Healthcare and Medical Services Sector Department of Employment, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Healthcare and Medical Services Sector Department of Employment, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Healthcare and Medical Services Sector Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation Bill Anderson, Chief Economist Christopher Robison, Supervising Economist Chelsea Schmitt, Economist Prepared by the Research and Analysis Bureau


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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation

Bill Anderson, Chief Economist Christopher Robison, Supervising Economist Chelsea Schmitt, Economist Prepared by the Research and Analysis Bureau

Healthcare and Medical Services Sector

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

We Question the Recent Uptick in the Jobless Rate; Underlying Trends Still Remain Positive

NV vs. the U.S. unemployment rate (SA)

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Nevada U.S.

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Including Discouraged Workers Adds 0.4 Point to the “Official” Rate

Alternative Measures Of Labor Underutilization

Measure Underutilization Concept Level Official Rate jobless persons available to take a job who have actively sought work in the past four weeks 6.3% U-1 jobless 15 weeks or longer 2.7% U-2 job losers and persons losing a temporary job 3.5% U-3 similar to official rate 6.7% U-4 U-3 plus discouraged workers 7.1% U-5 U-4 plus others marginally attached to the labor force 7.9% U-6 U-5 plus those employed part-time for economic reasons 13.1% Offical Rate: annual average of 2015:IIIQ through 2016:IIQ

Alternative Measures of Labor Underutilization (Annual Average - 2015:IIIQ through 2016:IIQ)

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Initial Claims at Lowest Level in a Decade

initial claims for unemployment insurance

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Claims 12-Month Moving Average

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Jobs Continue to Advance; Since 2011, Monthly Gains Recorded in all but 8 Months

nonfarm jobs in Nevada (SA)

1,000,000 1,050,000 1,100,000 1,150,000 1,200,000 1,250,000 1,300,000 1,350,000 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Job Growth Holding Relatively Steady at an Annualized Rate of 30K-35K

job growth (SA; year-over-year)

0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J '14 '15 '16 percent change jobs

Jobs

  • Pct. Change

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Job Gains>Losses in 21 Straight Quarters; 2015:IVQ Net Gain Strongest in a Decade

private sector gross job gains vs. gross job losses (SA)

  • 60,000
  • 40,000
  • 20,000

20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 net jobs gross job gains gross job losses

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Opening Gains>Closing Losses Last 17 Quarters; Net Gain=3,400 in 2015:IVQ

gross job gains vs. gross job losses in opening & closing establishments (SA)

  • 5,000

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 net jobs gross job gains (openings) gross job losses (closings)

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

There are a Variety of STEM-Related Skills in Demand Based Upon On-Line Job Ads

STEM skills in demand over past 12 months

500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Software Development Technical Support Repair Supervisory Skills Accounting Customer Service Scheduling Project Management Budgeting Structured Query Language (SQL) Job Postings

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Nevada Job Growth Exceeds Nation in 48 Straight Months; 2.5% vs. 1.7% in July

job growth (year-over-year)

  • 12%
  • 10%
  • 8%
  • 6%
  • 4%
  • 2%

0% 2% 4% 6% '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Nevada U.S.

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Silver State Job Growth #3 in the Nation

2015 job growth rankings (# of states with slower private sector job growth than NV)

50 46 14 2 14 24 38 49 48 10 20 30 40 50 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

44% of Nevada’s Workforce is at Least 45 Years Old; 39% a Decade Ago

2015:IIIQ Nevada workforce by age

14-24 Years Old 12% 25-34 22% 35-44 22% 45-54 22% 55+ 22%

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Nevada Wages at $875/Week in 2016:IQ; A Record-High for the Qtr.; Up 1.2% Over 2015

Nevada average weekly wages

  • 6%
  • 4%
  • 2%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% $600 $650 $700 $750 $800 $850 $900 $950 $1,000 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Percentage Change Average Weekly Wage

Percentage Change Average Weekly Wage

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Personal Income Growth Hovering in the Mid- Single Digits in the Silver State

Nevada personal income

  • 10%
  • 8%
  • 6%
  • 4%
  • 2%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% $0 $20,000,000 $40,000,000 $60,000,000 $80,000,000 $100,000,000 $120,000,000 $140,000,000

'06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Percentage Change Personal Income Percentage Change Personal Income

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Healthcare and Medical Services Sector

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Employment Projection

105,700 jobs in 2016; 123,400 jobs projected by 2024

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists Intl. (EMSI) Page 14

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Largest Healthcare and Medical Services Industries

2016 employment

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists Intl. (EMSI)

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Regional Competitive Advantage

healthcare and medical services industries

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists Intl. (EMSI)

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Industries vs. Occupations

Although the sector councils are designed to address employment needs in specific industries, this work can only be accomplished by examining and training individuals at the occupational level.

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Healthcare and Medical Services Occupations

2016 employment and projected growth by 2024

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists Intl. (EMSI)

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Regional Competitive Advantage

healthcare and medical services occupations

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists Intl. (EMSI)

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

2016 Median Hourly Wages

Source: Economic Modeling Specialists Intl. (EMSI)

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

O-NET Occupational Skills and Attributes Reports

Source: Occupational Information Network (O-NET)

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Healthcare and Medical Services Occupations

skills specified in online job ads

Source: Labor Insight/Burning Glass Technologies

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

Aligning Economic and Workforce Development

Source: Labor Insight/Burning Glass Technologies

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A consensus ranking of high demand

  • ccupations that align with economic

development priorities specific to healthcare and medical services

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency  Location Quotients (LQs) are used to identify potential sources of competitive advantage, or areas of regional specialization. LQs measure the relative concentration of a given industry or

  • ccupation in a state relative to the nation.

 LQs are calculated by dividing the proportion of the state’s economic activity in an industry or in an occupation, by the proportion of the nation’s economic activity in that same industry or

  • ccupation.

 LQs of 1.2 or higher indicate some degree of specialization. LQs of 0.8 to 1.2 indicate normal distribution of industry within the region. LQs of less than 0.8 may indicate that the region may be deficient.  Limitations of on-line job postings:  Jobs requiring low skills/low wages tend to use alternative methods of attracting job seekers and are under represented in online ads.  Internal company hiring and union hiring are often not captured by online ads.  Online job posting volume does not necessarily correlate with the level of job openings or hiring.  The percentage of job postings that specify a certification is small limiting how representative the data is.  Algorithmic ad parsing can lead to miscoding occupations and skills due to similarities between abbreviations and other letter combinations, etc.

Clarifications and Limitations

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency  In online job postings Burning Glass reports licenses and certifications together.  The mean salary data in job postings reflects the salary listed by employers in job postings, adjusted to be equivalent to a full-time, annual wage. If a salary range is specified, the median

  • f the range used.

 High ad volume often occurs for occupations/industries that are having difficulty finding qualified candidates, high turnover positions/recurring openings, or when companies are building large candidate pools.  Online job postings should only be used with caution when developing/analyzing time series trends due to the constant changes in the rate of online advertising usage and in the methods used for collecting the data.

Clarifications and Limitations

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The Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation is a proactive workforce & rehabilitation agency

For Additional Information, Please Contact

Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation Research and Analysis Bureau Bill Anderson Chief Economist wdanderson@nvdetr.org Christopher Robison Supervising Economist c-robison@nvdetr.org (775) 684-0450 http://www.nevadaworkforce.com follow us on Twitter @nvlabormarket

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