Data Analysis and Alternatives 09 OCTOBER 2017 VIENNA NATIONAL - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

NATIONAL EMN-CONFERENCE Migration Movement towards Europe: Data Analysis and Alternatives

09 OCTOBER 2017 VIENNA

MIGRATION MOVEMENT TOWARDS EUROPE: DATA ANALYSIS AND ALTERNATIVES

NUNO NUNES GLOBAL CCCM, DTM AND SHELTER COORDINATOR INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR MIGRATION DTMSUPPORT@IOM.INT

NATIONAL EUROPEAN MIGRATION NETWORK CONFERENCE

09 OCTOBER 2017 VIENNA

 Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) is a modular data collection

mechanism that provides regular updated data from a wide geographic area

 There is some good information regarding areas of origin, transit, profiles,

trends and movements, within different regions and from those into Europe

 Current inflows to Europe through the CMR originate mainly from Africa,

but African migrants to Europe are a small share of the population moving between African countries

 Mobility to Europe also requires analysis of displacement in countries of

• rigin, and multilayered, complex data analysis

Activities to collect and analyze primary data in many contexts allows for cross country comparison and better understanding of trends over time

DTM (Displacement Tracking Matrix): A modular data collection mechanism

Methodological framework to capture and monitor displacement and population movements. To provide useful and relevant data to the humanitarian and development communities

DTM OPERATIONS AND KEY DTM FIGURES

Currently 40 Countries with data collection at location level; Over 2,400 data collection staff; Network of over 68,000 active participants; Around 120 professional and specialized staff; More than 60 countries covered since 2014; Global (Geneva) and Regional (Vienna, Cairo, Nairobi, Dakar, Bangkok) coordination structures

Location, Population, Flows and Vulnerabilities

DTM DATA

• Geared to the needs of front-line field staff

and agencies/organizations

• Integrated GBV (and current work in Child

Protection) risk indicators into DTM data collection tools and enhanced understanding of how related information could be analyzed, shared with specialized agencies, and trigger response.

• Developed standard operating procedures

for sharing DTM data with relevant actors, in phases of high mobility

• Training to DTM enumerators, national

authorities and DTM staff to better respond to critical protection concerns

• Joint work with humanitarian actors for

responsible use of data

WILLIAM LACY SWING - DIRECTOR GENERAL

Sites and Camps Transit points Place of Resettlement

Flows

Internal Flows Cross-Border Spontaneous or Organized Displacement and Returns

Needs / Vulnerabilities

Intersectoral Needs GBV and Protection indicators

Conditions

Infrastructure Livelihoods

Population Location

Setup, Collection, Analysis and Products

(SIMPLIFIED) DTM WORKFLOW

WILLIAM LACY SWING - DIRECTOR GENERAL SETUP Coordination with other actors (Government, NGOs, UN) Human Resources and Training IT and DM Infrastructure Method(s) and Outputs Analysis plan DATA COLLECTION Operations and logistics Quality Control Data encoding Raw data CDW RO Verification Outlyer automated Id ANALYSIS AND PRODUCTS Narrative reports Dashboards Datasets and Maps Dissemination (Website) Sharing Predictive Analytics

Households and Individuals Groups, Geographic Areas and Locations

Selection of method

METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK

MOBILITYTRACKING SURVEY REGISTRATION

Baseline Area/Location Site/community Assessment Event Tracking Rapid Emergency Registrations Verification for Registration Biometric Registration Return Intention Community Perception Displacement Solutions Migration Flows Baseline Identification Update Registry

FLOW MONITORING

DTM FLOW MONITORING - MEDITERRANEAN

DTM Flow Monitoring System in the Mediterranean aims to collect and regularly update information on migrants and asylum-seekers arriving in Europe, in

• rder to provide an accurate, regularly

updated and timely overview of trends and flows. Specifically, DTM:

✓ Identifies, maps and monitors relevant

locations along routes

✓ Maps routes and reports of trafficking,

exploitation and abuse

✓ When possible collects information on

nationality, sex, age and vulnerabilities

✓ Identifies general migration trends

MIGRATION FLOWS TO EUROPE IN 2017

140

Flow Monitoring Points Covered in 2017

143,271

T

• tal arrivals to Europe

Jan/Sep 2017

9,500

Surveys in 9 countries in Europe in 2017 (Feb/Aug)

135,956

Arrivals by sea January to Sep 2017

20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000 140.000 160.000 180.000 200.000 01.Jän 11.Jän 21.Jän 31.Jän 10.Feb 20.Feb 01.Mär 11.Mär 21.Mär 31.Mär 10.Apr 20.Apr 30.Apr 10.Mai 20.Mai 30.Mai 09.Jun 19.Jun 29.Jun 09.Jul 19.Jul 29.Jul 08.Aug 18.Aug 28.Aug

Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5

MIGRATION FLOWS TO EUROPE COMPARISON 2016 AND 2017 (CUMULATIVE ARRIVALS 1ST COUNTRY OF ENTRY)

Balance 2016:

EU-Turkey statement caused decrease in arrivals (route not totally closed) Arrivals to Italy surpassed those to Greece at the end of 2016

Summer 2017:

Decrease in arrival to Italy (less departures from Libya, more from Tunisia and Algeria) Steady low arrivals to Greece More arrivals from Morocco to Spain Opening of new route through the Black Sea

20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000 140.000 160.000 180.000 200.000 01.Jän 15.Jän 29.Jän 12.Feb 26.Feb 11.Mär 25.Mär 08.Apr 22.Apr 06.Mai 20.Mai 03.Jun 17.Jun 01.Jul 15.Jul 29.Jul 12.Aug 26.Aug 09.Sep 23.Sep 07.Okt 21.Okt 04.Nov 18.Nov 02.Dez

2016 2017

FOCUS ON THE CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE (CMR) (1)

• 20% compared to

same period in 2016

FOCUS ON THE CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE (CMR) (1I)

(WEBSITE RELEASE: END OF OCTOBER) 03 September 2017 27 August 2017 20 AUGUST 2017 FLOW MONITORING CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE

03 September 2017 27 AUGUST 2017 FLOW MONITORING CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE (WEBSITE RELEASE: END OF OCTOBER)

03 SEPTEMBER 2017 FLOW MONITORING CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE (WEBSITE RELEASE: END OF OCTOBER)

FOCUS ON THE CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE (CMR) (1I)

27 August 2017 06 August 2017 09 July 2017 MIGRATION.IOM.INT (WEBSITE RELEASE: END OF OCTOBER)

IOM MONITORS FLOWS OF MIGRANTS WITHIN A COUNTRY, INTRA-REGIONALLY IN WEST AND CENTRAL AFRICA AND OUTSIDE AFRICA ALONG THE CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE IOM has established Flow Monitoring Points (FMPS) as part of its Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) in areas of significant migratory transit in West and Central Africa, Libya, Spain and Italy. Two tools are used at different locations:

• 1. The Flow Monitoring Registry (FMR)

collects data at the group level in order to provide a better understanding of intra and inter-regional migration patterns and trends;

• 2. The

Flow Monitoring Survey (FMS) collects individual data on a sample of migrants on their journey. Both tools are implemented in various locations and findings are cross-checked with those of

• ther countries.

ITALY

Data collection activities 1. Flow Monitoring Survey 2016 and 2017 2. Ministry of Interior figures 2016 and 2017

LIBYA

Data collection: 1. Flow monitoring Registry in 2017

NIGER

Data collection: 1. Flow Monitoring Registry 2016 and 2017 2. Flow Monitoring Survey 2016 and 2017

MALI

Data collection activities 1. Flow Monitoring Registry 2016 and 2017 2. Flow Monitoring Survey 2016 and 2017

BURKINA FASO

Data collection: 1. Flow Monitoring Registry 2017

FLOW MONITORING REGISTRY FLOW MONITORING SURVEY PLANNED DATA COLLECTION ACTIVITY

NIGERIA

Data collection: 1. Flow Monitoring Registry 2017

GUINEE

Data collection: 1. Flow Monitoring Registry 2017

SENEGAL

Data collection: 1. Flow monitoring Registry in 2017

CHAD

Data collection: 1. Flow Monitoring Registry 2017

18

SPAIN

Data collection activities 1. Flow Monitoring Registry in 2016 and 2017

IOM Monitoring of Flows

6%

INDIVIDUALS RECORDED

432

DAILY AVERAGE

Daily individuals recorded crossing FMPs in Niger

94% 3%

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000

IOM Niger has flow monitoring activities in two locations (Arlit and Dirkou) Since February 2016.

• Flow monitoring supports protection and assistance activities for migrants

stopped at borders, returned from Algeria and Libya, stranded in the desert.

• The majority of flows are taking place within Niger with individuals

traveling within the country.

• Outflows towards Libya and Algeria are increasingly difficult due to

strengthened border controls: riskier routes and search & rescue mission

• f IOM and the Gov. of Niger in the desert North of Agadez.

IOM Monitoring of Flows - NIGER

19

20

 Boko Haram insurgency & related

population movements

 Repeated rounds of Flow Monitoring

and Emergency Tracking:

 Trends in time, Locations, Composition

(sex, age, type of accommodation)

 Unmet needs of displaced population

(humanitarian assistance)

 Around 1,800,000 IDPs registered by

DTM in Nigeria

Internal Displacement: Lake Chad Basin (Cameroon, Chad, Niger, Nigeria)

IOM Monitoring of Flows – within NIGERIA

21

Last IOM estimates (Jun 2017)

• 226,164 IDPs
• 267,002 Returnees
• 393,652 Migrants

IOM Monitoring of Flows – through LIBYA

THANK YOU displacement.iom.int migration.iom.int dtmsupport@iom.int