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Findings from CCS Administrative Data Lee M. Sanders, MD, MPH Lisa J. Chamberlain, MD, MPH Stanford Center for Policy, Outcomes and Prevention (CPOP) CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board Analytic Guidance for CCS Program Reform To use


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Findings from CCS Administrative Data

Lee M. Sanders, MD, MPH Lisa J. Chamberlain, MD, MPH Stanford Center for Policy, Outcomes and Prevention (CPOP)

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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Analytic Guidance for CCS Program Reform

To use data to help protect the health of children with serious chronic illness.

1.

To provide CCS and its stakeholders with data-driven analytic guidance to improve the quality and efficiency of care for children served by the CCS program.

2.

To implement a coordinated strategy that bridges the gap between analytic activities and innovative care strategies in CCS subspecialty care centers.

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Essential Questions

How do we protect the health and well-being of a large population of children with serious chronic illness?

1.

How do these children use health care services?

2.

What is the quality (or appropriateness) of care received by this population?

3.

What is the distribution of costs for that care?

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Analytic Design Retrospective, population-based analysis of all paid claims for the CCS Program (2007-2012) Total capture of all care episodes

Inpatient bed days Outpatient visits (primary, subspecialty, non-MD) ED visits Home health and Durable Medical Equipment (DME) Residential care Pharmacy

Total capture of all CCS-related costs Partial capture of non-CCS-related costs (FFS)

N = 323,922 children

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Stanford CPOP CCS Analytics Advisory Board

Out-Patient Care Systems CCS Families Foundations Research Policy Hospitals Advocacy Advisory Board Bernardette Arrellano CCHA Rich Cordova CHLA

  • Dr. Fran Kaufman CHLA
  • Dr. Bert Lubin CHORI

Richard Pan CA Assembly Christy Bethell PhD OHSU Neal Halfon PhD UCLA Moira Inkelas PhD UCLA Dylan Roby PhD UCLA Meg Okumura, MD, UCSF

  • Dr. Robert Dimand State
  • Dr. Louis Girling Alameda

County

  • Dr. Mark Pian San Diego
  • Dr. Mary Doyle LA County

Maya Altman Health Plan San Mateo

  • Dr. Melissa Aguirre Fresno

John Barry, OTR Shasta County Ted Lempert Children Now Laurie Soman CRISS

  • Dr. Tom Klitzner UCLA Complex Care
  • Dr. David Bergman Stanford Complex Care

Chris Perrone CHCF

  • Dr. Ed Schor LPFCH

Teresa Jurado CCS, Health Plan San Mateo Eileen Crumm PhD Family Voices

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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CCS-enrolled Children: Social and Clinical Characteristics

%

Age – mean (SD) 7.3 (6.5) years Sex - Female 43.0 Race/Ethnicity White 16.6 Black 8.7 Hispanic 56.4 Insurance Medicaid Managed care 47.6 Medicaid Fee for Service 19.6 CHIP 7.5 Mixed / Other 25.3 Medical complexity Complex Chronic 51.4 Non-complex Chronic 25.3 Non-Chronic 23.3 Diagnostic category Neurology 14.6 Cardiology 12.6 ENT / Hearing Loss 11.6 Trauma / Injury 10.8 Endocrine 6.8

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board > 2 organ systems, or progressive

* Simons TD, et al. Pediatric Medical Complexity Algorithm (PMCA), Pediatrics 2014

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Patterns of Care Visits per child per year

Children with > 1 visit per year Visits per child per year

Mean (SD)

Outpatient Visits (MD)

94% 7.6 (8.6)

Outpatient Pharmacy Visits

87% 18.7 (28.7)

ED Visits

49% 1.6 (1.8)

Hospitalizations (Bed Days)

31% 14.8 (30.5)

Outpatient visits (Non-MD)

29% 10.2 (13.7)

Home health visits

16% 5.8 (13.3)

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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Patterns of Care by Age

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Age at first visit Median encounter rate per year

10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 100000

Number

  • f

children Hospital Bed Days Emergency Department Visits Early Periodic Screening, Diagnosis & Treatment Dental Visits Home Health Visits Outpatient clinic visits Other

  • utpatient

visits Pharmacy prescriptions filled Number

  • f

children

  • CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board
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Patterns of Care by Medical Complexity

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Complex Chronic Non-Chronic

Outpatient pharmacy fills Other outpatient visits Home health visits ED visits Outpatient physician visits Bed days Mean encounter rate per year

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Patterns of Care by Diagnostic Category

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 N e u r

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y H e m a t

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y O n c

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y C a r d i

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y O t

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a r y n g

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y G a s t r

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y P u l m

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a r y I n j u r y CCS eligible diagnosis Inpatient Home health Pharmacy Outpatient clinic Other outpatient DME % total expenditures % children

% of total visits

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Outpatient: Inpatient Patterns by Diagnostic Category

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

CARD ENT ENDO INJ GASTRO DEVT HEME NEONATAL NEUR ONC OPTH ORTH URO

5 10 15 20

Mean bed day rate

6 8 10 12

Mean outpatient visit rate p

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Patterns of Care Regional Variability

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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Quality of Care:

Potentially Preventable Hospitalizations

2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 Bacterial pneumonia Dehydration Asthma Epilepsy Kidney/urinary infection Severe ENT infection Cellulitis Gastroenteritis Hypoglycemia Mastoiditis Anemia Nutritional deficiency Immunization preventable conditions Tuberculosis Pelvic inflammatory disease Diabetes Stretococcal meningitis Seizures Failure to thrive Ambulatory Sensitive Condition Number of Children Hospitalized

24.8%

  • f all CCS

hospitalizations

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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Quality of Care:

No Care After Hospital Discharge

78.9 51.9 67.8 39 61.1 33.6 56.3 30.3 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

No MD visits within 7 days Post-hospitalization No Outpatient Visit of any kind within 7 days Post-Hospitalization No MD visits within 14 days Post-hospitalization No Outpatient Visit of any kind within 14 days Post-Hospitalization No MD visits within 21 days Post-Hospitalization No Outpatient Visit of any kind within 21 days Post-Hospitalization No MD visits within 28 days Post-Hospitalization No Outpatient Visit of any kind within 28 days Post-Hospitalization

Percent of hospitalized CCS enrollees

(Overall Readmission Rate: 9.6%) CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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Cost Distribution By Child

50 2 40 26 5 15 4 32 1 25

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Children Annual expenditures Percent

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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Cost Distribution By Medical Complexity

47% 27% 26%

Complex Chronic Non-complex Chronic Non-Chronic

85% 6% 9% Among All CCS Enrollees Among “High Cost” Children*

**Pediatric Medical Complexity Algorithm (PMCA), Mangione-Smith R. 2014 *Top 10% of annual expenses

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Cost Distribution By Type of Care

Chart Title

36% 21% 9% 17% 1% 14% 2% 0%

Hospital Home Health Outpatient (nonMD) Residential Facility Pharmacy

DME Emergency Care Outpatient (MD)

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Cost Distribution, by Medical Complexity

Complex Chronic Non-complex/non-chronic

67.7 6.6 13.9 0.8 8.4 1.2

Inpatient Home health Pharmacy Outpatient clinic Other outpatient DME

31.1 21.5 16.1 2.4 27.7 0.7

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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Cost by Diagnostic Category

13.8 10.7 5.9 3.9 7.1 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.3 31.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Neurology/Neurosurgery Hematology NICU Cardiology/Cardiothoracic Surgery Oncology ENT Gastroenterology Pulmonary Gen Peds/BehavDevt External/Injury

CCS-Eligible Diagnosis Percent of Total Expendituresfor all diagnoses

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

Number of Children

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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Costs Distribution by Diagnostic Category

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

$0 $20,000,000 $40,000,000 $60,000,000 $80,000,000 $100,000,000 $120,000,000 $140,000,000 $160,000,000

N e u r

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y E N T O n c

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a r y G a s t r

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y I n j u r y E n d

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r i n

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y Total expenditures Inpatient Outpatient pharmacy Residential facility Home health Outpatient physician DME ED Other outpatient

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“High Cost Children” Over Time

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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Cost Distribution by Hospital Type

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

Other Hospitals 1% County Hospitals 6% UC System Hospitals 13% Non-Profit & For- Profit Hospitals 25%

  • Free-Standing

Children's Hospitals 55%

  • Other

Hospitals 1% County Hospitals 8% UC System Hospitals 11%

  • Free-Standing

Children's Hospitals 37% Non-Profit & For-Profit Hospitals 43%

  • Infants (< 12 months)
  • Free-Standing

Children's Hospitals 64% Non-Profit & For-Profit Hospitals 18% UC System Hospitals 13% County Hospitals 5% Other Hospitals <1%

  • Medically Complex Children

All Children

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Summary

  • Distinct patterns of care use – particularly by age and

medical complexity.

  • Wide variability in care patterns, particularly before and

after hospitalization.

  • Costs are highly skewed, driven by inpatient and

residential care, and persistent over time.

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Implications for CCS Program Reform

  • Care System Innovation

– Redesign Outpatient Systems to reduce Inpatient Care – Enhance Regionalized Subspecialty and Primary Care

  • Population Health Management

– Tier Care Coordination by Clinical Complexity – Build Regional Learning Collaboratives

  • Public Policy and Payment Reform

– Establish Risk Pools for Skewed Cost Distribution – Monitor and Evaluate Impact of Reforms

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board

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CPOP Policy Briefs

CCS Redesign Stakeholder Advisory Board https://cpopstanford.wordpress.com/our- work/state/

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Thank You

CCS and DHCS California Stakeholders Robert Dimand, MD Katie Schlageter, Alameda Louis Girling, MD, Alameda Maya Altman, HPSM Fiona Donald, MD; Anand Chabra, MD Teresa Jurado David Alexander, MD Ed Schor, MD Juno Duenas Eileen Crumm Laurie Soman Christy Sandborg, MD, Stanford David Bergman, MD, Stanford Jori Bogetz, MD; Doriel Pearson-Nishioka Bert Lubin, MD, CHRCO Tom Klitzner, MD, UCLA Moira Inkelas, PhD, UCLA Dylan Roby, PhD, UCLA Megie Okumura, MD, UCSF Stanford University Center for Policy, Outcomes and Prevention Paul Wise, MD, MPH Jason Wang, MD, PhD Vandana Sundaram, MPH Ewen Wang, MD Ben Goldstein, PhD Monica Eneriz-Wiemer, MD Keith van Haren, MD Stafford Grady, MD Susan Fernandez, RN, PhD MyMy Buu, MD Nathan Luna, MD Rachel Bensen, MD Stephanie Crossen, MD Olga Saynina, MS Gene Lewitt, PhD Maureen Sheehan, RN Regan Foust Sonja Swenson