 14.9% Raytheon Company 187.85 97.6% 54,305 57,432 2.32x 2.26x 15.3x 14.9x 15.1% Lockheed Martin Corporation 321.05 99.1% 92,055 103,459 2.08x 2.04x 16.7x 14.8x 12.5% Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation 38.13 96.1% 5,560 7,077 1.18x 1.14x 12.4x 12.0x 9.4% Science Applications International Corpora 76.57 85.2% 3,275 4,181 0.96x 0.95x 13.8x 13.7x 7.0% L3 Technologies, Inc. 197.85 98.9% 15,460 18,436 1.67x 1.84x 13.3x 14.8x 12.6% CACI International Inc 132.35 89.8% 3,259 4,363 1.00x 0.98x 12.0x 11.3x 8.3% ManTech International Corporation 50.19 94.2% 1,957 1,808 1.10x 1.05x 14.3x 13.8x 7.7% Honeywell International Inc. 153.36 97.9% 116,064 122,834 3.10x 3.03x 15.1x 14.6x 20.5% Triumph Group, Inc. 27.20 78.2% 1,350 2,749 0.84x 0.88x 7.6x 10.6x 11.0% HEICO Corporation 94.35 93.0% 7,197 8,037 5.27x 4.70x 21.6x 18.9x 24.4% Moog Inc. 86.85 96.5% 3,112 3,701 1.48x 1.41x 11.5x 10.6x 12.8% Parker-Hannifin Corporation 199.58 99.4% 26,589 31,553 2.49x 2.26x 16.1x 13.3x 15.5% Mean 93.7% 1.82x 1.77x 14.8x 13.0x 12.4% Median 95.4% 1.58x 1.62x 14.1x 13.6x 12.4%
Source: S&P Capital IQ
($ in millions except share price data )
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70 100 130 160 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Commercial Primes Defense Primes Federal IT Engines & Components MRO S&P 500 PUBLIC AEROSPACE & DEFENSE SECTOR PERFORMANCES
Source: S&P Capital IQ; Individual indexes constructed by Columbia West Capital for benchmarking purposes only
64.2% 48.9% 48.3% 46.8% 37.9% 37.6%
Two-Year Total Return
Donald Trump Elected President
Beginning of 2018
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Source: CAPA Center for Aviation Fleet Database
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Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics
Available Seat-Miles Annual Passenger Volume Annual Load Factor Total Flights
1,364 1,281 1,301 1,349 1,367 1,410 1,474 1,569 1,665 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
(in millions of miles)
78.7% 79.7% 81.9% 81.6% 82.5% 82.8% 82.7% 82.7% 82.4% 76% 77% 78% 79% 80% 81% 82% 83% 84% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 810 768 787 802 813 825 852 897 932
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
(in millions of passengers)
10,717 10,032 10,000 9,968 9,805 9,711 9,542 9,534 9,715 8,750 9,000 9,250 9,500 9,750 10,000 10,250 10,500 10,750 11,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
(in thousands of flights)
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Source: Department of Defense; Investing in the Defense, Homeland Security, and Space Market 2017 (SPADE Defense Index)
Bush Era Obama Era Trump Era
Department of Defense Annual Budget*
($in billions)
Proposed Budget
administrations
“Overseas Contingency Operations“ component of $66 billion
Fiscal Year
*Includes Overseas Contingency Operations budget
DEFENSE SPENDING
$437 $468 $479 $535 $601 $666 $666 $691 $687 $646 $578 $581 $560 $581 $584 $692 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
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*Allegedly
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Source: Capital IQ and company filings; PWC Quarterly Aerospace & Defense M&A Report
Market Highlights Total Number of Global A&D Transactions Total Global A&D Transaction Value Average Transaction Valuation as a Multiple of EBITDA
76 68 50 87 66 62 77 59 73 61 67 84 60 62 54 52 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 1Q14 1Q15 1Q16 1Q17 10.3x 11.2x 10.3x 14.4x 9.8x 8.3x 13.5x 12.3x 10.8x 10.7x 0.0x 2.0x 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 10.0x 12.0x 14.0x 16.0x 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 $2.0 $17.0 $1.0 $6.0 $12.0 $4.0 $47.0 $5.0 $10.0 $6.0 $6.0 $17.0 $12.0 $6.0 $44.0 $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 1Q14 1Q15 1Q16 1Q17 (includes disclosed deal values only; $ in billions)
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Target Company Acquiring Company Date A&D Sector Transaction Comments
December 2017 (pending) OEM
Bombardier
September 2017 (pending) Avionics/Tech Systems
global aerospace systems supplier
September 2017 (pending) Technology Systems
innovation and growth
synergies November 2017 UAVs/Tech Systems
autonomous tech systems for military and commercial
October 2016 Additive Manufacturing
innovation and growth
October 2015 Fire Suppression
with niche, high margin fire suppression
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$947 $1,269 $1,691 $1,766 $1,152 $788 $898 $1,205 $1,142 $1,364 $2,121 $2,390 $1,945 $1,457 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Compelling Trends Total U.S. Transaction Value 2004-2017
Several factors are triggering robust M&A activity, resulting in market-high valuations:
($ in billions)
Strategics Want to Unload Surplus Cash Intense Competition at Premium Valuations Favorable Middle- Market M&A Environment
trillion in excess cash available in 2016
catalyze stagnant performance
pay large premiums for synergistic targets
equity capital overhang existed at the end
2012
historical highs; healthcare companies are receiving premiums
and gas turmoil including numerous bankruptcies, middle-market M&A activity has remained stable over the last few years
EV/EBITDA multiples have steadily expanded since 2012
estimates available capital for private equity “dry powder” grew to over $800 billion at the end of 2017
Source: S&P Capital IQ
Source: FactSet; PitchBook; Preqin
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1,608 1,844 2,077 2,251 2,484 2,711 3,001 3,345 3,584 3,742 3,919 4,005 4,093 4,270 4,443 4,558 4,719 $577 $590 $593 $657 $708 $881 $1,155 $1,468 $1,421 $1,575 $1,712 $1,793 $1,940 $2,184 $2,239 $2,387 $2,486 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Number of Private Equity Firms Assets Under Management ($ in billions)
Source: Preqin
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Source: Capital IQ and company filings; PWC Quarterly Aerospace & Defense M&A Report
Total Aggregate Deal Value By PE Firms Total Number of A&D Acquisitions By PE Firms
11 24 30 26 40 33 30 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (includes disclosed deal values only; $ in billions) $0.2 $2.7 $0.1 $0.8 $0.8 $0.8 $1.1 $2.5 $1.6 $0.7 $3.5 $4.9 $0.7 $2.3 $3.3 $0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0 $5.0 $6.0 1Q14 3Q14 1Q15 3Q15 1Q16 3Q16 1Q17 3Q17
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Market Spotlight
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence (graph)
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M o r e L e s s M o r e E x p e n s i v e L e s s E x p e n s i v e
Senior Debt
terms
Asset Backed Loan “ABL”
(A/R, Inventory, PP&E)
Cash Flow Loan
equity of the company
Unitranche Debt
characteristics of both senior debt and mezzanine debt
terms
equity of the company
Mezzanine Debt
terms
1%-4% warrants
Preferred Equity
negotiated
any common equity receives a return
Common Equity
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Recapitalizations
Evaluation
Valuation
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