Divided America: Politics and Polarization Direction of Country - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Divided America: Politics and Polarization Direction of Country - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Divided America: Politics and Polarization Direction of Country Right Direction Wrong Track 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Washington Post/ABC News polls, 2004-2015 Trust in Our Institutions GREAT DEAL/QUITE A LOT 100 90 74


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SLIDE 1

Divided America:

Politics and Polarization

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SLIDE 2

Direction of Country

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Right Direction Wrong Track

Washington Post/ABC News polls, 2004-2015

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SLIDE 3

Trust in Our Institutions

74 62 53 45 34 30 29 26 26 22 21 18 7

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

GREAT DEAL/QUITE A LOT

Gallup, June 5-8, 2014

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SLIDE 4

Most Honest, Ethical Professions

80 65 48 46 23 21 21 8 7 6

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

VERY HIGH/HIGH ETHICS

Gallup, December 8-11, 2014

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SLIDE 5

Congress’s Job Approval

54 42 46 41 20 23 13 31 17 20 22 13 12 14 12 13 16

10 20 30 40 50 60

Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15

Approve

Approve

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SLIDE 6

President Obama’s Job Approval

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SLIDE 7

Vodka Bud Light Rum Tequila Bourbon whiskey Coors Light Corona Miller Lite Budweiser Blue Moon Samuel Adams Heineken Merlot Gin Cabernet Sauvignon Scotch Chardonnay Canadian whiskey Pinot Grigio Guinness Brandy Stella Artois Corona Light Miller High Life Dos Equis Cognac Red Zinfandel Any malt liquor Natural Light Busch Light Tecate Coors Original Shiraz/Syrah Busch Amstel Light Labatt Sauvignon Blanc Milwaukee's Best Brut

60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

  • 80
  • 70
  • 60
  • 50
  • 40
  • 30
  • 20
  • 10

10 20 30 40 50 SOURCE: NMRPP analysis of Scarborough Research data USA+ 2012 Release 2; Aug ‘11-Sept ’12; N=206,895 U.S. adults 18+.

Drinks and Politics

 Democratic Republican  More likely to vote Less likely to vote

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SLIDE 8

Cars and Politics

Ford Chevrolet Toyota Honda Dodge Nissan GMC Jeep Chrysler Buick Pontiac Hyundai Mazda Kia Volkswagen Subaru Cadillac Lexus Acura BMW Any Hybrid vehicle Mercedes Lincoln Mitsubishi Volvo Plymouth Audi Suzuki Geo Jaguar Mini Saab Porsche

70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

  • 50
  • 40
  • 30
  • 20
  • 10

10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Automobile Ownership

SOURCE: NMRPP analysis of Scarborough Research data USA+ 2012 Release 2; Aug ‘11-Sept ’12; N=206,895 U.S. adults 18+.

 Democratic Republican 

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SLIDE 9

Sports and Politics

NFL Olympics College football MLB College basketball NBA NASCAR PGA Tour Gymnastics High school sports Figure skating Pro boxing NHL UFC (Ultimate Fighting) WWE (pro wrestling) Horse racing College baseball European soccer Men's tennis (ATP) NHRA Drag Racing Women's tennis (WTA) Monster Trucks Major League Soccer (MLS) IndyCar Series Pro rodeo Supercross/Motocro ss F1 Racing AMA Pro Racing (motorcycle/ATV) WNBA LPGA Tour MotoGP (Grand Prix motorcycle)

60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140

  • 100
  • 80
  • 60
  • 40
  • 20

20 40 60

Sports Audiences

SOURCE: NMRPP analysis of Scarborough Research data USA+ 2012 Release 2; Aug ‘11-Sept ’12; N=206,895 U.S. adults 18+.

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SLIDE 10

A Television Event for Red America

Deeper red indicates higher viewership. Deeper blue indicates lower viewership.

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SLIDE 11

Duck Dynasty Season 4 Premier

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SLIDE 12

2014 Best Picture Nominees

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SLIDE 13

State of the States

24 under total Republican control 7 under total Democratic control 19 under divided control

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SLIDE 14

Battle for the Senate

54 Republicans, 44 Democrats, 2 independents

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SLIDE 15

Battle for the Senate

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SLIDE 16

Battle for the Senate

The Vulnerable Republicans

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SLIDE 17

Battle for the Senate

The Vulnerable Democrats

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SLIDE 18

Battle for the House

246 Republicans, 188 Democrats, 1 vacancy

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SLIDE 19

Battle for the House

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SLIDE 20

Gerrymandering

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SLIDE 21

North Carolina’s 12th District

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SLIDE 22

Illinois’ 17th District

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SLIDE 23

Pennsylvania’s 7th District

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SLIDE 24

Arizona’s (Old) 2nd District

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SLIDE 25

Arizona’s New Districts

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SLIDE 26

Battle for the House

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SLIDE 27

Who’s Running in 2016?

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SLIDE 28

Who’s Running in 2016?

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SLIDE 29

Demographics…

39 93 71 55 60 59 7 27 44 37

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Whites (72%) African Americans (13%) Latino (10%) Women (53%) 18-29 (19%) Obama Romney

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SLIDE 30

…Are Destiny

86 85 87 83 81 77 74 72 14 15 13 17 19 23 26 28

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 White Non-White

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SLIDE 31

The Blue Wall

Total: 242 electoral votes

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SLIDE 32

President Obama’s Job Approval

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SLIDE 33

Go West … And South

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SLIDE 34

Direction of Country

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Right Direction Wrong Track

Washington Post/ABC News polls, 2004-2015