MinNorm approximation of MaxEnt/MinDiv problems for probability - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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MinNorm approximation of MaxEnt/MinDiv problems for probability - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

MinNorm approximation of MaxEnt/MinDiv problems for probability tables Patrick Bogaert and Sarah Gengler UCL Rebuilding probability tables UCL Rebuilding probability tables Limited number of samples Poor estimates UCL Rebuilding


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MinNorm approximation of MaxEnt/MinDiv problems for probability tables

Patrick Bogaert and Sarah Gengler

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Rebuilding probability tables

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Rebuilding probability tables

  • Limited number of samples

Poor estimates 

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Rebuilding probability tables

  • Limited number of samples

Poor estimates 

  • How to integrate experts opinion ?
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Rebuilding probability tables

  • Limited number of samples

Poor estimates  Rewriting information as equality / inequality constraints 

  • How to integrate experts opinion ?
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Rebuilding probability tables

  • Limited number of samples

Poor estimates  Rewriting information as equality / inequality constraints 

  • How to integrate experts opinion ?
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Rebuilding probability tables

  • Limited number of samples

Poor estimates  Rewriting information as equality / inequality constraints 

  • Equality constraints MaxEnt

  • Inequality constraints Minimum divergence (MinDiv)

  • How to integrate experts opinion ?
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Rebuilding probability tables

  • Limited number of samples

Poor estimates  Rewriting information as equality / inequality constraints 

  • Equality constraints MaxEnt

  • Inequality constraints Minimum divergence (MinDiv)

 Need for an efficient methodology to rebuild probability tables from both equality and inequality constraints 

  • How to integrate experts opinion ?
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The MaxEnt problem

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The MaxEnt problem

  • Equality constraints
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The MaxEnt problem

  • Equality constraints
  • Entropy maximized subject to the equality constraints
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The MaxEnt problem

  • Equality constraints
  • Entropy maximized subject to the equality constraints
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The MaxEnt problem

  • Equality constraints
  • Entropy maximized subject to the equality constraints

Sequence of MinNorm problems for solving the MaxEnt problem 

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MinNorm as an approximation of MaxEnt

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MinNorm as an approximation of MaxEnt

  • Taylor series of ln pi around pi = ki
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MinNorm as an approximation of MaxEnt

  • Taylor series of ln pi around pi = ki
  • Truncating at degree one and summing over i
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MinNorm as an approximation of MaxEnt

  • Taylor series of ln pi around pi = ki
  • Truncating at degree one and summing over i
  • In particular, if ki = 1/n
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MinNorm as an approximation of MaxEnt

  • For any other choice of the ki ‘s, by completing the square
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MinNorm as an approximation of MaxEnt

  • For any other choice of the ki ‘s, by completing the square
  • Summing over i

Where

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The MinDiv problem

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The MinDiv problem

  • Divergence or Kullback-Leibler distance
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The MinDiv problem

  • Equality constraints
  • Divergence or Kullback-Leibler distance

= 0 Maximizing

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The MinDiv problem

  • Equality constraints

  • Divergence or Kullback-Leibler distance

= 0 Maximizing

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The MinDiv problem

  • Equality constraints

 

  • Divergence or Kullback-Leibler distance

= 0 Maximizing

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The MinDiv problem

  • Equality constraints

 Sequence of MinNorm problems for solving the MinDiv problem  

  • Divergence or Kullback-Leibler distance

= 0 Maximizing

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The MinDiv problem

  • Equality constraints

 Sequence of MinNorm problems for solving the MinDiv problem  

  • Divergence or Kullback-Leibler distance

Both Equality and Inequality constraints can be processed together by MinNorm approximations = 0 Maximizing

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MinNorm as an approximation of MinDiv

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MinNorm as an approximation of MinDiv

  • Taylor series around pi = ki and completing the square
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MinNorm as an approximation of MinDiv

  • Taylor series around pi = ki and completing the square
  • Summing over i

Where

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Application in drainage classes mapping

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Application in drainage classes mapping

  • Categorical data are found in a wide variety of applications
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Application in drainage classes mapping

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Application in drainage classes mapping

  • Categorical data are found in a wide variety of applications
  • 90 % of variables collected in soil surveys are categorical
  • Soil drainage, an important criterion in rating soils for various uses
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Application in drainage classes mapping

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Application in drainage classes mapping

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Application in drainage classes mapping

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Application in drainage classes mapping

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Application in drainage classes mapping

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Application in drainage classes mapping

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Application in drainage classes mapping

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Application in drainage classes mapping

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Integrating the lithological map : 4 cases

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Integrating the lithological map : 4 cases

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Integrating the lithological map : 4 cases

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Spatial prediction

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Integrating the lithological map : 4 cases

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Spatial prediction

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Integrating the lithological map : 4 cases

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Conclusions

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Conclusions

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Conclusions

 MinNorm Approximations

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Conclusions

 MinNorm Approximations

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Conclusions

 MinNorm Approximations

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Conclusions

 MinNorm Approximations

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Conclusions

 MinNorm Approximations

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Conclusions

 MinNorm Approximations

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Conclusions

 MinNorm Approximations

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Thank you for your attention

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References