Divided America: Politics and Polarization Direction of Country - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Divided America: Politics and Polarization Direction of Country - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Divided America: Politics and Polarization Direction of Country Right Direction Wrong Track 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Washington Post/ABC News polls, 2004-2015 Trust in Our Institutions GREAT DEAL/QUITE A LOT 100 90 74
Direction of Country
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Right Direction Wrong Track
Washington Post/ABC News polls, 2004-2015
Trust in Our Institutions
74 62 53 45 34 30 29 26 26 22 21 18 7
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
GREAT DEAL/QUITE A LOT
Gallup, June 5-8, 2014
Most Honest, Ethical Professions
80 65 48 46 23 21 21 8 7 6
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
VERY HIGH/HIGH ETHICS
Gallup, December 8-11, 2014
Congress’s Job Approval
54 42 46 41 20 23 13 31 17 20 22 13 12 14 12 13 16
10 20 30 40 50 60
Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15
Approve
Approve
President Obama’s Job Approval
Vodka Bud Light Rum Tequila Bourbon whiskey Coors Light Corona Miller Lite Budweiser Blue Moon Samuel Adams Heineken Merlot Gin Cabernet Sauvignon Scotch Chardonnay Canadian whiskey Pinot Grigio Guinness Brandy Stella Artois Corona Light Miller High Life Dos Equis Cognac Red Zinfandel Any malt liquor Natural Light Busch Light Tecate Coors Original Shiraz/Syrah Busch Amstel Light Labatt Sauvignon Blanc Milwaukee's Best Brut
60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140
- 80
- 70
- 60
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 SOURCE: NMRPP analysis of Scarborough Research data USA+ 2012 Release 2; Aug ‘11-Sept ’12; N=206,895 U.S. adults 18+.
Drinks and Politics
Democratic Republican More likely to vote Less likely to vote
Cars and Politics
Ford Chevrolet Toyota Honda Dodge Nissan GMC Jeep Chrysler Buick Pontiac Hyundai Mazda Kia Volkswagen Subaru Cadillac Lexus Acura BMW Any Hybrid vehicle Mercedes Lincoln Mitsubishi Volvo Plymouth Audi Suzuki Geo Jaguar Mini Saab Porsche
70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140
- 50
- 40
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Automobile Ownership
SOURCE: NMRPP analysis of Scarborough Research data USA+ 2012 Release 2; Aug ‘11-Sept ’12; N=206,895 U.S. adults 18+.
Democratic Republican
Sports and Politics
NFL Olympics College football MLB College basketball NBA NASCAR PGA Tour Gymnastics High school sports Figure skating Pro boxing NHL UFC (Ultimate Fighting) WWE (pro wrestling) Horse racing College baseball European soccer Men's tennis (ATP) NHRA Drag Racing Women's tennis (WTA) Monster Trucks Major League Soccer (MLS) IndyCar Series Pro rodeo Supercross/Motocro ss F1 Racing AMA Pro Racing (motorcycle/ATV) WNBA LPGA Tour MotoGP (Grand Prix motorcycle)
60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140
- 100
- 80
- 60
- 40
- 20
20 40 60
Sports Audiences
SOURCE: NMRPP analysis of Scarborough Research data USA+ 2012 Release 2; Aug ‘11-Sept ’12; N=206,895 U.S. adults 18+.
A Television Event for Red America
Deeper red indicates higher viewership. Deeper blue indicates lower viewership.
Duck Dynasty Season 4 Premier
2014 Best Picture Nominees
State of the States
24 under total Republican control 7 under total Democratic control 19 under divided control
Battle for the Senate
54 Republicans, 44 Democrats, 2 independents
Battle for the Senate
Battle for the Senate
The Vulnerable Republicans
Battle for the Senate
The Vulnerable Democrats
Battle for the House
246 Republicans, 188 Democrats, 1 vacancy
Battle for the House
Gerrymandering
North Carolina’s 12th District
Illinois’ 17th District
Pennsylvania’s 7th District
Arizona’s (Old) 2nd District
Arizona’s New Districts
Battle for the House
Who’s Running in 2016?
Who’s Running in 2016?
Demographics…
39 93 71 55 60 59 7 27 44 37
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Whites (72%) African Americans (13%) Latino (10%) Women (53%) 18-29 (19%) Obama Romney
…Are Destiny
86 85 87 83 81 77 74 72 14 15 13 17 19 23 26 28
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 White Non-White
The Blue Wall
Total: 242 electoral votes
President Obama’s Job Approval
Go West … And South
Direction of Country
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Right Direction Wrong Track
Washington Post/ABC News polls, 2004-2015