ENGIE Energía Perú
Corporate Presentation September 2017
(based on 2017 H1 financial figures)
ENGIE Energa Per Corporate Presentation September 2017 (based on - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
ENGIE Energa Per Corporate Presentation September 2017 (based on 2017 H1 financial figures) 2017 H1 EEP HIGHLIGHTS During 2017 H1, EEP was the first private player of the sector accounting for 21% of the total capacity and 15% of
Corporate Presentation September 2017
(based on 2017 H1 financial figures)
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capacity and 15% of the total energy generation of the system
subject to final NTP
(25MUSD @ 7y & 76MUSD @ 10y). Bonds were issued in local currency and backed by a cross currency interest rate swap, resulting in a final cost of debt in dollars of 3.15% and 3.55%, respectively
respectively compared to H1 2016. The increase was mainly explained by an extraordinary income from Las Bambas penalty and the start of Nodo Energetico project; which was partially offset by the end of Southern Peru Copper Corporation (SPCC) PPA
111.5MW from old units were disconnected from the grid as they will be no longer required. Units disconnection will not have an impact on commercial margin
penalty of 28 MUSD due in July
No significant changes in market context
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+ Additional OCGT (+50MW): Malacas TG6 + Mini hydro projects (+40MW): Marañon & Potrero (RER auction 2011)
were not affected and all our generation plants were operating normally
Q1 2018
instead of a single annual period
connecting the center and south of the country, is expected by Q4 2017
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* Does not include penalty fee and its effect on the deferred tax
1004 951 2016 H1 2017 H1 182 186 2016 H1 2017 H1 102 90 2016 H1 2017 H1
EBITDA Net Result Debt
EBITDA MUSD
2.8 2.6 2016 H1 2017 H1 182 214 2016 H1 2017 H1 102 110 2016 H1 2017 H1
+18% +7%
Total EBITDA (MUSD) Recurrent EBITDA* (MUSD) Total Net Result (MUSD) Net Recurrent Result* (MUSD) Net Debt / EBITDA (12m) Total Debt (MUSD)
+2%
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due to transmission congestion in the south of the country
Bambas contract
years, at final rates in USD of 3.15% and 3.55%, respectively
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Peruvian Electricity Market
Company Overview
2016 Financial Results
Capital Structure
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54% 46%
Regulated Clients Free Clients
Enel Distribución and Luz del Sur (Distribution companies in Lima)
Mining and industrial companies
above 0.2MW are able to contract directly with generation companies (free clients)
concentrated in Chilca district (60km from Lima)
case of emergency and transmission congestion
terms of energy generation (12m)
Power, Duke, Statkraft, Termochilca, among
Clients Generation Market share Market Installed capacity 12,120 MW Peak demand 6,596 MW Annual energy Generation 49,217 GWh
+4.8% y/y +5.7% y/y +16.% y/y
Information as of June 2017
54% 3% 44% Hydro Non Conventional Renewables Natural Gas Coal & diesel 21% 13% 17% 18% 31% ENGIE Government Enel Generación IC Power Others
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System is based mainly on hydro and natural gas from Camisea Field 2 seasons: wet (from November to April) and dry (from May to October) Electricity demand increased on average 7% annually between 2005 and 2016 (YTD) and is expected to have
an average annual growth of 5-6% between 2017 and 2022;
Source: COES 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Reserve MW
Balance Supply - Demand - Wet Season
Hydro Renewable Natural Gas (CC) Natural Gas (OC) Coal Oil and Fuel Oil Max Demand Reserve Wet Season (%) 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Reserve MW
Balance Supply - Demand - Dry Season
Hydro Dry Season Renewable Natural Gas (CC) Natural Gas (OC) Coal Oil and Fuel Oil Max Demand Reserve Dry Season (%)
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Company Overview
2016 Financial Results
Capital Structure
Peruvian Electricity Market
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ENGIE, 61.8 Prima, 11.4 Integra, 6.8 Profuturo , 5.0 Others, 15.0
Shareholders %
generation
sources
Strong financials to support ambitions, AAA local rating
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Environmental awareness Energy efficiency Digitalization New technologies
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2018
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development
clients
Reduce exposure to commodity prices
Companies) and Free Clients
scheme
Focus on low CO2 Develop solutions for clients
help them finding efficiency gains
elaborate tailor made solutions
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Low Co2 generation base Largest private electricity company Diversified & decentralized asset base across 4 regions
Quitaracsa
Hydro 112MW
Yuncan
Hydro 136MW
Chilca Complex
Natural Gas 963MW
Ilo Complex
220 km of transmission lines + 1 substation
Natural Gas, 963, 38% Hydro, 248, 10% Dual fuel, 1110, 43% Coal, 135, 5% Diesel, 106, 4%
2,562MW
Intipampa
Solar 40MW [under construction]
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Total Capacity
MW
374 676 1,064 1,820 2,673 EBITDA
MUSD
80 84 163 270 330 Market Cap
MUSD
1,600 2,005 1,611
2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 … 374 MW
Hydro Natural Gas Dual Fuel Solar
Upsides
Yuncan +134MW Chilca 1 +854MW Ilo 31 +500MW Quitaracsa +112MW Nodo Ilo & Chilca Dos +723MW Intipampa +40MW [under construction]
2,572 MW AVERAGE GROWTH
More than 3x capacity in 10 years Investments for 1.6 BnUSD in 2010 - 2018
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Status
Signature of Concession Contract Pre-operational studies Archeological permits Environmental studies Land EPC signed with Solairedirect Notice to Proceed
Construction @ 73%
Financing structure inside Balance Sheet Green certificates (last approval phase)
COD expected in early 2018
Key facts
Ministry of Energy and Mines @48.5$/MWh until 2038 (approx. 20-21 years)
EPC contractor Solaire Direct. Site mobilization started in February, 2017
In 2016, ENGIE Energía Perú was awarded as part of the 4th Renewables Auction process the construction of a 40 MW solar plant, which will benefit 90,000 households and avoid 50,000t of CO2
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A. Phase 1: up to 1,110MW of installed capacity serving as emergency plants but able to generate with natural gas once available in the south of Peru
existing concession contract after 2018
to the South (~2022)
was converted to Combined Cycle
Project
combined cycle and 48 months for development and construction
B. Phase 2: up to an additional 550MW in steam turbines with the conversion to Combined Cycle
Delays in the GSP postpone these options and potential upsides
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Challenging market conditions
Regulated clients Free clients Contract Renewals Efficient capacity ~1,000MW * Or local equivalent
years
termination clauses
prices in line with generation costs
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Lower thermal generation partially offset by higher hydro generation in first semester due to a longer than expected rainy season
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Acting in accordance with an internal set of values based on honesty, integrity and respect to human rights…
with clients, suppliers, partners and Government among our main stakeholders
1. Annual training plan to all employees 2. Practical Guide to Ethics 3. Control systems 4. Anonymous ethical complaints channel
the board of directors
Shareholders assembly Board of directors CEO Audit Committee Transactions between affiliates Committee Executive Operations Regulatory Commercial Development Construction Risk & Finance Ethics
COO CFO Commercial Development Corporate Affairs Legal
Committees & Task forces Internal Auditor
HR
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Company Overview 2017 H1 Financial Results
Peruvian Electricity Market
Capital Structure
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(MUSD) 1H17 1H16 1H17 / 1H16 2016 2015 2016 / 2015 Income 370 378
748 714 5% Recurrent EBITDA* 186 182 2% 330 325 1% EBITDA 214 182 18% 309 321
Net Recurrent Result* 90 102
175 173 1% Net Result 110 102 7% 132 181
Net Debt 872 926
981 951 3% Net Debt / EBITDA 12m 2.6 2.8
3.2 3.0 7% Net Generation GWh 3,518 3,743
7,914 7,072 12% Clients Demand GWh 4,688 4,665 1% 8,976 8,783 2%
Main KPIs
project.
local capital markets of ~101MUSD.
* Does not include penalty fee and its effect on the deferred tax
+171.2 +182.0 +7.7
+19.0 +28.0 +213.7
EBITDA H1 2015 EBITDA H1 2016 ∆ CMg Clients Nodo Energetico Las Bambas Penalty EBITDA H1 2017
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+ 18%
+100.0 +102.3 +31.7
+1.0
+109.9
Net Result H1 2015 Net Result H1 2016 EBITDA growth D&A Net Financial Expenses FX & others Tax Net Result H1 2017
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+ 7%
Energetico and Chilca Dos projects
including the increase in the income tax rate from 28% to 29.5%
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Peruvian Electricity Market Capital Structure Company Overview & Strategy
Peruvian Electricity Market
Company Results
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544 57% 289 30% 118 13%
Debt Composition by Product (MUSD)
Financial Lease Bonds Corporate Loans
investments between 2011 and 2017 for the execution of 6 projects adding 1,657MW will reach 1.6 BnUSD.
June 2017
951
67 158 152 93 82 1
30 15 25 76 10 18 50 50
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210 188 202 158
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Financial leases Bonds Corporate loans Debt amortized in H1 2017 New Bonds 2017
Debt repayment profile (MUSD)
100 11% 851 89%
Debt Composition by Interest Rate (MUSD)
Floating Rate Fixed Rate 273 29% 678 71%
Debt Composition by Currency (MUSD)
PEN + XCSY USD
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functional currency is the US Dollar and only a limited portion of its G&A and OPEX are in local currency (PEN). Revenues are either in US Dollars or in PEN indexed to the USD.
debt 951 951
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Source: SMV, Lima Stock Exchange, estimated Financial Statements as of June 30rd 2017
Sound financial results and value creation due to its financial, commercial and development strategy, generating 3x increase in market value since IPO
Financial Market Data – June 2017 Number of shares issued 601,307,011 Share price (PEN) – 30/06/2017 7.83 VWAP (3m) – (PEN) 8.02 52 week – high – (PEN) 10.15 52 week – low – (PEN) 7.70 Market Cap (MUSD) 1,452 Enterprise Value (EV) (MUSD) 2,324 EV / EBITDA 6.8x Price to Book Value (P/B) 1.4x Price / Earnings ratio (P/E) 10.5x Daily avg. trading volume (mm sh) 0.18
EV: Market Cap + Net Debt P/B: Market Cap / Book Value of Equity
exchange rate was relatively stable at 3.25. The Market Cap decreased (-4.4%)
rebalance of an institutional investor and subsequent potential reclassification of Peru from Emerging Markets (“EM”) to Frontier market due to its low liquidity.
467 663 1,020 793 839 1,602 1,187 1,759 2,005 2,075 1,427 1,611 1,452 50 100 150 200 250 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 MUSD MUSD Net Result Dividends Market Cap
32 32
PEN / Share
8 9 9.5 10 7.5
Credicorp Larrain Kallpa Inteligo Consensus Target price 8.4 8.8 9.7 9.2 9.0 Recommendation Underperform Sell Maintain Buy
2017 Sep Consensus
Price as of September 25th 7.9
14% Upside
8.5
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Change in Dividend Policy since 2010: Minimum 30%
34 36 42 32 42 28 13 12 15 20 20 24 31 24 43 31 11 13 16 18 22 30 9 41 15 10
34 77 42 71 85 59 24 25 31 38 42 54 50
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Extraordinary 2nd Half 1rst Half Annual
Extraordinary dividend of 10MUSD to avoid a negative impact to our shareholders given the non-recurrent events in 2016. Total dividends from 2016 totalized 49.5MUSD
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This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements and information relating to ENGIE Energía Perú S.A. (“Engie Energía Perú” or the “Company”) that reflect the current views and/or expectations of the Company and its management with respect to its business plan. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, any statement that may predict, forecast, indicate or imply future results, performance or achievements, and may contain words like “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “envisage”, “will likely result”, or any other words or phrases of similar meaning. Such statements are subject to a number of significant risks, uncertainties and assumptions. We caution that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in this presentation. In any event, neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, directors, officers, agents or employees shall be liable before any third party (including investors) for any investment or business decision made or action taken in reliance on the information and statements contained in this presentation or for any consequential, special or similar damages. The Company does not intend to provide eventual holders of shares with any revised forward-looking statements of analysis of the differences between any forward-looking statements and actual results. There can be no assurance that the estimates or the underlying assumptions will be realized and that actual results of
This presentation and its contents are proprietary information and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in whole or in part without ENGIE Energía Perú prior written consent.
Ticker: ENGIEC1
+51 1 616 79 79 investor.relations@pe.engie.com Rocío Vásquez, Head of Corporate Finance & Investor Relations – rocio.vasquez@pe.engie.com Marcelo Soares, Chief Financial Officer – marcelo.soares@pe.engie.com
www.engie.pe