Getting to a Learning Health System through Learning Health Units: Opportunities and Challenges
Adrian F. Hernandez, MD Vice Dean for Clinical Research
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
Getting to a Learning Health System through Learning Health Units: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Getting to a Learning Health System through Learning Health Units: Opportunities and Challenges DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH Adrian F. Hernandez, MD Vice Dean for Clinical Research LEARNING HEALTH Key questions: Are we achieving our
Adrian F. Hernandez, MD Vice Dean for Clinical Research
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
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– The patient? – The clinician? – The data scientist?
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4 AMIA 2017 | amia.org
Aspiration: bring timely, accurate, and current clinical information to the point of care to help patients and clinicians make
Evidence is iteratively applied and developed as a natural part of the care delivery process Entails engagement of a range of stakeholders: health system leaders, front line clinical practitioners, patients, payers, policymakers Deep reliance on data, rapid analytics, and supportive culture
Courtesy: Eric Larson
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Giving an honest grade on achieving the vision…
The Institute of Medicine’s (NAM) vision:
Research happens closer to clinical practice than in traditional university settings. Scientists, clinicians, and administrators work together. Studies occur in everyday practice settings. Electronic medical records are linked and mined for research. Recognition that clinical and health system data exist for the public good.
Summary: Evidence informs practice and practice informs evidence.
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– The patient? – The clinician? – The data scientist?
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MAYO (& NOT DUKE) ??
Surveys say… Reality is…
– The patient? – The clinician? – The data scientist?
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What would a clinician want?
Evolving Health Data EcoSystem
doi:10.1001/jama.2014.4228 Setting:
Type:
Solutions:
Data are necessary but not always sufficient
Data are necessary but not always sufficient
Data are necessary but not always sufficient
Data are necessary but not always sufficient
Data are necessary but not always sufficient
Clinicians may be important too
Data Deluge for Clinicians
Bloss CS, et al. PeerJ, 2016
Doing the right thing for the right patient
Extreme Phenotyping
3 HFpEF “Pheno-Groups” Identified
3 HFpEF “Pheno-Groups” Identified
Only one small issue: What’s the treatment?
– The patient? – The clinician? – The data scientist?
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What would a data scientist want?
Multi-Dimensional Research Platforms
Garza M et al. Journal of Biomedical Informatics 2016
Predicting Sepsis
Pythia’s surgical complications risk prediction calculator: A fully-functioning prototype application
An institute-specific, open-access, automated database used to build healthcare research, QI and decision- support tools using best-in-class methodologies featuring innovative and original technology
Quality Assurance:
Using machine learning to advance imaging
REGISTRY
Of interventions,MODEL
Probability of Unplanned Admissions for:
6 MONTH PREDICTION WINDOW CARE MANAGEMENT WORKFLOW
10 YEAR RETROSPECTIVE HER (COMMON DATA MODEL) DATA 12-MONTH RETROSPECTIVE CMS CLAIMS DATA
by PHMO care managers
primary care practices
intensive case management and management of serious illness including patient, provider, and practice engagement
health management for value based contracts
Monthly Data Refresh Monthly Predictive Model Retraining
”Lego” Building Blocks for Data Science: Snap together components to be leveraged for other LHU projects
USING MACHINE LEARNING TO ADVANCE CARE
Deep Care Management in Duke Connected Care
Courtesy Erich Huang, MD
– The patient? – The clinician? – The data scientist?
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responsible for the care and outcomes of this population..
health system
day to improve the heath of the next person?
Hypothetical Situation
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What’s the net present value?
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What’s the net present value?
Quality
Flipping the Model: New Environment, Different Expectations
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
Clinical/Population
4 3
Science
Transition to Value-based Care
2019 2020 2018 2021 & Beyond 2014
Fee-For-Service
Pre- 2013
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Value-based Care
2017 2015 2016
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Use Case: Transitions for Cardiovascular Care
Cost/Margin
High $ Low $
Low High
Clinical Evidence High Cost No Evidence Stop Doing It Study Low/No Cost High Evidence YES! Keeping doing it. Population Health Potential for Value
A Typical Health System: How Supply Tries to Meet Demand Today
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
4 6 DCRI/CPM Margolis Engineering AI ACE/PORT/ DART DOCR
Crucible
CTSI/BERD PHMO IT ORI DIHI Statistics/ Computer Science Performance Services B&B/PHS Forge Finance Maestro/DHTS
Payer Departments & Clinical Research Units Outcomes & Operations Finance Physician Practice Safety & Quality Primary Care Others
Clinical, Business & Operations
Learning Health Units: Transforming Health in One Duke
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
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Learning Health Units: Transforming Health in One Duke
Patients Clinicians Researchers Community Engagement
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
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Learning Health Units: Transforming Health in One Duke
Patients Clinicians Researchers Community Informatics Curation Infrastructure Health Technology Engagement Data Liquidity
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
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Learning Health Units: Transforming Health in One Duke
Patients Clinicians Researchers Community Informatics Curation Infrastructure Health Technology Engagement Data Liquidity
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
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Practice Process Payment Policy
Learning Health Units: Transforming Health in One Duke
Patients Clinicians Researchers Community Artificial Intelligence Statistics Rapid Analytics Embedded Trials Practice Process Payment Policy Informatics Curation Infrastructure Health Technology Implementation & Evaluation Research Engagement Data Liquidity
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
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Learning Health Units: Transforming Health in One Duke
Patients Clinicians Researchers Community Artificial Intelligence Statistics Rapid Analytics Embedded Trials Practice Process Payment Policy Informatics Curation Infrastructure Health Technology Implementation & Evaluation Research
L H U
Engagement Data Liquidity
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
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Learning Health Unit
Essential Question Data Liquidity Data Curation Science Answer Impact
LHU: Uniting Clinicians, Researchers, and Data Scientists
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
5 3 Derivatives:
for research
development
advances RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT Derivatives:
data science
science
innovation IMPLEMENTATION & EVALUATION
Learning Health Unit
Clinicians Service Line VPs Data Engineers
Solutions Engineers
Data Scientists
User Experience Specialists Imple- mentation Specialists
LHU: Uniting Clinicians, Researchers, and Data Scientists
DUKE UNIVERSITY DUKE HEALTH LEARNING HEALTH
5 4 IMPLEMENTATION & EVALUATION RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT
Value-Based Care Demands Integrated Responses
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Questions
How can we improve 30-day mortality? How can we prevent unnecessary readmissions? How can we increase appropriate use and accuracy of diagnostic testing?
Improved Health Better Quality Value- Based Care
Informatics Curation Infrastructure Health Technology AI Statistics Rapid Analytics Embedded Trials Practice Process Payment Policy
LHU Focus
Complexity
High Low
Low High
Immediate Clinical Value Low Immediacy, High Complexity Research Low Immediacy, Low Complexity High Immediacy, Low Complexity Health System Improvement High Immediacy, High Complexity
LHUs
system?
– Not yet
key attributes for a learning health system?
– Culture, investment, data, research, results…
would you design it?
– That’s the question
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