Endogenous Risk Aversion Marjorie Flavin UCSD and NBER October, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

endogenous risk aversion marjorie flavin
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Endogenous Risk Aversion Marjorie Flavin UCSD and NBER October, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Housing, Adjustment Costs, and Endogenous Risk Aversion Marjorie Flavin UCSD and NBER October, 2009 Prepared for the Bank of Spain conference on Household Finance and the Macroeconomy 1 Most macro models use the CRRA utility function:


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Housing, Adjustment Costs, and Endogenous Risk Aversion Marjorie Flavin UCSD and NBER Prepared for the Bank of Spain conference on Household Finance and the Macroeconomy October, 2009

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Most macro models use the “CRRA” utility function:

2

1 c ) c ( u

1

is the parameter governing the curvature

  • f the utility function
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3

dt ) C , H ( U e E U ~

t t t

The household’s expected lifetime utility is given by:

(1)

t

H

= stock of housing

t

C

nondurable consumption (numeraire) The household’s problem:

a H C ) H , C ( U

a

1 a

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t t t t

B X H W 

t

X

(1xn) vector of amounts held of the risky assets financial assets (nx1) vector of ones.

t

B

amount held of riskless asset

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t t

B H

In other papers, I have imposed a borrowing, or collateral constraint that says that the household cannot borrow more than the value of the house: In this paper, however, there is no constraint on the holding of the riskless asset; B can be either positive

  • r negative.
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Wealth evolves according to: At the instant the house is sold, the Household pays an adjustment cost equal to . The adjustment costs is “lumpy” in the sense that it is nonconvex in the size of the adjustment.

Ht Ft t t t H t

d H d X dt C X H dW

when the house is not sold.

H

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The Bellman equation is:

s s , C , X

) W , H ( V e ds C , H u e E sup ) W , H ( V

s s

where is the next stopping time (that is, the next time that the house is sold.

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Problem can be stated in terms of one state variable, instead of two, with a change of variables. The state variable becomes Asset holdings and nondurable consumption are also stated as a ratio to H

H W y H C c H X x

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a H C ) H , C ( U

a

a c ) c ( u ) c ( u H

a a

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The Bellman equation is:

s s , C , X

) W , H ( V e ds C , H U e E sup ) W , H ( V

s s

t s s , c , x

) y ( h e ds c u e E sup ) y ( h

s s

With the change of variables, the Bellman equation can be written as:

) W , H ( V H ) y ( h

a

where

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The first order conditions imply: the marginal utility of consumption is equal to the marginal value of wealth: the vector of risky asset holdings is:

) y ( ' h c u

1

) y ( ' ' h ) y ( ' h x

y ) y ( " h ) y ( ' h Relative risk aversion nondurable consumption portfolio allocation risk aversion

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The solution to the problem consists of

.

satisfies the differential equation and for

) y ( h ) y ( sup M

a y

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parameter values

05 . 01 . 01 . r 22 . 059 . 8 1 1 a 2

f

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  • 1200
  • 1000
  • 800
  • 600
  • 400
  • 200

0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7

h(y)

y h(y) Mya

Plot of value function: h(y)

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7

y Figure 2: plot of h'(y) h’(y)

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  • 1200
  • 1000
  • 800
  • 600
  • 400
  • 200

0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7

h(y)

y h(y) Mya

Plot of value function: h(y)

RRA 1.24 2.34 7.44