HART Board Workshop Ultimately, its about Space Ultimately, its - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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HART Board Workshop Ultimately, its about Space Ultimately, its - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Jarrett Walker, PhD JarrettWalker.com HumanTransit.org Twitter: @humantransit HART Board Workshop Ultimately, its about Space Ultimately, its about Space Technology never changes geometry! Taxi / Uber Bus Private Car Driverless


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HART Board Workshop

Jarrett Walker, PhD JarrettWalker.com HumanTransit.org Twitter: @humantransit

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Ultimately, it’s about Space

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  • Technology never

changes geometry!

Bus Private Car Taxi / Uber Driverless Car Driverless Bus?

Ultimately, it’s about Space

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Ultimately, it’s about Space

We will always have room for these …

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And about labor (pre automation)

Operating cost is > 70% labor!

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The Wall Around Your Life

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Where can I go in 45 minutes?

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existing network

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proposed network

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Jane can get to:

95, 95,000 000 more j jobs ( (+43% +43%) 149, 49,000 m 000 more r res esidents ( (+68% +68%)

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Transport Planning Is Freedom Planning

  • Transport planning:

– The process of securing our freedom to do anything require traveling faster than walking.

  • Freedom is inside of:

– Real estate value – Social inclusion / equity – General prosperity

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The Geometry of Freedom

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The Ridership Recipe

  • Maximize freedom, which

means:

  • High frequency service …
  • … following patterns of ...

– Density – Walkability – Linearity Why? Because this is how you bring the most useful destinations within reasonable travel time of the most people.

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Freedom is a geometric fact.

Network Freedom Ridership

Geometry Social Science But freedom is the foundation of ridership.

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Why Frequency Matters

Frequency is the most neglected element of transit. Frequency is a “cubed” benefit:

  • Go when you want to go.
  • Make connections easily, to get to more places.
  • Less risk of being stranded by a disruption.
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Higher Frequency Higher Productivity (Boardings/Hour)

60 min 30 min 15 min

High frequency  High ridership/cost

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  • Useful enough to be

liberating, and

  • Can’t drive up housing prices

everywhere.

  • Helps build apartments with

less parking  affordability

Frequent Buses  Affordability

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Portland: Frequent bus-

  • rientated development

(low or zero parking)

Frequent buses tend toward permanence, support redevelopment.

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But you have to draw and promote the frequent network clearly.

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A Map of Our Choices

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  • Complexity. Focus on direct

services rather than offering

  • connections. A complex,

infrequent network.

Abundant access

  • Connections. Make connections

easy, through good facilities, and short waits achieved through frequency or pulses.

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Not far. Run service very close to every home or destination. .

How far will people walk?

Further to better service. Provide high quality service that’s worth walking further to get to.

Abundant access

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Peak or All Day?

Peak First. Design the network around peak needs, treating all-day as secondary . All Day First. Build all-day service that supports low car

  • wnership, better urban form.

Then add peak service as demand warrants.

Abundant access

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Start with the peak,

  • r all day?
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Protect from congestion?

  • No. Run in mixed traffic

where congestion is high, making reliability impossible. .

  • Yes. Give transit a path around

congestion, so that it can run fast and reliably.

Abundant access

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  • Specialized. Different

services for different “types of people”

Diversity or Specialization?

  • Diverse. Maximize the diversity
  • f people who will find each

service useful.

Abundant access

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  • Goal. Focus on the

technology as an end in itself, sacrificing access for an emotional or symbolic impact.

Technology: tool or goal?

  • Tool. Select technologies only

for their ability to efficiently provide the greatest possible access.

Abundant access

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Ridership or Coverage?

Coverage. Serve everyone, even where few people will ride. .

  • Ridership. Focus service where

ridership potential is high. Offer little service where ridership potential is low.

Abundant access

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Is Ridership What You Want?

The Ridership-Coverage Tradeoff

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Both goals are important, … but they lead opposite directions!

Ridership Goal

  • “Think like a business.”
  • Focus where ridership

potential is highest.

  • Support dense and

walkable development.

  • Max. competition with cars
  • Maximum VMT reduction

Coverage Goal

  • “Think like a public service.”
  • “Access for all”
  • Support low-density

development.

  • Lifeline access for everyone.
  • Service to every member city
  • r electoral district.
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So it helps to choose a point on the spectrum …

Ridership Goal Coverage Goal

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In Houston, For Example

  • Existing network was 55% ridership, 45% coverage.
  • Board went through process of thinking about

alternatives

– More customers and more screaming.

  • Board chose 80% / 20%.
  • Plan designed to that goal.
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We know this geometrically!

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Thank you!

Jarrett Walker Blog: HumanTransit.org Twitter: @humantransit

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Land Use Drivers of Ridership

  • Density
  • Walkability
  • Linearity
  • Proximity
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Density

How many people are going to and from the area around each stop?

High Ridership Lower Ridership

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Walkability

Can the people around the stop walk to the stop?

High Ridership Lower Ridership

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Linearity

High Ridership Lower Ridership

Can transit run in straight lines that are useful to through-riders?

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Proximity

High Ridership Lower Ridership

Does transit have to cross long low-Ridership gaps?