Denver Moves: Transit Task Force Meeting #5 April 6, 2017 1. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Denver Moves: Transit Task Force Meeting #5 April 6, 2017 1. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Insert transit picture Denver Moves: Transit Task Force Meeting #5 April 6, 2017 1. Welcome & Introductions Opening remarks and housekeeping Task Force and audience introductions 2 4/6/2017 Task Force Roadmap 3 11/16/2016 2.

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SLIDE 1

Denver Moves: Transit Task Force

Meeting #5 – April 6, 2017

Insert transit picture

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SLIDE 2
  • 1. Welcome & Introductions
  • Opening remarks and housekeeping
  • Task Force and audience introductions

2 4/6/2017

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SLIDE 3

Task Force Roadmap

3 11/16/2016

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SLIDE 4
  • 2. Project Updates
  • Recent and upcoming work

4 4/6/2017

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SLIDE 5

Neighborhood Drop-In Workshops

5 4/6/2017

  • Southwest Rec Center (SW)
  • Montbello Denver Broncos Boys

& Girls Club (Far NE)

  • Cake Crumbs Bakery (NE)
  • Corkey Gonzalez Branch

Library (NW)

  • Dazbog Coffee (E. Central)
  • Colorado Light Rail Station at I-

25 (SE)

  • Denver Public Library Central

Branch (W. Central)

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SLIDE 6

Youth Stakeholder Group

6 4/6/2017

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SLIDE 7

Denveright Community Think Tank

7 4/6/2017

  • Themes from neighborhood

context discussion:

  • Increase transit accessibility,

frequency, reliability, and connectivity

  • Use transit priority tools, such as

dedicated lanes

  • Improve connections with

adjacent municipalities

  • Improve transit hubs and park-

n-rides

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SLIDE 8

Denveright Community Think Tank

8 4/6/2017

  • Themes from neighborhood context

discussion (cont’d):

  • Introduce transit options beyond

RTD services

  • Adopt one card for multiple

services

  • Focus growth on transit-oriented

areas

  • Incentivize developers to

encourage alternatives to parking (e.g., EcoPasses)

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SLIDE 9
  • 3. Land Use & Transportation

Connections: Scenario Planning

  • Connecting land use and transportation
  • Blueprint Denver overview and approach to

scenario development

9 4/6/2017

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SLIDE 10

Coordinating Land Use & Transportation

10 4/6/2017

  • Virtuous cycle
  • Transportation can shape

land development decisions

  • TOD principles increase

demand for sustainable transportation

  • Land use shapes travel

behavior

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SLIDE 11

Connecting Land Use & Transit

11 4/6/2017

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SLIDE 12

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  • 1. Process Update

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 13

Scenarios in Blueprint Process

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  • 1. Process Update

RapidFire Scenarios

Community Inputs on Growth and Change

Preferred Growth Scenario Preliminary T

  • ols and

Strategies Preferred T

  • ols and

Strategies

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 14
  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

14

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 15

Projected Growth for Denver

Between 2015 and 2040, Denver is projected to grow by:

  • 129,000 to 254,900 additional residents.*
  • 70,000 to 128,000 housing units.*

*Range of probable population and housing growth established for this exercise using DRCOG and DOLA resources.

15

  • 3. Denver Growth Game

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 16

Denver’s Current Strategy

Strategies and tools to direct growth to Areas of Change:

  • Grow Downtown
  • Redevelop Lowry and Stapleton
  • Develop remaining green fields
  • Transit-Oriented Development

(TOD) around FasTracks stations and select corridors

16

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 17

Baseline 2040 – DRCOG Baseline Forecast

  • Modeled regional growth forecast
  • Moderate growth Downtown and in

urban centers

  • Continued growth in outer Denver

areas

17 RapidFire Scenario Modeling

Housing Type Mix: Single family and multifamily Transit Investment: Moderate Development Intensity and Mix: Moderate

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 18

Case Studies: Growth Strategies

  • A. Limit Development Throughout the City
  • B. Expand and Intensify the City Center
  • C. Focus Density and Investment in Multiple Urban Centers
  • D. Enhance Corridors and Grow Neighborhood Centers
  • E. Embrace Multi-Pronged Growth

18

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 19

Case Studies: Growth Strategies

  • A. Limit Development Throughout the City
  • B. Expand and Intensify the City Center
  • C. Focus Density and Investment in Multiple Urban Centers
  • D. Enhance Corridors and Grow Neighborhood Centers
  • E. Embrace Multi-Pronged Growth

19

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 20

Boulder, Colorado

Strategies and tools to manage growth:

  • Limit population
  • 1967 Green Belt - Limit Developable

Land

  • 1971 Building Height Limitation
  • 1976 Danish Plan

– One of the first growth plans – Limited growth to 2% annually

20

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 21

Boulder, Colorado

Lessons Learned:

  • Lack of affordable and

workforce housing

  • Average single family

home sale price is $1,066,674 (2016)

  • 60,000 people

commuting in each day

21

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 22

RapidFire Scenario A – Limit Development Throughout the City

  • Limited supply of new housing and

slightly lower employment growth in Denver

  • Remainder of Baseline 2040

Denver housing projection occurs as predominantly suburban growth elsewhere in region

22 RapidFire Scenario Modeling

Housing Type Mix: Mostly Single Family Transit Investment: Low Development Intensity and Mix: Low to Moderate

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 23

Case Studies: Growth Strategies

  • A. Limit Development Throughout the City
  • B. Expand and Intensify the City Center
  • C. Focus Density and Investment in Multiple Urban Centers
  • D. Enhance Corridors and Grow Neighborhood Centers
  • E. Embrace Multi-Pronged Growth

23

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 24

Vancouver, British Columbia

Strategies and tools to manage growth:

  • Concentrate growth in

downtown core

  • Invest in transportation
  • Vancouver Comprehensive

Plan 2011-30

  • Metro Vancouver 2040

24

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 25

Vancouver, British Columbia

Lessons Learned:

  • Neighborhood amenities
  • Creative open space provision in

urban environment

  • Protection of historic buildings

and districts

  • Protection of views and sun

access with point towers

  • Extreme mix of uses
  • Reverse commute

25

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 26

RapidFire Scenario B – Expand and Intensify the City Center

  • Strong growth and intensification in

Downtown and inner-ring areas

  • Neighborhoods see moderate

levels of infill

26 RapidFire Scenario Modeling

Development Intensity and Mix: High Housing Type Mix: Most Multifamily Transit Investment: High

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 27

Case Studies: Growth Strategies

  • A. Limit Development Throughout the City
  • B. Expand and Intensify the City Center
  • C. Focus Density and Investment in Multiple Urban Centers
  • D. Enhance Corridors and Grow Neighborhood Centers
  • E. Embrace Multi-Pronged Growth

27

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 28

Los Angeles, California

Strategies and tools to manage growth:

  • Focus growth along corridors

and in multiple employment and amenity centers

  • Invest in transportation
  • 1989 Growth Management Plan
  • General Plan 2035

28

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 29

Los Angeles, California

Lessons Learned:

  • Urban Amenity Clusters
  • Pitfalls of highway infrastructure

– Traffic congestion – Highway islands

  • Difficult to retrofit

transportation networks

  • Layered networks

29

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 30

RapidFire Scenario C – Focus Density and Investment in Multiple Urban Centers

  • Growth directed to ~8-10 priority

urban centers/TOD areas

  • Moderate growth Downtown, in

neighborhoods near priority urban centers, modest growth elsewhere

30 RapidFire Scenario Modeling

Development Intensity and Mix: Moderate to High Housing Type Mix: More Multifamily Transit Investment: High

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 31

Case Studies: Growth Strategies

  • A. Limit Development Throughout the City
  • B. Expand and Intensify the City Center
  • C. Focus Density and Investment in Multiple Urban Centers
  • D. Enhance Corridors and Grow Neighborhood Centers
  • E. Embrace Multi-Pronged Growth

31

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 32

Portland, OR Metro Area

Strategies and tools to manage growth:

  • Revitalize community commercial

corridors

  • Continued LRT, streetcar and

transit investments

  • Strong emphasis on bike network
  • Urban Growth Boundary
  • Metro’s 2040 Plan
  • The Portland Plan

32

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 33

Portland, OR Metro Area

Lessons Learned:

  • ‘20 Minute Neighborhoods’
  • Smaller-scaled centers are

easier to facilitate

  • Neighborhood tensions

related to intensifying corridors

  • Strong regional collaboration

33

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 34

RapidFire Scenario D – Enhance Corridors and Grow Neighborhood Centers

  • Significant reinvestment and

redevelopment of auto-oriented corridors

  • Creation of smaller neighborhood

centers

34 RapidFire Scenario Modeling

Development Intensity and Mix: Moderate to Low Housing Type Mix: More Multifamily Transit Investment: Moderate

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 35

Case Studies: Growth Strategies

  • A. Limit Development Throughout the City
  • B. Expand and Intensify the City Center
  • C. Focus Density and Investment in Multiple Urban Centers
  • D. Enhance Corridors and Grow Neighborhood Centers
  • E. Embrace Multi-Pronged Growth

35

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 36

Chicago, Illinois

Strategies and tools to manage growth:

  • Growing is a goal
  • Fund reinvestment across the

city

  • Coordinate at a local and

regional level

  • Invest in multiple layers of

transit

  • Go To 2040 Plan

36

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 37

Chicago, Illinois

Lessons Learned:

  • Packaging formula: mixed-

use works

  • Parking management
  • Acceptance of congestion
  • Amenities access
  • Retain neighborhood

character while growing

37

  • 2. Guiding Growth and Change

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 38

RapidFire Scenario E – Embrace Multi-Pronged Growth

  • Denver captures a greater share of

regional growth projection

  • Strong growth throughout Denver
  • Highest development intensities of

all scenarios in Downtown and inner-ring areas

38 RapidFire Scenario Modeling

Development Intensity and Mix: High Housing Type Mix: Mostly Multifamily Transit Investment: High

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 39
  • 3. RapidFire Scenarios Evaluation: Sample

Outputs

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  • 3. RapidFire Scenario Evaluations

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 40

40

Scenarios test variations on the amount and form of new growth in Denver

Low

  • A. Limit Development Throughout the City

Medium

Baseline 2040 Forecast

  • B. Expand and Intensify the City Center
  • C. Focus Density and Investment in Multiple Urban Centers
  • D. Enhance Corridors and Grow Neighborhood Centers

High

  • E. Embrace Multi-Pronged Growth
  • 3. RapidFire Scenario Evaluations

RapidFire Scenarios – Denver Growth 2015 to 2040

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 41

RapidFire Scenarios

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Development Intensity and Mix Housing Type Mix Transit Investment Baseline 2040 A Limited Development C Multiple Urban Centers D Corridors and Nhood Centers E Embrace Growth B Expand City Center

  • 3. RapidFire Scenario Evaluations

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 42

New Land Consumption – Total to 2040

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Scenario A, which pushes a portion of Denver’ s projected housing and employment growth to other areas in the region, consumes 4,800 acres more greenfield land throughout the region than the Baseline 2040 scenario.

+260%

1,840 ac 6,640 ac 700 ac 1,480 ac 1,750 ac 1,230 ac

Baseline 2040 A Limit Development B Expand City Center C Multiple Urban Centers D Corridors and Nhood Centers E Embrace Growth

  • 62%
  • 33%
  • 5%
  • 20%
  • 3. RapidFire Scenario Evaluations

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 43

Vehicle Miles Traveled – Total Annual, 2040

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3.15 bil 3.39 bil 3.53 bil 3.25 bil 3.31 bil 3.34 bil 3.52 bil

Existing Baseline 2040 A Limit Development B Expand City Center C Multiple Urban Centers D Corridors and Nhood Centers E Embrace Growth

  • 4.3%

+3.6%

  • 1.5%

+4.2%

  • 2.4%

Scenario B reduces driving by nearly 150 million miles in 2040.

miles

  • 3. RapidFire Scenario Evaluations

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 44

Scenario Impacts per New Household – Annual in 2040

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Scenario VMT Energy Use Water Use

Household Costs

GHG Emissions

Baseline 2040 Forecast

3,900 59 mil Btu 36,300 $10,100 15.2 MT

  • A. Limit Development Throughout the

City

21% 20% 60% 17% 13%

  • B. Expand and Intensify the City Center
  • 21%
  • 20%
  • 18%
  • 16%
  • 14%
  • C. Focus Density and Investment in

Multiple Urban Centers

  • 13%
  • 15%
  • 16%
  • 10%
  • 11%
  • D. Enhance Corridors and Grow

Neighborhood Centers

  • 8%
  • 5%
  • 7%
  • 5%
  • 5%
  • E. Embrace Multi-Pronged Growth
  • 21%
  • 32%
  • 33%
  • 19%
  • 20%

Impacts per new household vary widely. Potential household costs range from a savings of $1,900 in the High Denver Growth scenario to an increase of $1,700 in the Low Denver Growth scenario (in 2016 dollars).

  • 3. RapidFire Scenario Evaluations

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 45
  • 4. Connecting Transit to Land Use &

Transportation Scenarios

  • Growth strategy exercise introduction
  • Mapping activity and small group discussions
  • Report out

45 4/6/2017

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SLIDE 46

Purpose of Growth Strategy Exercise

By 2040, Denver is projected to grow by:

  • 129,000 to 254,900 additional residents.
  • 70,000 to 128,000 housing units.

This exercise will help us to:

  • Understand the community’s preferred areas for growth
  • Facilitate discussions about tradeoffs related to ways we can

evolve over the next 20+ years

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  • 4. Growth Strategy Exercise

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 47

Growth and Tradeoffs

  • How much should Denver grow?
  • How and where should Denver grow?
  • Who has access to new transit, jobs and amenities associated

with new development?

  • What are potential impacts on existing residents?
  • What are potential impacts on equity, community health and

the environment?

47

  • 4. Growth Strategy Exercise

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 48

The Game Board – “Bones” of the City

  • Neighborhood Contexts
  • LRT Rail Stations and ½-mile

walkshed

  • Proposed Colfax BRT
  • Centers and Neighborhood

Nodes

  • Parks

48

  • 4. Growth Strategy Exercise

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 49

Neighborhood Contexts

The Denver Zoning Code is a context-based approach that sets standards for development that are compatible with the existing development pattern and infrastructure.

– Downtown – Urban Center – General Urban – Urban – Urban Edge – Suburban

49

  • 4. Growth Strategy Exercise

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 50

Priority Transit Corridors

  • Priority transit corridors support higher density

land uses and economic development around high-quality transit service

  • Transit vehicles along these routes tend to make

fewer stops, travel at higher speeds, have more frequent service and carry more people than local service routes.

  • Corridors can include light rail, streetcar,

commuter rail, and bus rapid transit

50

  • 4. Growth Strategy Exercise

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 51

Mixed-Use Development

51

  • 4. Growth Strategy Exercise

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 52

Playing the Game (Small Groups)

  • Task 1: Identify Priority Transit Corridors
  • Task 2: New Mixed-Use Centers

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  • 4. Growth Strategy Exercise

4/6/2017

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SLIDE 53

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  • Is this the priority transit network

we want?

  • What other segments should have

been in the mix?

  • What new centers are needed?
  • What existing centers should be

connected?

4/6/2017

Small Group Discussion

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SLIDE 54

Small Group Report Out

54 4/6/2017

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SLIDE 55
  • 7. Task Force Participation #4: Build Your

Own Transit System

  • Work in small groups to complete the

survey (compromise!)

  • Discuss opportunities to encourage

your communities to participate

  • Share link when tool is live

55 4/6/2017

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SLIDE 56
  • 8. Next Steps
  • Next Task Force participation opportunity

– Spread the word and stop by Neighborhood Drop-in Workshops in April and May – Share and promote the Build Your Own Transit System survey

  • Task Force Meeting #6: June 1, 2017

56 4/6/2017

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SLIDE 57

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  • 9. Questions and Comments

www.denvergov.org/denveright

4/6/2017