Global Public Opinion Research: Thinking About the Who, What, Where - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Global Public Opinion Research: Thinking About the Who, What, Where - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Global Public Opinion Research: Thinking About the Who, What, Where and How Dr. David A. Jodice, Founder and CEO David Peng, Chief Statistician and VP of Research Introduction Opposition to public opinion polling is increasingly widespread


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Thinking About the Who, What, Where and How

  • Dr. David A. Jodice, Founder and CEO

David Peng, Chief Statistician and VP of Research

Global Public Opinion Research:

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Introduction

Opposition to public opinion polling is increasingly widespread and growing.

—D3: Designs, Data, Decisions Global Public Opinion Research: Thinking about the Who, What, Where, and How

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Introduction

Who

What Where How

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Introduction

Who

What

Where How

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Introduction

Who What

Where

How

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Introduction

Who What Where

How

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Global Survey Predecessors

The World Values Survey The Voice of the People Survey The End of the Year Survey Global Attitudes & Trends

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Who

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Who

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Who

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Who

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What

Dimensions of Acceptability & Relevance

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Ke Key issu ssues es of the he day ay

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Ke Key issu ssues es of the he day ay Media ia cons nsumptio umption

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Ke Key issu ssues es of the he day ay Media ia cons nsumptio umption Country untry-spec specifi ific c ques uestio tions ns

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Ke Key issu ssues es of the he day ay Media ia cons nsumptio umption Country untry-spec specifi ific c ques uestio tions ns Demogr mographics aphics

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Ke Key issu ssues es of the he day ay Media ia cons nsumptio umption Country untry-spec specifi ific c ques uestio tions ns Demogr mographics aphics Sens nsitiv itive e topi pics cs

Compr prehensio ehension n by respo ponde ndent nts Govern ernment ment oppositio ition

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Where

Coverage Sample sizes Sample design (probability vs. and non-probability) Data collection (F2F, CATI, or new media) Important considerations by country include:

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Top 100 Countries

Measured by Population

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Here are the Problems

CATO Institute’s Freedom Index

Free ee Fac aces es Oppo positi sition

  • n

Not Free ee Not Inde ndexed

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Freedom is on the Decline

54%

  • f all countries experienced

a decline in freedoms between 2013-2014

Not Free Somewhat Free Free

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Moving Forward

Strategy 1: In-country surveys (CATI or F2F) Strategy 2: Cross-border CATI Strategy 3: Online panels Strategy 4: Social Media To a Globally-Representative Opinion Poll

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In-Country Surveys

SHORTCOMINGS BENEFITS

Global Polling Strategy 1: Accepted Practice Accessible Samples Government Opposition High Costs Incongruent Field Practices

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Global Polling Strategy 2:

Cross-border CATI

Common Software Consistent Dual Frames Regulated Practices Substantial Decline Rate

BENEFITS SHORTCOMINGS

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Global Polling Strategy 3:

Online Panels

Cost-Effective Large Samples Quality Control Information Confirmation

BENEFITS SHORTCOMINGS

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Social Media

Global Polling Strategy 4: Easy Access to Large Populations Low Cost Information Confirmation Non-Traditional Survey Methods

BENEFITS SHORTCOMINGS

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How

10-Step Plan

Develop survey

Country coverage Sample design Field methods Reporting Data Archiving

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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How

10-Step Plan

Identify sponsor

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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How

10-Step Plan

Secure funding

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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How

10-Step Plan

Develop baseline survey questionnaire

Trend Questions Country-specific Global issues

4 2 3 1 5 6 7 8 9 10

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How

10-Step Plan

Develop sampling frames for Wave 1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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How

10-Step Plan

Select multiple call centers

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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How

10-Step Plan

Implement Wave 1

Field Data Processing Data Visualization Analytic Reports Archiving Distribution

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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How

10-Step Plan

Release the results, where acceptable

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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How

10-Step Plan

Distribute findings externally

Conferences Articles Publications

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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How

10-Step Plan

Review lessons learned

Begin next wave

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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Thinking About the Who, What, Where and How

  • Dr. David A. Jodice, Founder and CEO

David Peng, Chief Statistician and VP of Research

Global Public Opinion Research:

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