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CIVIL-557 Decision Aid Methodologies In Transportation Lecture 10: Data Mining in Transport Introduction & Clustering Nikola Obrenovic Transport and Mobility Laboratory TRANSP-OR cole Polytechnique Fdrale de Lausanne EPFL


  1. K-Means Clustering - Details • Initial centroids are often chosen randomly. Clusters produced vary from one run to another. • • The centroid is (typically) the mean of the points in the cluster. • ‘Closeness’ is measured by Euclidean distance, cosine similarity, correlation, etc. • K-means will converge for common similarity measures mentioned above. • Most of the convergence happens in the first few iterations. Often the stopping condition is changed to ‘Until relatively few points • change clusters’ • Complexity is O( n * K * I * d ) n = number of points, K = number of clusters, • I = number of iterations, d = number of attributes

  2. Evaluating K-Means Clustering Most common measure is Sum of Squared Error (SSE) • For each point, the error is the distance to the nearest cluster • To get SSE, we square these errors and sum them. • K åå = 2 SSE dist ( m , x ) i = Î i 1 x C i x is a data point in cluster C i and m i is the representative point for cluster • C i m i corresponds to the center (mean) of the cluster • Given two sets of clusters, we prefer the one with the smallest error • One easy way to reduce SSE is to increase K , the number of clusters • • A good clustering with smaller K can have a lower SSE than a poor clustering with higher K

  3. K-Means Clustering - Challenges • The factors that contribute to the “goodness” (quality) of clustering: • Number of clusters • Initial centroids • Empty clusters

  4. T wo different K-Means Clusterings 3 2.5 Original Points 2 1.5 y 1 0.5 0 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 x 3 3 2.5 2.5 2 2 1.5 y 1.5 1 y 1 0.5 0.5 0 0 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 x -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Sub-optimal Clustering x Optimal Clustering

  5. Limitations of K-Means Clustering • K-means has problems when clusters are of differing • Sizes • Densities • Non-globular shapes • K-means has problems when the data contains outliers.

  6. Limitations of K-means: Differing Sizes K-means (3 Clusters) Original Points

  7. Limitations of K-means: Differing Density K-means (3 Clusters) Original Points

  8. Limitations of K-means: Non-globular Shapes Original Points K-means (2 Clusters)

  9. Overcoming K-means Limitations Original Points K-means Clusters One solution is to use many clusters. Find parts of clusters, but need to put together.

  10. Overcoming K-means Limitations Original Points K-means Clusters

  11. Overcoming K-means Limitations Original Points K-means Clusters

  12. Importance of Choosing Initial Centroids Iteration 1 Iteration 2 Iteration 3 3 3 3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2 2 2 1.5 1.5 1.5 y y y 1 1 1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0 0 0 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 x x x Iteration 4 Iteration 5 Iteration 6 3 3 3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2 2 2 1.5 1.5 1.5 y y y 1 1 1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0 0 0 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 x x x

  13. Importance of Choosing Initial Centroids Iteration 1 Iteration 2 3 3 2.5 2.5 2 2 1.5 1.5 y y 1 1 0.5 0.5 0 0 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 x x Iteration 3 Iteration 4 Iteration 5 3 3 3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2 2 2 1.5 1.5 1.5 y y y 1 1 1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0 0 0 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 x x x

  14. Solutions for Selecting Initial Points • Multiple runs • Helps, but probability is not on your side • Select more than k initial centroids and then select among these initial centroids • Select most widely separated • Postprocessing – cluster merging • K-means++ • Bisecting K-means avoids selection of initial clusters • In fact, using hierarchical clustering to determine initial centroids

  15. K-Means++ This approach can be slower than random initialization, but very • consistently produces better results in terms of SSE To select a set of initial centroids, C , perform the following • 1. Select an initial point at random to be the first centroid 2. For k – 1 steps 3. For each of the N points, x i , 1 ≤ i ≤ N, find the minimum squared distance to the currently selected centroids, C 1 , …, C j , 1 ≤ j < k, i.e., min d 2 ( C j , x i ) $ 4. Randomly select a new centroid by choosing a point with probability ( d 2 ( C j , x i ) %&' proportional to ( d 2 ( C j , x i ) ∑ * %&' 5. End For

  16. Bisecting K-means Bisecting K-means algorithm • Variant of K-means that can produce a partitional or a • hierarchical clustering

  17. Bisecting K-means Example

  18. Empty Clusters K-means can yield empty clusters • 6.8 13 18 X X X 6.5 9 10 15 16 18.5 7.75 12.5 17.25 X X X 6.5 9 10 15 16 18.5 Empty Cluster

  19. Empty Clusters Handling Basic K-means algorithm can yield empty clusters • Several strategies • Choose the point that contributes most to SSE • Choose a point from the cluster with the highest SSE • If there are several empty clusters, the above can be repeated • several times.

  20. Pre-processing and Post-processing Pre-processing • Normalize the data • Eliminate outliers • Post-processing • Eliminate small clusters that may represent outliers • Split ‘loose’ clusters, i.e., clusters with relatively high SSE • Merge clusters that are ‘close’ and that have relatively low • SSE

  21. Hierarchical Clustering Produces a set of nested clusters organized as a • hierarchical tree Can be visualized as a dendrogram • A tree like diagram that records the sequences of merges or • splits 5 6 0.2 4 3 4 2 0.15 5 2 0.1 1 0.05 1 3 0 1 3 2 5 4 6

  22. Strengths of Hierarchical Clustering Do not have to assume any particular number of • clusters Any desired number of clusters can be obtained by ‘cutting’ • the dendrogram at the proper level They may correspond to meaningful taxonomies • Example in biological sciences (e.g., animal kingdom) •

  23. Hierarchical Clustering Two main types of hierarchical clustering • Agglomerative: • Start with the points as individual clusters • At each step, merge the closest pair of clusters until only one cluster • (or k clusters) left Divisive: • Start with one, all-inclusive cluster • At each step, split a cluster until each cluster contains an individual • point (or there are k clusters) Traditional hierarchical algorithms use a similarity or • distance matrix Merge or split one cluster at a time •

  24. Agglomerative Clustering Algorithm Most popular hierarchical clustering technique • Basic algorithm is straightforward • 1. Compute the proximity matrix 2. Let each data point be a cluster 3. Repeat 4. Merge the two closest clusters 5. Update the proximity matrix 6. Until only a single cluster remains Key operation is the computation of the proximity of • two clusters Different approaches to defining the distance between • clusters distinguish the different algorithms

  25. Starting Situation Start with clusters of individual points and a proximity • matrix p1 p2 p3 p4 p5 . . . p1 p2 p3 p4 p5 . . Proximity Matrix . ... p1 p2 p3 p4 p9 p10 p11 p12

  26. Intermediate Situation After some merging steps, we have some clusters • C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C1 C2 C3 C3 C4 C4 C5 Proximity Matrix C1 C5 C2 ... p1 p2 p3 p4 p9 p10 p11 p12

  27. Intermediate Situation We want to merge the two closest clusters (C2 and C5) • and update the proximity matrix. C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C1 C2 C3 C3 C4 C4 C5 Proximity Matrix C1 C5 C2 ... p1 p2 p3 p4 p9 p10 p11 p12

  28. After Merging The question is “How do we update the proximity • matrix?” C2 U C1 C5 C3 C4 C1 ? ? ? ? ? C2 U C5 C3 C3 ? C4 ? C4 Proximity Matrix C1 C2 U C5 ... p1 p2 p3 p4 p9 p10 p11 p12

  29. How to Define Inter-Cluster Distance p1 p2 p3 p4 p5 . . . p1 Similarity? p2 p3 p4 MIN p5 • . MAX • . Group Average • . Proximity Matrix Distance Between Centroids • Other methods driven by an objective • function Ward’s Method uses squared error •

  30. MIN or Single Link Proximity of two clusters is based on the two closest • points in the different clusters Determined by one pair of points, i.e., by one link in the • proximity graph

  31. Hierarchical Clustering: MIN 5 1 3 5 2 1 2 3 6 4 4 Nested Clusters

  32. Strength of MIN Original Points Six Clusters • Can handle non-elliptical shapes

  33. Limitations of MIN Two Clusters Original Points • Sensitive to noise and outliers Three Clusters

  34. MAX or Complete Linkage Proximity of two clusters is based on the two most • distant points in the different clusters Determined by all pairs of points in the two clusters •

  35. Hierarchical Clustering: MAX 4 1 2 5 5 2 3 6 3 1 4 Nested Clusters

  36. Strength of MAX Original Points Two Clusters • Less susceptible to noise and outliers

  37. Limitations of MAX Original Points Two Clusters • Tends to break large clusters (globular clusters mostly)

  38. Group Average Group Average Proximity of two clusters is the average of pairwise Proximity of two clusters is the average of pairwise • • proximity between points in the two clusters. proximity between points in the two clusters. å å proximity( proximity( p p , , p p ) ) i i j j p p Î Î Cluster Cluster i i i i p p Î Î Cluster Cluster proximity( proximity( Cluster Cluster , , Cluster Cluster ) ) = = j j j j i i j j |Cluster |Cluster | | ´ ´ |Cluster |Cluster | | i i j j Need to use average connectivity for scalability since Need to use average connectivity for scalability since • • total proximity favors large clusters total proximity favors large clusters

  39. Hierarchical Clustering: Group Average 5 4 1 2 5 2 3 6 1 4 3 Nested Clusters

  40. Group Average – Pros and Cons Compromise between Single and Complete Link • Strengths • Less susceptible to noise and outliers • Limitations • Biased towards globular clusters •

  41. Cluster Similarity: Ward’s Method Similarity of two clusters is based on the increase in • squared error when two clusters are merged Similar to group average if distance between points is • distance squared Less susceptible to noise and outliers • Biased towards globular clusters • Hierarchical analogue of K-means • Can be used to initialize K-means •

  42. Hierarchical Clustering: Comparison 5 1 4 1 3 2 5 5 5 2 1 2 MIN MAX 2 3 6 3 6 3 1 4 4 4 5 5 1 4 1 2 2 5 Ward’s Method 5 2 2 Group Average 3 3 6 6 3 1 1 4 4 4 3

  43. MST: Divisive Hierarchical Clustering Build MST (Minimum Spanning Tree) • Start with a tree that consists of any point • In successive steps, look for the closest pair of points (p, q) • such that one point (p) is in the current tree but the other (q) is not Add q to the tree and put an edge between p and q •

  44. MST: Divisive Hierarchical Clustering Use MST for constructing hierarchy of clusters •

  45. Hierarchical Clustering: Time and Space requirements O(N 2 ) space since it uses the proximity matrix. • N is the number of points. • O(N 3 ) time in many cases • There are N steps and at each step, the proximity matrix, of • size N 2 , must be updated and searched

  46. Hierarchical Clustering: Problems and Limitations Once a decision is made to combine two clusters, it • cannot be undone No global objective function is directly minimized • Different schemes have problems with one or more of • the following: Sensitivity to noise and outliers • Difficulty handling clusters of different sizes and non-globular • shapes Breaking large clusters •

  47. DBSCAN DBSCAN is a density-based algorithm. • Density = number of points within a specified radius (Eps) • A point is a core point if it has at least a specified number of • points (MinPts) within Eps These are points that are at the interior of a cluster • Counts the point itself • A border point is not a core point, but is in the neighborhood • of a core point A noise point is any point that is not a core point nor a border • point

  48. DBSCAN: Core, Border, and Noise Points MinPts = 7

  49. DBSCAN Algorithm Eliminate noise points • Perform clustering on the remaining points •

  50. DBSCAN: Core, Border and Noise Points Original Points Point types: core, border and noise Eps = 10, MinPts = 4

  51. When DBSCAN Works Well Clusters Original Points • Resistant to Noise • Can handle clusters of different shapes and sizes

  52. When DBSCAN Does NOT Work Well (MinPts=4, Eps=9.75). Original Points • Varying densities (MinPts=4, Eps=9.92)

  53. DBSCAN: Determining EPS and MinPts Idea is that for points in a cluster, their k th nearest neighbors are • at roughly the same distance Noise points have the k th nearest neighbor at farther distance • So, plot sorted distance of every point to its k th nearest neighbor •

  54. DBSCAN: Determining EPS and MinPts For supervised classification we have a variety of measures to • evaluate how good our model is Accuracy, precision, recall • For cluster analysis, the analogous question is how to evaluate • the “goodness” of the resulting clusters? But “clusters are in the eye of the beholder”! • Then why do we want to evaluate them? • To compare clustering algorithms • To compare two sets of clusters • To compare two clusters •

  55. Clusters found in Random Data 1 1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 Random 0.7 0.7 Points DBSCAN 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 y y 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 x x 1 1 0.9 0.9 K-means Complete 0.8 0.8 Link 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 y y 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 x x

  56. Different Aspects of Cluster Validation 1. Determining the clustering tendency of a set of data, i.e., distinguishing whether non-random structure actually exists in the data. 2. Comparing the results of a cluster analysis to externally known results, e.g., to externally given class labels. 3. Comparing the results of two different sets of cluster analyses to determine which is better. 4. Determining the ‘correct’ number of clusters. For 2 and 3, we can further distinguish whether we want to • evaluate the entire clustering or just individual clusters.

  57. Measures of Cluster Validity Numerical measures that are applied to judge various aspects of • cluster validity, are classified into the following three types. External Index : Used to measure the extent to which cluster labels match • externally supplied class labels. Entropy • Internal Index : Used to measure the goodness of a clustering structure • without respect to external information. Sum of Squared Error (SSE) • Relative Index : Used to compare two different clusterings or clusters. • Often an external or internal index is used for this function, e.g., SSE or • entropy Sometimes these are referred to as criteria instead of indices • However, sometimes criterion is the general strategy and index is the • numerical measure that implements the criterion.

  58. Measuring Cluster Validity Via Correlation Two matrices • Proximity Matrix • Ideal Similarity Matrix • One row and one column for each data point • An entry is 1 if the associated pair of points belong to the same cluster • An entry is 0 if the associated pair of points belongs to different clusters • Compute the correlation between the two matrices • Since the matrices are symmetric, only the correlation between • n(n-1) / 2 entries needs to be calculated. High correlation indicates that points that belong to the same • cluster are close to each other. Not a good measure for some density or contiguity based • clusters.

  59. Measuring Cluster Validity Via Correlation Correlation of ideal similarity and proximity matrices for the K- • means clusterings of the following two data sets. 1 1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 y y 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 x x Corr = 0.9235 Corr = 0.5810

  60. Using Similarity Matrix for Cluster Validation Order the similarity matrix with respect to cluster labels and • inspect visually. 1 1 10 0.9 0.9 20 0.8 0.8 30 0.7 0.7 40 0.6 0.6 Points 50 0.5 0.5 y 60 0.4 0.4 70 0.3 0.3 80 0.2 0.2 90 0.1 0.1 100 0 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 20 40 60 80 100 Similarity x Points

  61. Using Similarity Matrix for Cluster Validation Clusters in random data are not so crisp • 1 1 10 0.9 0.9 20 0.8 0.8 30 0.7 0.7 40 0.6 0.6 Points 50 0.5 0.5 y 60 0.4 0.4 70 0.3 0.3 80 0.2 0.2 90 0.1 0.1 0 100 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 20 40 60 80 100 Similarity x Points DBSCAN

  62. Using Similarity Matrix for Cluster Validation Clusters in random data are not so crisp • 1 1 10 0.9 0.9 20 0.8 0.8 30 0.7 0.7 40 0.6 0.6 Points 50 0.5 0.5 y 60 0.4 0.4 70 0.3 0.3 80 0.2 0.2 90 0.1 0.1 0 100 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 20 40 60 80 100 Similarity x Points K-means

  63. Using Similarity Matrix for Cluster Validation Clusters in random data are not so crisp • 1 1 10 0.9 0.9 20 0.8 0.8 30 0.7 0.7 40 0.6 0.6 Points 50 0.5 0.5 y 60 0.4 0.4 70 0.3 0.3 80 0.2 0.2 90 0.1 0.1 0 100 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 20 40 60 80 100 Similarity x Points Complete Link

  64. Using Similarity Matrix for Cluster Validation 1 0.9 500 1 0.8 2 6 0.7 1000 3 0.6 4 1500 0.5 0.4 2000 0.3 5 0.2 2500 0.1 7 3000 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 DBSCAN

  65. Internal Measures: SSE Clusters in more complicated figures aren’t well separated • Internal Index: Used to measure the goodness of a clustering • structure without respect to external information SSE • SSE is good for comparing two clusterings or two clusters • (average SSE). Can also be used to estimate the number of clusters • 10 9 6 8 4 7 6 2 SSE 5 0 4 -2 3 2 -4 1 -6 0 2 5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 K

  66. Internal Measures: SSE SSE curve for a more complicated data set • 1 2 6 3 4 5 7 SSE of clusters found using K-means

  67. Internal Measures: Cohesion and Separation Cluster Cohesion: Measures how closely related are objects in a • cluster Example: SSE • Cluster Separation: Measure how distinct or well-separated a • cluster is from other clusters Example: Squared Error • Cohesion is measured by the within cluster sum of squares (SSE) • åå = = - 2 SSE WSS ( x m ) i Î i x C i Separation is measured by the between cluster sum of squares • å = - 2 BSS C ( m m ) i i i Where | C i | is the size of cluster i •

  68. Internal Measures: Cohesion and Separation Example: SSE • BSS + WSS = constant • m ´ ´ ´ 1 m 1 2 3 4 m 2 5 = = - + - + - + - = 2 2 2 2 K=1 cluster: SSE WSS ( 1 3 ) ( 2 3 ) ( 4 3 ) ( 5 3 ) 10 = ´ - 2 = BSS 4 ( 3 3 ) 0 = + = Total 10 0 10 K=2 clusters: = = - + - + - + - = 2 2 2 2 SSE WSS ( 1 1 . 5 ) ( 2 1 . 5 ) ( 4 4 . 5 ) ( 5 4 . 5 ) 1 = ´ - + ´ - = 2 2 BSS 2 ( 3 1 . 5 ) 2 ( 4 . 5 3 ) 9 = + = Total 1 9 10

  69. Internal Measures: Cohesion and Separation A proximity graph based approach can also be used for cohesion • and separation. Cluster cohesion is the sum of the weight of all links within a cluster. • Cluster separation is the sum of the weights between nodes in the cluster • and nodes outside the cluster. cohesion separation

  70. Internal Measures: Silhouette Coefficient Silhouette coefficient combines ideas of both cohesion and • separation, but for individual points, as well as clusters and clusterings For an individual point, i • Calculate a = average distance of i to the points in its cluster • Calculate b = min (average distance of i to points in another cluster) • The silhouette coefficient for a point is then given by • s = (b – a) / max(a,b) Distances used to calculate b i Typically between 0 and 1. • Distances used The closer to 1 the better. • to calculate a Can calculate the average silhouette coefficient for a cluster or a • clustering

  71. External Measures of Cluster Validity: Entropy and Purity

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