Financial results presentation
For the year ended 31 March 2016
Financial results presentation For the year ended 31 March 2016 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Financial results presentation For the year ended 31 March 2016 Important information This presentation contains forward-looking statements as defined in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as
For the year ended 31 March 2016
Important information
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This presentation contains forward-looking statements as defined in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
intended to identify such forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements. While these forward-looking statements represent our judgments and future expectations, a number of risks, uncertainties and
factors that could adversely affect our businesses and financial performance. We are not under any obligation to (and expressly disclaim any such obligation to) update or alter our forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements contained herein.
FY16 Overview: building platforms to optimise returns
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LEAD IN ECOMMERCE TARGET HIGH-GROWTH BUSINESS MODELS PURSUE SCALE TRANSFORM FURTHER INTO MOBILE OPTIMISE RETURNS
Lead in ecommerce
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Local leadership positions Global app leadership
Segment #1 #1 pos positi itions Tot
# of f mar markets ts Classifieds 34 34 40 B2C 9 11 Payments 6 16 Global classifieds app sessions/day (m)
eBay Schibsted Naspers 2.2x 2x
Source: SimilarWeb *As per Jan 2016.
Target high-growth business models
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Local classifieds Bus ticketing Mobile classifieds Food delivery
Daily net new listings Bus tickets sold Daily net new listings USA Number of orders - Brazil
Mar 15 Mar 16 37% FY15 FY16 56% W1 W15 377% Mar 15 Mar 16 148%
Source: Company data
Pursue scale
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Classifieds: expanding our footprint Payments: accelerating local growth
TPV growth* (%), 2015–2016
148 123 46 Russia Turkey India
Source: Company data
markets
* Currency neutral, i.e. YoY growth reflected in local currencies.
7.2 5.2 4.7 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 2.6 Population Population over 16 Mobile users Smartphones PC's Growth to 2020 2015
Further smartphone growth will transform the world
Transform further into mobile
8 Other
Source: Worldbank, GSMA, Apple, Google, a16z
Global population (bn) Mobile as a % of total user time spent across Naspers platforms, Q4 FY2016
Source: SimilarWeb
Optimise returns
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Improve unit economics
B2C OPEX per order (US$)
Source: Company data
Consolidate
8.8 6.4 FY15 FY16
iFood Brazil EBITDA (US$m)
(9.6) (11.0) (4.5) 0.5 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
27%
Reduce development spend
Ecommerce development spend* as % of revenues (fx neutral)
39% 33% FY15 FY16
*Excludes associates, as well as new investments in Letgo and India Hotels.
Synopsis of financials
11 1,030 1,246 285 FY15 FY16
Core headline earnings (US$m)
11,541 12,224 1,576 FY15 FY16
Revenue* (US$m)
6% (22%) 953 961 121 FY15 FY16
Development spend* (US$m)
1% (14%) 1,901 2,246 362 FY15 FY16
Trading profit* (US$m)
18% (38%) 255 298 FY15 FY16
Core HEPS (USc)
17% 4.70 5.20 FY15 FY16
DPS (ZAR)
11% 21% (49%)
*Results reported on an economic interest basis, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. Numbers in brackets represent year-on-year growth in local currency, excluding M&A.
Currency impact
Revenue growth driven by Tencent and ecommerce
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Incremental revenue* by segment, YoY (US$m) Revenue* by segment (US$m)
Ecommerce (22%) Listed investments (46%) Video entertainment (28%) Media & other (4%)
Revenue* (US$m)
9,919 11,541 12,224 1,576 FY14 FY15 FY16 Currency impact 6% (22%)
*Results reported on an economic interest basis, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. Numbers in brackets represent year-on-year growth in local currency, excluding M&A.
1,574 ( 1,576 ) 11,541 FY15 Ecommerce Listed investments Video entertainment Media & other M&A Forex FY16 12,224 590 (4) (295) 6% (22%) 394 24% 35% 10% 1% 3% 14%
Development spend flat on an economic interest basis
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Consolidated development spend (US$m)
Classifieds (39%) Etail (32%) Other ecommerce (18%) Video entertainment (9%) Media (2%)
Development spend* by segment (US$m)
*Results reported on an economic interest basis, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. Numbers in brackets represent year-on-year growth in local currency, excluding M&A.
Incremental development spend* by segment, YoY (US$m)
961 193 953 FY15 New investments Operating Associates Forex FY16 138 (202) 1% (14%) 20% 21% 14% 13% 138 (121) 737 820 515 193 103 FY14 FY15 FY16 Operating New investments 14% (1%)
z Currency impact
Ecommerce continues to gain traction
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Revenue split Revenue and trading losses* (US$m)
Etail (62%) Marketplace (13%) Naspers Ventures (6%) Classifieds (8%) Payments (5%) Travel (3%) Other (3%)
Constant currency revenue growth by type
67% 46% 27% 26% 20% 14%
Travel Classifieds Etail Naspers Ventures Payments Marketplace *Results reported on an economic interest basis, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. Numbers in brackets represent year-on-year growth in local currency, excluding M&A.
1,986 2,492 2,647 (516) (543) 397 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Revenue Trading losses New investments 6% (24%) 28% (31%) FY14 FY15 FY16
41 (193) (541)
Currency impact
765 774 217 288 130 FY 15 FY 16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7Revenue Trading profit
Profitable ecommerce businesses gaining momentum
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Number of profitable ecommerce entities
15 21 FY15 FY16
Financial progress of profitable entities (US$m)
Currency impact 33 1% (18%) 33% (48%)
VE financials reflective of challenging macro environment
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Video entertainment (VE) financials* (US$m) Development spend (US$m) Programming and production costs (US$m) Capital expenditure (US$m)
3,582 3,830 3,413 841 732 610 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Revenue Trading profit 11% 17% 977 1,133 1,046 FY14 FY15 FY16 462 203 127 FY14 FY15 FY16 166 206 85 FY14 FY15 FY16 37% 8% 59%
Note: Local content spend increased 12% YoY to ZAR2.9bn *Based on economic interest, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated.
Avito a transformational M&A transaction
17 Etail (8%) Classifieds (89%) Naspers Ventures (2%) Other (1%)
FY16 M&A by segment (US$m) Acquisition spend over time (US$m)
465 420 FY14 FY15 FY16 Other 1,495 Etail Various
4yr avg US$442m (Mar12 – Mar15)
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Summarised income statement
US US$m Ma Mar 15 Ma Mar 16 Revenue* 11,541 12,224 Less: Equity-accounted investments (4,972) (6,294) Consolidated revenue 6,569 5,930 Trading profit 298 179 Trading margin 5% 3% Net finance costs (251) (352) Share of equity accounted results 1,475 1,289
977 1,038
498 251 Impairments (98) (341) Taxation (338) (260) Net profit 1,260 1,001 Core headline earnings 1,030 1,246 Core headline EPS (US$) 2.55 2.98
*Based on economic interest, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. ** Remeasurements refer to business combination-related gains and losses.
Free cash flow affected by weaker results from VE outside SA
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FCF breakdown (US$m)
(36) FY15 Operating profit Working capital Capex Increased dividends Other FY16 (96) (24) 64 46 8 (38)
Balance sheet strong following equity raise
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US US$m Mar 16 Debt (1): (offshore US$2.9bn) (2,926) Cash: (South Africa US$1.2bn) 1,713 Closing net debt (1,213) Gearing 12%
(1) Excludes satellite lease liabilities (US$836m) and non-interest bearing debt (US$159m)
Group net consolidated debt (US$m)
1,461 1,994 1,213 23% 30% 12%
0% 10% 20% 30%
FY15 FY16 Net debt Gearing %
B2C: building scale in etail and structured marketplaces
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B2C: FY16 GMV by region*
India & SE Asia (29%) Europe (65%) Africa & Middle East (6%)
B2C: Revenue* (US$)
10% (24%) 1,376 1,812 1,988 244 FY14 FY15 FY16
*Includes etail, structured and unstructured marketplaces. Results reported on an economic interest basis, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. Numbers in brackets represent year-on-year growth in local currency, excluding M&A.
53% 22% 18% 7%
Other Snapdeal Amazon Flipkart
India B2C: Flipkart well positioned
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Share of time spent in mobile apps (March 2016)
Source: SimilarWeb, company data
Flipkart mobile monthly active users (m)
Mar 15 Mar 16 59%
Leading horizontal B2C platforms in India
Allegro: accelerating growth and improving profitability
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FY16 financial summary (PLNm) Annual GMV growth rate
5.1% 9.0% 12.2% Mar 14 Mar 15 Mar 16 1,140 462 370 Revenue Trading profit Free cash flow
Registered users
20 MM+ 90%
Brand recognition Active B2C merchants
100 K+
Online price comparison business in Poland Internet brand in Poland Shopping destination in Poland (ex-food) #1 #1 #1
FY15 FY16 ibibo Nearest competitor
India travel: capitalising on a large opportunity
25 9 11 13 14 17 19 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
India OTA market to grow at 5yr-CAGR of 16% Ibibo outpacing competition on gross bookings #1 in Hotels, outgrowing competition
37% 31%
Source: Goldman Sachs, Phocuswright
Transaction volume (‘000) GMV (US$bn)
#2 in Air, growing faster than competition #1 in Bus ticketing, strong growth
FY15 FY16 Transaction volume (‘000) Transaction volume (‘000)*
* Standalone hotel transaction volumes.
FY15 FY16 ibibo Nearest competitor FY15 FY16 ibibo Nearest competitor 55% 12% Gross bookings (US$m) 4X 3X 52% 28% 59%
Classifieds: attractive business model, great returns at maturity
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2015 Revenues in US$ millions 2015 EBITDA margins
114 140 183 199 413 437 Blocket Trademe Finn Leboncoin Autotrader Scout24 58% 67% 44% 62% 56% 42% Blocket Trademe Finn Leboncoin Autotrader Scout24
Source: Annual reports
Market leaders generate substantial revenues… … at high EBITDA margins
Classifieds: massive footprint for the OLX Group
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Offices
Countries
+2,000
Employees
Global footprint
+4.3
APP RATING
#1 app
20 COUNTRIES (1)
Mobile leadership
+1.7bn
MONTHLY VISITS
+35b
MONTHLY PAGE VIEWS
Scale
1) Google play store; shopping/lifestyle categories Note: exlcudes letgo, includes associates on a proportionate basis
Classifieds: building leading platforms
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Bri Bring it t to to the the nex next t lev evel
Monetisation cou countri ries
Ramp monetisation to full potential through knowledge sharing
Key Key inv nvestm tment cou countri ries
Mature consumer-to- consumer classifieds trade Manage ROI on marketing
Em Emer erging mark arkets ts
Identify growth models Limit spend until classifieds’ potential is proven
Bui Build an an outs
ting com company
Countries
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FY16 Marketing spend* (US$m)
*Data reflecting 100% of controlled entities as per March 2016, excluding new Letgo investment. Historic numbers adjusted on a pro-forma basis for the increased investment in Avito. The annual revenue growth in FY16 excluding Avito was 34%.
111 98 120 139 24 48 H1 H2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7FY15 FY16 Currency impact
Revenue* (US$m)
9% (48%) 41% (67%) FY15 FY16 11%
Classifieds: building leading platforms
Classifieds: continue to monetise and extend current positions
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Naspers positions (number of countries)
16 2 12 2 5 5 21 6 3 3 24 8 1 5 25 9 1 5 24 10 Entering Fighting Leading Leading and monetising 2014 1HFY15 2HFY15 1HFY16 2HFY16
Monthly unique listers (m)*
12 16 Mar 15 Mar 16
Net new listings (daily, m)*
1.3 1.8 Mar 15 Mar 16 34% 38%
*Reflects associates and joint-ventures on a proportionate basis based on economic interest as per March 2016.
Classifieds: ramping monetisation in Poland
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Form
Brand Horizontal Vehicles Real estate
Revenue (PLN per internet user)
+75% 1.6 1.9 2.8 3.4 H1 H2 FY15 FY16 +79%
2.2 2.5 3.3 4.4 H1 H2 FY15 FY16
Classifieds: ramping monetisation in Russia
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Monthly unique listers (m)
+52% +78%
Revenue (RUBb) EBITDA (RUBb) Revenue split
24%
Note: FY16 Revenue/Internet User = RUB75 Note: FY16 EBITDA/Internet User = RUB32
3.4 4.2 Mar 15 Mar 16 59% 53% 34% 27% 1% 15% 6% 5% FY 15 FY 16 Shop fees Listing fees Advertising Value-added services 1.3 1.1 1.8 2.0 H1 H2 FY15 FY16 +40% +84%
6.3 6.8 10.1 11.1 13.0 13.9 14.3 15.1 15.7 18.2 Guatemala Peru Colombia Argentina El Salvador Panama Brazil Ecuador Costa Rica Uruguay
Classifieds: Latam is maturing
33 March 2016 March 2015
Poland Sep 2013 17.1 Poland March 2016 28.8 Maturity index*
*Monthly unique listers per 1,000 middle and high income capita.
Sources: OLX DWH, Worldbank
Classifieds: Strong in C2C versus competition in India
34 Jan 16 Feb 16 Mar 16 Jan 16 Feb 16 Mar 16
People recall OLX more People engage more with OLX People visit OLX more often
6.1x Jan 16 Feb 16 Mar 16 4.5x 2.3x DAU Active App Users Google Trends Vehicles Mobiles Other Goods Real Estate Jobs & Services OLX QUIKR 6.3x 9.0x 3.6x 1.6x 0.3x Daily Unique Listers
OLX has more sellers in C2C categories, Quikr has more sellers in B2C categories
OLX OLX OLX Quikr Quikr Quikr
Source: Google Trends Source: SimilarWeb Source: SimilarWeb Source: Listers with live ads on OLX and Quikr as per March 2016
Classifieds: letgo grows and merges with Wallapop in the US
35 55K 20K 40K 60K W1 W4 W7 W10 W13 1M 400K 800K 1M W1 W4 W7 W10 W13
Daily listers Daily messages
+339% +617%
Daily products sold (USA)
Ke Key terms
board control of JV
team and technology
completion in FY17 Ke Key Benef nefits
leadership
with 3.5 year old player
migration
Daily listings
127K 40K 80K 120K 160K W1 W4 W7 W10 W13 38K 10K 20K 30K 40K W1 W4 W7 W10 W13 +377% +301%
Daily transactions
Source: Letgo database
Listed internet: Tencent delivers another strong performance
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Tencent operating profit (RMBm)
13,211 17,053 20,496 30,411 41,764 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR +33%
Revenue mix FY15*
Value-added services (78%) Online advertising (17%) Other (5%)
Monthly active user accounts (m): Weixin & WeChat
549 762 1Q15 1Q16
39%
*Reflects 100% of Jan-Dec 2015 (FY15) results on a non-GAAP basis; detailed results available at www.tencent.com. FY16 US$/RMB6.449(6.201) *Revenue from ecommerce transactions has been included in “Other” since 1Q15. This amounted to RMB0.6bn in FY15.
Listed internet: Mail.ru navigating a challenging environment
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Mail.ru EBITDA (RUBm)
8,381 11,535 15,087 16,850 18,123 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR +21%
Revenue mix FY15*
Online advertising (40%) Community IVAS (34%) MMO Games (25%) Other (1%)
Monthly active users (m)
78 82 Dec 14 Dec 15 4%
*Reflects 100% of FY15 aggregate segment performance as reported. For IFRS results with full disclosure refer to www.corp.mail.ru FY16 US$/RUR66.999 (58.176)
Source: comScore
VE: Significant scale across 50 African countries
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“A world of en entertainment, anywhere, anytime”
DTH DTT SVOD OTHER
Our Our Busin Businesses
VE: Significant scale across 50 African countries
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Video entertainment subscriber homes (‘000)
3,981 4,451 5,008 5,406 5,732 1,607 1,911 2,234 2,563 2,275 23 377 817 2,256 2,404 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 SA DTH SSA DTH SSA DTT 2%
Change in subscriber mix
50% 50% 27% 30% 23% 20% FY15 FY16 Premium Compact Lower-end
VE: impact of currency devaluations on the business
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YoY currency declines
Zambia Angola South Africa Nigeria Kenya Weighted average decline YoY -24%
Subscription revenue (US$m)
US US$ FX X Cover US US$m ZA ZAR rate te 12 months out 351 13.78 24 months out 87 16.82 EUR FX Cover EURm ZA ZAR rate te 12 months out 32 18.13
Hedging policy
*Based on monthly Naspers average closing rates. **Average for the 5 countries weighted on subscription revenue for 2016.
22 3,075 FY15 Subscriber volume Subscription prices Forex FY16 2,783 264 (578) 9%
VE: strong economic headwinds hit DTH sub-Saharan Africa
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SSA net additions (‘000) SSA ARPU (US$)
36 32 FY15 FY16 11%
SSA DTH operating cash flow and capex (US$m)
219 89 (11) (19) (16) (19) FY14 FY15 FY16 Capex Operating cash flow 78 225 108 215 121 208 (321) 33 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16 2H16 average
SSA net additions (‘000)
VE: DTT continue to scale, approaching break-even
43 23 377 817 2,256 2,404 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Total DTT spend (US$m)
128 190 47 163 66 24 FY14 FY15 FY16 Development spend Capex
Subscribers (m)
64% 75%
VE: DTH South Africa holding up better, for now
44 187 283 248 309 166 232 156 169 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16 2H16
SA net additions (‘000)
337 344 FY15 FY16
SA ARPU (ZAR) PVR’s (‘000)
1,067 1,180 FY15 FY16 11% 2% 29 24 FY15 FY16
SA ARPU (US$)
average 17%
FY17 Outlook: continue building our platforms
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LEAD IN ECOMMERCE TARGET HIGH-GROWTH BUSINESS MODELS PURSUE SCALE TRANSFORM FURTHER INTO MOBILE OPTIMISE RETURNS
Mobile first or only across the business App activity as primary operating metric Reduce development spend in existing footprint Improve unit economics in B2C Pursue further scale in classifieds, food and B2C Return to growth in SSA DTH Classifieds, B2C, Fintech and O2O Connected video entertainment New segments Build strong global or regional ecommerce leaders
Glossary of terms
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— ARPU: Average Revenue Per User — B2C: Business to Consumer — C2C: Consumer to Consumer — CAGR: Cumulative Annual Growth Rate — DPS: Dividend per Share — DTH: Direct-to-Home — DTT: Digital Terrestrial Television — EPS: Earnings per Share — FCF: Free Cash Flow — GMV: Gross Merchandise Value — HEPS: Headline Earnings per Share — IVAS: Internet Value-Added Service — M&A: Mergers and Acquisitions — O2O: Online to Offline — OTA: Online Travel Agent — PVR: Personal Video Recorder — ROI: Return on Investment — SSA: Sub-Saharan Africa — SVOD: Subscription Video-On-Demand — TPV: Total Payment Value — VE: Video Entertainment
Meloy Horn
+27 11 289 3320 +27 82 7727 123 InvestorRelations@naspers.com www.naspers.com