EARNINGS CALL Q4 2019 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS Matters discussed - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
EARNINGS CALL Q4 2019 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS Matters discussed - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
EARNINGS CALL Q4 2019 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements under U.S. federal securities laws, including the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements under U.S. federal securities laws, including the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and may include statements concerning plans,
- bjectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are
- ther than statements of historical facts. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that address activities,
events or developments that the Company expects, projects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future, including, without limitation, the delivery of vessels, the outlook for tanker shipping rates, general industry conditions future operating results of the Company’s vessels, capital expenditures, expansion and growth opportunities, bank borrowings, financing activities and other such matters, are forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that its expectations stated in this presentation are based on reasonable assumptions, actual results may differ from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Important factors that, in our view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements include the failure of counterparties to fully perform their obligations to us, the strength of the world economies and currencies, general market conditions, including changes in tanker vessel charter hire rates and vessel values, changes in demand for tankers, changes in our vessel
- perating expenses, including dry-docking, crewing and insurance costs, or actions taken by regulatory authorities,
ability of customers of our pools to perform their obligations under charter contracts on a timely basis, potential liability from future litigation, domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents and political events or acts by terrorists. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statement contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or
- therwise, except as required by law. In light of the risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward looking events
discussed in this presentation might not occur, and our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements.
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CONTENT
1. Q4 2019 HIGHLIGHTS 2. FINANCIAL REVIEW 3. CURRENT THEMES 4. OUTLOOK 5. Q&A
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HIGHLIGHTS Q4 2019
- Strong tanker dynamics - highest quarterly rate performance in five years
- Crude tanker market fundamentals constructive for 2020
- Adoption of quarterly dividends under new Belgian company code to start
Q1 2020
- Returns to shareholder guidance to target 80% including fixed annual
dividend USD 12 cents
- Final dividend proposal for 2019 of USD 0.35 per share
- Outlook –
Q1 2020 so far VLCC 60% fixed at around 89,200 per day Q1 2020 so far Suezmax 51% fixed at around 57,500 per day
Suezmax VLCC
4 P&L B/E Q4 19 Q4 18
10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000
USD/day
*Euronav owned ships in TI Pool (excluding technical offhire days) **Including profit share where applicable ***Including profit share where applicable (excluding technical offhire days)
P&L B/E Q4 19 Q4 18
5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000
USD/day In USD per day Fourth quarter 2019 Full year 2019 VLCC Average spot rate (in TI pool)* 61,700 35,900 Average time charter rate** 35,700 32,400 SUEZMAX Average spot rate*** 41,800 26,000 Average time charter rate 29,300 29,400
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS – INCOME
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(in thousands of USD) Fourth Quarter 2019 Fourth Quarter 2018 Full Year 2019 Full Year 2018 Revenue 355,154 236,107 932,377 600,024 Other operating income 5,515 1,237 10,094 4,775 Voyage expenses and commissions (34,881) (44,492) (144,682) (141,416) Vessel operating expenses (53,471) (53,812) (211,795) (185,792) Charter hire expenses (604) (7,844) (604) (31,114) General and administrative expenses (18,796) (15,977) (70,144) (66,232) Net gain (loss) on disposal of tangible assets 9,354 (237) 24,141 18,865 Net gain (loss) on disposal of investments in equity accounted investees
- (2,995)
- (2,995)
Depreciation (84,403) (78,483) (337,547) (270,693) Net finance expenses (21,060) (23,828) (99,384) (74,389) Bargain purchase
- (13,202)
- 23,059
Share of profit (loss) of equity accounted investees 4,200 3,783 16,020 16,076 Result before taxation 161,008 257 118,476 (109,832) Tax benefit (expense) (207) 22 392 (238) Profit (loss) for the period 160,801 279 118,868 (110,070) Information per share (in USD per share): Weighted average number of shares (basic) * 215,078,497 218,999,367 216,029,171 191,994,398 Result after taxation 0.75 0.00 0.55 (0.57) * The number of shares issued on 31 December 2019 is 220,024,713.
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS – BALANCE SHEET
Leverage 44% book value Fleet Development
- No outstanding
capex for Euronav
- 16 dry-docks
foreseen in 2020 (of which 6 require BWTS)
HIGHLIGHTS
1 2
6
2019 2018
(in $ million)
dec/19 dec/18 Cash 297.0 173.0 Restricted cash 0.0 0.1 Other current assets 503.4 348.0 Long term assets: Newbuildings 0.0 0.0 Vessels 3,077.0 3,520.1 Other long term assets 262.8 86.2 Total assets 4,140.1 4,127.4 Current liabilities 324.3 287.1 Long term debt 1,484.3 1,569.6 Other long term liabilities 13.1 10.1 Equity 2,318.5 2,260.5 Total liabilities and stockholders' equity 4,140.1 4,127.4
FUEL SPREADS
REDUCING MATERIALLY & EURONAV WITH BUILT IN PROTECTION
200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 Jul 19 Aug 19 Sep 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Dec 19 Jan 20
HSFO per tonne Singagore retail $
400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800
Jul 19 Aug 19 Sep 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Dec 19 Jan 20
LSFO per tonne Singapore retail $
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Jul 19 Aug 19 Sep 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Dec 19 Jan 20
$ per tonne spread
LSFO-HSFO spread Singapore LSFO-HSFO spread Rotterdam 125 145 165 185 205 225 245 Feb 20May 20Aug 20 Nov 20 Feb 21May 21Aug 21 Nov 21
Spread $ per tonne LSFO - HSFO
Singapore HSFO-LSFO spread
HSFO Singapore retail LSFO Singapore retail Development of LSFO-HSFO spread LSFO-HSFO futures
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CHINESE POLICY MOVE
COULD CHANGE FUEL OIL DYNAMIC
What was the position
- f China on LSFO
production?
What has changed?
China had a levy of $175 p/tonne consumption tax AND 13% VAT on fuel oil production China lifted these restrictions early in January However, fuel oil only for use by Chinese shipping China has developed large scale desulphurization capacity with 0.8m bpd existing today Potential for further 0.3m bpd in 2021
Source: Deutsche Bank 8
VLCC SUPPLY IN 2020
TO REMAIN CONSTRAINED
COSCO ships -26 LT storage -20 IMO storage -20 VLCC retrofits -16 Iranian VLCC -38
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SHARE LIQUIDITY RISING
EURONAV CLEAR LEADER IN CRUDE TANKER SECTOR
10 20 30 40 50 60 12 months $ value traded per day 3 months $ value traded per day 1 month $ value traded per day $m value traded per day in stock across all exchanges 10
OUTLOOK
STRONG START TO Q1 - CYCLE THESIS INTACT
Demand for Oil Supply
- f Oil
Vessel Supply Ton miles & IMO 2020 Euronav Balance sheet
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Robust Positive IMO to help Flexibility US v Saudi
No Change No change No change No change
Change from Q3
No Change
LSFO AVAILABILITY – IMPROVING
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Oil Majors
- All majors announced plans for availability
across world
- For example Exxon patented their compliant
fuel
Refiners
- Most major refiners producing 0.5% fuel
already
- Expectation in September 2019 was that
refiners would accelerate plans into IMO adoption (1 January 2020) - this largely took place
Port Authorities & Other
- Processes will professionalise the bunker
industry = good for all
- Specific projects bringing compliant fuel to
ports
LSFO (0.5% S) Bunker Ports
China wild card – Hydrogenation capacity Could see 0.9m bpd HSFO production in 2020
Source: Cockett Marine
APPENDIX – FROM SEPTEMBER 5 2020 EURONAV IMO WEBINAR IN IMO 2020
Q&A
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