High Baroclinic Equatorial Kelvin Waves and Central Pacific Surface - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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High Baroclinic Equatorial Kelvin Waves and Central Pacific Surface - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

High Baroclinic Equatorial Kelvin Waves and Central Pacific Surface Warming Peter C Chu Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA, USA Jilin Sun and Qinyu Liu Ocean University of China Qingdao, China Email: pcchu@nps.edu


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SLIDE 1

High Baroclinic Equatorial Kelvin Waves and Central Pacific Surface Warming

Peter C Chu

Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, CA, USA

Jilin Sun and Qinyu Liu

Ocean University of China Qingdao, China Email: pcchu@nps.edu http://www.oc.nps.navy.mil/~chu

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SLIDE 2

Outline

  • Enhancing Counter Mode (ECM)
  • Second Baroclinic Equatorial Kelvin Waves
  • Two-Stage Air-Sea Interaction for the El

Nino Onset

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SLIDE 3

Central Pacific Warming Prior to the El Nino Onsets in 90’s

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SLIDE 4

1997 El Nino – Central Pacific Warming (Picaut et al. 2002)

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SLIDE 5

1997 El Nino – Westerly Wind Burst (Picaut et

  • al. 2002)
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SLIDE 6

Equatorial Current System

Upper Layer: Westward Flowing South Equatorial Current (SEC) Thermocline: Eastward Flowing Equatorial Counter Current (EUC)

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SLIDE 7

McPhaden et al. (JGR, 1998)

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SLIDE 8

Mean Current System

  • Upper Layer

– SEC (Westward)

  • Thermocline

– EUC (Eastward)

  • Mean Surface Cold Advection (Mean

Surface Temperature Decreasing Eastward)

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SLIDE 9

Perturbation Current System Enhancing Counter Mode (ECM)

  • Upper Layer Eastward

Flow

  • Thermocline westward

Flow

  • Reduction of Mean

Surface Cold Advection

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SLIDE 10

Enhancing CM Detected from TAO Data

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SLIDE 11

Upper Layer and Thermocline (Wyrtki and Kilonsky 1984)

  • Hawaii to Tahiti Temperature Data (1978-1980)
  • Upper Layer

– Surface to 25oC depth

  • Thermocline

– 25oC depth to 15oC depth

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SLIDE 12

(a) 165oE (b) 140oW

Daily Mean Depths of 25oC (Solid) and 15oC (dashed) Isotherms at (a) 165oE, and (b) 140oW along the Equator.

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Enhancing CM detected from the TAO data at 165oE. Here solid (dashed) curve is the upper layer (thermocline) zonal speed anomaly.

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Time evolution of SST anomaly at 165oE (solid). Note that SST warm anomaly appears during the ECM periods.

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Time evolution of zonal wind speed anomaly (m/s) at 165oE obtained from the TAO data. Note that the west wind anomaly ( > 0) appears during the ECM periods.

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Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) System (Carton et al., 2000)

  • MOM (NOAA/GFDL)
  • 62oS – 62oN
  • Data Assimilated

– WOA-94 – Satellite Altimetry (GEOSAT, ERS-1, T/P)

  • Resolution:

– Zonal 1o – Meridional Varying, 0.4286o near the equator

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SLIDE 17

ECM Detected from SODA Data

  • Monthly mean temperature and velocity data since

1950.

  • SST
  • Upper Layer Zonal Velocity
  • Thermocline Zonal Velocity
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SLIDE 18

↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓

Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE

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SLIDE 19

Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE

↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓

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SLIDE 20

↓ ↓ ↓ ↓

Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE

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SLIDE 21

↓ ↓

Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE

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SLIDE 22

Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE

↓ ↓ ↓

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SLIDE 23

Upper Layer u’ (cm/s, Blue) Thermocline u’ (cm/s, Black) SST’ (oC * 12) at 165oE

↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓

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Propagation of Second-Baroclinic Kelvin Waves and ECM

Typical temperature profile and Brunt-Vaisala Frequency at the Equatorial Pacific

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Three gravest vertical modes for u’ calculated using a linear, continuously stratified, hydrostatic model with the Boussinesq approximation [after Philander, 1990]. Note that the node for the first baroclinic mode is at around 1500 m depth.

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Equatorial Layered Model (McCreary and Yu, 1992)

  • 2 ½ (or 1 ½) - Layer

– The First Two Layers Active – The Third Layer Motionless

  • Momentum Balance
  • Heat Balance
  • Entrainment/Detrainment Rate
  • Wind Forcing
  • 1o X 1o Resolution
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SLIDE 27
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Model Parameters (McCreary and Yu, 1992)

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Model Area

15oN 15oS 0o 100o

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Surface Winds (Trade Winds)

Y(y)=1 (No Latitudinal Variance). T(t) = Ramp function that increases linearly from 0 to 1 in the first 5 days

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Zonal Variation of the Trade Winds

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Initial Conditions

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Model Integration

  • (1) Model is integrated for 1080 days to reach

nearly equilibrium state.

  • (2) Westerly wind patch is added at day-1080 for

25 days, and then is removed.

  • (3) Model is integrated for 1000 days.
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SLIDE 34

Control Run

Layer Thickness Anomaly (m) at Day-1080: (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer.

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Control Run

Horizontal Currents at Day-1080. (a) 1st Layer: SEC; 2nd Layer: EUC

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Westward Shift of the Trade Wind Maximum X = 53o

Westward Shift of Maximum Currents

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Trade Winds Reduced to 85%

(a) SEC weakens (b) EUC weakens

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SLIDE 38

Trade Winds Reduced to 70%

(a) SEC weakens (b) EUC weakens

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Westerly Wind Burst Patch

Westerly wind = 10 m/s Westerly wind patch is added at day-1080 for 25 days, and then is removed.

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Time-Longitude Cross Section of Zonal Velocity Anomaly (cm/s) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Control Run)

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SLIDE 41

Time-Longitude Cross Section of Temperature Anomaly (oC) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Control Run)

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SLIDE 42

Time-Longitude Cross Section of Zonal Velocity Anomaly (cm/s) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Wind Maximum Shifted Westward)

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SLIDE 43

Time-Longitude Cross Section of Temperature Anomaly (oC) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Wind Maximum Shifted Westward)

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SLIDE 44

Time-Longitude Cross Section of Zonal Velocity Anomaly (cm/s) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Winds Reduced to 85%)

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SLIDE 45

Time-Longitude Cross Section of Temperature Anomaly (oC) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Winds Reduced to 85% )

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SLIDE 46

Time-Longitude Cross Section of Zonal Velocity Anomaly (cm/s) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Winds Reduced to 70%)

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SLIDE 47

Time-Longitude Cross Section of Temperature Anomaly (oC) : (a) 1st Layer, (b) 2nd Layer (Trade Winds Reduced to 70% )

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SLIDE 48

Conclusions

  • ECM weakens the surface cold advection

that may lead to central Pacific warming

  • Second baroclinic Kelvin waves cause

ECM.

  • Two-stage air-sea interaction mechanism is

proposed for the El Nino onset.

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SLIDE 49

Two-Stage Air-Sea Interaction Mechanism