SLIDE 1 Global Food Security Index 2015:
An annual measure of the state of global food security
Sponsored by May 19, 2015
SLIDE 2 Agenda
I. Introduction
Overview & objectives Framework 2015 results
II. Global Trends
Geopolitical trends Commodity prices (food) The wheat story Population moves
III. Global Results
GFSI topline results Category stories Trends analysis
IV. Insights
Key lessons GFSI: A framework for action/priorities Innovations for food security
SLIDE 3
Introduction
SLIDE 4 Overview of the Global Food Security Index (GFSI)
Indexing three core issues in 109 countries
Affordability Availability Quality and Safety
SLIDE 5 To create a quantitative approach to evaluating the dynamics
- f food systems and the ability of countries to feed their populations
- To identify factors that drive food security
- To determine country strengths,
weaknesses and best practices
- To highlight areas of action, policy needs
and other system gaps
Key objectives of the Global Food Security Index
SLIDE 6
- Diet diversification
- Nutritional standards
- Micronutrient availability
- Protein quality
- Food safety
- Food consumption as a share of household expenditure
(%)
- Proportion of population under global poverty line
- GDP per capita, $US, PPP
- Agricultural import tariffs
- Presence of food safety nets
- Access to finance for farmers
- Sufficiency of supply
- Public expenditure on agricultural R&D
- Agricultural infrastructure
- Volatility of agricultural production
- Political stability risk
- Corruption
- Urban absorption capacity
- Food loss
Food Price Adjustment Factor
- FAO global food price index
adjusted for income growth, exchange rates and a pass- through coefficient of global to national food prices
- Applied to Affordability score
- Quarterly update to baseline
model * Composite indicators are bolded.
GFSI indicator framework: 19 measures across 3 categories
GFSI Index
GFSI Index
SLIDE 7 Global Food Security Index 2012-2015: 109-country average score changes, year-on-year
2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 OVERALL +0.4 +1.1 +1.2 Affordability
+2.3 +1.0 Availability +1.2 +0.1 +1.4 Quality & Safety +0.4 +1.1
The GFSI shows improvements across all categories
- f food security since the launch of the index in 2012
Food security has improved globally
SLIDE 8 Best Good Moderate Needs improvement
2015 GFSI results
SLIDE 9 Global trends:
The global outlook for food security
SLIDE 10 Middle-income countries (MICs) now make up more than 5 out of the world’s 7 billion people Growth in non-OECD countries (including low and middle income) will slow down, from 4.5% in 2014 to 4.0% in 2015, but then is projected to increase to 4.7% in 2016 Political risks permeate the globe Territorial instability, religious extremism and humanitarian crises all impact global markets Eurozone stagnation continues to slow improvements in European food security
Geopolitical trends in 2015
SLIDE 11
Falling food commodity prices …make food more affordable for all
SLIDE 12 Days (m tonnes)
Demand for wheat is projected to increase 60% by 2050 Wheat: demand will outstrip supply
SLIDE 13 Urbanisation is putting strain on cities, where access to fresh, nutritious food is often limited. The population shift to cities continues
by 2050 2014
SLIDE 14
Global results:
How do countries perform across food security measures?
SLIDE 15
2015 GFSI topline results
SLIDE 16
2015 GFSI topline results : Areas of improvement
SLIDE 17
75% of Asia & Pacific countries saw increases in GDP per capita, aiding access to food The percentage of people under the global poverty line in the region decreased – mainly due to improvements in Vietnam, China, India and Pakistan.
Affordability results 2015: Asia & Pacific region improves
SLIDE 18 Half of the 18 countries in the region rely on ongoing assistance from the World Food Program
- Considerable strides have
been made in decreasing reliance on this type of assistance over the past year Agricultural infrastructure inadequacies and relatively high corruption risk continue to constrain food security gains in the region Chronic food-aid dependency falls
Availability results 2015: Central & South America
SLIDE 19
Diets are more diverse, and saw gains in this area over the past year, but still the most reliant on starchy foods Protein quality improvements seen in a number of countries Low-income countries continue to register low availability of micronutrients – vitamin A and some types of iron- in the food supply. Diet diversity and micronutrient availability biggest areas of improvement
Quality & Safety results 2015: low-income countries advance
SLIDE 20
GFSI trends analysis:
Four years of insights
SLIDE 21
Trends analysis: 2012-2015
SLIDE 22
What have we learned?
SLIDE 23 Public sector
- Governments use the index as a policy check
- A country diagnostic tool for investment
- A number of countries have asked to be included in the
benchmarking index Non-profits and NGOs
- Use the index to determine key countries to focus their advocacy
efforts for food security policy changes
- Use the index as an active research tool
Private sector
- Uses the index as a launch pad to explore food consumption and
CSR initiatives
The GFSI: a framework for priorities and action
SLIDE 24 Innovations
Decrease in yield Soil depletion Climate Change
Food-security issues +2015:
- Climate change
- Soil depletion and degradation
- Water access
- Possible yield plateaus
Addressing rapid population growth
- Applying science to solve problems
- Financing tools for smallholders
- Urban agriculture
Food-security challenges
Innovations for food security: Doing more with less
SLIDE 25 Please visit: http://foodsecurityindex.eiu.com
Dedicated microsite
Thank you
Contact information
