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TODAY
- Global and national context
- Manchester’s growth story
- What role governance in growth?
- Conclusions
Governance and growth: rebuilding the original modern city John - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Governance and growth: rebuilding the original modern city John - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Governance and growth: rebuilding the original modern city John Holden Deputy Director, Research TODAY Global and national context Manchesters growth story What role governance in growth? Conclusions 1. CONTEXT GLOBAL
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- 1. CONTEXT
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GLOBAL CONTEXT
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NATIONAL CONTEXT
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- No recognition of place as an issue
- Policy still places restrictions on urban economic growth
- National policy disconnected and inefficient at the local level
- Failure to recognise differential opportunities (outside London)
- Research base is not strong enough to convince civil servants or
politicians that an alternative approach is more efficient
SO WHAT’S THE PROBLEM?
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- 2. MANCHESTER’S GROWTH STORY
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MANCHESTER’S RECESSIONS
100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 Manufacturing Private Sector Public Sector/Other = recession
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THE UK’S LONG TAIL GM IN THE UK: GVA & GROWTH 2011
GM South £32.5bn Growth of £9.5bn 2% UK GVA Growth 2001-2011 GM North £15.7bn Growth of £3.8bn 1% UK GVA Growth 2001-2011 £0 £20,000 £40,000 £60,000 £80,000 £100,000 £120,000 £140,000 GVA (£/m) £432 bn UK GVA Growth 2001 - 2011 London:26% GM:3% Next 5 largest cities: 7% Largest absolute growth
- f NUTS3 areas outside
London & South East
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Source: Yale University Geocon Project
A SECOND GROWTH POLE?
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“Outside London, MCR is the city region which, given its scale and potential for improving productivity, is best placed to take advantage of the benefits of agglomeration and increase its growth” – MIER
MANCHESTER IN 2013
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BUT CHALLENGES REMAIN
25+ LONE PARENTS: 18,300 U25 ESA/IB: 10,080 U25 LONE PARENTS: 11,670 25+ JOBSEEKERS: 39,490 25+ ESA/IB: 158,080 25+ LONE PARENTS: 41,050 U25 JOBSEEKERS: 21,810 U25 ESA/IB: 8,650 U25 LONE PARENTS: 9,690 25+ JOBSEEKERS: 58,760 25+ ESA/IB: 135,140 U25 JOBSEEKERS: 15,940 AUGUST 1999 START OF RECESSION NOVEMBER 2012
SOURCE: DWP, 2013
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- 3. GOVERNANCE AND GROWTH
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MONOCENTRIC AND UNDER-BOUNDED
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HISTORY OF COLLABORATION
From 1986 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Business Leadership Council Established Publication
- f the MIER
Prosperity for All: The Greater Manchester Strategy
GM LEP
Formation of AGMA Manchester City Deal GMS refresh Community Budget Pilot
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TRACK RECORD OF DELIVERY
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- 4. CONCLUSIONS
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- Agglomeration is key to growth; unevenness is inevitable
- Anti-urban policy is probably inefficient to a point which
strains any equity argument
- Institutions matter as much as the policies they
implement
- Much policy needs critical evaluation - much of it doesn't
work
CONCLUSIONS (1)
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CONCLUSIONS (2)
- Manchester has potential to be a complementary growth
hub to London. To achieve this we need:
- A reappraisal of traditional urban policy. Linking areas
- f growth and deprivation
- Deeper and narrower devolution by government
- A more balanced physical and human capital
approach by local and national policy makers
- Better evidence of the impact this can have
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