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Ideas + Action for a Better City

learn more at SPUR.org tweet about this event: @SPUR_Urbanist #TaxesforTransportation

Transportation Funds at Risk: Proposition 6

What it Means for the Bay Area

SPUR October 2, 2018 Rebecca Long Manager of Government Relations

Presentation Outline

• 1. Overview of Proposition 6 & Senate Bill 1 (SB 1) funding programs
• 2. Bay Area SB1 funding at risk: roads, transit, congestion relief

2

Background on Proposition 6

• Qualified for the November ballot through the initiative process
• Repeals funding for Senate Bill 1 (Beall, 2017), the Road Repair and

Accountability Act, the first major statewide funding increase in decades

• SB 1 is funded by an increase in the gas tax, a new vehicle registration

charge, a new electric vehicle fee and an increase in the diesel sales tax.

• The Prop 6 campaign is funded by Republican gubernatorial candidate John

Cox, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, the California Republican Party, and numerous California Republican Congressional candidates.

3

Tax Increases in SB 1 and What They Fund

4

Why Was SB 1 Needed?

5

An International Comparison: Fuel Taxes

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00

Dollars per Gallon Country

Gasoline $/gal Diesel $/gal

6

California is Not an Outlier: Gas Tax Increases Since 1993

Source: Compiled by MTC Staff from state departments

• f transportation and state legislative records

7

Cost of Today’s Neglected Transportation System to Motorists

$1,049 $983 $206 $287 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 Alameda, Marin, San Francisco and San Mateo Counties Santa Clara County * Vehicle Operating Costs Safety

Source: California by the Numbers: Meeting the State’s Need for Safe, Smooth and Efficient Mobility, TRIP, 2018 * Includes San Benito County data 8

SB 1 Funding Overview

• An average of $5 billion per year over 10 years, indexed

to inflation so fund sources will maintain their value over time

• Funds are split roughly 50/50 between the state and local agencies
• Largest category of spending is local road and state highway system

repairs/maintenance

• Congestion relief, public transit and bike/ped. projects also funded through

competitive and formula funding programs

9

How Are SB 1 Funds Spent?

• To provide the public with information on how the new taxes are spent, SB 1 includes strong

reporting requirements. For details by jurisdiction, visit rebuildingca.ca.gov which includes an interactive map and project descriptions.

Transit 13% Local Roads 30% State Highway 40% Bike / Ped 2% Freight 6% Other* 9%

SB1 Funding by Mode

State of Repair 71% Operations 5% Modernization 14% Expansion 9% Planning 1%

SB1 Funding by Function

10

What’s at Stake for the Bay Area?

• A 40% funding cut to every city and county for local road repairs – over $200 million per

year for Bay Area jurisdictions

• Over $150 million per year in funding cuts for transit services, including BART, SF MUNI,

AC Transit, VTA, Caltrain and SF Bay Ferry

• A cut of over $60 million per year in funding for the State Transportation Improvement

Program (STIP)

• Approximately $950 million in bridge and highway safety, maintenance and rehabilitation

projects at risk over multiple years; funded by the State Highway Operation and Protection Program (SHOPP) and Caltrans’ maintenance program

• Almost $1.4 billion in funding for 23 projects from SB1 competitive programs

11

Local Road State Highway State Transit Assistance Transit Capital STIP Bike/Ped Freeway Service Patrol Trade Corridor Congested Corridors Local Partnership Transit State of Good Repair $287 $255 $118 $72 $18 $20 $208 $240 $118 $67 $63 $13 $6/ $5 $83 $156 $56 $38

Pre-SB 1 Annual Funding SB 1 (At Risk) Annual Funding

Existing Programs New Programs

Millions of $ (FY 2018-19 Estimate)

SB 1 Funding Increases for the Bay Area

12

Prop 6 Would Repeal New Local Street and Road Funding from SB 1

$58 $43 $10 $6 $28 $31 $72 $18 $21 $42 $30 $6 $5 $23 $22 $52 $13 $15 $- $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140

ALAMEDA CONTRA COSTA MARIN NAPA SAN FRANCISCO SAN MATEO SANTA CLARA SOLANO SONOMA

BASELINE SB 1

Millions of $ (FY 2018-19 Estimate)

13

Prop 6 Would Increase Local Road Deferred Maintenance

$1,025 $859 $261 $264 $251 $362 $1,204 $575 $1,433 $2,031 $1,696 $690 $537 $651 $997 $2,985 $1,462 $2,811

$- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500

Millions

2017 Backlog 2027 Maintenance Backlog Without SB1

ALAMEDA CONTRA COSTA MARIN NAPA SAN FRANCISCO SAN MATEO SANTA CLARA SOLANO SONOMA

14

Pay Now or Pay Much More Later

15

Loss of Road Repair Funds Would Mean More Potholes

A wide array of projects are eligible for SB 1, including:

• Safe driving conditions - road maintenance

and rehabilitation

• Complete streets safety projects, such as

sidewalks and bike lanes

• Traffic control safety devices such as

traffic lights and crossings

• Storm water and clean water

66 67 57

50 60 70 80

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Pavement Condition Index Year

Pavement Condition Forecast With SB1 Without SB1

$250 $495

$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600

FY 16-17 Pre SB1 FY 18-19 With SB1 Millions

Local Road Gas Tax Funding By Year (In Millions, Estimate)

16

Bay Area Congestion Relief Projects at Risk

Bay Area Funded Projects

Solutions for Congested Corridors:

• $250 million per year statewide
• Focused on early delivery and

most congested corridors

• CTC approved $1 billion in May

2018 for a four-year cycle

Project Sponsor Description Funding Caltrans US-101 Marin-Sonoma Narrows $85 Caltrans/ VTA US-101 Managed Lanes in San Mateo and Santa Clara Counties $233

17

Bay Area Transit Projects at Risk

State Transit Assistance

Operator Description Award (Millions)

VTA BART to San Jose $730 BART Transbay Core Capacity (Train Control, Fleet Expansion) $319 Caltrain Electrification and Fleet Conversion/Expansion $165 Capitol Corridor Northern California Corridor Enhancement (Oakland-San Jose) $80 SFMTA Transit Capacity Expansion Program $27

Transit & Intercity Rail Capital Program

• SB 1 doubled STA funding, providing an

additional $156 million/year for Bay Area

• perators, including:

Operator Annual Amount (Millions) BART $25 SFMTA $40 AC Transit $13 Santa Clara VTA $18

18

Risk to RM 3-Funded Highway Projects

Project RM3 Funding SB1 Funding Comments San Mateo US-101 Express Lanes TBD $222 RM 3 Express Lane Program candidate project Sonoma US-101 MSN $120 $85 SB 1 Funding Segment C2 Alameda 7th Street Grade Separation TBD $175 RM 3 Goods Movement candidate project Solano I-80/I-680/SR-12 Interchange $150 $53 Multi-phase project Dollars in millions

19

Risk to RM 3-Funded Transit Projects

Project RM3 Funding SB 1: Transit & Intercity Rail Capital Program BART to Silicon Valley, Phase 2 $375 $730 BART Transbay Core Capacity $500 $319 AC Transit High Capacity Buses $140* $14 SFMTA Transit Capacity Expansion $140 $27 Capitol Corridor Enhancement Program $90 $80 SMART Windsor Extension $40 $21

*Part of RM 3 Core Capacity Transit Improvements project

Dollars in millions

20

Questions and Comments

21

SB1 Impacts on San Mateo County

Seamus Murphy Chief Communications Officer San Mateo County Transit District

1

San Mateo County Transit District

The San Mateo County Transit District:

• SamTrans bus service;
• Redi-Wheels paratransit service;
• Caltrain commuter rail;
• The San Mateo County Transportation Authority

2

San Mateo County Projects

SB 1 is set to fund a significant number of projects in San Mateo County:

3 Project SB1 Funds Total Cost SB1 Funding Program US 101 Managed Lanes $255,257,000 $534,000,000 SCC, STIP, & FY 18 & FY19 LPP formula and discretionary US 101/Woodside Interchange Improvements $8,000,000 $143,250,000 Programmed STIP funds for ROW US 101/Produce Interchange Reconstruction $5,000,000 $153,420,000 Programmed STIP funds for PS&E ITS Improvements Daly City, Brisbane & Colma $8,500,000 $11,000,000 Programmed STIP funds for E&P & PS&E to C/CAG, not Measure A funded US 101/Holly Bicycle/Pedestrian Overcrossing $4,200,000 $8,948,000 ATP Augmentation funding Woodside Elementary Student Pathway Phase 3 $528,000 $745,000 ATP Augmentation funding, not Measure A funded Grand Total $281,485,000 $851,363,000

Caltrain, SamTrans and TA SB1 Funds

Supplement to State Transit Assistance FY18-19 SB1 Funding FY 19-20 SB1 Funding Caltrain $4,382,596 $3,285,304 SamTrans $4,315,633 $3,235,108 4 Annual STA State of Good Repair FY19 Forward (Capital funds) SamTrans $1,173,200 Caltrain $1,245,276 State Rail Assistance FY19 Forward FY2019 FY2020 Caltrain $3,900,000 $4,100,000 Local Partnership Program FY 2017 and FY2018 FY2019 SamTrans $1,757,000 $840,000 TA $1,757,000 $840,000 SB1 Funds Total Cost Notes Caltrain Electrification Expansion $164,522,000 $203,638,00 Scheduled for allocation at the Oct. 2018 CTC meeting SamTrans Express Bus Pilot Project $15,000,000 $37,000,000

SB 1 Street and Road Repair Funding

5

FY 2018-19 (SB 1)

SAN MATEO COUNTY 9,733,147 $ ATHERTON 119,600 $ BELMONT 461,703 $ BRISBANE 79,008 $ BURLINGAME 504,437 $ COLMA 25,198 $ DALY CITY 1,828,591 $ EAST PALO ALTO 507,649 $ FOSTER CITY 555,921 $ HALF MOON BAY 210,673 $ HILLSBOROUGH 196,651 $ MENLO PARK 596,831 $ MILLBRAE 387,647 $ PACIFICA 637,891 $ PORTOLA VALLEY 78,757 $ REDWOOD CITY 1,432,277 $ SAN BRUNO 757,876 $ SAN CARLOS 490,432 $ SAN MATEO 1,730,525 $ SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO 1,095,127 $ WOODSIDE 94,804 $ Total 21,524,745 $

SMC Road Funding Before and After SB1

$- $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 FY 2015-16 FY 2016-17 FY 2017-18 FY 2018-19 FY 2019-20 FY 2020-21 FY 21-22 (SB1)

Baseline SB 1

Impact on Pavement Condition Index

Poor/Failed (0-49) At Risk (50-59) Good/Fair (60-79) Excellent/Very Good (80- 100)

Ideas + Action for a Better City

learn more at SPUR.org tweet about this event: @SPUR_Urbanist #TaxesforTransportation