SLIDE 1
High Baroclinic Equatorial Kelvin Waves and Central Pacific Surface Warming
Peter C Chu
Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA, USA
Jilin Sun and Qinyu Liu
Ocean University of China Qingdao, China Email: pcchu@nps.edu http://www.oc.nps.navy.mil/~chu
SLIDE 2 Outline
- Enhancing Counter Mode (ECM)
- Second Baroclinic Equatorial Kelvin Waves
- Two-Stage Air-Sea Interaction for the El
Nino Onset
SLIDE 3
Central Pacific Warming Prior to the El Nino Onsets in 90’s
SLIDE 4
1997 El Nino – Central Pacific Warming (Picaut et al. 2002)
SLIDE 5 1997 El Nino – Westerly Wind Burst (Picaut et
SLIDE 6
Equatorial Current System
Upper Layer: Westward Flowing South Equatorial Current (SEC) Thermocline: Eastward Flowing Equatorial Counter Current (EUC)
SLIDE 7
McPhaden et al. (JGR, 1998)
SLIDE 8 Mean Current System
– SEC (Westward)
– EUC (Eastward)
- Mean Surface Cold Advection (Mean
Surface Temperature Decreasing Eastward)
SLIDE 9 Perturbation Current System Enhancing Counter Mode (ECM)
Flow
Flow
Surface Cold Advection
SLIDE 10
Enhancing CM Detected from TAO Data
SLIDE 11 Upper Layer and Thermocline (Wyrtki and Kilonsky 1984)
- Hawaii to Tahiti Temperature Data (1978-1980)
- Upper Layer
– Surface to 25oC depth
– 25oC depth to 15oC depth
SLIDE 12
(a) 165oE (b) 140oW
Daily Mean Depths of 25oC (Solid) and 15oC (dashed) Isotherms at (a) 165oE, and (b) 140oW along the Equator.
SLIDE 13
Enhancing CM detected from the TAO data at 165oE. Here solid (dashed) curve is the upper layer (thermocline) zonal speed anomaly.
SLIDE 14
Time evolution of SST anomaly at 165oE (solid). Note that SST warm anomaly appears during the ECM periods.
SLIDE 15
Time evolution of zonal wind speed anomaly (m/s) at 165oE obtained from the TAO data. Note that the west wind anomaly ( > 0) appears during the ECM periods.
SLIDE 16 Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) System (Carton et al., 2000)
- MOM (NOAA/GFDL)
- 62oS – 62oN
- Data Assimilated
– WOA-94 – Satellite Altimetry (GEOSAT, ERS-1, T/P)
– Zonal 1o – Meridional Varying, 0.4286o near the equator
SLIDE 17 ECM Detected from SODA Data
- Monthly mean temperature and velocity data since
1950.
- SST
- Upper Layer Zonal Velocity
- Thermocline Zonal Velocity
SLIDE 18
↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓
Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE
SLIDE 19
Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE
↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓
SLIDE 20
↓ ↓ ↓ ↓
Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE
SLIDE 21
↓ ↓
Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE
SLIDE 22
Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE
↓ ↓ ↓
SLIDE 23
Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE
↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓
SLIDE 24
Propagation of Second-Baroclinic Kelvin Waves and ECM
Typical temperature profile and Brunt-Vaisala Frequency at the Equatorial Pacific
SLIDE 25
Three gravest vertical modes for u’ calculated using a linear, continuously stratified, hydrostatic model with the Boussinesq approximation [after Philander, 1990]. Note that the node for the first baroclinic mode is at around 1500 m depth.
SLIDE 26 Equatorial Layered Model (McCreary and Yu, 1992)
– The First Two Layers Active – The Third Layer Motionless
- Momentum Balance
- Heat Balance
- Entrainment/Detrainment Rate
- Wind Forcing
- 1o X 1o Resolution
SLIDE 27
SLIDE 28
Model Parameters (McCreary and Yu, 1992)
SLIDE 29
Model Area
15oN 15oS 0o 100o
SLIDE 30
Surface Winds (Trade Winds)
Y(y)=1 (No Latitudinal Variance). T(t) = Ramp function that increases linearly from 0 to 1 in the first 5 days
SLIDE 31
Zonal Variation of the Trade Winds
SLIDE 32
Initial Conditions
SLIDE 33 Model Integration
- (1) Model is integrated for 1080 days to reach
nearly equilibrium state.
- (2) Westerly wind patch is added at day-1080 for
25 days, and then is removed.
- (3) Model is integrated for 1000 days.
SLIDE 34
Control Run
Layer Thickness Anomaly (m) at Day-1080: (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer.
SLIDE 35
Control Run
Horizontal Currents at Day-1080. (a) 1st Layer: SEC; 2nd Layer: EUC
SLIDE 36
Westward Shift of the Trade Wind Maximum X = 53o
Westward Shift of Maximum Currents
SLIDE 37
Trade Winds Reduced to 85%
(a) SEC weakens (b) EUC weakens
SLIDE 38
Trade Winds Reduced to 70%
(a) SEC weakens (b) EUC weakens
SLIDE 39
Westerly Wind Burst Patch
Westerly wind = 10 m/s Westerly wind patch is added at day-1080 for 25 days, and then is removed.
SLIDE 40
Time-Longitude Cross Section of Zonal Velocity Anomaly (cm/s) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Control Run)
SLIDE 41
Time-Longitude Cross Section of Temperature Anomaly (oC) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Control Run)
SLIDE 42
Time-Longitude Cross Section of Zonal Velocity Anomaly (cm/s) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Wind Maximum Shifted Westward)
SLIDE 43
Time-Longitude Cross Section of Temperature Anomaly (oC) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Wind Maximum Shifted Westward)
SLIDE 44
Time-Longitude Cross Section of Zonal Velocity Anomaly (cm/s) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Winds Reduced to 85%)
SLIDE 45
Time-Longitude Cross Section of Temperature Anomaly (oC) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Winds Reduced to 85% )
SLIDE 46
Time-Longitude Cross Section of Zonal Velocity Anomaly (cm/s) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Winds Reduced to 70%)
SLIDE 47
Time-Longitude Cross Section of Temperature Anomaly (oC) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Winds Reduced to 70% )
SLIDE 48 Conclusions
- ECM weakens the surface cold advection
that may lead to central Pacific warming
- Second baroclinic Kelvin waves cause
ECM.
- Two-stage air-sea interaction mechanism is
proposed for the El Nino onset.
SLIDE 49
Two-Stage Air-Sea Interaction Mechanism