Ho using Ne e ds a nd Cha ng ing De mo g ra phic s Zo ning Co - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Ho using Ne e ds a nd Cha ng ing De mo g ra phic s Zo ning Co mmissio n Wo rk Se ssio n F e b rua ry 4, 2020 Ag e nda Unde rsta nding Ho using T re nds Cha ng ing De mo g ra phic s Using e xisting ho using to me e t de ma


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SLIDE 1

Ho using Ne e ds a nd Cha ng ing De mo g ra phic s

Zo ning Co mmissio n Wo rk Se ssio n F e b rua ry 4, 2020

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SLIDE 2

Ag e nda

  • Unde rsta nding Ho using T

re nds

  • Cha ng ing De mo g ra phic s
  • Using e xisting ho using to me e t de ma nd
  • Ne w c o nstruc tio n to me e t de ma nds: c a se studie s
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SLIDE 3

I mpo rta nc e o f Ho using

  • Ba sic huma n ne e d
  • I

mpo rta nt ro le in sha ping o ur ne ig hb o rho o ds a nd c o mmunitie s, a nd re a c hing so c ia l, e c o no mic a nd c ultura l ne e ds

  • Ho using ma ke s up 20% o f GDP in a he a lthy e c o no my
  • Histo ric a lly, it’ s the g re a te st so urc e o f we a lth & sa ving s
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SLIDE 4

Cha ng e s in Pe o ple – Ho use ho lds – Ho using Units

  • Pe o ple living a lo ne (sing le wo me n, divo rc e e s, se nio rs)
  • Unre la te d ho use ma te s
  • Co uple s witho ut c hildre n (b e fo re kids, ne ve r ha d kids, a fte r kids)
  • Co uple s with c hildre n
  • Sing le -pa re nt fa milie s
  • Multi-g e ne ra tio na l fa milie s
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SLIDE 5

E vo lutio n o f Ho using Style s 1920s – 1930s

Yo ung sto wn, Akro n, Cle ve la nd Are a

Cha ra c te ristic s

  • 45% ho me o wne rship ra te
  • Sma ll lo ts
  • Ofte n lo c a te d c lo se to the stre e t with fro nt po rc he s
  • Ca rria g e ho use
  • Sma ll c lo se ts with b uilt-in sto ra g e
  • Sma ll kitc he ns
  • L

a rg e r fa milie s – kids sha re d b e dro o m

  • De nse r ne ig hb o rho o ds – b e fo re a uto s we re

c o mmo npla c e

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SLIDE 6

E vo lutio n o f Ho using Style s 1940s – 1970s Po st Wa r Bo o m

Yo ung sto wn, Akro n, Cle ve la nd Are a

Cha ra c te ristic s

  • Ra pid g ro wth in US po pula tio n; spike in ho me o wne rship ra te

(60%+)

  • Ho using de ve lo pme nt shifte d to sub urb s with b o o m in c a r

sa le s; a ds e mpha size g a ra g e s & drive wa ys

  • Inc re a se d mo de rn c o nve nie nc e s: c e ntra l he a ting , AC
  • Ne w style s: b ung a lo ws, sing le -sto ry ra nc he s, b i-le ve l, split le ve l
  • Ho use s b uilt n 1940-1950 sma lle r (o n a vg ) tha n tho se b uilt a ny
  • the r de c a de
  • Ofte n multi-g e ne ra tio na l ho use ho lds
  • 1960s – first time ho using wa s ta rg e te d to re tire e s; ho me o wne rs

who no lo ng e r ne e de d a b ig ho me , a nd a lso e njo ye d living in a c o mmunity g e a re d to wa rd me e ting the ne e ds o f the ir a g e g ro up.

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SLIDE 7

E vo lutio n o f Ho using Style s 1980s – 2000s

Yo ung sto wn, Akro n, Cle ve la nd Are a

Cha ra c te ristic s

  • De c lining / sta g na nt g ro wth in NE

O

  • Po pula tio n shifts to o ute r sub urb s a nd e xurb a n
  • 1980s – Big ho me s o n sma ll lo ts
  • 1990s – Big g e r ho me s o n la rg e r lo ts with b ig g e r

ma ste r suite s

  • Zo ning re q uire s minimum flo o r a re a –

re stric ts/ pro hib its a pa rtme nts

  • Pric e y ne w c o nstruc tio n c a te rs to mo ve up ho using

(me dia n listing pric e o f ho me s b uilt in 2010 is >2x ho me s b uilt in the 1900s, 1910s, a nd 1940s)

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SLIDE 8

I mpa c t o f 2008 Cra sh

Na tio na lly & NE O

  • Big g e st disruptio n to ho using ma rke t sinc e

g re a t de pre ssio n

  • Ho using ma rke ts with la rg e r spike s in

fo re c lo sure s ha d hig he r jump in re nte r ho use ho lds

  • Olde r mille nnia ls (26-34) b uying a t slo we r ra te

tha n c o unte rpa rts 10 ye a rs a g o

  • Wo me n re nt a t a hig he r ra te tha n ma le s
  • We a lthy ho use ho lds – ste e pe st de c line in

ho me o wne rship (do wn to 80%), b ut hig he r tha n me dia n (~59%)

  • Re nta l ra te s up 22.3% vs. inc o me do wn 5.8%
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SLIDE 9

De mo g ra phic T re nds

F e we r F a milie s with Childre n

  • 20% o f Ho use ho lds a re fa milie s with c hildre n (o nc e wa s the do mina te

ho use ho ld type )

  • Wo me n ha ving fe we r c hildre n, a nd la te r in life
  • F

e rtility ra te s re a c hing re c o rd lo ws

  • Smalle r

familie s ne e d fe we r be dr

  • oms
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SLIDE 10

De mo g ra phic T re nds

Mille nnia ls a nd Bo o me rs Do mina te L iving T re nds

  • 79.8 Millio n Mille nnia ls a re U.S.A.’ s

la rg e st living g e ne ra tio n

  • Ag e s 18-35
  • In 2014, fo r the first time in mo re

tha n 130 ye a rs, yo ung a dults we re

mor e like ly to be living in the ir pa r e nts’ home tha n in a ny o the r

living a rra ng e me nt.

  • T

he mille nnia l po pula tio n is e xpe c te d to c o ntinue g ro wing a s a re sult o f immig ra tio n.

  • 34% o f Ho me b uye rs we re Mille nnia ls

(2017)

  • 66% a r

e e xpe c te d to buy home s in the ne xt five ye a r s.

  • L
  • o king fo r ne wly c o nstruc te d

e ntry-le ve l ho me s, ye t a ve ra g e ho me va lue is “fa r to o e xpe nsive ” fo r ma ny o f to da y’ s mille nnia ls.

  • Ide a l lo c a tio n: Mille nnia ls wa nt a

ho me c lo se to wo rk so the y do n’ t ha ve to wa ste mo ne y o n g a s. L ike ly to wa lk/ b ike to wo rk.

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SLIDE 11

De mo g ra phic T re nds

Mille nnia ls a nd Bo o me rs Do mina te L iving T re nds

  • 74.1 Millio n Bo o me rs a re the U.S.’ s

Se c o nd Big g e st Ge ne ra tio n

  • Ag e s 52-70
  • T

he mo st influe ntia l g e ne ra tio n o f

  • ur time will b e re tiring o ve r the

ne xt 15 ye a rs.

  • As the y b e c o me e mpty ne ste rs,

Bo o me rs a re re lo c a ting a nd ofte n

ar e looking for fir st floor maste r living within the ir

  • wn c ommunitie s.
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SLIDE 12

De mo g ra phic T re nds

Multig e ne ra tio na l L iving

  • 64 millio n Ame ric a n live s in

inte rg e ne ra tio na l ho use ho lds

  • 1 in 5 Ame ric a ns
  • Ho use ho lds with a t le a st 2 a dult

g e ne ra tio ns o r g ra ndpa re nts a nd g ra ndc hildre n yo ung e r tha n 25.

  • Gro wing ra c ia l a nd e thnic dive rsity

in the U.S., a nd hig h c o st o f se nio r ho using he lps e xpla in so me o f the rise in multig e ne ra tio na l living .

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SLIDE 13

Pro file o f 60+ Po pula tio n, 2000; 2010, L AK E COUNT Y

So urc e : “L a ke Co unty, Ohio Se nio r Citize ns: T

  • da y, T
  • mo rro w a nd in the F

uture ” Re po rt 2015

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SLIDE 14

U.S. Ce nsus 2010, 60+ a s Pe rc e nt o f Po pula tio n

  • f L

a ke Co unty Jurisdic tio ns

So urc e : “L a ke Co unty, Ohio Se nio r Citize ns: T

  • da y, T
  • mo rro w a nd in the F

uture ” Re po rt 2015

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SLIDE 15

So urc e : “L a ke Co unty, Ohio Se nio r Citize ns: T

  • da y, T
  • mo rro w a nd in the F

uture ” Re po rt 2015

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SLIDE 16

Pro je c te d Cha ng e in 60+ Po pula tio n b y L a ke Co unty Jurisdic tio ns, 2010 to 2030

So urc e : “L a ke Co unty, Ohio Se nio r Citize ns: T

  • da y, T
  • mo rro w a nd in the F

uture ” Re po rt 2015

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SLIDE 17
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SLIDE 18

Ho using Units, Ye a r Co nstruc te d

Built 2010 or late r 6% Built 2000 to 2009 18% Built 1980 to 1999 39% Built 1970 to 1979 19% Built 1940 to 1970 16% Built 1939 or e ar lie r 2%

C o nc o rd T

  • wnship

2014-2018 ACS E stima te s

# o f Units Pe rc e nt

  • f T
  • ta l

Built 2010 o r la te r 442 6% Built 2000 to 2009 1,356 18% Built 1980 to 1999 2,973 39% Built 1970 to 1979 1,451 19% Built 1940 to 1970 1182 16% Built 1939 o r e a rlie r 148 2% T

  • ta l Ho using Units

7,552 100%

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SLIDE 19

E xisting Ho using Units

Co nc o rd T

  • wnship

Housing 2000 % of T

  • tal

2010 % of T

  • tal

2020* % of T

  • tal

1-unit, de ta c he d 4,450 75.5% 5,838 80.6% 6,427 82.0% 1-unit a tta c he d 964 16.4% 958 13.2% 958 12.2% 2-4 units 143 2.4% 132 1.8% 132 1.7% 5+ units 337 5.7% 317 4.4% 317 4.0% Mo b ile ho me 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% T

  • ta l units

5,896 7,245 7,834

2020 E stima te b a se d o n 589 ne w de ta c he d sing le fa mily ho use s b uilt b e twe e n 2010 a nd 2019.

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SLIDE 20

Co nc o rd Ho using Sto c k b y Numb e r o f Be dro o ms

So urc e : U.S. Ce nsus Bure a u, 2014-2018, ACS E stima te s

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SLIDE 21

Co nc o rd Ho use ho lds b y the Numb e rs

So urc e : U.S. Ce nsus Bure a u, 2014-2018, ACS E stima te s

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SLIDE 22

Co nc o rd T

  • wnship, Ho use ho lds, 2018 E

stima te s

  • Ave ra g e ho use ho ld size is 2.49, a nd ha s b e e n de c lining sinc e 1980 whe re it

wa s 3.4

  • 29% o f ho use ho lds ha ve c hildre n unde r 18 ye a rs o ld
  • 49% o f ho use ho lds ha ve o ne o r mo re pe o ple 60 ye a rs a nd o ve r
  • 24.6% o f ho use ho lde rs live a lo ne
  • E

stima te d Me dia n Ag e 47.3 in 2018 (Up fro m 41.4 in 2000)

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SLIDE 23
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SLIDE 24

2020's T

  • p Ho me T

re nds

Na tio na l

  • Sing le F

a mily Ho me s still the mo st po pula r b e ing b uilt de spite the a ffo rda b ility issue

  • F
  • llo we d b y to wnho me s, c o ndo s

a nd c o -o ps, a nd ma nufa c ture d ho me s.

  • Ho me s a re g e tting sma lle r (Ave .

2,520 SF )

  • F

irst time b uye rs mo re like ly to purc ha se e xisting ho me , ve rsus re pe a t b uye rs purc ha se ne w.

"Builde rs re spond to de ma nd out the re in the ma rke t, a nd the de ma nd rig ht now is mostly from e ntry- le ve l buye rs a nd first- time buye rs," sa ys Quint. "T he y're re sponding to the a fforda bility c risis by shifting the ir produc t to sma lle r, more a fforda ble home s."

So urc e : 2020’ s T

  • p Ho me T

re nds, Re a lto r.c o m, Ja n. 23, 2020

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SLIDE 25

L a rg e Ho me s b e ing Co nstruc te d

De spite de ma nd fo r sma lle r units

So urc e : T hird q ua rte r 2019 da ta fro m the Ce nsus Qua rte rly Sta rts a nd Co mple tio ns b y Purpo se a nd De sig n

  • Me dia n sing le -fa mily sq ua re flo o r

a re a tic ke d up to 2,264 sq ua re fe e t.

  • Ave ra g e (me a n) sq ua re fo o ta g e

fo r ne w sing le -fa mily ho me s de c line d to 2,464 sq ua re fe e t.

  • Size will tre nd lo we r a s b uilde rs a dd

mo re e ntry-le ve l ho me s

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SLIDE 26

Ne e d fo r a Wide r Ra ng e o f Ho using Optio ns

One o f the b ig g e st c o nstra ints o n the ho using ma rke t is tig ht supply. Va rie ty o fte n diffic ult to a c hie ve b e c a use zo ning tha t ma nda te s la rg e sing le fa mily ho use o n la rg e r lo t.

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SLIDE 27

Using E xisting Ho using to Me e t De ma nd

Ac c e sso ry Dwe lling Units

  • Se pa ra te living unit with pro visio ns

fo r sle e ping , c o o king , a nd sa nita tio n,

  • E

ithe r a tta c he d o r de ta c he d fro m prima ry dwe lling

  • But o n the sa me pa rc e l o f la nd
  • Also re fe rre d to a s:
  • Gra nny-fla ts
  • I

n-la w a pa rtme nts

  • Ba c kya rd c o tta g e s
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SLIDE 28

Ac c e sso ry Dwe lling Units

Who L ive s in ADU?

  • Mille nnia ls with stude nt de b t, who c a n’ t

a ffo rd a ho use c lo se to wo rk a nd with g o o d sc ho o ls fo r yo ung fa milie s.

  • Bo o me rs who wa nt to sta y in the ir

c o mmunity b ut a re o n fixe d inc o me s, a nd ma y no t b e a b le to a ffo rd living a lo ne .

  • E

na b le s e lde rly pa re nts to live c lo se while still ma inta ining priva c y a nd inde pe nde nc e .

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SLIDE 29

Ac c e sso ry Dwe lling Units

T ypic a l Re g ula tio ns

  • Re q uire the prima ry ho me o wne r to live

in o ne o f the two units

  • Re stric t the min. a nd ma x. size o f units
  • L

imit the numb e r o f b e dro o ms in the ADU

  • Pro hib it se pa ra te e xte rio r e ntra nc e to

ADU

  • Only a llo we d o n lo ts tha t me e t c e rta in
  • min. size s a nd/ o r limite d to c e rta in

zo ning distric ts.

  • Re ma ins a s a n a c c e sso ry use / struc ture

to the ma in dwe lling , c a n no t b e so ld se pa ra te ly.

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SLIDE 30

Ne w Co nstruc tio n to Me e t De ma nd

  • Ca se Studie s
  • I

n-fill de ve lo pme nts

  • Mixe d-Use
  • Se nio r Ho using
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SLIDE 31

Mc K inle y Pla c e

L a ke wo o d , Ohio

  • T

he fo rme r Mc K inle y E le me nta ry Sc ho o l in L a ke wo o d ha s b e e n de mo lishe d, ma king wa y fo r a ne w 40 unit

townhouse de ve lopme nt offe r ing housing oppor tunitie s for e mpty ne ste r s a s we ll a s mille nnia ls.

  • T

his pub lic / priva te pa rtne rship with the City o f L a ke wo o d is histo ric a s the City a c tive ly wo rks to re pla c e the ir a g ing ho using sto c k with ne w, c o nte mpo ra ry ho using o ptio ns.

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SLIDE 32

Hudso n, Ohio

Do wnto wn Ph. 2

  • Re spo nds to the c ha ng ing ma rke t a nd

po pula tio n tre nds b y:

  • Using e xisting b ro wnfie ld , ind ustria l-type

pro pe rtie s fo r ho using ra the r tha n o pe n g re e n spa c e a re a s.

  • Ad d ing ne w ho using c ho ic e s tha t

a d d re ss the ne e d s o f o ur a g ing po pula tio n.

  • Re spo nd ing to ma rke t tre nd s tha t sho w

b a b y b o o me rs a nd mille nnia ls wa nt wa lka b le ne ig hb o rho o d s, within a sho rt d ista nc e to wo rk, sho pping , d ining a nd

  • utd o o r pa rks a nd tra ils.
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SLIDE 33

Co nc o rd T

  • wnship

Ne w T

  • wn Ce nte r
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SLIDE 34

Co nc o rd T

  • wnship

Ne w T

  • wn Ce nte r
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SLIDE 35

No tre Da me Villa g e Se nio r L iving

Munso n T

  • wnship

Re side nc e s inc lude c o tta g e ho me s, inde pe nde nt living a pa rtme nts, a nd me mo ry c a re a ssiste d living

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SLIDE 36

Vista Spring s, Assiste d L iving

  • All-inc lusive ra te

pro vide s thre e me a ls, ho use ke e ping , ma inte na nc e , a nd a pe nda nt to pre ss fo r he lp a t a ny time .

  • 94 units
  • Studio s to 2-b e dro o m

units

  • Built in 2016
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SLIDE 37

Hyg ro ve Villa s Co ndo miniums

  • 51 units, b e g a n c o nstruc tio n 2019
  • One -sto ry a nd T

wo -sto ry units a va ila b le ; 1,686 sq . ft. to 2,665 sq . ft.

  • F

re e sta nding c o ndo minium ho me site s tha t o ffe r a lo w ma inte na nc e a lte rna tive to sing le -fa mily ho me s

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SLIDE 38

No w wha t?

I de a s to Co nside r

  • Do we ha ve de ve lo pme nt re g ula tio ns in pla c e tha t wo uld a llo w fo r ne w

ho using o r e xpa nde d ho using units to me e t the ne e ds o f o ur c ha ng ing ho use ho lds?

  • Do we ne e d so me thing ne w?
  • Ca pita l Distric t – I

nno va tive Site / PD o r R-3, o r R-2, PUD

  • Ca n the R-3 Distric t b e a to o l to pe rmit sma lle r ho using units? Se nio r

Ho using ? I f so , whe re ? Do e s the c urre nt purpo se sta te me nt ne e d re vise d?

  • Wha t a b o ut a c c e sso ry dwe lling units?