Andrew Rashbass and Colin Jones 17 May 2018
FY18 Half-year results presentation Andrew Rashbass and Colin Jones - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FY18 Half-year results presentation Andrew Rashbass and Colin Jones - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FY18 Half-year results presentation Andrew Rashbass and Colin Jones 17 May 2018 Strategy recap Page 2 Euromoneys capital allocation decisions can be understood along two dimensions We characterise the business models of B2B information
Page 2
Strategy recap
Page 3
Euromoney’s capital allocation decisions can be understood along two dimensions
Structure
We characterise the business models of B2B information companies into three generations, which we call B2B Information 1.0, 2.0 and 3.0. We service fundamentally cyclical markets. Understanding which point in the cycle they are in is fundamental to our capital allocation decisions.
Cycle
Plotting the businesses along the axes supports our investment decisions, capital allocation and defines strategic priorities.
Quadrants
Page 4
Successful B2B information companies will be 3.0 businesses
Structure
- +
B2B Information 1.0 Print Monologue Advertising-centric Product-centric B2B Information 2.0 B2B Information 3.0 Digital Dialogue Subscriptions Customer-centric Embedded in workflow Part of the industry structure Licensing revenues based on customer outcomes Solution-centric
We aim to anticipate our markets’ development to become 3.0
Page 5
Market cycles impact the sectors that we serve
Cycle
Equities Commodities Banking and financial institutions
Commodity index Equity index Bank shares index
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 2,400 2,600 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 2018 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Source: S&P 500 index Source: Bloomberg Commodity index Source: S&P Bank index
Page 6
Based on the cycle and structure we categorise the businesses in the portfolio
Quadrants
The quadrants guide investment decisions, capital allocation and also define strategic priorities
B2B Information 3.0
- 3
Prepare for the upturn
- Protect and enhance competitive position
- Selective investments for when cycle turns
- Opportunistic revenue initiatives
- Tight cost control
- Fix any operational deficit
B2B Information 1.0 Challenged market Strong tailwinds
- 1
4 2
Cycle Structure
Invest Use the time wisely Disinvest
- Modest investment to move to top-right quadrant
- Maximise short-term profit and cash
- Fix any operational deficit
- Consider divestment
- Maximise short-term profit and cash
- Divest
- Prevent future build-up
- New product development
- Sales and marketing
- Acquisition
- Fix any operational deficit
- Accelerate transition to 3.0
+ +
Page 7
The actions dictated in the quadrant can be collected into our three key pillars of strategic activity
Prepare for the upturn Invest 3 4 1 2 Disinvest Use the time wisely Prepare for the upturn Invest 3 4 1 2 Disinvest Use the time wisely Prepare for the upturn Invest 3 4 1 2 Disinvest Use the time wisely
Invest around big themes
Actions depend on market characteristics
Disruption Semi-opaque market Inefficiency Barriers to entry Challenged business models
Transform the operating model Actively manage the portfolio
Product development and creating our future
- perating model
3.0 Business model Must have, not nice to have Create once, sell many Best of both worlds
Recycling capital
Acquisition Disposal
Page 8
Our portfolio of businesses are split into four segments composed of six divisions with support from central functions
Telcoms Specialist Information Euromoney Institutional Investor PLC Banking & Finance Asset Management Banking & Finance Investment Research Institutional Investor Pricing, Data & Market Intelligence Commodity Events Price Reporting Central functions Corporate Development Finance HR IT Marketing Legal, Risk and Programmes
Legal Media Group Project and Asset Financing Insurance Derivatives
Segment Division
Page 9
- Good first-half performance: total revenue up 3%, Adjusted PBT up 6%
- Significant growth in Pricing, Data & Market Intelligence segment outpacing weak
Asset Management, particularly BCA
- Strong growth from events businesses across all sectors, particularly from large,
annual events
- Active portfolio management continues
- Sale of Global Markets Intelligence Division completed in April
- Strong underlying cash generated from operations, bringing net debt down to £37m
(before Global Markets Intelligence Division net cash of £103m)
- Second half – more of the same, both ways
Headlines
Page 10
Half-year results
Page 11
H1 FY17 H1 FY18 Change Total revenue1 (£m) 203.2 209.6 3% Adjusted PBT1 (£m) 49.1 52.0 6% Adjusted operating margin1 24.1% 25.5% 1.4% Statutory PBT (£m) 9.3 121.1 Adjusted EPS1 (p) 32.7 38.4p 17% Dividend per share (p) 8.8 10.2 16% Net debt (£m) (83.6) (37.0) 46.6
1. Includes the results of continuing and discontinued operations and is reconciled in the appendix to the Interim Financial Report.
Half-year snapshot
Page 12
H1 FY17 to H1 FY18 total revenue1 bridge (£m)
1. Includes the results of continuing and discontinued operations.
203.1 209.6 203.2 (4.7) 4.6 6.5
H1 FY17 FX Net M&A (incl GMID) H1 FY17 underlying revenue (restated on H1 FY18 basis for continuing businesses) Business growth H1 FY18
Page 13
H1 FY17 to H1 FY18 total revenue1 bridge (by segment) (£m)
1. Includes the results of continuing and discontinued operations.
209.6 203.1 (4.0) 6.1 2.4 2.0
H1 FY17 underlying revenue (restated on H1 FY18 basis for continuing businesses) Asset Management Pricing, Data & Market Intelligence Banking & Finance Commodity Events H1 FY18
Business revenue growth £6.5m
Page 14
H1 FY17 to H1 FY18 Adjusted PBT1 bridge (£m)
1. Includes the results of continuing and discontinued operations.
50.7 52.0 49.1 0.3 1.3 (3.8)
H1 FY17 FX Net M&A (incl GMID) H1 FY17 Underlying Adjusted PBT (restated on H1 FY18 basis for continuing businesses) Central costs (incl interest) Business profit (incl Associates and JVs) H1 FY18
5.1
Interest (£1.2m) Central costs (£2.6m)
Page 15
H1 FY17 to H1 FY18 underlying1 segmental performance (£m)
Revenue Profit
Structural headwinds in Investment Research, profit protection Continued investment in top-right quadrant US and China events Mining Indaba
Total
6.5 5.1
1. At constant exchange rates, including pro forma prior year comparatives for acquisitions and excluding disposals, discontinued operations.
Banking & Finance Commodity Events Asset Management Pricing, Data & Market Intelligence Associates/JVs Restructuring of Zanbato ownership
1.9 1.0 3.1 (1.6) (4.0) 6.1 2.4 2.0 0.7
Page 16
1) 2017 and 2018 percentages include other revenues but excludes revenues from sold/closed businesses. In 2018 only, discontinued operations are excluded from the percentages for both quarters.
Underlying1 revenue by type
Y-o-Y % change FY17 Actuals H1 FY18 Actuals Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Proportional Split
Subscriptions and content 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1%
58%
Advertising (16%) (10%) (5%) (3%) (5%) (5%)
8%
Events (14%) 2% 4% (8%) 9% 12%
34%
Total (5%) 1% 2% (2%) 3% 4%
100% Revenue change by quarter
Page 17
H1 FY18 revenue and profit matrix by segment/type1 (incl GMID)
1. Figures are total revenues for the period; percentages are underlying growth rates compared to the same period in 2017. See slide 40 for notes and colour key Asset management
59.9
(6%)
5.7 (10%) 6.4
3%
0.0 (16%) 72.0
(5%)
27.1
(6%) Pricing, data & market intelligence
64.0
9%
5.5
(2%)
18.7
9%
0.5 (26%) 88.7
8%
30.5
13% Banking & finance
4.1
5%
3.8
(4%)
22.7
12%
0.5
(7%)
31.1
8%
6.5
19% Commodity events
15.2
15%
0.3 (33%) 15.5
15%
8.4
30% Total segment revenue/profit
128.0
2%
15.0
(5%)
63.0
11%
1.3 (21%) 207.3
4%
72.5
7% Closed & sold businesses/ central costs (incl FX/interest/associates & JVs)
2.3 (20.5)
- Total revenue/Adjusted PBT
209.6
4%
52.0
4% Total Profit (£m) Revenue (£m) Other Total Events
N/A N/A
Subscriptions/ Content Advertising
Page 18
H1 FY18 revenue and profit matrix by segment/type1 (excl GMID)
- Increasing divergence in subscriptions performance between Asset Management and Pricing,
Data & Market Intelligence
- Strong underlying growth from events portfolio, reflecting focus on large ‘must-attend’ annual
events
- Advertising drag, but represents only 8% of H1 revenue
Asset management
59.9
(6%)
5.7 (10%) 6.4
3%
0.0 (16%) 72.0
(5%)
27.1
(6%) Pricing, data & market intelligence
43.5
12%
5.5
(2%)
18.7
9%
0.5 (30%) 68.2
10%
23.9
15% Banking & finance
4.1
5%
3.8
(4%)
22.7
12%
0.5
(7%)
31.1
8%
6.5
19% Commodity events
15.2
15%
0.3 (33%) 15.5
15%
8.4
30% Total segment revenue/profit
107.5
1%
15.0
(5%)
63.0
11%
1.3 (23%) 186.8
4%
65.9
7% Closed & sold businesses/ central costs (incl FX/interest/associates & JVs)
2.3 (20.5)
- Statutory revenue/Adjusted PBT
189.1
4%
45.4
3%
N/A N/A
Subscriptions/ Content Advertising Total Profit (£m) Revenue (£m) Other Total Events 1. Figures are total revenues for the period; percentages are underlying growth rates compared to the same period in 2017. See slide 40 for notes and colour key
Page 19
Adjusted operating margin: year-on-year movement
H1 FY17 adjusted operating margin 24.1% FX (incl hedging) 0.7% Net M&A (incl GMID) 0.1% Underlying business: Commodity Events 0.7% Asset Management (0.3%) Pricing, Data & Market Intelligence 0.8% Banking & Finance 0.2% 1.4% Central costs (0.8%) 0.6% H1 FY18 adjusted operating margin 25.5%
Page 20
- £0.3m year-on-year FX benefit to adjusted
PBT: – GBP/USD rate strengthened 11 cents – £3.6m FX loss on translation of overseas profits – £2.4m FX loss on UK embedded revenues, offset by absence of hedging losses of £7.5m – £1.0m FX loss on balance sheet revaluation (H1 FY17: £0.2m gain)
- Current rate $1.35 vs H2 rate last year $1.29
- H2 will continue to benefit from the absence
- f last years hedging losses
Impact of FX
GBP/USD rate
Page 21
1. As reconciled in appendix to Interim Financial Report.
H1 FY18 cash flow (£m)
95.4 65.3 (23.8) (2.0) (18.7) (2.5) 3.9 (37.0)
Net debt at Sept 30 2017 Net M&A Underlying cash generated from
- perations
Dividends Capex Net tax Interest Other Net debt at Mar 31 2018
Underlying 12-month cash conversion 108%
(154.6)
Excludes GMID net proceeds £103m
(see slide 37)
Page 22
Outlook & summary
Page 23
Events
98,000 100,000 102,000 104,000 106,000 108,000 110,000 112,000 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Events 52 week rolling sales at constant GBP/US$ rate (£000)
2015 2016 2017 2018
£7m, 7.0%
Page 24
Advertising
35,000 37,000 39,000 41,000 43,000 45,000 47,000 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Advertising 52 week rolling sales at constant GBP/US$ rate (£000)
2015 2016 2017 2018
(£0.1m), (0.2%)
Page 25
Subscriptions book of business (excl GMID)
1. The Group’s total Book of Business also includes £7m relating to the Banking & Finance segment.
(8.0%) (6.0%) (4.0%) (2.0%)
- 2.0%
4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar Apr
Book of business growth at constant GBP/US$ rate adjusted for net M&A (%)
Group¹ Pricing, Data & Market Intelligence Asset Management
£79m, 10.1% £204m, 2.5% £119m, (1.8%) £205m, 0.6% £86m, 11.1% £112m, (6.0%)
Page 26 1. FY18 reported revenue (excluding GMID)
Revenue by segment (first half1), proportion of total group revenue
Pricing, data and market intelligence, 36% Commodity events, 8% Institutional Investor, 16% BCA, 16% NDR, 6% 39% Asset management Other,1% Banking & Finance, 17%
Page 27
Asset management book of business
(12.0%) (10.0%) (8.0%) (6.0%) (4.0%) (2.0%)
- 2.0%
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
Asset Management Book of Business growth at constant GBP/US$ rate adjusted for net M&A (%)
Asset Management II Memberships BCA NDR
NDR BCA II Memberships Asset Management £35m, (0.7%) £112m, (6.0%) £56m, (8.1%) £21m, (8.7%) £61m, 1.3% £119m, (1.8%) £35m, (4.3%) £23m, (5.6%)
Page 28
- Mixture of factors:
– Pressure on research budgets – MiFID II – Sales and marketing “operational deficit” particularly in North America – Product maturity
- Quasi “bottom left” but taking bottom-left actions:
– Cost management and profit protection – Investment in sales and marketing, particularly in North America – Investment in growth products
BCA different to Institutional Investor and somewhat different to NDR
Page 29
- Colin retires in June, Wendy starts in August
- Strong growth in Pricing, Data & Market Intelligence
- Q3 events booking well (despite tougher comparatives)
- BCA faces headwinds
- Standalone costs bottoming out (and debt paydown means lower interest)
- FX?
- Strong cash and balance sheet
In summary, first-half trends continuing and we are confident of meeting Board expectations for the full year
H2 Outlook & summary
Page 30
Q&A
Andrew Rashbass and Colin Jones 17 May 2018
FY18 Half-year results presentation
Appendix: Supplementary information
Page 33
Adjusted Statutory Revenue (£m) 209.6 189.1 Operating profit (£m) 53.5 122.7 Operating margin (%) 25.5% 64.9% Profit before tax (£m) 52.0 121.1 EPS (p) 38.4p 101.8p
H1 FY18 adjusted and statutory results
Page 34
Statutory profit (£m)
0.8 121.1 52.0 (11.2) 84.8 (4.4) (0.9)
Adjusted PBT Acquired intangible amortisation Exceptional items (slide 35) GMID (slide 45) Associates/ JVs Acquisition commitments Statutory PBT
Page 35
1. See note 4 of the Interim Financial Report for fuller description.
Exceptional items1
£m H1 FY18 Profit on disposal of businesses 86.8 Impairment (3.0) Restructuring and other 3.0 Continuing operations 86.8 Discontinued operations (2.0) Total 84.8
Page 36
1. See note 5 of the Interim Financial Report.
Net finance costs1
£m H1 FY17 H1 FY18 Interest on DMGT debt facility (0.1)
- Interest on cash deposit with DMGT
0.1
- Interest on external borrowings
(0.9) (2.4) Interest on tax (0.1) 0.1 Other (0.1)
- Adjusted net finance costs
(1.1) (2.3) Acquisition deferred consideration 0.1 (1.1) Acquisition commitments 2.1 1.8 Total net finance costs 1.1 (1.6)
Page 37
1. See note 6 of the Interim Financial Report.
Tax1
£m H1 FY17 H1 FY18 Adjusted PBT 49.1 52.0 Total tax charge (1.9) (15.5) Other tax adjustments (8.3) 5.1 Adjusted tax charge (10.2) (10.4) Adjusted effective tax rate 21% 20%
- Full-year adjusted effective tax rate is expected to be 20% (FY17: 19%)
- Rule changes enacted as part of US Tax Reform mean the adjusted effective tax rate is
expected to increase by approximately 3% to 23% in FY19
- H1 cash tax outflows of £18.7m include one-off amounts of £5.6m
Page 38
Cash conversion
£m 12 months to H1 FY17 12 months to H1 FY18 Adjusted operating profit 103.6 111.6 Cash generated from operations 117.8 116.8 Exceptional items 10.1 5.9 Timing differences (3.8) (1.8) Underlying cash generated from operations 124.1 120.9 Cash conversion % 114% 105% Underlying 12-month cash conversion % 120% 108%
Page 39
Deferred revenue1
March-17 to March-18 £m Subscriptions Events Advertising Opening balance 90.9 34.7 3.1 Net M&A 11.8 1.3
- FX
(7.7) (1.6) (0.1) Adjusted opening balance 95.0 34.4 3.0 Underlying movement 3.6 (0.6) (1.0) Closing balance 98.6 32.2 2.0 Underlying growth % 4% (2%) (33%)
1. Excludes deferred revenue classified within total liabilities of businesses held for sale.
Page 40
H1 FY18 revenue and profit matrix by segment/type (£m)
Notes The absolute £ figures represent total segment revenue/profit, central costs and Adjusted PBT. The percentages represent underlying growth rates, including pro forma prior year comparatives for acquisitions and excluding disposals, discontinued operations and significant event timing differences at constant exchange rates. Total segment revenue of £209.6m includes FX on forward contracts (+£0.5m) and disposals (+£1.8m). Key Dark green – growth more than 2% Light green – growth of 0% to 2% Amber – decline of 0% to -1% Pink – decline of -1% to -5% Dark red – decline more than -5% The white cells have not been colour-coded due to their size
Asset management
59.9
(6%)
5.7 (10%) 5.8
3%
0.6
4%
0.0 (16%) 72.0
(5%)
27.1
(6%) Pricing, data & market intelligence
64.0
12%
5.5
(2%)
9.2
15%
9.5
4%
0.5 (30%) 88.7
10%
30.5
15% Banking & finance
4.1
5%
3.8
(4%)
11.8
27%
10.9
(1%)
0.5
(7%)
31.1
8%
6.5
19% Commodity events
3.6
5%
11.6
19%
0.3 (33%) 15.5
15%
8.4
30% Total segment revenue/profit
128.0
1%
15.0
(5%)
30.4
15%
32.6
7%
1.3 (23%) 209.6
4%
72.5
7% Central costs (incl FX/interest/associates & JVs)
(20.5)
- Adjusted PBT
52.0
3%
N/A N/A
Subscriptions/ Content Advertising Sponsorship Total Profit (£m) Revenue (£m) Delegates Other Total
Page 41
Total revenue by segment
£m H1 FY17 H1 FY18 Total Underlying1 Asset management 82.5 72.0 (13%) (5%) Pricing, data & market intelligence 72.3 88.7 23% 10% Banking & finance 29.8 31.1 4% 8% Commodity events 13.7 15.4 12% 15% Sold/closed businesses 11.9 1.8
- FX hedges
(7.0) 0.5
- 203.2
209.6 3% 4%
1. At constant exchange rates, including pro forma prior year comparatives for acquisitions and excluding disposals, discontinued operations and significant event timing differences.
Page 42
1. At constant exchange rates, including pro forma prior year comparatives for acquisitions and excluding disposals, discontinued operations and significant event timing differences.
Total revenue by type
£m H1 FY17 H1 FY18 Total Underlying1 Subscriptions and content 124.1 128.0 3% 1% Advertising 15.9 15.0 (6%) (5%) Sponsorship 26.5 30.4 14% 15% Delegates 30.2 32.6 8% 7% Other 1.6 1.3 (14%) (23%) Sold/closed businesses 11.9 1.8
- FX hedges
(7.0) 0.5
- Total
203.2 209.6 3% 4%
Page 43
1. At constant exchange rates, including pro forma prior year comparatives for acquisitions and excluding disposals and significant event timing differences. In FY18, discontinued
- perations are also excluded from both years.
2. Includes other revenues but excludes revenues from disposal. FX hedging losses restated in prior year at current year level. In FY18, discontinued operations are also excluded from both years.
Underlying1 revenue change by quarter
Y-o-Y % change FY17 H1 FY18 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Subscriptions and content 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% Advertising (16%) (10%) (5%) (3%) (5%) (5%) Sponsorship (14%) 5% 5% (6%) 15% 15% Delegates (14%) 1% 2% (11%) 5% 9% Total2 (5%) 1% 2% (2%) 3% 4%
Page 44
Adjusted operating profit by segment1
£m H1 FY17 H1 FY18 Total Underlying2 Asset management 28.9 27.1 (14%) (6%) Pricing, data & market Intelligence 23.0 30.5 15% 15% Banking & finance 4.1 6.5 14% 19% Commodity events 6.3 8.4 23% 30% Sold/closed businesses 1.2 0.6
- Central costs
(7.7) (19.1)
- FX hedges/balance sheet
(6.8) (0.5)
- Total
49.0 53.5 9% 3%
1. H1 FY18 figures reflect changes in FY18 internal cost allocations between segments and central functions. To calculate growth rates, H1 FY17 has been restated to reflect these changes in internal cost allocations. 2. At constant exchange rates, including pro forma prior year comparatives for acquisitions and excluding disposals and significant event timing differences.
Page 45
- Sale of GMID in April for an equity value of $180.5m
- Gross cash proceeds of $180.5m (£128.8m)
- Expected net cash proceeds of $145m (£103.1m)
- FY18 reflects estimated 7 months to April
GMID disposal1
£m H1 FY17 H1 FY18 FY17 FY18 Revenue 20.9 20.5 41.5 23.8 Adjusted operating profit 6.4 6.4 11.9 7.5 Statutory PBT 6.3 4.4 9.2
1. See note 9 of the Interim Financial Report for fuller description.
Page 46 1. Based on rolling 12 months of reported revenue and profit for the period to 31 March 2018
Impact of FX1
GBP/USD H1 FY18 H1 FY17 Average rate 1.36 1.25 Closing rate 1.40 1.25 GBP/USD 1¢ movement (before hedging) Revenue +/- £1.7m Operating profit +/- £0.7m
US$, 69% £, 15% €, 7% Other, 9% REVENUE US$, 75% £, 18% €, 3% Other, 4%
OPERATING PROFIT