E x ample : opport u nit y cost FOU N DATION S OF IN FE R E N C E - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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E x ample : opport u nit y cost FOU N DATION S OF IN FE R E N C E - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

E x ample : opport u nit y cost FOU N DATION S OF IN FE R E N C E Jo Hardin Instr u ctor The st u d y Control gro u p (75 st u dents ) presented w ith t w o options : ( A ) B uy this entertaining v ideo ( B ) Not b uy this entertaining v ideo


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Example:

  • pportunity cost

FOU N DATION S OF IN FE R E N C E

Jo Hardin

Instructor

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

The study

Control group (75 students) presented with two options: (A) Buy this entertaining video (B) Not buy this entertaining video Treatment group (75 students) presented with slightly modied option (B): (A) Buy this entertaining video (B) Not buy this entertaining video. Keep the $14.99 for other purchases

Frederick S, Novemsky N, Wang J, Dhar R, Nowlis S. 2009. Opportunity Cost Neglect. Journal of Consumer Research

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

State the hypotheses

H : Reminding students will have no impact on their spending decisions H : Reminding students will reduce the chance they continue with a purchase

Frederick S, Novemsky N, Wang J, Dhar R, Nowlis S. 2009. Opportunity Cost Neglect. Journal of Consumer Research

A

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

The data

Buy DVD Not buy DVD Total Control group 56 19 75 Treatment group 41 34 75 Total 97 53 150 56/75 = 0.7467 41/75 = 0.5467

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Let's practice!

FOU N DATION S OF IN FE R E N C E

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Errors and their consequences

FOU N DATION S OF IN FE R E N C E

Jo Hardin

Instructor

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Opportunity cost conclusion

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in hypothesis testing

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Errors in US judicial system

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Let's practice!

FOU N DATION S OF IN FE R E N C E

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Summary of

  • pportunity costs

FOU N DATION S OF IN FE R E N C E

Jo Hardin

Instructor

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Significance

# Calculate the p-value

  • pp_perm %>%

summarize(pvalue = mean(stat <= diff_orig)) # A tibble: 1 × 1 pvalue <dbl> 1 0.007

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Causation

Study was randomized (i.e. individuals were randomly assigned the choices) Nothing systematically dierent about participants in treatment and control groups Therefore, any dierence in buying rates is due to the options given (i.e. being reminded to save)

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FOUNDATIONS OF INFERENCE

Random sample

150 individuals in the sample were not randomly sampled from all people In order to generalize, we need more information about the students and who they represent

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Let's practice!

FOU N DATION S OF IN FE R E N C E