GC SET Digital Roadshow
29 November 2018 1
GC SET Digital Roadshow 29 November 2018 1 Disclaimer This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
GC SET Digital Roadshow 29 November 2018 1 Disclaimer This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals
29 November 2018 1
This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. This presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements including, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. PTTGC has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ materially from that projected in the forward- looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward- looking statements. Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were made. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and PTTGC does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
Disclaimer
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Vision and Mission
3
PTTGC Sustainable Development
4
FOR 6th CONSECUTIVE YEAR
Agenda
5
Strategic Direction Business Overview
petrochemical and refinery operations
8 Business Units
AROMATICS OLEFINS POLYMERS GREEN PC PHENOL REFINERY EO BASED
Business Overview
16% 16% 56% 3% 3% 5%
BUs Contribution
48% 20% 21% 5% 5% 1% Revenue Adj EBITDA
6
Highly competitive cost structure from having Gas Profit Sharing concept is based on the integrated margin from gas to HDPE. Margin split based on equitable return on investment of PTT and PTTGC
PTTGC’s Gas Price Formula
Derives to
Business Unit Adj. EBTIDA Margin Competitive Cost Structure Strategic location and integrated through value chain in Map Ta Phut area
Located in 5 industrial estate in nearby area, 27 sites Dividend
Business Overview
7
1.68 0.95 1.62 1.00 1.50 1.05 1.75 1.75 1.30 2.45 1.78 1.37 1.30 1.80 2.50 45% 45% 46% 70% 61% 50% 49% 34%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
1st Half 2nd Half Payout Ratio
Note: * Restatement to include Assets injection of 6 companies, retrospect to 1 January 2016 ** Adjusted EBITDA refers EBITDA excluding impact of oil stock value *** Reported only portion attributable to the Company and actual realization after the Asset injection
Overview of business unit performance
102% 94% 97% 98% 103% 82% 113% 96%
0% 50% 100% 150% Refinery Aromatics Polymer Olefins
Operating Rate
Q3'17 Q3'18
Q3/18 net profit increased 2,838 MB or 29% YoY mainly from;
and MMA price , also supported by healthier performance from NatureWorks.
6.44 8.08
Market GRM
Q3'17 Q3'18
247 185
BTX Margin
Q3'17 Q3'18
26% 28%
OLE & Derivative EBITDA (%)
Q3'17 Q3'18
$/bbl $/T
8
(Unit: Million Baht) Q3/2017 (Restate)* Q2/2018 Q3/2018 YoY % +/(-) QoQ % +/(-) 9M/2017 (Restate)* 9M/2018 YoY % +/(-) Sales Revenue 104,583 128,923 136,712 31% 6% 318,002 386,574 22% EBITDA 15,994 18,574 17,634 10%
46,886 52,517 12% EBITDA Margin (%) 15% 14% 13%
15% 14%
Share of profit of investments in JV and Associates 875 1,515 1,967 125% 30% 3,870 5,506 42% (Profits attributable to Owners of the Parent)*** 875 1,515 1,967 125% 30% 1,656 5,506 233% Net Profit 9,955 10,828 12,793 29% 18% 29,740 36,008 21% EPS (Baht/Share) 2.23 2.40 2.84 27% 18% 6.66 7.99 20% Adjusted EBITDA** 15,032 15,902 16,830 12% 6% 46,517 49,051 5% Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%) 14% 12% 12%
0% 15% 13%
9,955 389 72 1,716 1,292 291 12,793
Q3-17 Q3-18
addition, the selling volume of polyethylene is increased by having additional LLDPE capacity since March 2018..
volume due to higher utilization rate at 94% in Q3/18.
and MMA price , also supported by healthier performance from NatureWorks.
Performance comparison YoY 9
Stock Gain/(Loss) & NRV&Commodity Hedge Q3’18 = 578 Q3’17 = 967 FX Gain/(Loss) Q3’18 = 167 Q3’17 = 239 Unit : MB Operating Profit from main BUs Others Sharing from Subsidiaries, JV & Associate Q3’18 = 2,102 Q3’17 = 810
Strong Financial Position
Cash Flow
THB Bn
Statements of Financial Position
Cash +ST Investment CA PPE Liab. IBD Share Holder’s Equity Sep 30,2018 456 Bn Dec 31,2017 435 Bn
and inhouse management of 7.9 billion THB at the end
and 37% is float rate. THB debt is a major portion of 55% of our debt profile, while 45% is in USD, mainly from US Bond.
investment mainly from ongoing projects which are ORP, PO&Polyols project and land acquisition.
year on average but 2021 will increase from retirement
from maturity of USD bond.
long term debt ~3.77%.
Note : Private Fund and In house management around 7,900MB
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55 49 45 22 29
Beginning Cash + S/T Investment Operating Cash Flow CAPEX Financing Ending Cash + S/T Investment
83 75 231 220 93 86 49 55 297 280 91 98 68 57
Non CA
Agenda
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Strategic Direction Business Overview
Sustain Core Accelerate Growth levers Balance Business & Social Value To be a Leading chemical company for Better living
Business Competitiveness
Olefins Reconfiguration
Improve productivity
Enhance business clarity & Maximize integration
Strategic Direction
12
2019 Key Development
CIRCULAR ECONOMY SINGLE USE PLASTIC DOWNSTREAM INTEGRATION DIGITAL CLMV MARKET STRATEGY 13 DIGITAL CLMV MARKET STRATEGY CIRCULAR ECONOMY SINGLE USE PLASTIC
Downstream Integration
Acquired share in RGL for rotomolding compound business Acquired share in SMPC and TPRC to capture downstream
Establishment of Joint Venture Company “Kuraray GC Advance Material Co.,Ltd”.
GC continue to have more present in downstream business through extending the value chain
Extending propylene value chain by investing in PO and JV in polyols project to penetrate into PU chain in Asian region
14
2018 2020 2019
PO/Polyols (330 KTA)
: 26% (plan 21%) & 25% (plan 22%) progress
Olefins Reconfiguration (750 KTA) : 30% (Plan
28%) progress
ME Plant 2 (200 KTA)
(COD Q4/18)
EO-Based Derivatives
i.e. HOA in Softanol
Performance Chemical in C4 Chain i.e. JV in PA9T,
HSBC
Expansion Olefins & derivatives
i.e. Signed HOA on US petrochemical project
Performance Materials in Olefins chain Biocomplex
i.e. HOA of GGC
Potential investment and project under study Committed investment project
LLDPE II (434 KTA)
(COD 1st Mar)
Strategic Direction : Consistent volume growth
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SMPC: PTA (970 KTA) TPRC: PET (147 KTA) RGL: Rotomolding compound (61KTA)
Digit gitaliza lizati tion
Modification LLDPE II to swing plant for HDPE production
Digitalization enhancing productivity on top of MAX
for commercial Robot for finance CRM Advance analytic for operation Asset Performance Management Furnace management Turnaround management Material movement
Digital use cases
2019 Onwards Supply Chain Optimization Optimize Product Portfolio Operating Cost Saving Packaging Cost Reduction Improve work efficiency Digit italiza ization ion
Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 (F) Q1'19 (F) Q2'19 (F) Q3'19 (F) Q4'19 (F)
Target 10,500 MB
2016 2018 2019
Onward
Di Digitalizatio ion roa roadmap
Knowledge management EBIT 150 M$/yr by 2022
MAX initiatives
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People foundation
CLMV Market Strategy
Official opening JV of SP PetPack at Thilawa Special Estate Zone, Myanmar Register company in September 2018 Opening in June 2018 GC host Business Matching Cambodia 2018 at Phnom Penh, Cambodia JV in TPBI & Myanmar Star Company limited, Myanmar GC participate in Propak Myanmar 2018
CLMV Target > 350KTA in 2021
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ENHANCE ENVIRONMENTAL
FOOTPRINTS
JOURNEY OF CIRCULAR ECONOMY IN GC
CREATE STRATEGIC
PARTNERSHIPS
START
BIO-CHEMICAL PRODUCTION
20 12
START
BIO-PLASTIC PRODUCTION
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Shift from film to durable Target : Reduce Single use shopping bag from 150 KTA to 0 within 2023 Pipe Large Blow Wire & Cable
PBS PLA
Collaborate with brand owner or wholesaler
19
Replace with BioPlastics
1
PROPOSE SOLUTION DESIGNED REUSABLE BAG
Shopping bag (Single use)
WITH CREATIVE DESIGN
REUSABLE SHOPPING BAG
Thicker Durable Design MULTI-FUNCTION REUSABLE BAG
Build Recycling plant &Create Awareness
rHDPE and rPET Recycling plant
Create Awareness Market
2 3
20
21
1 Thitipong Jurapornsiridee VP-Corporate Finance & IR Thitipong.j@pttgcgroup.com +662-265-8574 2 Jittasak Soonthornpan IR Manager Jittasak.s@pttgcgroup.com +662-265-8172 3 Nattchanon Chawinsittangkul IR Analyst Nattchanon.c@pttgcgroup.com +662-265-8364 4 Pantaree Nantanakom IR Analyst Pantaree.n@pttgcgroup.com +662-140-8714 5 Jinthip Prakobwit IR Analyst Jinthip.p@pttgcgroup.com +662-265-8361 6 Preeyapa Asarangchai IR Analyst Preeyapa.a@pttgcgroup.com +662-265-8213
Agenda
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Appendix
Maintenance Shutdown Schedule 2019
23
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Cracker HDPE LDPE LLDPE I LLDPE II PS TOCGC Phenol I Phenol II BPA
REF
Refinery Aromatics I Aromatics II
ARO
Plant
2019
PHN OLE POL EOB
54 53 15 12 15 HDPE1
HDPE2
43 22
HIPS 10 15 GPPS
20 12
Consolidated Income Statement
24
Q3/2017 (Restate)* Q2/2018 Q3/2018 YoY % + /(-) QoQ % + /(-) 9M/2017 (Restate)* 9M/2018 YoY % + /(-) Sales Revenue 104,583 128,923 136,712 31% 6% 318,002 386,574 22% Feedstock cost (77,396) (100,245) (106,082) 37% 6% (236,590) (298,446) 26% Product to Feed Margin 27,187 28,678 30,630 13% 7% 81,412 88,128 8% 1 Variable Cost (6,323) (6,980) (7,153) 13% 2% (18,544) (20,908) 13% 2 Fixed OH (4,051) (3,980) (4,385) 8% 10% (11,378) (12,088) 6% 3 Stock Gain/(Loss) and NRV 962 2,672 804
369 3,466 837% 4 Gain/(Loss) on Hedging Commodity 5 236 (226) 4420%
30 (46)
5 Other Revenue 1,237 1,035 1,423 15% 37% 3,443 3,451 0% 6 SG&A Expenses (3,023) (3,087) (3,459) 14% 12% (8,446) (9,486) 12% EBITDA 15,994 18,574 17,634 10%
46,886 52,517 12% 7 Depreciation & Amortization (5,048) (4,729) (4,800)
2% (15,242) (14,232)
8 Loss from impairment of assets 0% 0% 0% 9 Inventory Loss (GGC)**** (2,004) 0%
(2,004) 0% EBIT 10,946 11,841 12,834 17% 8% 31,644 36,281 15% 10 Net financial expense (749) (901) (531)
(2,313) (1,933)
11 FX Gain(Loss) 239 (682) 167
124% 2,010 154
12 Share of gain/(loss) from investment 875 1,515 1,967 125% 30% 3,870 5,506 42% Share of gain/(loss) from investment (Owners of the parent)*** 875 1,515 1,967 125% 30% 1,655 5,506 233% 13 Corporate Income Tax (1,233) (1,340) (1,471) 19% 10% (2,843) (4,048) 42% 14 Net Profit after Tax 10,078 10,433 12,966 29% 24% 32,368 35,960 11% Profit/(loss) attributable to: 15 Owners of the Company 9,955 10,828 12,793 29% 18% 29,740 36,008 53% 16 Non-controlling interests 123 (395) 173 41% 144% 2,628 (48)
17 Adjusted EBITDA** 15,032 15,902 16,830 12% 6% 46,517 49,051 5% Note: * Restated due to investment in Asset Injection for comparison purpose. ** Adjusted EBITDA = EBITDA excluded Stock Gain/Loss and NRV. *** Shares of gain/(loss) from investment (Owners of the parent) ****Net effect from Inventory Loss by holding portion 72.29% around 1,388MB Unit : MB
147.9 149.5 149.7 148.1 147.7 146.8 147.7 149.0 147.4 30.5 28.9 32.3 34.3 34.4 35.9 33.0 30.6 34.4 178.4 178.4 182.0 182.4 182.1 182.7 180.7 179.6 181.8 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18
Crude Condenstate Residue
10% 8% 8% 7% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% 13% 13% 14% 15% 15% 15% 14% 13% 15% 51% 52% 57% 57% 52% 53% 55% 54% 53% 13% 12% 11% 12% 15% 13% 14% 12% 14% 13% 15% 10% 8% 10% 8% 9% 13% 9% 173 180 170 175 176 171 176 174 174 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18 Others Fuel Oil Diesel Jet Naphtha+Ref.
(3.1) (1.8) (1.4) (3.1) (5.0) (4.5) (2.6) (2.1) (4.0)
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18
11.8 11.4 13.9 13.0 14.8 14.6 14.4 12.4 14.6
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18
14.8 14.2 16.1 14.4 13.7 12.1 11.6 15.0 12.5
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18
Refinery Performance
25
Petroleum Products - Dubai Spread (USD/BBL) Refinery Sales Volume (KBD) Gross Refinery Margin (USD/BBL) Refinery Intake (KBD)
ULG 95 - DB Diesel - DB FO - DB
+42% QoQ +3% YoY +3% QoQ
103% 102% 102% 103% 103% 102% 102% 101% 102%
CDU U-Rate
+4% YoY
+18% YoY
+0% YoY +1% YoY
6.02 6.11 8.08 6.76 6.15 6.20 6.44 6.73 6.27 0.72 (1.59) 0.86 3.38 (0.01) 3.26 0.95 0.00 1.41 0.02 0.03 (0.04) (2.84) (0.10) 0.08 0.13
6.76 4.55 8.90 7.30 6.04 9.54 7.51 6.73 7.72
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/18 9M/19 Market GRM Stock Gain/(Loss) Net NRV Hedging Gain/(Loss) Accounting GRM
420 383 360 356 381 354 501 388 412
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18 6% 6% 6% 9% 11% 11% 11% 6% 11% 31% 34% 24% 29% 29% 30% 30% 30% 30% 39% 35% 42% 39% 36% 38% 35% 39% 36% 24% 25% 28% 23% 24% 21% 24% 25% 23%
758 728 730 967 939 1,014 1,015 2,216 2,967
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18 Other By-Products Naphtha Group PX Group BZ Group
Aromatics Performance
Aromatics Products Prices and Spread (USD/Ton) BTX U-Rate (%) Aromatics Sales Volume (KTons)
PX FECP - Cond BZ Spot - Cond
Products to Feed Margin (USD/Ton BTX)
+1% QoQ +39% YoY +42% QoQ +39 39% YoY
+0% Qo QoQ
26
+6% YoY +34% YoY
78% 66% 82% 93% 91% 94% 94% 75% 93%
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18 321 212 185 194 166 130 247 239 182 6.50 (15.93) 31.18 0.13 48.55 15.05 7.29 21.69 0.00 0.00 1.54 3.33 0.21 10.30 (15.25) 0.54 (1.75)
327 196 215 228 167 188 247 247 202
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18 Market P2F Stock Gain/(Loss) Net NRV Hedging Gain/(Loss) Accounting P2F
458 338 320 311 318 212 214 372 248
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18
370 296 271 283 334 353 309 312 332
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18 2,545 1,094 1,165 1,076 1,310 1,524 1,597 1,601 1,477 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18
Olefins and Derivatives Performance
27
Olefins Prices and Spread (USD/Ton) Olefins U-Rate (%) Olefins Adjusted EBITDA Margin
MEG – 0.65Ethy Product Price Butadiene Price
+14% YoY
+37% YoY +5% QoQ
+6% YoY
1,176 1,133 1,138 1,225 1,379 1,384 1,350 1,149 1,371 1,176 1,133 1,090 1,195 1,243 1,222 1,217 1,057 1,227 1,215 1,158 791 828 987 1,003 1,028 822 1,006 1,078 940 980 1,060 1,142 1,147 1,100 999 1,129 499 446 468 570 581 641 667 471 629 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18 HDPE (FILM) SEA LLDPE CFR SEA LDPE CFR SE Asia MEG ACP Naphtha MOPJ
32% 26% 28% 29% 32% 29% 26% 29% 29%
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/60 9M/61 Olefins 95% 89% 96% 103% 101% 104% 98% 93% 101% HDPE 120% 114% 110% 119% 107% 119% 113% 114% 113% LLDPE 106% 83% 117% 115% 99% 92% 76% 102% 89% LDPE 118% 125% 118% 106% 108% 112% 107% 120% 109% Total PE 116% 108% 113% 115% 105% 107% 97% 112% 103% MEG 67% 90% 111% 110% 111% 91% 95% 89% 99%
88 101 117 119 110 108 110 307 328
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/60 9M/61 56% 57% 53% 54% 52% 48% 47% 55% 49% 23% 23% 25% 26% 29% 35% 36% 24% 33% 20% 20% 22% 20% 19% 17% 18% 21% 18%
401 405 435 421 433 470 486 1,241 1,389
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/60 9M/61 HDPE LLDPE LDPE
149 131 130 152 122 123 106 409 352
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/60 9M/61 61% 67% 53% 57% 57% 56% 58% 60% 57% 28% 24% 28% 32% 33% 32% 29% 27% 31% 12% 9% 19% 11% 11% 11% 13% 13% 12%
981 900 1,026 1,098 1,048 1,098 1,036 2,906 3,182
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/60 9M/61 Ethane Other Gas Naphtha
Olefins and Derivatives Performance
28
Olefins Intake (Ktons) PE Sales Volume (Ktons) Olefins Sales Volume (Ktons) MEG Sales Volume (Ktons)
+1% YoY
+12% YoY +4% QoQ
+1% QoQ
95% 89% 96% 103% 101% 104% 98% 93% 101% Olefins U-Rate MEG U-Rate PE U-Rate
116% 108% 113% 115% 105% 107% 97% 112% 103%
+9% YoY
+12% YoY +7% YoY
67% 90% 111% 110% 111% 91% 95% 89% 99%
39% 36% 27% 29% 30% 33% 29% 33% 31% 61% 64% 73% 71% 70% 67% 71% 67% 69%
109 121 141 138 145 138 144 371 426
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18 BPA Phenol
301 322 307 261 392 475 437 310 434
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18
95 91 120 288 370 462 484 102 439
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18
Phenol Performance
29
Phenol/ BPA Prices and Spread (USD/Ton) Phenol U-Rate Phenol Sales Volume (KTons) Phenol Adjusted EBITDA Margin
BPA-Phenol
Phenol-BZ
+2% YoY +5% QoQ
+303% YoY +5% QoQ +42% YoY
+331% YoY +40% YoY
+15% YoY
U-Rate Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18 Phenol 84% 101% 114% 115% 118% 112% 118% 100% 116% BPA 118% 116% 99% 108% 114% 120% 119% 111% 117% 11% 7% 9% 17% 18% 23% 19% 9% 20%
Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 9M/17 9M/18