Public Opinion and the US- Russian Relationship September 21, 2018 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Public Opinion and the US- Russian Relationship September 21, 2018 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Public Opinion and the US- Russian Relationship September 21, 2018 Dina Smeltz , Senior Fellow, Public Opinion and Foreign Policy, Chicago Council on Global Affairs Stepan Goncharov , Sociologist, Levada Analytical Center Favorability of the

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September 21, 2018 Public Opinion and the US- Russian Relationship

Dina Smeltz, Senior Fellow, Public Opinion and Foreign Policy, Chicago Council on Global Affairs Stepan Goncharov, Sociologist, Levada Analytical Center

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Favorability of the United States: Recent shifts with US response to Crimea, Helsinki Summit

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Shifts in Russian expectations of bilateral relationship

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Mixed expectations after Russia’s 2018 election

May, 2018

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Roots of Russian negative sentiment

  • “There is a crisis of trust on one hand and an unwillingness to have a

dialogue… and national pride on the other.” -Russian expert

  • The Russian government does not trust US motives internationally
  • Kosovo, Iraq, Libya solidified the concern that the US doesn’t respect state sovereignty
  • NATO expansion and missile defense seen as aimed at Russia
  • The Russian public has a natural distrust of the US, dating back to the 90s, which is

utilized and exacerbated by the state-run media

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Favorability of Russia: negative downturn after Crimea annexation

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Roots of American negative sentiment

  • “Empathy is entirely lacking on the US side, we are currently

experiencing another Red Scare.” –US Expert

  • Putin is the problem for the US government, few experts think the relationship can

change while he’s in office. The US government has also demonstrated an unwillingness to understand Russia’s position

  • Many experts also pointed to US President Trump as further hindrance to improving relations, given

that Congress appears willing to check his policy towards Russia and his mercurial temperament

  • Russian interference in the 2016 election greatly damaged US public opinion of Russia.

The media coverage of Russia and the 2016 further demonizes Russia in the eyes of the US public.

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Perceptions of increased importance for Russia; decreased importance for US

December, 2017

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Shared sense of threats

December 2017

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Limited portion of US public views Russia as a threat

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Even fewer Russians consider the US a threat

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Contrasting views of interference in domestic affairs

December, 2017

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Majority of Americans think Russia interfered to some extent in the 2016 US Election

December, 2017

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Majority of Russians think Russia did not interfere in the 2016 US election

January, 2017

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Russians not feeling the pinch from sanctions personally

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Not t much much mi middl ddle gr ground f und for conc ncessions ns

December, 2017

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Hope for the future? Younger Russians more positive

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American views of Russia differ little by age

December, 2018

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To see more visit…

  • www.thechicagocouncil.org/issue/public-opinion
  • www.levada.ru/