INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Strong organic growth and solid results
FEBRUARY 8, 2019
growth and solid results INVESTOR PRESENTATION Kemira in brief - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FEBRUARY 8, 2019 Strong organic growth and solid results INVESTOR PRESENTATION Kemira in brief FY2018: REVENUE EUR 2,593 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 323 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 12.5%, OPERATIVE ROCE 9.8% SEGMENT SPLIT GEOGRAPHIES
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
FEBRUARY 8, 2019
SEGMENT SPLIT PRODUCTS
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2GEOGRAPHIES
Kemira in brief
FY2018: REVENUE EUR 2,593 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 323 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 12.5%, OPERATIVE ROCE 9.8%
◼ 25% Bleaching and pulping ◼ 20% Polymers ◼ 20% Other: e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides ◼ 20% Coagulants ◼ 15% Sizing and strength
Revenue by product category rounded to the nearest 5%39% AMERICAS 1.USA 2.Canada 3.Brazil 52% EMEA 1.Finland 2.Sweden 3.Germany 9% APAC 1.China 2.South Korea 3.Thailand
◼ 59%
Pulp & Paper
◼ 41%
Industry & Water
CUSTOMERS Several thousand customers TOP 10 customers are ~25% of revenue TOP 50 customers are ~50% of revenue EXAMPLES OF LARGEST CUSTOMERS
Municipalities, e.g. Frankfurt, London, New York, Paris, Shanghai, Singapore #1 in water treatment in NA and Europe #2 in friction reduction in North American shale oil & gas #2 globally
Global megatrends favor Kemira
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 3REGULATION
Safe drinking water More stringent discharge limits
GROWING MIDDLE CLASS & URBANIZATION
E-commerce /
Higher use of water, energy, tissue and board
SCARCITY OF RESOURCES
Material and resource efficiency Alternative materials for single-use plastic products
Global trends favor Pulp & Paper – capacity additions in bleaching chemicals
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 4Pulp, board and tissue markets
middle class in APAC
pulp bleaching, Kemira’s CAGR +6% since 2014 Bleaching chemical capacity additions
Finland
bleaching chemical capacity to pulp customers resulting in closure of sodium percarbonate production line in Sweden by the year end
Regulation trends favorable to demand of water treatment chemicals
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 5Emerging contaminants (pharma, microplastics) Better dewatering of sludge and phosphorus recovery
Increased demand for water treatment chemicals Stormwater Overflows More efficient implementation Water reuse More stringent discharge limits
REVENUE EUR million
2,229 2,137 2,373 2,363 2,486 2,593 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
OPERATIVE EBITDA OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
252 253 287 303 311 323 11.3% 11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5% 12.5% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 6Delivering profitable growth
FEBRUARY 20191,170 1,417 1,457 1,477 1,520 137 171 195 198 192 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 7REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Pulp & Paper – market leader with solid track record
MARKET ENVIRONMENT REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
◼ 55% EMEA ◼ 30% Americas ◼ 15% APAC ◼ 40% Bleaching & pulping ◼ 25% Sizing & strength ◼ 20%
Defoamers, dispersants, biocides and
chemicals
◼ 10% Polymers ◼ 5% Other ◼ 40% Pulp ◼ 20% Printing & writing papers ◼ 40% Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth 2-3% 0-1% 1% Market growth
Nouryon (pulp) #3 Solenis (paper)* #1 Kemira (pulp and paper) m.s. ~16% #2 Ecolab (paper) #4
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
FEBRUARY 2019* Solenis-BASF combined entity
Kurita (paper) #5
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 8REVENUE BY APPLICATION TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Industry & Water – strong positions in chosen categories
REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION
◼ 40% Coagulants ◼ 40% Polymers ◼ 20% Other products such as defoamers and biocides
2-3% 5-6% 2-3%
◼ 50% EMEA ◼ 45% Americas ◼ 5% APAC ◼ 65% Water treatment ◼ 10% Other ◼ 25% Oil & Gas
5-6% 3-4% 3-4%
WATER TREATMENT
Amsterdam Barcelona Frankfurt London Oslo Paris Stockholm Los Angeles Montreal New York City Toronto Melbourne Shanghai Singapore
OIL & GAS
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
Market growth Market growth
CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
FEBRUARY 2019924 945 973 1,009 1,016 1,040 1,065 1,073 105 105 112 113 117 123 123 131
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA ROLLING 12 MONTHS MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Market share ~30% in coagulants and ~20% in polymers Main competitors in coagulants:
Market share ~25% in polymers used in shale
Main peers in polymers (also in water treatment):
MUNICIPAL (40%), customer examples INDUSTRIAL (60%), customer examples
Municipal Industrial
Kemira’s mid- to long-term financial targets
FEBRUARY 2019 9Targets 2017 2018 IFRS 16 impact Mid- to long-term target Revenue EUR 2,486 million Change +5% EUR 2,593 million Change +4%
Operative EBITDA* 12.5% 12.5% Around +1 %-point 15-17% Gearing* 59% 62% Around +10 %-points Below 75% Factors FY 2018 comments Organic growth through volume and sales price increases Group’s organic growth +7% Oil & Gas becoming larger share of Group (incl. shale, CEOR and oil sands) Revenue from EUR 126m in 2016 to EUR 242m in 2018 Sales price vs raw material price development Raw material inflation in 2017 and 2018, sales prices starting to offset raw material cost pressure in 2018 Capex projects – Polymer capacity expansion in Netherlands, AKD Joint Venture in China, Polymer capacity expansion in the US Backward integration and growth benefits 2020-21
FINANCIAL TARGETS AND HISTORICAL FIGURES KEY FACTORS TO WATCH FOR PROFITABILITY IMPROVEMENT
* Targets updated in February 2019 due to IFRS 16 accounting change. 2017-2018 figures are PRE IFRS 16.
INVESTOR PRESENTATIONHealthy market growth for Kemira’s relevant markets
2018 2023 Americas EMEA APAC
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 10Source: Management estimation based on various sources
KEMIRA RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
PULP & PAPER RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
INDUSTRY & WATER RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
2018 2023 Pulp Printing & writing Board & tissue 2018 2023 Water treatment Oil & Gas Other
CAGR: 2-3% CAGR:
1-2%
CAGR:
3-4% 22 27 10 9 17 13
Dividend proposal EUR 0.53 per share
and competitive dividend
dividend of EUR 0.53 per share, totaling EUR 81 million
listing of shares in 1994
0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53
5.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 11◼ Dividend per share Dividend yield
FEBRUARY 2019*
Kemira’s dividend yield calculated using the share price at year-end
*BoD proposal to the AGM 2019
Our three sustainability priorities
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 12Sustainable products and solutions People and integrity Responsible
supply chain
Ensuring responsible operations to protect our assets, our environment, employees, contractors, customers and communities Ensuring compliance with responsible business practices in our supply chain Incorporating sustainability into
Proactive product stewardship throughout the products’ lifecycle Culture and commitment to people Ensuring compliance with Kemira Code of Conduct
KPI’S AND TARGETS
position, cumulative target 1500 by 2020 (2015=0)
KPI’S AND TARGETS
100 in 2012)
Supplier Sustainability Evaluation
through sustainability evaluation through assessments and audits (Baseline 60% in 2017) KPI’S AND TARGETS At least 50% of our revenue is generated through products improving customers’ resource efficiency
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 13Selected highlights in 2018
demand in all our business areas – organic growth +7%
engagement improved
excellence to meet changing market dynamics
first
CEOR polymer capacity ramp-up proceeding, decision made to increase emulsion polymer capacity in the US
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 14Strong organic growth and solid results in 2018
Organic growth +7%
higher sales prices
growth over 40% Operative EBITDA +4%
higher raw material prices – passing on variable cost increases continues Earnings per share +13%
and lower items affecting comparability Dividend
EUR 0.53 per share
EUR million (except ratios) FY 2018 FY 2017 Δ% Revenue 2,592.8 2,486.0 +4 Operative EBITDA 323.1 311.3 +4
12.5% 12.5%
173.8 170.3 +2
6.7% 6.9%
95.2 85.2 +12 EPS, EUR 0.58 0.52 +13 Dividend per share, proposal by the BoD, EUR 0.53 0.53
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 15Pulp & Paper – good organic growth, profitability unsatisfactory in paper chemicals
Organic growth +6% in 2018
especially in caustic soda Operative EBITDA
raw material prices
Capacity additions to fuel volume growth
manufacturing plant completed, final construction proceeding, production ramp-up expected in H2
January 2019 for additional dry polymer capacity – investment supports also growth in Industry & Water
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 16REVENUE EUR million OPERATIVE EBITDA AND EBITDA-% EUR million
1,477 1,520
2017 2018
198 192
2017 2018 12.6% 13.4%
Industry & Water – profitable growth in water treatment and oil & gas
Organic growth +9% in 2018
we continue to pass on inflationary pressure Operative EBITDA increased by 15%
sales prices
Growth investments
Netherlands under construction, ramp-up in H2 2019
commercial operation beginning of 2021
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 17REVENUE EUR million OPERATIVE EBITDA AND EBITDA-% EUR million
1,009 1,073
2017 2018
114 131
2017 2018 12.3% 11.3%
Organic growth continued driven by pricing
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 18Q4 2018
Group’s organic growth +3%
chemicals
– Volume growth negative due to equipment delivery in Oil & Gas in 2017 and weak water treatment volumes as focus has been on profitable contracts
72.8 78.9 80.8 70.0 69.0 77.1 84.5 80.7 69.4 80.2 89.0 84.5 12.5%13.4%13.6% 11.7%11.3%12.5%13.6%12.7% 13.3% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 2018 637
+1% 662 Q4 2017 Sales volumes Sales prices Currency impact Acquisitions Q4 2018 +6%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
12.8% 11.3%
Operative EBITDA +5%, margin 12.8%
slightly as sales prices more than compensated higher raw material prices
Earnings per share +5%
12.4%
Pulp & Paper – good growth driven by pricing and volume
raw material prices
362 361 365 369 372 369 363 373 369 376 385 390 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 2018 47.9 49.3 51.8 46.3 46.0 47.8 48.5 55.4 42.7 45.4 52.3 51.2 13.2% 13.7% 14.2% 12.6%12.4%13.0%13.4% 14.9% 11.6%12.1% 13.6%13.1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 2018
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 19+3% +1%
0% +1% +2% +5%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
+5% +6% +7% +4%
Industry & Water – record-high Q4 EBITDA
customer mix and related timing of deliveries
– Organic growth over 30% in Q4 driven by pricing excl. the equipment deal made in 2017
220 227 231 228 238 248 259 264 245 272 284 271 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 2018 24.9 29.6 29.0 23.7 22.9 29.3 36.0 25.3 26.6 34.8 36.7 33.3 11.3% 13.1%12.5% 10.4% 9.6% 11.8% 13.9% 9.6% 10.9% 12.8%12.9%12.3% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 2018
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 200% +9% +15%
+6% +20% +14%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
+11% +11% +2%
SALES PRICE VS VARIABLE COST TREND
50 100 150 200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brent oil, USD Sales prices* Variable costs*
SALES PRICES AND VARIABLE COSTS (CHANGE Y-O-Y)
9 5
11 4 8
3 11 23 47 42 37
16 13 13 26 36 38 29
10 20 30 40 50 60 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 2018 Net impact on EBITDA (sales prices-variable costs) Sales prices Variable costs
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 21Net impact of sales price & variable costs positive
* 12-month rolling change vs previous year in EUR million
EUR million EUR million
VARIABLE COST SPLIT 2018 EUR 1.6 billion TOP 10 RAW MATERIALS BY SPEND 1. Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda)* 2. Acrylonitrile (OD) 3. Aluminium hydrate 4. Colloidal silica dispersion* 5. Amines (OD) 6. Petroleum solvents (OD) 7. Acrylic acid (OD) 8. Alpha olefin (OD) 9. Acrylic ester (OD)
Top 10 account for 50%
OD = Oil & gas derivative * Mainly trading materials
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 22EXPOSURE TO OIL RELATED RAW MATERIALS
Kemira’s variable cost split and top raw materials
◼ 30%
Oil & gas related
◼ 70%
Not oil related
◼ 70%
Raw materials
◼ 15%
Electricity & energy
◼ 15%
Logistics
FEBRUARY 2019Outlook for 2019
“Kemira expects its operative EBITDA (2018: EUR 323.1 million) to increase from the prior year on a comparable basis, excluding the impact of IFRS 16 accounting change.”
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 23EUR million 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Operative EBITDA 253 287 303 311 323 Increase
Operative EBITDA figures for 2014-2018 are ”pre IFRS-16”.
Kemira Group’s operating leases
commitments were EUR 205 million
depreciation of the right-of-use assets and interest cost associated with lease liability. As a result, the impact on net profit is immaterial
and EBITDA will increase by around EUR 30 million leading to EBITDA margin increase of approximately 1 percentage point
as net debt and gearing
provide enough detail during the year for analysis
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 242019 – IFRS 16 impacting financials – EBITDA margin lifted by around 1 %-point
EUR million (except ratios) FY 2018 Estimated impact in 2019, around Operative EBITDA 323.1 +30
12.5% +1 %-point Operative EBIT 173.8 Small positive Impact on opening balance sheet EUR million (except ratios) Dec 31, 2018 PRE-IFRS 16 Impact on
sheet, around Balance sheet 2,764 +120 Gearing 62% +10%-points
Majority of contracts with fixed annual pricing
Pulp & Paper – Contract types and pricing terms on high level
longer / only 5% are spot deals
pricing Industry & Water – Contract types and pricing terms
/ 40% spot deals
pricing, incl. Oil & Gas where contracts are either formula or spot based
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 25Currencies
Currency exchange rates had around EUR -70 million impact on revenue and EUR -14 million impact on the operative EBITDA in 2018 compared to 2017. Guidance: 10% change in our main foreign currencies would approximately have EUR 15 million impact on operative EBITDA on an annualized basis.
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 26◼ 44% EUR ◼ 10% Others KEMIRA REVENUE DISTRIBUTION 2018 KEMIRA COST DISTRIBUTION 2018 ◼ 2% SEK ◼ 3% CNY ◼ 4% CAD ◼ 35% USD ◼ 9 % Others ◼ 5 % CNY ◼ 5 % CAD ◼ 7 % SEK ◼ 30 % USD ◼ 44 % EUR ◼ 2% BRL
Development of selected key figures
9.8% 9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 2015 2016 2017 2018 642 634 694 741 2015 2016 2017 2018
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 27ALL KEY FIGURES IN EUR MILLION EXCEPT RATIOS
248 271 205 210 2015 2016 2017 2018 104 118 124 106 78 95 66 44 2015 2016 2017 2018
213
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS CAPITAL EXPENDITURE EXCL. ACQUISITIONS NET DEBT AND LEVERAGE RATIO OPERATIVE RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED
2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 ◼ Growth capex 182 190 150
and new chlorate line in Finland
Netherlands
integration of acquisitions
60 59 53 58 65 53 95 66 44
2016 2017 2018
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 282018 CAPEX WAS LOWER DUE TO TIMING OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS
CAPEX guidance 180-220 MEUR in 2019
Expansion Improvement Maintenance
190
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE EXCLUDING ACQUISITIONS
EUR million and share of revenue
213
CAPEX FOCUS IN CORE PRODUCT GROUPS SINCE 2016 CAPEX GUIDANCE
2018 and be approximately EUR 180-220 million, including
– Expansion of Oil & Gas CEOR polymers in Netherlands – New capacity expansion in Oil & Gas polymers in the US – Completion for the new Pulp & Paper AKD JV site in China
9.0% 7.6% 5.8% 150
NET DEBT / OPERATIVE EBITDA AND GEARING
42% 41% 42% 54% 54% 59% 62% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
GROSS DEBT MATURITY PROFILE, END OF DECEMBER 2018 EUR 886 MILLION (Cost of debt 1.9%)
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 29Debt portfolio is well diversified
1.9x 2.1x 2.1x 2.2x 1.8x 2.2x 532m 694m 456m 486m 634m 642m NET DEBT OPERATIVE EBITDA
FEBRUARY 2019249m 311m 252m 253m 303m 287m 323m 741m 2.3x
156
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Bilaterals Bonds Undrawn RCF Undrawn Bilaterals Others
150 200 400 240 57 90 40
Key figures and ratios – 5-year summary
EUR million (except ratios) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Revenue 2,136.7 2,373.1 2,363.3 2,486.0 2,592.8 Operative EBITDA 252.9 287.3 302.5 311.3 323.1
11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5% 12.5% Operative EBIT 158.3 163.1 170.1 170.3 173.8
7.4% 6.9% 7.2% 6.9% 6.7% Cash flow from operations 74.2 247.6 270.6 205.1 210.2 Capital expenditure, excluding acq. 140.6 181.7 212.6 190.1 150.4 Gearing at period-end 42 54 54 59 62 Inventories 197 207 217 224 284 Personnel at period-end 4,248 4,685 4,818 4,732 4,915
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 30Per share figures – 5-year summary
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Earnings per share, EUR 0.59 0.47 0.60 0.52 0.58 Cash flow from operating activities per share, EUR 0.49 1.63 1.78 1.35 1.38 Equity per share, EUR 7.57 7.76 7.68 7.61 7.80 Dividend per share, EUR 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 Share price, EUR, end of period 9.89 10.88 12.13 11.50 9.85 Market capitalization, EUR million (excl. treasury shares) 1,504 1,654 1,848 1,752 1,502 Number of shares, million (excl. treasury shares) 152.1 152.1 152.4 152.4 152.4 P/E ratio 16.7 23.3 20.1 22.3 17.0 P/CF ratio 20.2 6.7 6.8 8.5 7.1 P/B ratio 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.3 Dividend yield, % 5.4 4.9 4.4 4.6 5.4
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 31 FEBRUARY 2019Key figures
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 32EUR million Q4 2018 Q4 2017 Δ% 2018 2017 Δ% Revenue 661.8 636.5 +4 2,592.8 2,486.0 +4 Operative EBITDA 84.5 80.7 +5 323.1 311.3 +4 margin 12.8% 12.7%
12.5%
44.8 44.0 +2 173.8 170.3 +2 margin 6.8% 6.9%
6.9%
26.5 25.8 +3 95.2 85.2 +14 Earnings per share, EUR 0.17 0.16 +5 0.58 0.52 +13 Cash flow from operations 88.2 71.4 +24 210.2 205.1 +2 Capex excl. acquisitions 53.2 64.2
150.4 190.1
Net debt 741 694 +7 741 694 +7 NWC ratio 10.2% 9.4%
9.4%
9.8% 9.7%
9.7%
4,915 4,732 +4 4,915 4,732 +4
EUR million Q4 2018 Q4 2017 2018 2017 Net profit for the period 27 26 95 85 Total adjustments 59 37 220 204 Change in net working capital 17 18
Finance expenses
Income taxes paid
Net cash gen. from operating activities 88 71 210 205 Purchases of subsidiaries and acquisit.
Capital expenditure
Proceeds from sale of assets 1 2 7 3 Change in long-term loan receivables 5
5
Cash flow after investing activities
4 29 13
Cash flow
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 33KEY FINANCIALS
Pulp & Paper
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 34*12-month rolling average
EUR million Q4 2018 Q4 2017 Δ% 2018 2017 Δ% Revenue 390.4 372.8 +5 1,520.2 1,476.9 +3 Operative EBITDA 51.2 55.4
191.7 197.7
margin 13.1% 14.9%
13.4%
24.1 30.9
91.6 104.8
margin 6.2% 8.3%
7.1%
7.8% 9.0%
9.0%
28.8 41.1
85.1 138.3
Cash flow after investing activities
4.4
15.7 +90
KEY FINANCIALS
Industry & Water
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 35*12-month rolling average
EUR million Q4 2018 Q4 2017 Δ% 2018 2017 Δ% Revenue 271.5 263.8 +3 1,072.6 1,009.1 +6 Operative EBITDA 33.3 25.3 +32 131.5 113.6 +15 margin 12.3% 9.6%
11.3%
20.8 13.1 +59 82.2 65.5 +25 margin 7.7% 5.0%
6.5%
13.6% 11.0%
11.0%
24.4 23.1 +6 65.3 51.7 +26 Cash flow after investing activities 23.8 8.3 +187 52.5 46.9 +12
FY 2018
Revenue split by country
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 36USA 27% Canada 6% Brazil 3% Uruguay 2% Other Americas 1% Finland 16% Sweden 5% Germany 5% Poland 3% UK 3% Spain 2% Other APAC 4% South Korea 1% China 4% Russia 2% Netherlands 2% France 2% Italy 2% Other EMEA 9% Norway 1%
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Pulp & Paper chemicals market estimated to grow 1-2%
– Hardwood and softwood pulp demand increasing driven by growth of packaging needs (e- commerce, non-plastic solutions), growing tissue demand and lack of recycled fiber – Demand increase continues for packaging, driven by online shopping, last-mile delivery, product safety and non-plastic solutions – Growth in tissue demand driven by increasing wealth in emerging countries – Ongoing digitalization of media drives decline of graphic paper demand
represent over 80% of our Pulp & Paper revenue
– Ongoing capacity additions suit well for the need
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR million
1,170 1,417 1,457 1,477 1,520 137 171 195 198 192 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
◼ 40% Pulp ◼ 20% Printing & writing papers ◼ 40% Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth
REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE
Strong demand in pulp market creating growth opportunities
New pulp mill projects are driven by increasing demand for board and tissue
growing particularly fast in Asia
then shipped to board, paper, and tissue mills or used captively in an integrated mill
Multiple pulp mill projects realised and expected in Northern Europe creating
the market In addition, a few large scale pulp mill projects expected in South America
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 39Confirmed new capacity / debottlenecking 2016-2020 Possible new mills 2020-2022
Äänekoski Kuusankoski Kuopio Paltamo Kemi Östrand Värobacka Svetlogorsk Steti Viljandi/Tartto Vologda Bratsk -> Uts-Ilimsk -> Sveza
Bleaching investment – case Joutseno
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 40capacity in Q4 2017
– Excellent timing, pulp production grew simultaneously in Finland
annual production of over 2Mt
exported in dry format to APAC
EUR 50 MILLION INVESTMENT IN 2017
Acquisition via JV in China
raw material fatty acid chloride (FACL)
– AKD is sizing chemical used in board and paper to createresistance against liquid absorption – NewCo also plans to produce coagulants for water treatment
supply of key raw material for AKD wax
– Investment for 80% around EUR 55 million
– Good contribution to P&L after ramp-up
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 41AKD WAX SUPPLIED FROM YANZHOU, CHINA TO KEMIRA SITES GLOBALLY
We leverage acquisition synergies with our global production
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 42Telêmaco Borba Washougal
Helsingborg Joutseno Nanjing Hallam Gunsan Pasuruan Wellgrow Krems Tarragona Yanzhou NewCo
Acquisition in China is excellent strategic fit
Acquired asset fulfills our key criteria for acquisitions GROWTH – End-products in growing markets APAC – Enables profitable growth in APAC SUPPLY – Backward integr. & self-sufficiency (FACL) SUSTAINABILITY – FACL from renewable raw material LOCATION – Close to our existing production PROFITABILITY – Accretive after ramp-up
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 43END-PRODUCTS WHERE AKD WAX IS USED
Pulp & Paper
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 44TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET LEADER
Value chain part covered by Kemira RAW MATERIALS INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS CUSTOMER INDUSTRIES CUSTOMERS Electricity Sodium chloride (salt) Crude tall oil Cationic monomer Acrylonitrile Acrylic acid Olefins Fatty acids Maleic anhydride Sulfur Tall oil rosin AKD Wax Isomerized olefins Acrylamide Sodium chlorate Hydrogen peroxide Polymers Defoamers Coagulants Biocides Sizing Strength Additives Surface additives Colorants Sulfuric acid Pulping Bleaching Retention Wet-end process control WQQM Sizing Strength Surface treatment Coloring Pulp Packaging and board Printing and writing Tissue All the major global paper and pulp producers MAIN COMPETITORS: Solenis, Nouryon, Ecolab, Kurita, SNF
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 45Industry & Water relevant chemicals market estimated to grow 3-4%
to increase due to
– Higher demand for water driven by industrial growth and population growth – More stringent discharge limits for waste water – Better dewatering of sludge – Phosphorus recovery – Water reuse
– Shale friction reducer market expected to grow due to higher energy demand and increasing number of wells fracked – Oil sands operators face regulatory requirements for their tailings treatment – Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery lucrative in certain fields due to better yield from existing reservoirs
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 46947 956 906 1,009 1,073 116 116 107 114 131 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR million
◼ 65% Water treatment ◼ 10% Other ◼ 25% Oil & Gas 2-3% 5-6% 2-3% Market growth
REVENUE BY APPLICATION
2014-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and Oil & Mining segments
Kemira is a market leader in water treatment chemistry
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 47Serving most European cities Drinking water plants and Wastewater plants No of ship-to countries ~ 80 No of ship-to points ~ 9 000 No of ship-from points ~ 30-40
I&W EMEA customer locations. Dot size correlates with ship-to volumes. Not representative for East Europe due to roll-
Major re-fit of the European water laws
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 48W AT E R F R A M E W O R K D I R E C T I V E Environmental Quality Standards Directive Ground-water Directive Floods Directive Urban Waste Water Treatment Directive Drinking Water Directive Marine Strategy Framework Directive Nitrates Directive Bathing Water Directive C I R C U L A R E C O N O M Y P A C K A G E Sewage Sludge Directive Industrial Emissions Directive Environmental Impact Assessment Directive Fertilizer Directive
New regulation
Critical Raw Materials Water Re-use Plastics Strategy (microplastics)
Proposal Proposal Evaluation Proposal Fitness check
Oil & Gas growing fast
Growing market demand with our selective market diversification assuring growth Kemira’s offering
energy consumption by 60% in shale oil fields
make offshore oil recovery more cost effective (CEOR)
treatment in oil sands
New innovative technologies driving expansion
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 4950 100 150 200 250 300 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE IN OIL & GAS
EUR million
REVENUE SPLIT
◼ 15%
Other
◼ 65%
Shale fracking
◼ 20%
Oil sands and Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery
Figures rounded to closest 5%
Oil price Organic growth >30%
LTM = Last Twelwe Months ending June 2018
CEOR-polymer deal with Chevron
Oil Recovery deal with Chevron
October 2017, progressing well
which EUR 500 million accessible to Kemira
production from existing fields
challenging water intensive environments and technologies that can enable CEOR
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 50Industry & Water
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 51TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET LEADER IN WATER TREATMENT AS WELL AS IN NICHE APPLICATIONS IN OIL & GAS
MAIN COMPETITORS Coagulants: mainly local small companies, Feralco, USALCO, Kronos, PVS, Polymers: SNF, Solvay, Ecolab, Solenis
Value chain part covered by Kemira
INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS SALES CHANNELS CUSTOMERS Acrylonitrile Acrylic acid Sulfuric acid Hydrochloric acid Aluminium hydrate Iron ore Pickling liquor Copperas Various monomers Acrylamide Cationic monomer Polymers (EPAM, DPAM) Al Coagulants Fe Coagulants Dispersants & antiscalants Biocides Emulsifiers Defoamers Formulations Raw water & waste water treatment Sludge treatment Friction reduction Enhanced oil recovery Tailings treatment Mining processes Direct sales Distributor/reseller Service companies RAW MATERIALS Municipalities Private operators Industrial customers Pumpers Oil & Gas operators Service companies Mine operators
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
SHAREHOLDERS ON JANUARY 31, 2019
% OF SHARES
18.2%
15.8%
3.4%
2.1%
1.8% Total number of shares 155,342,557 Foreign ownership of shares 27.5% Total number of shareholders 34,357
KEMIRA BOARD OF DIRECTORS
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 53Kemira – largest shareholders and Board of Directors
JARI PAASIKIVI Chairman Member since 2012 Oras Invest Oy, CEO KERTTU TUOMAS Vice Chairman Member since 2010 WOLFGANG BÜCHELE Member in 2009-2012 and since 2014 KAISA HIETALA Member since 2016 TIMO LAPPALAINEN Member since 2014 SHIRLEY CUNNINGHAM Member since 2017
Kemira’s Management Board
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 54Jukka Hakkila, Chief Legal Officer, acts as secretary of Management Board and Board of Directors.
PULP & PAPER
Kim Poulsen
Esa-Matti Puputti
INDUSTRY & WATER
Antti Salminen
CFO
Petri Castrén
HUMAN RESOURCES
Eeva Salonen
CTO
Matthew R. Pixton
PRESIDENT AND CEO
Jari Rosendal
Priority KPI+Target Performance Comments Progress Sustainable products and solutions
Product sustainability Share of revenue from products used for use-phase resource efficiency. At least 50% of Kemira’s revenue generated through products improving customers’ resource efficiency. 15 new R&D projects were started and 9 projects were commercialized in 2018 to improve customer’s resource efficiency.
Responsible
chain
Workplace safety Achieve zero injuries on long term; TRIF* 2.0 by end of 2020. Our health and safety performance improved in 2018 compared to 2017 and is consistent with 2016
permanent injuries which is responding to ongoing management commitment, progressive safety messaging and an overall improvement in safety culture. Climate change Kemira Carbon Index ≤ 80 by end of 2020 (2012 = 100). This KPI is reported
Carbon Index decreased mainly due to higher share of purchased electricity from renewable and low carbon sources and in some extent through energy efficienc improvements. Supplier Management % of direct key suppliers screened through sustainability assessments and audits (cumulative %). The target includes 5 sustainability audits for highest risk** suppliers every year, and cumulatively 25 by 2020. Sustainability screening of key suppliers progressed well as planned for 2018. In total 32 sustainability assessments and 3 Ethical on-site audits were conducted during the
but is compensated by active screening via assessments
.
Corporate responsibility performance Q4 2018
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 55 49% 51% Baseline average 2016-2017 2018 5.8 7.2 3.4 3.9 3.5 2.0 14 15 16 17 18 Target 2020 100 88 91 93 86 85 83 80 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Target 20 55% 69% 90% 8 11 25 10 20 30 40 50 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Baseline 2017 2018 Target 2020 % of key suppliers # of audits (cumul.)* TRIF = Number of Total Recordable Injury Frequency per million hours, Kemira + contractor, year-to-date ** Suppliers with lowest sustainability assessment score
Priority KPI+target Performance Comments Progress People and integrity
Employee engagement index based on Voices@Kemira biennial survey The index at or above the external industry norm. The participation rate target in Voices@Kemira is 75% or above. Action planning is ongoing at manager level. Intensive company wide strategy communication and engagement is
Leadership development activities provided, average Two leadership development activities per people manager position during 2016-2020, the cumulative target is 1,500 by 2020. Above target level for activities consisting of the best practice 70-20-10 model for Learning and Development (on-the-job learning 70%, coaching and mentoring 20%, and development programs 10%). Total by the end of 2018 is already 1,533; the target for 2020 is 1,500. Integrity index KPI to measure compliance with the Kemira Code of Conduct. The target is to maintain the Integrity Index level above the external industry norm. To comply with EU's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), data processing activities were extensively reviewed and documented, and a privacy impact assessment process was implemented. Privacy notices, data processing agreements and global privacy policy were
assigned to over 300 Kemira employees who work in roles that involve the processing of personal data while general awareness-building was continued to all Kemira employees.
Corporate responsibility performance Q4 2018
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 56 58% 67% 71% 75% 85% 84% 2013 2015 2017 2018 Engagement Participation 494 1,036 1,533 1,500 2016 2017 2018 Target 2020 87% 84% 2018 Integrity Index ParticipationImportant information about financial figures
Kemira provides certain financial performance measures (alternative performance measures)
growth*, EBITDA, operative EBITDA, cash flow after investing activities, and gearing followed by capital markets and Kemira management, provide useful information of its comparable business performance and financial position. Selected alternative performance measures are also used as performance criteria in remuneration. Kemira’s alternative performance measures should not be viewed in isolation to the equivalent IFRS measures and alternative performance measures should be read in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. Definitions of the alternative performance measures can be found in the Definitions of the key figures in this report, as well as at www.kemira.com > Investors > Financial information. All the figures in this interim report have been individually rounded and consequently the sum
* Revenue growth in local currencies, excluding acquisitions and divestments
FEBRUARY 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 57