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Drought Response Jan 2018 Deane Carson What has Happened? 8 th - - PDF document
Drought Response Jan 2018 Deane Carson What has Happened? 8 th - - PDF document
Drought Response Jan 2018 Deane Carson What has Happened? 8 th November 24 th November 15 th December What are clients doing? - Database Average farm 465ha 10.9SU/ha 87% sheep Lambing Ewes 148% Hoggets 80% (50% mate hoggets) 185,000 lambs
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15th December What are clients doing? - Database
Average farm 465ha 10.9SU/ha 87% sheep Lambing Ewes 148% Hoggets 80% (50% mate hoggets) 185,000 lambs on Database
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What are clients doing? - Database
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 1/11 8/11 15/11 22/11 29/11 6/12 13/12 20/12 27/12 3/01 10/01 17/01 24/01 %
Percentage of Sales Achieved
Client Average 2017/18 Client Average 2016/17
What are clients doing? - Database
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 kgCW/head
kgCW/head
Client average 2017/18 Client average 2016/17
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What are clients doing? - Database
4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 1/11/2017 1/12/2017 1/01/2018 1/02/2018 1/03/2018 1/04/2018 1/05/2018 1/06/2018 $/kgCW Date
$/kg
Client Average 2016 Client Average 2017/18 Client Average 2016/17
What are clients doing? - Database
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 01/01 04/01 07/01 10/01 13/01 16/01 19/01 22/01 25/01 28/01 31/01 03/02 06/02 09/02 12/02 15/02 18/02 21/02 24/02 27/02 01/03 04/03 07/03 10/03 13/03 16/03 19/03 22/03 25/03 28/03 31/03 $/ha
$/ha
Client Average 2016/17 Client Average 2017/18
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Variable Response
Light soils 30% Stores 30% slaughtered
1300MA Grazing 700 2ths Grazing 300gms Grain feeding 1100kgDM/ha cover Dairy grazing veto Poor crops No Stock water issues
Heavy soils 9% lambs slaughtered
No grazing 1500kgDM/ha cover Stock water issues Cattle sold light
What to do going forward
Stock water is on farm priority # 1
Some farmers are upgrading systems with better $
- 8week wait on drilling wells.
Many are juggling stock shifts Some are carting water on trailers Some are cleaning out ponds for capacity Some troubles/risk with stock misadventure - CHECKS NEEDED
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Feed is the next priority
What is the smallest opportunity cost?
Opportunity Opportunity Cost/Cost Selling Store Lambs 30kgLW 0.20cents/kgDM Selling Store Cattle 480kgLW 0.20cents/kgDM Grazing rising 2ths out $1.70/wk 0.20cents/kgDM Grazing MA 2ths out $1.60/wk 0.22cents/kgDM Baleage @$100 landed 0.43cents/kgDM Grain $390/tonne 0.46cents/kgDM Sheep nuts $565/tonne 0.66cents/kgDM Hay $85/bale landed 0.42cents/kgDM Urea 0.13cents/kgDM Giberallic Acid 7-10cents/kgDM*
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On spot feed budget
2000ewes * 1.2kgDM/head = 2400 560-2ths *1.4kgDM/head = 780 20 rams = 20 2500 lambs *1.7kgDM/head = 4250 Total = 7450/240ha =31kgDM/ha Growth =2 15kgDM/ha Losing 30-15kg/day
Other things to Consider protect the future
let Ewes get to unrecoverable stage
Ewes should be 3.0BCS mating some will be 2.5BCS = 5kg growth / 100gms/day = 50days
(you have a month before action is needed)
Some BCS 2.0 they need separated now 2ths often suffer in feed shortage- check them 1st
Beware of post drought parasite boom-FEC 7days after an inch of rain dig for GG+Porina Weekly checks of crops
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Other Issues
Flystrike green fly Pleurisy Pneumonia Water yards avoid dust Rye grass staggers (AR37)
and hassle Avoid successive grazing AR37 paddocks Seed head and hard grazing
Young grass can suffer from pests like ASW Baleage requirement When? Review Stocking rate
Silver Linings
I found that water leak My kids loved the Summer holiday When it does rain pasture quality will be great Clover has had a good chance and flowered well Returns are helping to cope Dag free lambs
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People are Important
Look after yourself and your peers Use others to help Small actions regularly are better than big actions You are not alone in this ask for help Facebook groups great for sharing MAKE A PLAN and act NOW
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