University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
FNCE4040 Derivatives Chapter 1 Introduction The Landscape - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
FNCE4040 Derivatives Chapter 1 Introduction The Landscape - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
University of Colorado at Boulder Leeds School of Business FNCE4040 Derivatives FNCE4040 Derivatives Chapter 1 Introduction The Landscape Forwards and Option Contracts University of Colorado at Boulder Leeds School of Business
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
What is a Derivative?
- A derivative is an instrument whose value
depends on, or is derived from, the value of another asset.
- Examples:
– Futures – Forwards – Swaps – Options – Exotics – …
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Why Derivatives Are Important
- Key role in transferring risks in the economy
- Underlying assets include stocks, currencies,
interest rates, commodities, debt instruments, electricity, insurance payouts, weather, etc.
- Many financial transactions have embedded
derivatives
- The real options approach to assessing
capital investment decisions has become widely accepted
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
How Derivatives Are Traded
- On exchanges such as the Chicago Board
Options Exchange
- In the over-the-counter (OTC) market where
traders working for banks, fund managers and corporate treasurers contact each other directly
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Size of OTC & Exchange-Traded Markets
Source: Bank for International Settlements. Chart shows total principal amounts for OTC market and value of underlying assets for exchange market
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Growth of OTC Market by Product
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
How Derivatives are Used
- To hedge risks
– e.g. you are a producer of oil or a consumer of soy beans, or are paid in a different currency
- To speculate (take a view on the future
direction of the market)
- To lock in an arbitrage profit
- To change the nature of a liability
- To change the nature of an investment
without incurring the costs of selling one portfolio and buying another
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Derivatives can be Risky
- AIG had been an active participant in writing default
protection on multi-sector CDOs
– Essentially made a one way bet on the US housing market – AIG essentially ran out of cash to make collateral calls on their sold derivatives.
- At its peak the US government committed $182.3b
to support AIG
- “It is hard for us, without being flippant, to even see
a scenario within any kind of realm of reason that would see us losing $1 in any of those transactions”
- Mr. Cassano “was wrong by 11 or 12 orders of magnitude, which may be about as wrong as it’s possible to be in human affairs.”
“There’s safety in small numbers” FT.com
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Forwards and Futures
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Foreign Exchange – GBP vs USD
- http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GB
P&to=USD&view=5Y
- Quotes for Jan 9, 2015 USD/GBP
USD per GBP Bid Offer Spot 1.5182 1.5186 1-month forward 1.5144 1.5149 3-month forward 1.5073 1.5081 6-month forward 1.4970 1.4984
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Forward Price
- DEFINITION: the delivery price that
would be applicable to the contract if negotiated today (i.e. the delivery price that would make the contract worth exactly zero today)
- The forward price may (and will likely)
be different for contracts of different maturities
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Some Terminology (more to come)
- The party that has agreed to buy has a long
position
- The party that has agreed to sell has a short
position
- Selling a derivative is sometimes referred to
writing a derivative (forwards, options, etc.)
- The contract delivery date is sometimes
referred to expiration date, or maturity date
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
USD per GBP Bid Offer Spot 1.5182 1.5186 1-month forward 1.5144 1.5149 3-month forward 1.5073 1.5081 6-month forward 1.4970 1.4984
Forward Example
- On Jan 9, 2015 the treasurer of a corporation
enters into a long forward contract to buy £1 million in six months. Which exchange rate does she use?
– 1.4984 USD/GBP
- This contract obligates the corporation to pay
$1,498,400 for £1 million on the maturity date (July 9, 2015)
- What are the possible outcomes?
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Profit from a Long Forward
- K = 1.4984. The delivery price or forward
price at time contract is entered into
Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity, ST K
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Profit from a Short Forward
- K = 1.4984. The delivery price or forward
price at time contract is entered into
Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity, ST K
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Futures Contracts
- Agreement to buy or sell an asset for a
certain price at a certain time
- Similar to forward contract, but there are
differences:
– A forward contract is traded OTC, a futures contract is traded on an exchange – A futures contract requires daily settlement of the value of the contract, a forward contract has a cash flow only a maturity
- WARNING– This is what the book says but it is not
strictly true. To be discussed later in the course.
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Exchanges Trading Futures
- CME Group (formerly Chicago Mercantile
Exchange and Chicago Board of Trade)
- NYSE Euronext
- BM&F (Sao Paulo, Brazil)
- TIFFE (Tokyo)
- and many more (see list at end of book)
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Examples of Futures Contracts
- You think gold will appreciate during the year
– Buy 100 oz of gold for December Delivery – http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/metals/preciou s/gold.html
- You are a soybean buyer looking to lock your
input costs:
– Buy 1mm bushels of soybean for November Delivery – http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/agricultural/gra in-and-oilseed/soybean.html
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Options
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Option Types
- A Call option is
an option to buy a certain asset by a certain date for a certain price (the strike price)
- A Put option is
an option to sell a certain asset by a certain date for a certain price (the strike price)
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Futures/Forwards vs. Options
- A futures/forward
contract gives the holder the
- bligation to buy
- r sell at a certain
price
- An option contract
gives the holder the right to buy or sell at a certain price
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Payout of a Long Call Option
- K = strike price of option
Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity, ST K
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Payout of a Long Put Option
- K = strike price of option
Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity, ST K
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Options Style
- An American
- ption can be
exercised at any time during its life
- A European
- ption can be
exercised only at maturity A Bermudan option can be exercised only at fixed times before maturity (e.g. monthly)
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Google Option Prices (source: Bbg)
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Types of Traders
- Hedgers use derivatives to mitigate the risk
they are already exposed to, coming from their business or assets/liabilities
- Speculators use derivatives to express a
view – often with leverage – on a financial sector/asset
- Arbitrageurs use derivatives to lock in a
specific payout for a risk-free profit
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Hedging Examples
- An investor owns 1,000 Microsoft shares.
- She is worried about the price falling over the
next two months. She is willing to spend approximately $1/share and can buy put
- ptions:
– http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/msft/option- chain?dateindex=2 – Identify some strategies she can follow
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Hedging Microsoft shares
Value of portfolio assuming put with strike 45, purchased for $1.
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Speculation Example
- You have $2,000 to invest
- You believe that a stock price will increase
- ver the next 2 months
- The current stock price is $20
- The price of a 2-month call option with a
strike of 22.50 is $1
- What are the alternative strategies?
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Arbitrage Example
- A stock price is quoted both in London and in
New York. The prices are:
– £100 in London – $155 in New York
- The current exchange rate is 1.6100
- (ask your self what are the units of that figure)
- Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
- If so what is it?
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Dangers
- Traders can switch from being hedgers to
speculators or from being arbitrageurs to speculators
- It is important to set up controls to ensure that
trades are using derivatives in for their intended purpose
– Many trading operations have enforced vacation time for key personnel so that more than one person has to understand the positions in a trading book. – Many derivatives blow-ups have occurred when there was not a clear differentiation between the profit-center and control function.
University of Colorado at Boulder – Leeds School of Business – FNCE4040 Derivatives
Mutual Funds vs Hedge Funds
- Mutual Funds must
– disclose investment policies, – makes shares redeemable at any time – limit use of leverage – take no short positions.
- Hedge Funds