DISCLAIMER Certain information contained in this document consists of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
DISCLAIMER Certain information contained in this document consists of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
DISCLAIMER Certain information contained in this document consists of forward Certain information contained in this document consists of forward looking statements reflecting the current view of the Company with looking statements reflecting
DISCLAIMER
Certain information contained in this document consists of forward‐ Certain information contained in this document consists of forward respect to future events and are subject to certain risks, uncert results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materia that may be expressed or implied by such forward‐looking statement climate of Egypt and the Middle East and changes in business strate climate of Egypt and the Middle East and changes in business strate uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove in such forward‐looking statements. Recipients of this document a
- statements. The Company undertakes no obligation to republish
circumstances circumstances.
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looking statements reflecting the current view of the Company with looking statements reflecting the current view of the Company with tainties and assumptions. Many factors could cause the actual ally different from any future results, performance, or achievements ts, including worldwide economic trends, the economic and political egy and various other factors Should one or more of these risks or egy and various other factors. Should one or more of these risks or ncorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in re cautioned not to place any reliance on these forward‐looking revised forward‐looking statements to reflect changed events or
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
FULL‐SERVICE INTEGRATION
Elsewedy Electric has built a fully integrated energy solutions provider: From raw materials such as metals and plastics to inputs across the spectrum of wires, cables and electrical products, to contracting and turn key infrastructure projects and electricity contracting and turn key infrastructure projects and electricity generation through competitively advantaged wind technology. Elect Prod Wind Energy Generation Wires and Cables Engineering and Contracting Elsewedy Electric provides integ sectors to four Energy / Infrastructure Industrial
3 of 24
trical ducts Telecom Transformers Energy Measurement and Management grated solutions through seven main markets. Commercial Residential
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
GEOGRAPHIC PRESENCE
T d El d El i i i l d Today, Elsewedy Electric is a regional and tactically global integrated cables and electrical products manufacturer and a turn key services provider with more than 10,000 employees working at 30 production facilities in 15 working at 30 production facilities in 15 countries
EGYPT
- Cables Capacity: 120,000 tons
- Copper Rod Capacity: 120,000 tons
- PVC capacity: 81,000 tons
NIGERIA
- Transformers Capac
SYRIA
- Transformers Capac
ALGERIA
- Cables Capacity: 21,000 tons
YEMEN
- Cables Capacity: 10,000 tons
Transforme Wires and Cables
SAUDI ARABIA
- Cables Capacity: 36,000 tons
SYRIA
- Cables Capacity: 28,000 tons
QATAR
- Cables Capacity: 18,000 tons
SUDAN
- Transformers Capac
ZAMBIA
- Transformers Capac
EGYPT
- Transformers Capac
LIBYA (In Construction)
- Cables Capacity: 15,000 tons
ETHIOPIA
- Cables Capacity: 10,000 tons
SUDAN
- Cables Capacity: 12,000 tons
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GHANA
- Road lighting Poles
EGYPT
- Electrometers Capacity: 2 mn meters
Electrical Products Wind Energy Generation
city: 750 MVA city: 2,800 MVA SPAIN
- 100 turbines
EGYPT
- Wind towers
ers
MALAYSIA
- Electrometers Capacity: 250,000
SLOVENIA
- Electrometers Capacity: 2.5 mn meters
city: 450 MVA city: 450 MVA city: 8500 MVA
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
GEOGRAPHIC PRESENCE
Elsewedy Electric’s comprehensive worldwide distribution network reaches around the globe
Elsewedy T&D Egypt Algeria Ethiopia Regional Office United Kingdom Belgium Germany Equatorial Guinea Malawi Jordan Egy Alge Ethi PS Ghana Equatorial Guinea Sudan Mozambique Zambia Rwanda Switzerland Sweden Austria Slovenia Italy Libya Iraq Kuwait Qatar Bahrain UAE Oman Nige 5 of 24 Rwanda Libya Australia Oman Singapore Main Export Market Colombia Uruguay Brazil Uganda Rwanda South Africa Cyprus KSA Kuwait pt eria iopia SP United Kingdom Morocco Cameroon Equatorial Guinea Congo DRC Angola Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Malawi Kenya Ethiopia UAE Kazakhstan India Russia Malaysia eria Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010 Angola Ethiopia
Corporate Structure : Business Line Review p
BUSINESS LINE REVIEW
Elsewedy Electric’s market oriented delivers full energy solutions through seven business lines
Wind Energy Wires Engineering
Power cables Porcela Wind Turbines Transmission and
Electrical gy Generation and Cables g g and Contracting
Special cables Winding wires Ra materials Cables Explos equipm Wind towers Rotor blades (Planned expansion) distribution Engineering and generation Raw materials Fiber g Wind farm development Operation and maintenance Balance of plant 7 of 24
Telecom Energy Measurement
ain Insulators Power transformers Meters Fiber optics
Products Transformers gy and Management
s accessories ion proof ment Oil immersed distribution transformers Cast resin Automation businesses Meter testing eq ipment p cables Copper telecom cables Fiber optics glass poles Cast resin transformers Modular Solutions Service equipment Fiber optics accessories Copper telecom accessories FTTX projects Backbone projects Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
BUSINESS LINE REVIEW: WIRES AND CABLES
Elsewedy Electric has significantly extended its core wires and cables capacity in recent years, more than doubling capacity since 2007 to approximately 260,000 tons in 2010
Egypt
Elsewedy is the sizable market leader Low cost manufacturing and raw material base
Algeria
15% import tari Market deficit : Low cost manufacturing and raw material base Export hub
Saudi Arabia
Market deficit : from 2005 to 20 Tax exemption Under develope Largest cable market in the Middle East – expected $140.3 billion needed on electricity projects over the next decade Preferential treatment to local players
Qatar
First cable prod Solid economic d d l
Syria
Leading market share Sizable domestic market with deficit productions :
Yemen
First and only p Under develope production deficit expected to increase from 1,000 Megawatt (MW) in 2010 to 1,800 MW by 2012 Proximity to Iraq (a significant deficit market, approximately 40% undersupplied, and Tax exemption Under develop
Ethiopia
export destination) Tax exemption Low cost production
p
First and only p Tax exemption Under develop
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ffs consumption increase of app 40%
Sudan
First & only producer Net Import nation Tax exemption consumption increase of app. 40% 010 ed infrastructure
E i ti C it (‘000 t )
p Government partnership Under developed infrastructure ucer growth d f
120 36 28 18 21 12 10 10 Existing Capacity (‘000 tons)
producer ed infrastructure ped Infrastructure
125 147 203 250 260 88 100 135 150 155
Cables Production Capacity and Sales Volume ( in ‘000 tons)
producer ped infrastructure
2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011e Cables Production Capacity (tons) Sales (tons) Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
BUSINESS LINE REVIEW: ENGINEERING AND CONSTRUCTION
Elsewedy Electric’s Engineering and Construction groups deliver electricity generating assets and transmission and distribution (T&D) networks on an EPC basis. The company also expects to own and operate assets across the power generation and distribution sector.
Engineering a
Elsewedy Electric T&D
Power System Projects Elsewedy T&D
P S t P j t (PSP) Elsewedy Electric T&D supplies, installs and commissions
- verhead transmission lines and
substations on a turnkey basis for national utilities companies Power System Projects (PSP) provides EPC solutions to power generating and high voltage substation projects p across the Middle East and Africa
9 of 24
N
nd Construction
Through Egytech – a wholly
Elsewedy Cables
Elsewedy Power
Elsewedy Power
Through Egytech a wholly
- wned production facility
leveraging the most advanced processes and technologies – Elsewedy Cables supplies state‐ Elsewedy Power develops, designs, builds and
- perates power assets. The
unit acts as Elsewedy Electric’s Engineering and y pp
- f‐the‐art power cables to
generation and T&D projects worldwide g g Construction operations integrator – directing contracts to Elsewedy Electric T&D and PSP and internal
- suppliers. As a distinct
entity, Elsewedy Power also works with experienced developers, EPC contractors d li b d d
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
and suppliers based around the world.
BUSINESS LINE REVIEW: TRANSFORMERS
Elsewedy Transformers producers a full range of low, medium and high voltage transformers ‐‐ including power (step up) and distribution (step down) transformers . —Power plants
Power Transformers
Power plants —T&D substations —Industrial facilities —Subway, metro and other transportation systems
Egypt
First and only producer of power (step
Nigeria
First and only total tr up) transformers in the region Low cost manufacturing base Export hub
S i
y Under developed Inf the lowest per capita electricity in the wor Tax exemption
Syria
First and only Transformers producer Proximity to Iraq (untapped export market) T ti Partnership with the
Sudan
First and only transfo Tax exemption Low cost production y Tax exemption Partnership with the Under developed Inf
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—High rise buildings
Distribution Transformers
—Hospitals —Wind farms —Airports —Commercial complexes ransformer producer
Zambia
First and only Transformers producer hi hl d k p frastructure – one of a supplies of rld Access to highly untapped markets Partnership with the government Under developed infrastructure e Government
- rmers producer
8500
Existing Capacity (MVA)
p government rastructure
2800 750 450 450
Egypt Syria Nigeria Sudan Zambia
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
Egypt Syria Nigeria Sudan Zambia
BUSINESS LINE REVIEW: METERS
In 2007 Elsewedy Electric acquired Slovenia’s Iskraemeco, one of the w most technologically advanced producers of metering equipment and s
E M Energy Me and Man
Iskraemeco
Iskraemeco is one of the world’s most technologically advanced producers
- f metering equipment. Iskraemeco
currently supplies over 1 million smart meters mostly to countries in Europe and the Gulf
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world’s services.
asurement agement
Iskra Amesi
Iskra Amesi, an engineering service provider and holding of Iskraemeco provides services and equipment for testing metering equipment and industrial automation
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
BUSINESS LINE REVIEW: WIND
Elsewedy for Wind Energy Generation (SWEG) integrates the world class t production expertise of Germany’s SIAG Group, Spain’s M. Torres Olvega In Elsewedy Electric. The business line is a significant step for wind power in East.
SWEG – Elsewedy for W
- M. Torres Olvega
d l ( ) Wind Towers – SET W Industrial (MTOI) Gearless Wind Turbines SIAG Elsewedy Towers (SET) SWEG MTOI currently produces is a joint venture between SIAG ‐ Schaaf Industrie Aktiengesellschaft, a leading German steel manufacturer, and Elsewedy Elsew and c devel TWT turbines (1.65 MW) in Spain. A newly developed turbine is time‐phased to enter the market by the end of Electric, to build wind towers for the MEA region and the South European market.
- 2011. Production capacity
is expected to remain at 100 turbines from 2011 to 2013. SWEG’s Solutions : Wind Turbines Supply
- TWT’s direct drive gearless technology is a unique contribution to the wind
energy industry in terms of reliability, performance, maintenance costs. Operation and Maintenance
- SWEG operates and services all critical wind energy components: Wind
turbines, wind towers and rotor blades.
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technology and ndustrial (MTOI) and Africa & the Middle
Wind Energy Generation
ind Farm Development l d Operations and l d Balance of plant – Elsewedy bl l d – Elsewedy Power Maintenance – Elsewedy Power Cables, Elsewedy Transformers, Elsewedy Electrical Products (ECMEI), Iskraemeco G coordinates with With the acquired SWEG, along with Elsewedy wedy Power as developer
- ‐developer of wind farm
- pments.
know‐how of industry leading MTOI, SWEG continues to focus on expanding its
- perations and
, g y Engineering and Contracting companies, acts as system integrator, executing balance of plant projects with support from across maintenance offerings. pp Elsewedy operations Turnkey Solutions & EPC
- SWEG is integrating and utilizing all capacities within Elsewedy Electric to
provide specialized and complete services to the wind energy sector (like additional cables, switchgears, transformers and other products and services). Wind farm Co‐development
- SWEG explores Development & IPP business opportunities to support clients
and ensure successful projects.
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
BUSINESS LINE REVIEW: ELECTRICAL PRODUCTS
In June 2008 Elsewedy Electric acquired the Egyptian Company for Man Electric Insulator (ECMEI), the Middle East’s leading ceramics insulators manufacturer.
Electrical
ECMEI Fiber Gla
In Egypt and Gha United Industries Electric Ghana, re company produce ECMEI was established in 2004 and today produces 7000 tons of different electric ceramic insulators, with a particular p y p poles for various purposes, includi and over head tra p expertise in high tension with various applications
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nufacturing s
Products
ass Poles Explosion Proof Products
na –through and Elsewedy espectively – the es fiber glass In 2008 the company established Elsewedy SEDCO, a group specializing in explosion proof products for the petroleum g electricity ng street lighting ansmission lines p p
- sector. Elsewedy SEDCO supplies
bulk electricity goods to the local Egyptian and international petroleum sector.
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
Financial Performance : Recent Reporting
MANAGEMENT REVIEW
El Se ed Electric Recorded Do ble Digit Gro th in Re en es Gros El Sewedy Electric Recorded Double Digit Growth in Revenues, Gros Profit and EBITDA for FY 2010, with Net Income reaching LE 795.5 million. Net revenues reached EGP 12,902 billion for yearend 2010, up 39% compared EGP3,690 billion, 14% higher compared to the previous quarter and 49% higher Gross profit totaled EGP1,245 billion in yearend 2010, up 29% from the same p h h h higher than 3Q2010. Net profit climbed to EGP795 million in yearend 2010, 26% higher than the sam million, down 49% compared to 3Q2010.
Revenue (LE millions)
12 902
Gross Profit (LE million)
12,902 2 323 3,168 5,746
9,348
11,445 9,290
804.5 1,233.6
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
2,323
2004 2005 2006 2007
437.1 476.7 804.5
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Wire & Cables Electrical Products Turnkey Projects Wire & Cable Electrical Prod
s to the same period of 2009. Revenues for 4Q2010 reached than the same period of 2009. period of 2009. 4Q2010 gross profit reached EGP494 million, 1% me period of 2009. Net profit for 4Q2010 reached EGP97
828 796
Net Profit (LE millions)
1,526.7 1,543.2 1,988 330 508 724 828 634 796
2008 2009 2010 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
ducts Turnkey Projects
MANAGEMENT REVIEW
Wires and Cables revenues reached EGP 2,431 million in the 4Q2010 down 3% from EGP
Wires & Cables Segment Turnkey Projects
Revenues from turnkey a business reached EGP 72 million in the 4Q2010, down 3% from EGP 2,498 million in the 3Q10.
Sales volume expanded 11% in yearend 2010 compared to the same period of 2009, to 150,964 tons from 135,415 tons in yearend 2009. Volumes reached 33,660
business reached EGP 72 77% Q‐o‐Q from EGP 410 quarter.
Margins remained robust, pus fourth quarter 37% higher to
(EGP millions) 3Q‐10
tons in 4Q10, slipping 15% Q‐o‐Q from 39,635 tons in 3Q10. 109 million in the third quarte
Revenues Wires & Cables 2,499 Turnkey Projects 410 Meters 191 Transformers 71 Other Electrical Products (Including Wind) 55 Gross Profit Wires & Cables 308 Turnkey Projects 109 Meters 45 Transformers 9 Other Electrical Products (Including Wind) 18 Gross Profit Margin Wires & Cables 12.3% Turnkey Projects 26% Meters 23.6% Transformers 12.0%
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Revenues from the transformers segment increased substantially to reach LE 412 million during FY 2010
Transformers Segment
and contracting 27 million for 4Q10 up substantially to reach LE 412 million during FY 2010 versus LE 260 million in FY 2009, an increase of 59%.
Gross profit in FY 2010 increased 81% to reach LE 77 million versus LE 42 million in the FY 2009. The improved performance in this segment is mainly a result of
27 million for 4Q10, up 0 million in the third
shing gross profit for the EGP 149 million , from EGP
4Q‐10 % Change 2009 2010 % Change
receiving the proper certification from KEMA. This approval enabled us to significantly increase sales in addition to improving the gross profit margin in FY 2010 to 18.6%. er.
2,432 ‐3% 7,438 9,803 32% 727 77% 860 1,690 97% 199 4% 599 613 2% 155 118% 260 412 59% 178 227% 135 384 185% 249 ‐19% 988 1,245 26% 149 37% 327 413 26% 47 3% 119 134 13% 28 223% 42 77 81% 22 23% 67 119 78% 10.2% ‐‐ 13.3% 12.7% ‐‐ ‐‐ 34% 24% ‐‐ 23.4% ‐‐ 19.9% 21.9% ‐‐ 17.8% ‐‐ 16.3% 18.6% ‐‐‐
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
MANAGEMENT REVIEW
During 2010, we realized revenue, mainly during t
Wind Energy Segme
Meters segment revenues surged 4% in 4Q10 to EGP 199 million, up from EGP 191 million in
Meters Segment
, y g the first installment of th We shipped 8 turbines to
- f the contract (29 turbi
looks likely to be postpo to EGP 199 million, up from EGP 191 million in 3Q10.
Profit margins in the meters segment dropped 0.2 percentage points to 23.4% in 4Q10, pushing gross profit 3% higher to EGP 47 million in the quarter , up from EGP 45 million in the third quarter of the year
Libya stabilizes.
Egypt has committed to insta renewable energy by 2020, o which we have been shortlist
- tender. However, with the ce
from EGP 45 million in the third quarter of the year. Egypt we are uncertain of the remain cautiously optimistic i additional income in this sect
17 of 24
d LE 120.5 million of the last quarter. This was Net debt increased by 19% on December 31st, 2010 to reach 4,268 million versus 3,586 in
ent Debt
q he Libya EPC contract.
- Libya and the balance
nes ‐ 68 million euro)
- ned until the situation in
, , December 31st, 2009 due to the increase in working capital for the following reasons:
- 1. Increase in metal price
- 2. Inventories build up for new operations
3 Large cable orders produced towards the end of the ll 7,000 megawatt of f ted for the first 250 megawatt ertain turn of events in
- 3. Large cable orders produced towards the end of the
year and either not delivered or delivered and not collected. e timing of this project. We in our ability to generate
- r during 2011.
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEM
Figures in (EGP ‘000) 2007 Sales Wire & Cable 8,468,463 El t i l P d t 222 063 Electrical Products 222,063 Turnkey Projects 657,750 Meters ‐‐‐ Total Sales 9,348,276 % change 62.7% Total COGS (8,114,712) ( , , ) Gross Profit 1,233,564 Gross Profit Margin 13.2% SG&A (249,498) Operating Income 21,424 Operating Expenses (34,353) EBITDA 971,136 % Change 51.7% EBITDA Margin 10.4% Depreciation and Amortization (87 262) Depreciation and Amortization (87,262) FX 32,479 Provisions (3,394) EBIT 912,959 EBIT Margin 9.7% Interest Expense (183,160) p ( , ) Interest Income 51,357 EBT 781,157 EBT Margin 8.36% Taxes Paid (24,497) Net Income 756,659 % Change 41.8% Return on Sales 8.1% Reported Net Income 756,659 Minority Interest (32,331) Net Income After Minority Interest 724,327
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MENT
2008 2009 2010 9,211,398 7,437,594 9,802,879 1 194 124 993 160 796 523 1,194,124 993,160 796,523 1,040,366 859,986 1,690,100 ‐‐‐ 612,518 11,445,888 9,290,741 12,902,020 22.4% (18.8%) 38.9% (9,785,144) (7,555,248) (10,914,190) ( , , ) ( , , ) (10,914,190) 1,660,744 1,735,493 1,987,830 14.5% 18.7% 15.4% (565,078) (729,780) (851,159) 162,731 102,630 139,444 (73,324) (95,369) (188,883) 1,185,072 1,012,973 1,366,317 22% ‐14.5% 34.9% 10.4% 10.9% 10.6% (133 988) (192 179) (279 085) (133,988) (192,179) (279,085) 45,400 (37,260) (12,717) (140,210) 22,919 (3,257) 1,075,225 806,453 1,071,257 9.39% 8.7% 8.3% (232,992) (195,310) (220,798) ( , ) ( , ) ( , ) 73,586 53,361 57,320 915,820 664,504 907,779 8% 7.1% 7% (18,903) (33,773) (91,142) 896,916 630,731 816,637 18.5% ‐29.7% 29.5% 7.8% 6.8% 6.3% 896,916 630,731 816,637 (68,482) 2,862 (21,108) 828,434 633,594 795,529
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE: CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
Figures in (EGP ‘000) 2007 20 Fixed Assets 1,170,861 2,758 Investments 313,789 414 Other Long term Assets & Goodwill 63,908 68, Other Long term Assets & Goodwill 63,908 68, Total Long Term Assets 1,548,560 3,241 Inventories 2,074,922 3,170 Receivables 1,374,106 1,846 Receivables 1,374,106 1,846 Other Debt balance 237,425 791, Due from related parties 34,831 64, Cash & Cash Equivalents 982,440 1,318 Total Current Assets 4,703,927 7,191 Total Current Assets 4,703,927 7,191 Bank Overdraft & Short term Loans 2,261,025 4,090 Accounts Payable 255,940 466 Other Credit balance 239,159 501, Due to affiliates 12 824 25 Due to affiliates 12,824 25, Provisions 33,044 221 Total Current Liabilities 2,802,195 5,305 Working Capital 1,901,731 1,886 Total Investments 3 450 291 5 127 Total Investments 3,450,291 5,127 Minority Interest 228,712 317 Parent's Shareholder Equity 3,074,485 3,858 Total Equity 3 303 197 4 176 Total Equity 3,303,197 4,176 Long term loans 39,603 754 Other long term liabilities 107,490 196 Total Long term liabilities 147 094 951 Total Long term liabilities 147,094 951
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T
08 2009 2010 8,299 3,728,647 3,814,070 ,266 372,687 25,753 843 524,281 437,335 843 524,281 437,335 1,408 4,625,616 4,277,159 0,071 2,779,135 3,699,614 6,734 2,037,296 3,549,771 6,734 2,037,296 3,549,771 ,988 618,223 565,198 388 293,465 283,312 8,371 1,026,687 1,569,112 1,554 6,754,807 9,667,007 1,554 6,754,807 9,667,007 0,553 3,624,386 4,765,411 ,052 994,881 1,165,755 ,862 765,229 1,150,350 394 72 584 156 313 394 72,584 156,313 ,233 94,696 71,806 5,096 5,551,778 7309,634 6,458 1,203,028 2,357,373 7 867 5 828 644 6 634 532 7,867 5,828,644 6,634,532 ,937 377,023 422,478 8,366 4,206,616 4,918,834 6 303 4 583 640 5 341 312 6,303 4,583,640 5,341,312 ,652 988,582 1,073,036 ,910 256,421 220,184 563 1 245 004 6 634 532 ,563 1,245,004 6,634,532
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
Economic Environment
WORLD
The world electricity economy is far from its peak: Electricity has gone from a novelty to a convenience to an advantage to an absolute necessity.
C t 1950 2000 2050 ( t ) Category 1950 2000 2050 (est.) World Population 2.56B 6.22B 8.29B Electricity Usage 2.06 TW 3.8 TW 6.99 TW Electricity as % of total energy 10.4% 25.3% 33.7% Televisions 0.6B 1.4B 1.9B Personal Computers 500M to 1B 6B to 8B p Cell phones (U.S) 0.8B 5B Electric hybrid vehicles 55,852 3,151,439
B =billion M = million TW = TeraWatt
Source: IEA,
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), a cumulative $13 trillion is needed worldwide from 2008 to 2030, more than half of wh is needed for grid and related equipment (as opposed to new or refurbished power plants). Countries around the world are anticipating significant spending on electr generation capacity
Global Power Generation Investment (USD bn) 960 950 410 340 200 200 180 170 EU North America India Latin America Africa Middle East Pacific w Japan 21 of 24 Source: IEA, 2
World electricity generation is projected to grow 87% over the next two and half decades, from 18.8 trillion kWh in 2007 to 25 trillion kWh by 2020 and 35.4 trillion kWh by 2035 2035. In more concrete terms, the world needs the equivalent of 25,000 additional 500 MW coal‐fired power
2007
additional 500 MW coal‐fired power plants by 2030. ich ricity
35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10 000 w/o n 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 10,000 5,000 Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
Source: IEA, 2007
007
AFRICA
In Africa, electric supply is stifling the continent’s growth:
30 countries face chronic blackouts The continent’s entire generation capacity is equivalent to Spain’s Outside South Africa, consumption is only 1% of OECD levels Twenty‐one of 48 Sub‐Saharan countries have a generation capacity of less than 200 megawatts, well below minimum efficient scale Universal access is more than 50 years away
5 9 6.2 6.4
Africa's Real GDP Growth Rates 2005‐2011e
Despite the challenges, growth remains:
5.9 5.6 2.5 4.5 5.2 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011e 22 of 24
Source: IMF
A high potential market:
A recent multi‐stakeholder study backed by the World Bank, the y y , European Commission and the African Development Bank found that Africa’s chronic power problems require major spending: some $41 billion per year, including new investment and rehabilitation, as well as operations and maintenance Financing such projects remains difficult, but increasingly governments are overcoming this challenge: Government debt as percent of GDP has fallen to 59% from 81.9% in the 1990’s Th W ld B k ti t th t Chi fi i The World Bank estimates that Chinese financing commitments in infrastructure increased from less than $1 billion per year in 2001‐2003, to about $6 billion per year in 2006‐2007. 33% of this targeted power
Domestic economic potential is significant:
In 2009, Africa’s population crossed the 1 billion mark and is currently the fastest growing population in the world, set to currently the fastest growing population in the world, set to double from today’s level by 2050. By 2040, Africa’s workforce will be the largest in the world, passing those of India and China Africa is already nearly as urbanized as China and has 52 cities with more than 1 million people – more than double the number in 1990 and on par with Western Europe By 2030, 50% of Africans are forecasted to live in cities
Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010
MIDDLE EAST
The Middle East’s power industry has emerged as one of the fastest growing in the world : Government subsidies, rapid economic development and a growing consumer market are fueling electricity consumption in the region. Supply and Demand Mismatch: Installed electricity generation capacity is currently an estimated 20% below aggregate electricity demand across the MENA region All Gulf states, with the possible exception of Qatar, face electricity shortages that intensify during summer. The growing population is adding to the power woes. Demand is expected to rise by 7‐8% annually on average. In the smallest and fastest‐growing economies electricity
3.5 3 2 5 4 4.5
In the smallest and fastest growing economies electricity demand is expected to grow even faster – upwards of 10% in some economies, such as the UAE Arabic‐speaking countries alone will account for 4.1% of global l t i it d d i 2015 f 3 1% i 2006 B 2030 th i
2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5
electricity demand in 2015, up from 3.1% in 2006. By 2030 their share is expected to reach 8.5%. A Wave of Investment GCC countries are expected to invest hundreds of billions of p dollars over the next decade to provide uninterrupted electricity for their growing populations and support industrial expansions. Kuwait plans to spend US$ 15 billion to double power capacity to 20 000 megawatts by 2020 to 20,000 megawatts by 2020 Saudi Arabia will seek to add 30,000 megawatts to the current 46,000 megawatts of power generation capacity by 2020 at a cost of US$ 45 billion
23 of 24
Annual Percentage Growth in Electricity Generation by Region, 2004‐2030
North America urope / Eurasia ral / S. America Africa Other Asia India China Europe Asia Middle East E.E Cent Source: IEA, 2007 Elsewedy Electric Investor Presentation 2010