DECISION SUPPORT DECISION SUPPORT SUMMARY SUMMARY th June 2005 30 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

DECISION SUPPORT DECISION SUPPORT SUMMARY SUMMARY th June 2005 30 th June 2005 30 Lluí ís s Vinagre Vinagre – – ISDEFE (Spain) ISDEFE (Spain) Llu Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - - Baltimore, Baltimore, 1 Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar 1 MD MD

Agenda Agenda � Papers � Papers � Key Results & Discussions Sketches � Key Results & Discussions Sketches � Issues for the Future � Issues for the Future Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, 2 MD

DS – – Trajectory Trajectory Prediction Prediction DS � Improvement on the Acceptance of a Conflict Resolution Improvement on the Acceptance of a Conflict Resolution � System by Air Traffic Controllers (Flicker & Fricke, Tech. System by Air Traffic Controllers (Flicker & Fricke, Tech. Uni Berlin) Berlin) Uni � � Impact of Factors, Conditions and Metrics on Trajectory Impact of Factors, Conditions and Metrics on Trajectory Prediction Accuracy (Mondoloni Mondoloni CSSI Inc & CSSI Inc & Bayraktutar Bayraktutar Prediction Accuracy ( Eurocontrol) ) Eurocontrol Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, 3 MD

DS – – ATM Capabilities ATM Capabilities DS � Miami Controller Pilot Miami Controller Pilot Datalink Datalink Communications Summary Communications Summary � and Assessment (Gonda Gonda, , Saumsiegle Saumsiegle MITRE, Blackwell MITRE, Blackwell and Assessment ( AA & Longo CA) AA & Longo CA) � Integration of Downlink Aircraft Parameters in a French En Integration of Downlink Aircraft Parameters in a French En � Route ATC Controller Working position (Kapp Route ATC Controller Working position ( Kapp DSNA) DSNA) � Managing Sector Congestion using Airspace Restriction Managing Sector Congestion using Airspace Restriction � Planner (Kopardekar Kopardekar & Green NASA Ames) & Green NASA Ames) Planner ( � Quantifying Convective Delay Reduction Benefits for Quantifying Convective Delay Reduction Benefits for � Weather Systems (Evans, Robinson & Allan, MIT) Weather Systems (Evans, Robinson & Allan, MIT) Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, 4 MD

DS Paper Tally DS Paper Tally � 11 DS papers submitted � 11 DS papers submitted � 6 accepted papers: � 6 accepted papers: � 2 Europe � 2 Europe � 3 US � 3 US � 1 Europe & US � 1 Europe & US Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, 5 MD

TP Results & Discussions TP Results & Discussions Sketches (1/2) Sketches (1/2) � DS Tools with in � DS Tools with in- -built Controller expertise built Controller expertise � Integration of ATCO strategies and knowledge � Integration of ATCO strategies and knowledge � Planner � Planner “ “vision into the future vision into the future” ” for conflict for conflict deactivation to reduce Tactical workload deactivation to reduce Tactical workload � How far away should the Planner � How far away should the Planner’ ’s horizon be s horizon be to ensure prediction accuracy? to ensure prediction accuracy? Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, 6 MD

TP Results & Discussions TP Results & Discussions Sketches (2/2) Sketches (2/2) � Understanding key factors impacting prediction Understanding key factors impacting prediction � accuracy accuracy � Metrics derivation to evaluate performance � Metrics derivation to evaluate performance � Factor ranking enabling development � Factor ranking enabling development “ “investment investment” ” where needed for improved accuracy where needed for improved accuracy � � System System “ “observability observability” ”: predict what pilots want to do or : predict what pilots want to do or what it is actually going to happen? what it is actually going to happen? Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, 7 MD

ATM Capabilities Results & ATM Capabilities Results & Discussions Sketches (1/4) Discussions Sketches (1/4) � AG data AG data comms comms fundamental to all future ATM fundamental to all future ATM � concepts of operations concepts of operations st NAS) � CPDLC Op. trials in Miami en route airspace (1 � CPDLC Op. trials in Miami en route airspace (1 st NAS) � Implemented and validated 4 basic services: transfer of � Implemented and validated 4 basic services: transfer of comm, initial contact; altimeter setting; menu , initial contact; altimeter setting; menu- -text text comm � Level of operational acceptance was good � Level of operational acceptance was good � Collect metrics to support implementation decision � Collect metrics to support implementation decision Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, 8 MD

ATM Capabilities Results & ATM Capabilities Results & Discussions Sketches (2/4) Discussions Sketches (2/4) � Conducted Controller needs study regarding possible use Conducted Controller needs study regarding possible use � of DAPs DAPs (polled through Mode (polled through Mode- -S) S) of � Study reported on DAP display for � Study reported on DAP display for indicated airspeed, magnetic indicated airspeed, magnetic heading & instantaneous rate of climb descent heading & instantaneous rate of climb descent � Sims show DAP usage evolution (short � Sims show DAP usage evolution (short vs vs long consultations) long consultations) � � Given HMI current constraints: where to display and how to acces Given HMI current constraints: where to display and how to access s the information? No ideal access method found No ideal access method found the information? � � Impact of DAP update frequency (e.g. instantaneous climb/descent Impact of DAP update frequency (e.g. instantaneous climb/descent) ) on utility on utility � Display of Intent information (selected � Display of Intent information (selected vs vs cleared flight level) cleared flight level) Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, 9 MD

ATM Capabilities Results & ATM Capabilities Results & Discussions Sketches (3/4) Discussions Sketches (3/4) � Support Provision for adequate reaction before Support Provision for adequate reaction before � congestion congestion � � Airspace Restriction Planner tool for Traffic Manager Coordinators rs Airspace Restriction Planner tool for Traffic Manager Coordinato � � Ensure “ “just in time, just enough just in time, just enough” ” principle not to under / over protect principle not to under / over protect Ensure sectors sectors � � Quick flow control measures impact analysis (metering, capping / Quick flow control measures impact analysis (metering, capping / tunnelling & departure planning and restrictions) tunnelling & departure planning and restrictions) � � Human in the loop simulation showed indication of very useful capability pability Human in the loop simulation showed indication of very useful ca � � Suggestions for promoting collaboration between neighbouring sectors, tors, Suggestions for promoting collaboration between neighbouring sec restriction equity and allocation of user preferences restriction equity and allocation of user preferences Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, 10 MD

ATM Capabilities Results & ATM Capabilities Results & Discussions Sketches (4/4) Discussions Sketches (4/4) � What to do with severe weather? What to do with severe weather? � � � Delays arise from poorly understood interactions between convective ive Delays arise from poorly understood interactions between convect weather and increasing complexity in the aviation system weather and increasing complexity in the aviation system � � Methodological principles are derived in order to evaluate systemic delay mic delay Methodological principles are derived in order to evaluate syste reduction benefits, complemented by assessment through multi- reduction benefits, complemented by assessment through multi -day day observation “ “blitzes blitzes” ” on operations quantifying delay savings on operations quantifying delay savings observation � � Evaluation is made very difficult as weather occurrences are not repeatable repeatable Evaluation is made very difficult as weather occurrences are not � � Suggestions for weather products improved understanding (e.g. echo tops) ho tops) Suggestions for weather products improved understanding (e.g. ec for enhanced utilisation and for support to resolve severe weather for enhanced utilisation and for support to resolve severe weath er situations as problems may not be optimally solved by humans situations as problems may not be optimally solved by humans Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, 11 MD