Financial update A strong financial foundation Volum es ( '0 0 0 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Financial update A strong financial foundation Volum es ( '0 0 0 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Fredrik Nilsson CFO Financial update A strong financial foundation Volum es ( '0 0 0 MT) EBI T ( SEK m illion) 1,700 1,200 1,600 1,100 1,620 1,117 1,500 1,000 1,511 996 1,400 900 1,441 1,426 911 1,300 800 824 1,200 700
824 911 996 1,117 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 2010 2011 2012 2013
EBI T ( SEK m illion)
1,441 1,426 1,511 1,620 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,600 1,700 2010 2011 2012 2013
Volum es ( '0 0 0 MT)
13% 13% 14% 16% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 2010 2011 2012 2013
ROCE ( R1 2 M)
A strong financial foundation
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EPS and DPS evolution
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14.7 15.7 17.9 4.75 5.25 6.00 + 6% + 14% + 11% + 14% 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 2011 2012 2013 EPS (SEK) DPS (SEK)
2 2 % 2 1 % 2 8 % 2 9 % 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
AAK Group
Seasonality*
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* Average EBIT, 2010-2013
2 0 % 2 3 % 2 7 % 3 0 % 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Food I ngredients
Seasonality*
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* Average EBIT, 2010-2013
2 3 % 1 8 % 2 9 % 3 0 % 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Chocolate & Confectionery Fats
Quarterly trends
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Volum es ’0 0 0 MT EBI T* SEK m illion EPS SEK
1,241 (1,196) 899 (799) 14.03 (12.39)
+ 1 5 % + 2 %
- 2 %
2 0 1 4 Q2
+ 1 9 % + 3 %
- 1 %
2 0 1 4 Q1
+ 1 1 % + 2 1 % + 6 % + 6 %
- 3 %
2 0 1 4 Q3
+ 1 0 % + 1 3 % + 1 3 % + 4 %
- 2 %
2 0 1 4 YTD
- rganic volume growth
* Excluding acquisition costs and non-recurring items
2 0 1 4 YTD
10 percent change in all raw material prices will effect working capital by + / - SEK 250 million
Time lag of six to nine months
Raw material prices
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200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 USD/ ton Rapeseed oil Palm oil
Cash flow
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SEK m illion Q3 2 0 1 4 YTD 2 0 1 4 Q3 2 0 1 3 YTD 2 0 1 3 Full year 2 0 1 3 EBITDA 442 1,185 390 1,049 1,460 Paid interest
- 29
- 90
- 27
- 80
- 96
Paid tax
- 100
- 239
- 55
- 209
- 261
Non-cash items 4
- 15
7
- 3
- 20
Change in working capital (WC)
- 369
- 644
- 12
335 217 Cash flow from operating activities incl. change in W C
- 5 2
1 9 7 3 0 3 1 ,0 9 2 1 ,3 0 0 Cash flow from investments
- 352
- 661
- 329
- 589
- 732
Free cash flow
- 4 0 4
- 4 6 4
- 2 6
5 0 3 5 6 8
Cash flow
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SEK m illion Q3 2 0 1 4 Sept YTD 2 0 1 4 Q3 2 0 1 3 Sept YTD 2 0 1 3 Full year 2 0 1 3 EBITDA 442 1,185 390 1,049 1,460 Paid interest
- 29
- 90
- 27
- 80
- 96
Paid tax
- 100
- 239
- 55
- 209
- 261
Non-cash items 4
- 15
7
- 3
- 20
Change in working capital (WC)
- 369
- 644
- 12
335 217 Cash flow from operating activities incl. change in W C
- 5 2
1 9 7 3 0 3 1 ,0 9 2 1 ,3 0 0 Cash flow from investments
- 352
- 661
- 329
- 589
- 732
Free cash flow
- 4 0 4
- 4 6 4
- 2 6
5 0 3 5 6 8 SEK m illion Q3 2 0 1 4 YTD 2 0 1 4 Inventory
- 234
- 674
AR
- 256
- 337
AP 122 361 Other
- 1
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725 301 1,563 1,334 82% 33% 160% 119%
- 200%
- 160%
- 120%
- 80%
- 40%
0% 40% 80% 120% 160% 200% 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 Operating cash f low* Cash conversion rate
Cash conversion rate
10 Avg: 1 0 1 % * EBIT + change in working capital
Cash conversion rate
11 Avg: 6 0 % * EBIT + change in working capital + regular CAPEX
394
- 48
1,193 797 45%
- 5%
122% 71%
- 200%
- 160%
- 120%
- 80%
- 40%
0% 40% 80% 120% 160% 200%
- 500
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 Operating cash f low* Cash conversion rate
ROCE – September 30, 2014
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8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14
Rolling 12 m onths Quarter
Quarter Q3 2 0 1 4 Q3 2 0 1 3 FY 2 0 1 3 EBIT (R12M) 1,231 1,060 1,117 Fixed assets 5,223 4,285 4,427 Working capital 3,406 2,481 2,581 ROCE 14.3 15.7 15.9
Capital structure
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3 4 % 3 6 % 3 9 % 4 3 % 8 3 % 8 8 % 6 9 % 5 2 % 4 5 % 4 7 % 4 1 % 3 4 % 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 Equity/ total assets (% ) Gearing, net debt/ equity (% ) Net debt/ total capital (% )
Net debt / EBITDA
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0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Net debt/ EBITDA Net debt, SEK m illion
Debt maturity
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Lender/ Facility 2 0 1 4 2 0 1 5 2 0 1 6 2 0 1 7 2 0 1 8 2 0 1 9 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 1 Revolving credit facility with four banks (EUR 400 million) Multi-option facility Bank A (SEK 750 million) Multi-option facility Bank B (SEK 750 million) Mortgage loan Bank A (DKK 400 million)
332 670 794 732 802 1,000 700 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2010 2011 2012 2013 E2014 E2015* E2016* Total CAPEX 321 424 196 252 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2010 2011 2012 2013 E2014 E2015* E2016* Acquisitions 332 349 370 536 550 1,000 700 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2010 2011 2012 2013 E2014 E2015* E2016* CAPEX
Investing to grow (SEK million)
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* Including Brazil and China greenfields
Volume growth from acquisitions and greenfields (’000 MT)
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Turkey Belgium Colom bia Brazil China 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 2015 2017 2016
AAK’s ambition is to grow and we have the
cash flow and funding to do it
Strengthen growth
- Organic growth
‒ Customer co-development ‒ Emerging markets
- Selective acquisitions
Capital efficiency
- Working capital management
Key messages from the Group CFO
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