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Exploring land use change for increasing resilience to climate change in England
Rachelle Ngai, Environmental Research and Sustainability Consultant Rachelle.ngai@jbaconsulting.com @JBAConsulting
Exploring land use change for increasing resilience to climate - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Exploring land use change for increasing resilience to climate - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Exploring land use change for increasing resilience to climate change in England Rachelle Ngai, Environmental Research and Sustainability Consultant Rachelle.ngai@jbaconsulting.com @JBAConsulting Objective of the ASC of the CCC
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Land cover and land use in the UK
Source: Agriculture in the UK, 2017, ONS, and 2015 Corine Land Cover Map
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Our final methodology…
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More detail into Stage 4: Economic assessment
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Scenarios
Anticipatory response to Climate Threshold Business As Usual Climate Threshold Impact Consequences Recovery
Reactionary response of Climate Threshold
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Using case studies
Petteril, Cumbria
- 160km2
- Neighbours the
Lake District NP, Yorkshire Dales NP and North Pennines AONB
- Tributary of the
River Eden
Moor House and Upper Teesdale, North Pennines
- 88km2
- Upper catchment
- f River Tees
- SAC, SPA, AONB
Broadlands Rivers Catchment, Norfolk and Suffolk Broads
- 3,200 km2
- SAC, SPA, Ramsar
site
- The Bure,
Wensum, Yare and Waveney catchments with different characteristics and pressures
- Tidal and fluvial
Somerset Levels
- 2,500 km2
- SSSI
- Catchments of the
Parrett, Axe, and Brue
- Tidal and fluvial
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Moor House and Upper Teesdale Petteril, Cumbria
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Petteril – Current land use and cover
160 km2
Stage 1: Baseline assessment Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Stage 1: Baseline assessment Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Petteril – Threshold
- Stage 1: Baseline assessment
Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Petteril – Summary of land use change
Stage 1: Baseline assessment Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Petteril - Net benefits of each scenario
Stage 1: Baseline assessment Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Petteril - Natural capital benefits
Stage 1: Baseline assessment Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Moor House and Upper Teesdale – Current land use and cover
88 km2
Stage 1: Baseline assessment Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Moor House and Upper Teesdale - Threshold
- Stage 1: Baseline assessment
Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Moor House and Upper Teesdale – Summary of land use change
Stage 1: Baseline assessment Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Moor House and Upper Teesdale – Net benefits of each scenario
Scenario PV Costs PV Benefits Net present value Relative benefit of
- ption
Business as Usual - Threshold A (without fire) £0 £550 £550
- Anticipatory
£50 £850 £800 £250 Reactionary £40 £710 £670 £120
Stage 1: Baseline assessment Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Moor House and Upper Teesdale – Natural capital benefits
Stage 1: Baseline assessment Stage 2: Climate threshold Stage 3: Evidence Stage 4: Cost benefit
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Conclusions
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Policy recommendations
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