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FNCE4040 Derivatives Chapter 1 Introduction The Landscape - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

University of Colorado at Boulder Leeds School of Business FNCE4040 Derivatives FNCE4040 Derivatives Chapter 1 Introduction The Landscape Forwards and Option Contracts University of Colorado at Boulder Leeds School of Business


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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

FNCE4040 – Derivatives Chapter 1

Introduction The Landscape Forwards and Option Contracts

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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

What is a Derivative?

  • A derivative is an instrument whose value

depends on, or is derived from, the value of another asset.

  • Examples:

– Futures – Forwards – Swaps – Options – Exotics – …

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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

Why Derivatives Are Important

  • Key role in transferring risks in the economy
  • Underlying assets include stocks, currencies,

interest rates, commodities, debt instruments, electricity, insurance payouts, weather, etc.

  • Many financial transactions have embedded

derivatives

  • The real options approach to assessing

capital investment decisions has become widely accepted

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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

How Derivatives Are Traded

  • On exchanges such as the Chicago Board

Options Exchange

  • In the over-the-counter (OTC) market where

traders working for banks, fund managers and corporate treasurers contact each other directly

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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

Size of OTC & Exchange-Traded Markets

Source: Bank for International Settlements. Chart shows total principal amounts for OTC market and value of underlying assets for exchange market

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Growth of OTC Market by Product

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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

How Derivatives are Used

  • To hedge risks

– e.g. you are a producer of oil or a consumer of soy beans, or are paid in a different currency

  • To speculate (take a view on the future

direction of the market)

  • To lock in an arbitrage profit
  • To change the nature of a liability
  • To change the nature of an investment

without incurring the costs of selling one portfolio and buying another

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Derivatives can be Risky

  • AIG had been an active participant in writing default

protection on multi-sector CDOs

– Essentially made a one way bet on the US housing market – AIG essentially ran out of cash to make collateral calls on their sold derivatives.

  • At its peak the US government committed $182.3b

to support AIG

  • “It is hard for us, without being flippant, to even see

a scenario within any kind of realm of reason that would see us losing $1 in any of those transactions”

  • Mr. Cassano “was wrong by 11 or 12 orders of magnitude, which may be about as wrong as it’s possible to be in human affairs.”

“There’s safety in small numbers” FT.com

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Forwards and Futures

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Foreign Exchange – GBP vs USD

  • http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GB

P&to=USD&view=5Y

  • Quotes for Jan 9, 2015 USD/GBP

USD per GBP Bid Offer Spot 1.5182 1.5186 1-month forward 1.5144 1.5149 3-month forward 1.5073 1.5081 6-month forward 1.4970 1.4984

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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

Forward Price

  • DEFINITION: the delivery price that

would be applicable to the contract if negotiated today (i.e. the delivery price that would make the contract worth exactly zero today)

  • The forward price may (and will likely)

be different for contracts of different maturities

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Some Terminology (more to come)

  • The party that has agreed to buy has a long

position

  • The party that has agreed to sell has a short

position

  • Selling a derivative is sometimes referred to

writing a derivative (forwards, options, etc.)

  • The contract delivery date is sometimes

referred to expiration date, or maturity date

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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

USD per GBP Bid Offer Spot 1.5182 1.5186 1-month forward 1.5144 1.5149 3-month forward 1.5073 1.5081 6-month forward 1.4970 1.4984

Forward Example

  • On Jan 9, 2015 the treasurer of a corporation

enters into a long forward contract to buy £1 million in six months. Which exchange rate does she use?

– 1.4984 USD/GBP

  • This contract obligates the corporation to pay

$1,498,400 for £1 million on the maturity date (July 9, 2015)

  • What are the possible outcomes?
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Profit from a Long Forward

  • K = 1.4984. The delivery price or forward

price at time contract is entered into

Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity, ST K

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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

Profit from a Short Forward

  • K = 1.4984. The delivery price or forward

price at time contract is entered into

Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity, ST K

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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

Futures Contracts

  • Agreement to buy or sell an asset for a

certain price at a certain time

  • Similar to forward contract, but there are

differences:

– A forward contract is traded OTC, a futures contract is traded on an exchange – A futures contract requires daily settlement of the value of the contract, a forward contract has a cash flow only a maturity

  • WARNING– This is what the book says but it is not

strictly true. To be discussed later in the course.

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University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives

Exchanges Trading Futures

  • CME Group (formerly Chicago Mercantile

Exchange and Chicago Board of Trade)

  • NYSE Euronext
  • BM&F (Sao Paulo, Brazil)
  • TIFFE (Tokyo)
  • and many more (see list at end of book)
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Examples of Futures Contracts

  • You think gold will appreciate during the year

– Buy 100 oz of gold for December Delivery – http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/metals/preciou s/gold.html

  • You are a soybean buyer looking to lock your

input costs:

– Buy 1mm bushels of soybean for November Delivery – http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/agricultural/gra in-and-oilseed/soybean.html

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Options

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Option Types

  • A Call option is

an option to buy a certain asset by a certain date for a certain price (the strike price)

  • A Put option is

an option to sell a certain asset by a certain date for a certain price (the strike price)

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Futures/Forwards vs. Options

  • A futures/forward

contract gives the holder the

  • bligation to buy
  • r sell at a certain

price

  • An option contract

gives the holder the right to buy or sell at a certain price

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Payout of a Long Call Option

  • K = strike price of option

Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity, ST K

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Payout of a Long Put Option

  • K = strike price of option

Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity, ST K

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Options Style

  • An American
  • ption can be

exercised at any time during its life

  • A European
  • ption can be

exercised only at maturity A Bermudan option can be exercised only at fixed times before maturity (e.g. monthly)

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Google Option Prices (source: Bbg)

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Types of Traders

  • Hedgers use derivatives to mitigate the risk

they are already exposed to, coming from their business or assets/liabilities

  • Speculators use derivatives to express a

view – often with leverage – on a financial sector/asset

  • Arbitrageurs use derivatives to lock in a

specific payout for a risk-free profit

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Hedging Examples

  • An investor owns 1,000 Microsoft shares.
  • She is worried about the price falling over the

next two months. She is willing to spend approximately $1/share and can buy put

  • ptions:

– http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/msft/option- chain?dateindex=2 – Identify some strategies she can follow

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Hedging Microsoft shares

Value of portfolio assuming put with strike 45, purchased for $1.

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Speculation Example

  • You have $2,000 to invest
  • You believe that a stock price will increase
  • ver the next 2 months
  • The current stock price is $20
  • The price of a 2-month call option with a

strike of 22.50 is $1

  • What are the alternative strategies?
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Arbitrage Example

  • A stock price is quoted both in London and in

New York. The prices are:

– £100 in London – $155 in New York

  • The current exchange rate is 1.6100
  • (ask your self what are the units of that figure)
  • Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
  • If so what is it?
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Dangers

  • Traders can switch from being hedgers to

speculators or from being arbitrageurs to speculators

  • It is important to set up controls to ensure that

trades are using derivatives in for their intended purpose

– Many trading operations have enforced vacation time for key personnel so that more than one person has to understand the positions in a trading book. – Many derivatives blow-ups have occurred when there was not a clear differentiation between the profit-center and control function.

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Mutual Funds vs Hedge Funds

  • Mutual Funds must

– disclose investment policies, – makes shares redeemable at any time – limit use of leverage – take no short positions.

  • Hedge Funds

– Are not subject to the same rules as mutual funds – Cannot offer their securities publicly – Use complex trading strategies are big users of derivatives for hedging, speculation and arbitrage