Indian Financial and Business Models Dr. Varadraj Bapat Indian - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

indian financial and
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Indian Financial and Business Models Dr. Varadraj Bapat Indian - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Indian Financial and Business Models Dr. Varadraj Bapat Indian Institute of Technology, Mumbai varadraj@som.iitb.ac.in 9892413119 Indian Financial and Business Models How did the course evolve CA. S. Gurumurthy Avenues 2010 with Adi Godrej


slide-1
SLIDE 1

Indian Financial and Business Models

  • Dr. Varadraj Bapat

Indian Institute of Technology, Mumbai varadraj@som.iitb.ac.in 9892413119

slide-2
SLIDE 2

2

Indian Financial and Business Models How did the course evolve

  • CA. S. Gurumurthy Avenues 2010 with Adi

Godrej Study of Business Clusters Perspective building course Assignment - Exam - Is there any “Indian” Business Model ? Economic Model – Financial and Business Model

slide-3
SLIDE 3

3

What is GDP ? How much is GDP of India

slide-4
SLIDE 4

4

  • Indian Economy - GDP
  • $.... Tn (nominal), … ; Oct. 2014
  • $.... trillion (Nominal, Dec 2015)[3]
  • $ … trillion (Nominal, ..; Apr 2016)
  • $..... trillion (Nominal, ….; Jan 2017)
  • $.... trillion (PPP: …; Oct. 2014)[1]
  • $..... trillion (PPP, December 2015)
  • $.... trillion (PPP, Apr 2016)
  • $..... trillion (PPP,3, Jan 2017)
slide-5
SLIDE 5

5

  • Indian Economy - GDP
  • $2.05 Tn (nominal) 10th; Oct. 2014
  • $2.22 trillion (Nominal, Dec 2015)[3]
  • $2.25 trillion (Nominal, 7th; Apr 2016)
  • $2.46 trillion (Nominal, 6th; Jan 2017)
  • $7.277 trillion (PPP: 3rd; Oct. 2014)[1]
  • $8.52 trillion (PPP, December 2015)
  • $8.72 trillion (PPP, Apr 2016)
  • $9.59 trillion (PPP,3, Jan 2017)
slide-6
SLIDE 6

6

  • Indian Economy - GDP
  • GDP growth
  • 3.986% (2012–13)
  • 7.4% (2014-15) 7.6% (2015-16)[4]
  • 7.0% (2016e), 7.6% (2017f)
slide-7
SLIDE 7

7

  • Indian Economy
  • Inflation (CPI)
  • CPI: … WPI: …… [2]
  • (2016)
  • CPI: …., WPI: …. % (April 2013)
slide-8
SLIDE 8

8

  • Public Finances
  • Public debt
  • …. of GDP
  • Budget deficit …% of GDP
  • Credit rating
  • ………
  • Foreign reserves
  • $ … billion
slide-9
SLIDE 9

9

  • Public Finances
  • Public debt
  • 66.5% of GDP (2016)
  • 66.7% of GDP (2013)
  • Budget deficit
  • 3.9% of GDP (2015–16)
  • 4.1% of GDP (2014–15)
slide-10
SLIDE 10

10

  • Credit rating
  • BBB- (Domestic/ Foreign)
  • (Standard & Poor's)
  • Foreign reserves
  • $366.77 billion (as of 26 August 2016)
  • $352.5 billion (as of 11 Dec 2015)

(9th)

  • $338.08 billion (as of 27 Feb 2015)
  • Main data source: CIA World Fact

Book

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Western Vs. Bharatiya Economic Thoughts

slide-12
SLIDE 12

12

  • Capitalism भाःडवलशाही
  • Vs. Communism मार्ख्सवाद
  • Consumerism
slide-13
SLIDE 13

13

Capitalism भाःडवलशाही

  • 1770
slide-14
SLIDE 14

14

Capitalism भाःडवलशाही

slide-15
SLIDE 15

15

  • Communism मार्ख्सवाद
  • शोषण मुकॎती
  • समानता
slide-16
SLIDE 16

Marxism

  • Marx and Engels

studied the history of the world’s economies

Basic Communism Feudalism Capitalism Communism !!!! Socialism

  • They

believed they discovered an inevitable pattern

slide-17
SLIDE 17

17

  • Communism
  • First Country ?
slide-18
SLIDE 18
slide-19
SLIDE 19

USSR

  • USSR stands for:

Union of Soviet Socialist Republics.

  • The USSR was

formed in December 1922.

  • USSR a.k.a. Russia.
  • The USSR is a

Communist party.

slide-20
SLIDE 20

Communist control of the World

  • Moscow
slide-21
SLIDE 21

माकॎसस वाद

शोषण मुकॎती / समानता

  • धमस / परंपरा नषॎट करा
  • मानवी मुलॎय पायदळी
slide-22
SLIDE 22

माकॎसस वाद

  • हुक

ु मशाही

  • हतॎया
  • खून
  • गररबी
slide-23
SLIDE 23

माकॎसस वाद १० कोटी हतॎया

slide-24
SLIDE 24

माकॎसस वाद

  • हुक

ु मशाही

  • हतॎया
  • खून
  • गररबी
slide-25
SLIDE 25

25

  • Capitalism भाःडवलशाही
  • Vs. Communism मार्ख्सवाद
  • १९९०
  • Consumerism
slide-26
SLIDE 26

26

  • Capitalism भाःडवलशाही
  • Consumerism अनिर्भंध उपभोग
slide-27
SLIDE 27

27

  • Capitalism भाःडवलशाही
  • Consumerism अनिर्भंध उपभोग
  • Bush urged the U.S. public to go shopping

and take vacations (2001 -9/11)

  • (http://consortiumnews.com/2011/09/11/chronicling-americas-911-descent/)
slide-28
SLIDE 28

28

  • Capitalism भाःडवलशाही
  • Consumerism अनिर्भंध उपभोग
slide-29
SLIDE 29

29

ववषमता

slide-30
SLIDE 30

30

ववषमता

slide-31
SLIDE 31

31

  • Capitalism भाःडवलशाही
  • Consumerism अनिर्भंध उपभोग
  • Market Economy
  • Market Society
  • Market Family
slide-32
SLIDE 32

32

Family Destroyed - Marriage

In US, More than 50 % of children born to under 30 women are out of wedlock

  • Marriage is Luxury Good

http://parenting.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/19/for-younger- mothers-out-of-wedlock-births-are-the-new-normal/ http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/18/us/for-women-under-30- most-births-occur-outside-marriage.html?pagewanted=all

slide-33
SLIDE 33

33

Family Destroyed - Marriage

In US, More than 50 % of children born to under 30 women are out of wedlock

  • Marriage is Luxury Good

http://parenting.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/19/for-younger- mothers-out-of-wedlock-births-are-the-new-normal/ http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/18/us/for-women-under-30- most-births-occur-outside-marriage.html?pagewanted=all

slide-34
SLIDE 34

34

Family Destroyed - Marriage

In US, More than 50 % of children born to under 30 women are out of wedlock

  • Marriage is Luxury Good

http://parenting.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/19/for-younger- mothers-out-of-wedlock-births-are-the-new-normal/ http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/18/us/for-women-under-30- most-births-occur-outside-marriage.html?pagewanted=all

slide-35
SLIDE 35

35

Family Destroyed - Marriage

A million children growing up without fathers in UK In UK there are more households with TV’s than fathers

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-22820829 (9 June 2013)

slide-36
SLIDE 36

Marriage or divorce in US or Europe

Year Marriages per 1000 unmarried women 1970 63.4 2008 37.4 Year Households with children less than 18 1960 49 percent 2008 31 percent ‘;k Children living with single parents 1960 9 percent 2008 26 percent

slide-37
SLIDE 37

Society and Family

  • Warnings came true sooner than later
  • This cost 88 million additional houses, valued

at $16 trillion at current prices.

Year Average persons per house 1930 4.5 1950 3.5 2010 2.6

slide-38
SLIDE 38

Avg persons per house in us

  • Pic
slide-39
SLIDE 39

3/21/2017

  • Dr. Varadraj Bapat, IIT Mumbai

39

slide-40
SLIDE 40

40

High rate of crime

प्ऱचंड गुनॎहेगारी. भ्ऱषॎटाचार खून मारामारी बलातॎकार

slide-41
SLIDE 41

41

High rate of crime

India is 79th on that list with a rate of 1.8 rapes reported per 100,000 population

slide-42
SLIDE 42

42

High rate of crime

The dataset includes figures for 126

  • countries. No of prisoners
slide-43
SLIDE 43

43

्ृषॎटीचे शोषण

नैसरॎगसक संपतॎती चा ववधॎवंस प्ऱचंड प्ऱदूषण

slide-44
SLIDE 44

44

slide-45
SLIDE 45

3/21/2017

  • Dr. Varadraj Bapat, IIT Mumbai

45

45

Impact ?

  • Saving Rates ?
slide-46
SLIDE 46

US on a binge

slide-47
SLIDE 47

3/21/2017

  • Dr. Varadraj Bapat, IIT Mumbai

47

47

US personal savings

U.S. personal savings rate has been on its way down. In other words, consumers have been spending more than they have been earning. Some economists warn that this is troubling and unsustainable.

http://www.businessinsider.in/CHART-OF-THE-DAY-Why-The-Personal-Savings- Rate-Is-Tumbling/articleshow/21189234.cms 9 Apr 2013

slide-48
SLIDE 48

48

US

  • Foreign investments made in the US total

almost $2.4 trillion, which is more than twice that of any other country. (2012)

  • Wiki CIA World jgf
slide-49
SLIDE 49

49

US

  • What made USA to borrow so much and

reduce savings ?

  • Alan Greenspan -
slide-50
SLIDE 50

Greenspan

  • Alan Greenspan served as Chairman of

the Federal Reserve of the United States from 1987 to 2006.

  • Directed the very course of US economy

and of the globe for two decades.

  • God of Money
  • Sparing the Americans from the need to
  • save. Enticing them to spend.
slide-51
SLIDE 51

Current situation

  • Home loans of households top $10 trillion.
  • More than 1/3rd weren’t incurred to buy

houses.

  • According to Greenspan himself,

household borrowed $3.2 trillion against security of appreciation in their home values (called ‘home equity cashed out’) during 2002-2007, and splurged into consumption.

slide-52
SLIDE 52

Current situation

  • 111 million US households use 1.2 billion

credit cards, on which they owe $2.5 trillion.

  • Not just families, their finances too are

broken, thanks to the financial networks of the US praised by Greenspan, having ‘enticed’ and made the US families profligate.

  • The state-provided social security that has

replaced the families and made them state- dependent is stressed and potentially bankrupt.

slide-53
SLIDE 53

53

Overall Debt % of GDP

CANADA= 276 % RUSSIA= 72% UNITED STATES=280% CHINA= 184 % BRAZIL = 148% INDIA= 122 % BRITAIN = 507 % JAPAN= 512 % GERMANY= 278 % SOUTH KOREA=314% FRANCE= 346 % SWITZ= 314 % SPAIN= 363 % ITALY = 314 %

@Prof R.Vaidyanathan,IIMB,2012

http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2012/01/daily-chart-8