I N V E S T O R P R E S E N T A T I O N
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I N V E S T O R P R E S E N T A T I O N Q 1 2 0 2 0 2 F O R W A - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
I N V E S T O R P R E S E N T A T I O N Q 1 2 0 2 0 2 F O R W A R D - L O O K I N G S T A T E M E N T S This presentation may include forward looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
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This presentation may include “forward‐looking statements” as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although D.R. Horton believes any such statements are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance that actual
expressed by the forward‐looking statements include, but are not limited to: the cyclical nature of the homebuilding and lot development industries and changes in economic, real estate and other conditions; constriction of the credit and public capital markets, which could limit our ability to access capital and increase our costs of capital; reductions in the availability of mortgage financing provided by government agencies, changes in government financing programs, a decrease in our ability to sell mortgage loans on attractive terms or an increase in mortgage interest rates; the risks associated with our land and lot inventory; our ability to effect our growth strategies, acquisitions or investments successfully; the impact of an inflationary, deflationary or higher interest rate environment; home warranty and construction defect claims; the effects of health and safety incidents; the effects of negative publicity; supply shortages and other risks of acquiring land, building materials and skilled labor; reductions in the availability of performance bonds; increases in the costs of owning a home; the effects of governmental regulations and environmental matters on
ability to manage and service our debt and comply with related debt covenants, restrictions and limitations; competitive conditions within the homebuilding and financial services industries; the effects of the loss of key personnel; and information technology failures and data security breaches. Additional information about issues that could lead to material changes in performance is contained in D.R. Horton’s annual report on Form 10‐K and subsequent quarterly report on Form 10-Q, both of which are filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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T R A D E D O N N Y S E A S D H I
Annual homes closed
ROI (HB) & ROE, respectively*
Annual consolidated revenues
Stockholders’ equity
Annual pre‐tax income
Book value per common share
As of or for the twelve-month period ended December 31, 2019 *See slides 12 and 13 for definition of ROI [Return on Inventory (Homebuilding)] and ROE (Return on Equity)
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9 0 M A R K E T S | 2 9 S T A T E S
As of or for the twelve-month period ended December 31, 2019 Savannah, Georgia is included in the East Region; Atlanta and Augusta, Georgia are included in the Southeast Region
EAST
Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, North and South Carolina, Pennsylvania, Virginia
MIDWEST
Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Ohio
SOUTHEAST
Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, Tennessee
SOUTH CENTRAL
Louisiana Oklahoma Texas
SOUTHWEST
Arizona New Mexico
WEST
California, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Washington
29% 25% 21% 13% 7% 5% 27% 25% 21% 12% 9% 6%
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Represents homes closed & price points for the twelve months ended 12/31/19
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As of or for the twelve months ended December 31, 2019
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Average employee tenure
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0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Total New U.S. Single-Family Houses Sold ('000s) DHI Homes Closed as a Percentage of U.S. Single-Family New Home Sales
Source: Company filings, Census Note: Periods represent full calendar year
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0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%
DFW Houston Atlanta Phoenix Austin
DHI Market Share Next Ranking Competitor Market Share
13 31 38 43 10 20 30 40 50 #1 Top 5 Top 10 Operate In
Source: Builder magazine ‐ 2019 Local Leaders issue, rankings based on homes closed in calendar 2018 and proforma for D.R. Horton’s acquisition of Westport Homes, a top 5 builder in Indianapolis, IN and Columbus, OH, which closed in November 2018
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16.6% 20.2% 19.3% 18.1% 18.7% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
FY 2017 FY 2018 TTM 12/31/18 FY 2019 TTM 12/31/19
Homebuilding ROI is calculated as homebuilding pre‐tax income for the year divided by average homebuilding inventory. Average homebuilding inventory in the ROI calculation is the sum of ending homebuilding inventory balances for the trailing five quarters divided by five.
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ROE is calculated as net income divided by average stockholders’ equity. Average stockholders’ equity in the ROE calculation is the sum of ending stockholders’ equity balances for the trailing five quarters divided by five. Leverage is calculated as homebuilding notes payable divided by stockholders’ equity plus homebuilding notes payable.
14.4% 17.6% 18.2% 17.2% 18.2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% FY 2017 FY 2018 TTM 12/31/18 FY 2019 TTM 12/31/19
ROE Leverage
ROE HB leverage
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$20.66 $23.88 $24.45 $27.20 $27.92
$0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $25.00 9/30/2017 9/30/2018 12/31/2018 9/30/2019 12/31/2019
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$600 $581 $304 $1,002 $1,438
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Acquisitions Debt Paydown Dividends Share Repurchases HB Cash Flow from Ops
Cash Flow from Homebuilding Operations
Acquisitions
Homebuilding Senior Notes Paydown
Shareholder Return through Dividends and Share Repurchases
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markets and 20 states as of December 31, 2019
*Expectations are for Forestar’s standalone operations
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*Based on current market conditions as noted on the Company’s Q1 FY20 conference call on 1/27/20
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Comparisons to prior year quarter
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2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 17,500 Sales Closings
1Q FY 2018 1Q FY 2019 1Q FY 2020 # of Homes
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$ in millions except per share data
12/31/2019 12/31/2018 9/30/2019 9/30/2018 Homes closed 12,959 11,500 56,975 51,857 Homebuilding Revenues: Home sales $ 3,863.3 $ 3,410.6 $ 16,925.0 $ 15,502.0 Land/lot sales 19.7 6.7 91.9 121.8 3,883.0 3,417.3 17,016.9 15,623.8 Gross profit: Home sales 811.7 681.4 3,417.9 3,306.5 Land/lot sales and other 6.4 1.6 16.8 22.7 Inventory and land option charges (3.5) (8.0) (53.2) (48.8) 814.6 675.0 3,381.5 3,280.4 SG&A 358.4 324.7 1,482.3 1,346.2 Interest and other (income) (5.4) (4.0) (11.5) (23.0) Homebuilding pre-tax income 461.6 354.3 1,910.7 1,957.2 Financial services, Forestar and other pre-tax income 61.7 21.4 214.6 102.8 Pre-tax income 523.3 375.7 2,125.3 2,060.0 Income tax expense 90.8 89.0 506.7 597.7 Net income 432.5 286.7 1,618.6 1,462.3 Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests 1.2 (0.5) 0.1 2.0 Net income attributable to D.R. Horton, Inc. $ 431.3 $ 287.2 $ 1,618.5 $ 1,460.3 Net income per diluted share $ 1.16 $ 0.76 $ 4.29 $ 3.81 3 MONTHS ENDED FISCAL YEAR ENDED
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20.0% 21.3% 20.0% 19.3% 20.3% 21.0% 20.2% 21.0% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% FY 2017 FY 2018 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 FY 2019 1Q20
Shown as a % of the Company’s homebuilding segment’s home sales revenues Includes interest amortized to cost of sales Refer to slide 4 of the Company’s Q1 FY20 Supplementary Data presentation for detailed components of home sales gross margin
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8.6% 8.7%
7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% $0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000 $16,000 $18,000 2018 2019 HB Rev $ SG&A %
9.5% 9.2%
7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% $0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000 Q1 FY19 Q1 FY20 HB Rev $ SG&A % HB Rev $ SG&A % HB Rev $ SG&A %
$ in millions Shown as a % of homebuilding revenues
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$2,060.0 $2,125.3 $0 $250 $500 $750 $1,000 $1,250 $1,500 $1,750 $2,000 $2,250 2018 2019 12.8% 12.1%
$375.7 $523.3 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 Q1 FY19 Q1 FY20 10.7% 13.0% PTI $ PTI $
$ in millions Shown as a % of consolidated revenues
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$ in millions except per share metrics Homebuilding cash and cash equivalents presented above includes $6.6 million, $8.0 million, and $8.7 million of restricted cash for the periods ended 12/31/19, 9/30/19 and 12/31/18, respectively.
12/31/2019 9/30/2019 12/31/2018 Homebuilding $ 1,159.5 $ 1,051.0 $ 546.2 Construction in progress and finished homes 5,603.3 5,249.0 5,840.4 Land inventories 5,282.3 5,036.6 5,057.8 10,885.6 10,285.6 10,898.2 Other assets 1,291.5 1,232.9 1,066.7 Deferred income taxes, net 154.1 163.1 181.4 Financial services, Forestar and other assets 2,832.2 2,874.0 1,843.3 Total assets $ 16,322.9 $ 15,606.6 $ 14,535.8 Homebuilding Notes payable $ 2,470.0 $ 2,047.6 $ 2,748.7 Other liabilities 1,865.3 1,751.1 1,791.2 Financial services, Forestar and other liabilities 1,484.7 1,512.8 697.7 Stockholders’ equity 10,227.4 10,020.9 9,124.7 Noncontrolling interests 275.5 274.2 173.5 Total equity 10,502.9 10,295.1 9,298.2 Total liabilities and equity $ 16,322.9 $ 15,606.6 $ 14,535.8 Debt to total capital – consolidated 27.0% 25.3% 26.8% Debt to total capital – homebuilding 19.5% 17.0% 23.2% Common shares outstanding 366.27 368.43 373.24 Book value per common share $ 27.92 $ 27.20 $ 24.45 Cash and cash equivalents
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24,600 27,900 31,800 27,700 30,200
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 9/30/17 9/30/18 12/31/18 9/30/19 12/31/19
Sold Specs
Homes in inventory excluding model homes
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125,000 124,300 128,500 121,400 123,400 124,000 164,200* 180,900* 185,900* 195,600* 249,000 288,500 309,400 307,300 319,000 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 9/30/17 9/30/18 12/31/18 9/30/19 12/31/19
Owned Controlled
*Includes lots owned or controlled by FOR that DHI has under contract or the right of first offer to purchase of 25,600, 23,400, 18,800 and 13,600 at 12/31/19, 9/30/19, 12/31/18 and 9/30/18, respectively
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H O M E B U I L D I N G P U B L I C D E B T M A T U R I T I E S B Y Y E A R $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 FY 20 FY 21 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 25
4.750%
$350 $500*
4.000% 4.375% 5.750%
$700
$ in millions *plan to repay at maturity utilizing cash on hand and revolving credit facility as necessary
$400
2.550%
$500
2.500%