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How to get through tough times? Incentra Holmen Fjordhotel, Astrid - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

How to get through tough times? Incentra Holmen Fjordhotel, Astrid P. Nordtorp, DNB 6 September, 2016 There are risk and costs to a program of action. But they are far less than the long- range risks and costs of comfortable inact ction


  1. How to get through tough times? Incentra Holmen Fjordhotel, Astrid P. Nordtorp, DNB 6 September, 2016

  2. “There are risk and costs to a program of action. But they are far less than the long- range risks and costs of comfortable inact ction ion» John F. Kennedy

  3. The oil field value chain: OSV support Semi-sub rig Jack-up rig Semi-sub rig OSV support OSV support OSV support Field Floating Seismic Exploration Equipment Subsea Production Shuttle tanker development production assessment drilling manufacturing construction drilling transportation engineering (FPSO) Seismic vessel Pipe-lay vessel OSV support w/streamers FPSO Subsea construction OSV support vessel

  4. The negative effect of oversupply continues: 70% Over building Absorption Balance Over building 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% - -10% -20% -30% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016e 2017e* Offshore Supply, Seismic and Subsea construction Deepwater and Jack-up Rigs Offshore E&P Spending Source: DNB Markets Research

  5. Low rig utilization is expected through 2017… 1000 120% 100% 800 80% 600 60% 400 40% 200 20% 0 0% 2013 2014 2015 E2016 E2017 Jack-ups and floaters demand Jack-ups and floaters supply Jack-ups utilization Floaters utilization Source: Clarksons Research (February 2016)

  6. … and even lower utilization for OSV! 2200 95% 2000 90% 1800 85% 1600 80% 1400 No. Units 75% 1200 1000 70% 800 65% 600 60% 400 55% 200 0 50% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 E2016 E2017 PSV and AHTS demand PSV and AHTS supply Large OSV Utilization Source: Clarksons Research (February 2016)

  7. It’s not only about the oil price… Techn- Cost- Drop in oil Brazil and Over- cutting price Mexico ology supply

  8. …its also about too much debt in the OSV sector 11,957 11,849 12,980 12,178 9,687 7,980 7,980 100% 66% 72% 75% 75% 85% 95% 95% 34% 28% 25% 25% 15% 5% 5% 31/12/2010 31/12/2011 31/12/2012 31/12/2013 31/12/2014 31/12/2015 05/04/2016 Net debt Market Cap Note: Capital structure shown aggregated for Deep Sea Supply, DOF, Eidesvik Offshore, Farstad Shipping, Havila Shipping, Siem Offshore and Solstad Offshore Source: FactSet

  9. It’s not about runway through 2020

  10. This industry needs structural change (within our outside this value chain): OSV support Semi-sub rig Jack-up rig Semi-sub rig OSV support OSV support OSV support Field Floating Seismic Exploration Equipment Subsea Production Shuttle tanker development production assessment drilling manufacturing construction drilling transportation engineering (FPSO) Seismic vessel Pipe-lay vessel w/streamers OSV support FPSO Subsea construction OSV support vessel

  11. This industry needs more scrapping to bridge the gap between demand and supply

  12. This industry needs owners that focus beyond ownership: Med Aker på laget vil Solstad bruke nedturen til å vokse – Nå kan vi finne på noe, sier Lars Peder Solstad.

  13. This industry needs owners that focus beyond their current operation:

  14. This industry needs lower gearing

  15. The industry needs to be re-capitalized Market Outlook Management / Sponsor Corporate Governance Size and liquidit y

  16. We’re in this boat together

  17. Thank you

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