Governance Challenges at the Intersection of Space and Cyber - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Governance Challenges at the Intersection of Space and Cyber - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Governance Challenges at the Intersection of Space and Cyber Security 18 th Asian Security Conference Securing Cyberspace: Asian and International Perspectives New Delhi, 10 February 2016 Jana Robinson Space Security Program Director Prague


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Governance Challenges at the Intersection of Space and Cyber Security

18th Asian Security Conference Securing Cyberspace: Asian and International Perspectives New Delhi, 10 February 2016 Jana Robinson Space Security Program Director Prague Security Studies Institute (PSSI)

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Presentation Overview

1. Introduction 2. Interaction of Space and Cyber Domains 3. Cyber as Counterspace Tool 4. Governance Aspects 5. Crisis Management Considerations 6. Conclusion

10 February 2016 PSSI 2

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  • 1. Introduction
  • Increasing number of space-dependent governments
  • Integrity, availability and security of space assets essential
  • Growth of space vulnerabilities commensurate with terrestrial dependency on

space-based capabilities

  • Cyber-related vulnerabilities of space assets a major concern
  • TCBMs of key importance to managing militarily-sensitive space situations, but

sound crisis management mechanisms also required

10 February 2016 PSSI 3

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  • 2. Interaction of Space and Cyber Domains
  • Today’s space operations entirely cyberspace dependent
  • Critical portion of cyberspace can only be provided by space operations
  • Interconnectedness of space and cyberspace not only a military concern

Examples:

  • commercial software can be used to affect a country’s critical infrastructure
  • Attack on location and timing information from a GNSS as a result of the cyber exploitation
  • f the satellite system
  • Dual-use technologies employed in both domains
  • Intensified public-private sector partnership to address cyber threats to space
  • perations desirable
  • Behavior, not only technologies, needs to be addressed in establishing sound

governance

10 February 2016 PSSI 4

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  • 3. Cyber as a Counterspace Tool
  • Dependence on space and cyberspace introduces asymmetric risks of disruption
  • Cyber attack on space assets has many advantages over a kinetic attack (e.g.

plausible deniability, making offensive attack seem as defensive, etc.)

  • Configuring adequate defenses for both military and civilian operators

challenging due to continuous innovation and transformation of IT

  • Threats include: damage or destruction of spacecraft executed via access to

satellite’s controls; denial, degradation, or other manipulation with the satellite’s transmission; revealing satellite’s capabilities or information (e.g. imagery); spying, or compromising, space-based networks

  • Challenge is how to consolidate command of space and cyberspace domains

10 February 2016 PSSI 5

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  • 4. Governance Aspects
  • Overarching architecture for space and cyberspace governance has to:
  • Cover both commercial and military activities
  • Account for their global, strategic, and dual-use nature and dependence on the EM spectrum and IT

infrastructure

  • Russia and China at the forefront of promoting arms control in space domain (PAROS initiatives;

Chinese-Russian draft “Treaty on Prevention of Placement of Weapons in Outer Space and of the Threat or Use of Force Against Outer Space Objects” (PPWT); Russia’s “no first placement of weapons in outer space” initiative)

  • PAROS, PPWT and “no first placement” initiatives fail to address space reality
  • Russia and China took a different approach concerning cyber (draft International Code of

Conduct for Information Security) which uses certain terminology not acceptable to the U.S. and European countries

  • Reveals differing views on security concepts
  • EU proposed a different kind of Code of Conduct for Space, one that promotes behavioral norms

and TCBMs

10 February 2016 PSSI 6

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  • 4. Governance Aspects - continued
  • TCBMs promoted both in the context of space and cyberspace security

(e.g. UNCOPUOS STSC Working Group on Long-Term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities; a consensus 2013 report by GGE on TCBMs for Outer Space Activities; GGE report on Developments in the Field of Information and Telecommunications; the Council of Europe’s Convention on Cybercrime, etc.)

  • TCBMs for both domains only politically, not legally, binding – i.e. depend on

good will and voluntarism of states – but represent a good foundation for configuring what is permissible

  • TCBMs a useful, preventive tool and barometer of political/diplomatic relations
  • Reliable situational awareness in both domains required not only for effective
  • perations, but also to safeguard these domains and respond to contingencies

10 February 2016 PSSI 7

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  • 5. Crisis Management Considerations
  • Intersection of space and cyberspace needs to be an integral component of

broader security and foreign policy considerations in every space-dependent country

  • Crisis management related to this intersection must track the ever-changing

nature of operational capabilities and ensure effective organizational structures empowered to address various contingencies

  • Internationally, not only norms of responsible behavior are required, but also

agreement on clear procedures to deal with escalatory spirals and other unexpected eventualities

  • While multilateral agreement on universal governance rules may prove elusive

in a crisis scenario, it is important that all parties understand potentially substantial penalties for misconduct

10 February 2016 PSSI 8

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  • 5. Crisis Management Considerations - continued

National Considerations:

  • Establishment of a mechanism to acquire common 24/7 situational awareness;
  • Education of space operators concerning cyberspace-related threats;
  • Building collaborative arrangements between the space and cyberspace operators;
  • Building a dossier of possible space vulnerabilities stemming from cyberspace, and possible consequences

(including potential for escalation);

  • Understanding strategic-level implications of different contingencies;
  • Configuration of smooth interaction among the relevant government authorities, and commercial and other

actors, to enable rapid reaction to unexpected events and shaping proper defenses and damage control;

  • Ensuring political level preparedness through the establishment of a link between the operationally

responsible entities/authorities and government authorities relevant to space security;

  • Practicing national table top exercises that involve government, commercial, and NGO representatives to

test how a common operating picture, incorporating possible political, economic, and social impacts, can be quickly configured in the event of “incidents”;

  • Understanding the benefits and challenges of establishing a separate “cyber command” within existing military

and intelligence structures.

10 February 2016 PSSI 9

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  • 5. Crisis Management Considerations - continued

International Considerations:

  • Discussion of possible modalities for the inclusion of a cyber operating picture in the

current efforts to construct shared space situational awareness;

  • Engaging in joint table-top exercises with key space partners that address

electromagnetic spectrum threats;

  • Organizing exchanges among, and between, government and commercial entities

concerning various approaches to crisis management related to cyber threats (including detection, classification and risk assessment) for space operators;

  • Determining how to mutually reinforce efforts in various international organizations,

including the UN, the OSCE, NATO and the OECD.

10 February 2016 PSSI 10

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  • 6. Conclusion
  • Due to world’s heavy – and increasing – dependence on space and cyberspace,

security of these domains stands equal with other key national and international security considerations

  • Priority international attention to safeguarding these domains creates
  • pportunity to formulate realistic foundational governance concepts
  • A step in this direction would be to marry norms of responsible behavior/TCBMs

(as a practical tools for collaboration) and mature crisis management (as a necessary contingency if identified “rules of the road” should be violated)

  • Political-level collaboration would enable the development of a common critical

path to manage militarily-sensitive space situations

10 February 2016 PSSI 11