Housing Market John E. Lazenby, ABR, AHWD, CIPS, GKC Colony Realty - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Housing Market John E. Lazenby, ABR, AHWD, CIPS, GKC Colony Realty - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The Orlando Housing Market John E. Lazenby, ABR, AHWD, CIPS, GKC Colony Realty Group, Inc. 2016 ORRA President Orlando Annual Home Sales Annual home sales have more than doubled since the low of 2008 Annual Home Sales 35,151 28,765 30,712


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SLIDE 1

The Orlando Housing Market

John E. Lazenby, ABR, AHWD, CIPS, GKC Colony Realty Group, Inc. 2016 ORRA President

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SLIDE 2

Annual Home Sales

Orlando Annual Home Sales

Annual home sales have more than doubled since the low of 2008 16,744 14,880 23,921 28,701 27,791 28,765 30,712 30,369 35,151

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

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SLIDE 3

October Median Price

Orlando Median Price

October’s median price has increased by 95 percent since October 2010 $235,000 $175,650 $130,000 $105,000 $112,500 $122,500 $154,000 $160,000 $179,900 $205,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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SLIDE 4

October Home Sales by Price Range

Orlando Home Sales by Price Range

36 percent of homes sold in October were priced $100,000 to $199,999 314 969 793 306 141 40 38 12 13 2 36

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SLIDE 5

October Home Inventory

Orlando Inventory

October inventory decreased 62 percent since October 2007 26,330 24,657 15,743 15,441 9,973 8,094 9,470 12,507 11,411 10,025

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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SLIDE 6

October Months of Inventory

Orlando Months of Inventory

5-7 months of inventory is generally considered a “balanced market” 24.16 20.08 6.79 7.91 4.64 3.13 3.97 4.33 3.97 3.76

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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SLIDE 7

October Days on Market

Orlando Average Days on Market

Homes are going under contract in approximately 2 months 111 110 92 91 106 79 64 72 71 61

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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SLIDE 8

October Pending Home Sales

Orlando Pending Home Sales

October’s pending home sales have decreased almost 49 percent since October 2012 1,923 3,316 9,050 8,817 8,937 9,252 7,099 6,384 5,281 4,719

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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SLIDE 9

October Average Interest Rate

Average Interest Rate

Interest rates have returned to levels seen in 2012 and remain low 6.21% 6.30% 5.02% 4.28% 4.21% 3.49% 4.28% 4.05% 3.86% 3.57%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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SLIDE 10

Short Sales: 2.82%

October 2015: 3.86%

Normal Sales: 88.10%

October 2015: 76.61%

Foreclosures: 9.08%

October 2015: 19.53%

Orlando Home Sales by Type

Normal sales made up 88 percent of all home sales in October 2016

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SLIDE 11

October Median Price by Sales Type

Orlando Median Price by Sales Type

Sales of all types have seen mixed median price changes $124,360 $145,450 $125,000 $150,000 $195,750 $212,000

2015 2016

Foreclosure Short Sale Normal

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SLIDE 12

Sales in 2016 (YTD)

YTD County Snapshot: Orange

All zip code reports available at www.orlandorealtors.org.

Total Units Sold 17,733 Total Sales Volume $4,550,069,763 Average Sales Price $256,588 Average Cost Per Square Foot $132.37

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SLIDE 13

Sales in 2016 (YTD)

YTD County Snapshot: Seminole

All zip code reports available at www.orlandorealtors.org.

Total Units Sold 7,191 Total Sales Volume $1,606,595,367 Average Sales Price $223,418 Average Cost Per Square Foot $114.02

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SLIDE 14

Sales in 2016 (YTD)

YTD County Snapshot: Osceola

All zip code reports available at www.orlandorealtors.org.

Total Units Sold 5,658 Total Sales Volume $1,128,635,860 Average Sales Price $199,476 Average Cost Per Square Foot $106.72

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SLIDE 15

Sales in 2016 (YTD)

YTD County Snapshot: Lake

All zip code reports available at www.orlandorealtors.org.

Total Units Sold 5,719 Total Sales Volume $1,109,462,478 Average Sales Price $193,996 Average Cost Per Square Foot $102.66

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SLIDE 16

Issues Affecting the Real Estate Market

Tough credit standards

  • Mortgage rates are low, but down payment requirements

required and the credit worthiness of the borrower can make it difficult to secure a loan.

  • Great rates are only available to those with a good credit and

a substantial down payment. A real crunch may come if rates rise and credit standards also remain high.

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SLIDE 17

Issues Affecting the Real Estate Market

Competition from all cash buyers

  • YTD - 31.02% of sales have been all cash.
  • Often fueled by international investors and retirees

flooded with cash after selling their homes elsewhere.

  • First-time homebuyers often get squeezed out to the

market.

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SLIDE 18

Issues Affecting the Real Estate Market

Low inventory of homes in lower price range available

  • Active listings under $200,000 in October 2015: 4,407

Active listings under $200,000 in October 2016: 2,973

  • According to MetroStudy, new home starts in the $250K

to $299K price range numbered 2,968 in 1Q16, up 37.6% from 2,157 in 1Q15, while starts in the $150K to $199K and below $150K price ranges continued to decline to 713 and 25, respectively.

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SLIDE 19

Issues Affecting the Real Estate Market

Millennials make up 32 percent of homebuyers nationally

  • Nearly two-thirds are saving cash in order to buy their

first home.

  • What’s holding back some Millennials from buying?
  • Outstanding student loan debt
  • Higher unemployment rates
  • Challenging mortgage loan underwriting guidelines
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SLIDE 20

More info at

  • rlandorealtors.org

Contact ORRA at orra@orlandorealtors.org