Current Developments and Future Directions in Testing Dr. Louis - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Current Developments and Future Directions in Testing Dr. Louis - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

National College Testing Association 2014 Conference - Denver CO Mining for Success Current Developments and Future Directions in Testing Dr. Louis Woodruff Bucks County Community College Caveon Test Security Presentation Topics Testing


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Current Developments and Future Directions in Testing

  • Dr. Louis Woodruff

Bucks County Community College Caveon Test Security National College Testing Association 2014 Conference - Denver CO Mining for Success

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  • Testing Markets
  • Higher Ed and College Testing
  • Psychometrics and Test Design
  • A Far Out Testing Future
  • Technology and Test Delivery
  • Test Security and Data Forensics

Presentation Topics

  • Q & A
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  • Testing Markets
  • Higher Ed and College Testing
  • Psychometrics and Test Design
  • A Far Out Testing Future
  • Technology and Test Delivery
  • Test Security and Data Forensics

Presentation Topics

  • Q & A
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10,000 lb. Gorilla

55,000,000 CBT 55,000,000 CBTs 55,000,000 CBT 55,000,000 CBTs

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Federally Mandated Assessments Elementary and Secondary Schools No Child Left Behind

Golden Goose

  • $
  • $

Financial Turkey

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Federally Mandated Assessments Elementary and Secondary Schools The Common Core State Standards

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California Connecticut Delaware Idaho Iowa Kansas Maine Maryland Michigan Montana New Hampshire North Carolina North Dakota Oregon Pennsylvania South Carolina South Dakota Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

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The Partnership for Assessment of Readiness for College and Careers

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Common Core Assessment Timeline

SY 2011‐12

Development begins

SY 2012‐13

First year pilot/field testing and related research and data

SY 2013‐14

Second year pilot/field testing and related research and data

SY 2014‐15

Full administration

  • f Common

Core assessments

SY 2010‐11

Launch and design phase

Summer 2015

Set achievement levels, including college‐ready performance

2014-2015 Full Administration

  • f Common Core Assessments
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Disagreements Among States Fracturing

  • f Consortia

Political Pushback Funding Issues Anti-Common-Core Movement Anti-Testing Movement Legal Challenges Readiness Concerns

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55 million CBT tests will launch Common Core Standards will not be used by all States This will dilute its ability to serve as a national college admissions test Its use as a placement tool will be negotiated in each State Multiple vendors will take the work Testing programs will face serious technology and security challenges

What’s Next?

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Future CBT in U.S. Public Schools:

These student learning devices will also be used to administer State assessments cost effectively, using

  • ff-line delivery models

States will accept commercial sponsorships to provide learning technology for every student Publishers will expand electronic curricula with embedded assessments, delivered through these networked devices The loss of economies of scale from a nation-wide testing solution will leave State costs that are unsustainable A re-framed and re-named “common core” will be adopted

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Testing Markets

Higher Ed and College Testing

Psychometrics and Test Design A Far Out Future Technology and Test Delivery Test Security and Data Forensics

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Funding is up for Workforce Development Programs Funding is up for Dual Credit Programs (college credit / H.S.) Funding is up for Industry Interface Programs Funding is up for Remediation Programs Funding is up for On-Line Learning Programs Opportunities above for College Testing Professionals?

Higher Ed Funding as Predictors

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  • Campus administrators and faculty will become

more aware of and more concerned with cheating

  • Course level data forensics will become an

expectation on most campuses

  • Most course examinations will be delivered on

campus using student-owned electronic devices

  • The role of the testing office on campus will be

altered as a result of these changes

Future Testing on Campus

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Two Innovative Models For Future Colleges

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“Content Commons” used as alternate learning sources

(MOOCs, video modules, open courses, on-demand expertise and new social network space designs)

Prior Learning Assessment (PLA) Programs Credit by Examination Programs

The Future College as a Validating Institution

Badges/Digital-Credentials in place of seat time/credits Opportunities above for College Testing Professionals?

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If Higher Education Went to Shark Tank For What Idea Might it Seek Funding?

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The Future College as an Entrepreneurship Institution

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The Future College as an Entrepreneurship Institution

Credential portfolios supporting student career paths replace traditional degrees Venture capital firms invest in the institution in return for an equity stake in new ventures launched by students and faculty The campus offers high-immersion work spaces, networking, mentorship and business plan development . . . individualized and self-paced

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Testing Markets Higher Ed and CTPs

Psychometrics and Test Design

A Far Out Future Technology and Test Delivery Test Security and Data Forensics

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PSYCHOMETRICS

Cognitive Diagnostic Modeling Evaluate mental processes in addition to measuring knowledge

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PSYCHOMETRICS

Latent Modeling Study of unobservable groups for whom the test functions differently

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PSYCHOMETRICS

Neuro-Psycho-Biology Evaluating brain activity as part of the assessment design

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Innovative Test Designs

Trojan Horse Design Planting compromised items, mis-keyed, within a test to reveal examinee pre-knowledge Examination Inoculation Weighing test and item design decisions against resultant quantified security risks

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Innovative Test Development

Social-Structed Test Development Adaptation of crowd sourcing techniques Harvesting group generated test questions Automated Item Generation Currently Template Based Future Modeling of SME’s Work Data

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Innovative Item Designs

Discrete Option Muiltiple Choice Regulates the presentation of answer options Prevents comparisons of answer choices Theft Resistant Items Resistant to Memorization Use of Simulations

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Testing Markets Higher Ed and CTPs Psychometrics and Test Design A Far Out Future Technology and Test Delivery

Test Security and Data Forensics

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The Traditional Approaches to Cheating are Alive and Well

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The Traditional Approaches to Cheating are Alive and Well

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The Traditional Approaches to Cheating are Alive and Well

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The Traditional Approaches to Cheating are Alive and Well

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The Traditional Approaches to Cheating are Alive and Well

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A Well Intended but Insufficient Solution

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New Technologies Offer New Cheating Opportunities

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Soon: a Micro-Camera on a Contact Lens

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Student Cheating Is Not Necessarily Our Greatest Risk

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Test Security Test Security The Perfect Storm Storm We have created . . .

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Mandated assessments tied to federal funding Schools and teachers evaluated on test scores Teachers and principals feeling unjustly treated Test security left in the hands of the teachers and the principals

Test Security Test Security The Perfect Storm Storm

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Los Angeles 6 charter school principals gave copies of state tests to teachers

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Pennsylvania 60 schools with questionable scores on State tests Cheating scandal under investigation in Philadelphia

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DC schools More than 100 schools implicated in cheating scandal

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Texas 699 instances of cheating by principals and teachers

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Atlanta 179 educators implicated in dishonest test practices Superintendent under indictment and over 100 teachers face dismissal

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Is There A Solution?

Correct social factors limiting learning readiness Change local, state, federal power structures Alter the current values toward education Remove politics from all decision making Provide unlimited funding to schools

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Is There A Solution?

Correct social factors limiting learning readiness Change local, state, federal power structures Alter the current values toward education Remove politics from all decision making Provide unlimited funding to schools

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Is There A Solution?

Catch Them - - - - - Stop Them

Data Forensics

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Data Forensics Debate

The Basian Probability Approach Identify the probability that cheating happened and the perpetrator(s) probable identity The Frequentist/Empirical Approach Identify anomalous events or patterns in test data to determine if a particular score cannot be validated and therefore needs to be canceled

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Data Forensics

Test data analysis for indications of security anomalies Score Anomalies Response Patterns Erasure Irregularities Sub-Group Statistics Time Allocation Anomalies Odd Score Gains or Losses Testing Location Anomalies Regional Score Variances Analysis of:

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  • Was the test compromised? When? Where?
  • Was there copying? By Whom?
  • Was there evidence of pre-knowledge?
  • Which items and to what degree?
  • Were test questions being memorized?
  • Were answers changed after the test?
  • Was there possible impersonation?

Data Forensics

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Leading Edge DF

Imbedded Verification Models Chamaeleon Items Populating a test within a test to reveal security anomalies by analyzing examinees’ behaviors and performance. (i.e. item pre-knowledge) Disguising items suspected of compromise to lead the perpetrators to answer them incorrectly, thereby revealing themselves and devaluing their brain dump content.

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Near Future DF:

Real-Time Data Analyses Cognitive Diagnostics Identifying anomalous data patterns during testing, either locally or across a network, with real-time proctoring or test delivery response options Identifying anomalous variances between an examinees’ measured mental processes and their response behaviors patterns

Far Future DF:

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Testing Markets Higher Ed and CTPs Psychometrics and Test Design A Far Out Future

Technology and Test Delivery

Test Security and Data Forensics

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Students Today: Technology R’ Us

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Large Scale P&P Testing Continues

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Large Scale Off-Line CBT on Student-Owned Laptops is Growing

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Large Scale Off-Line CBT on Student-Owned Laptops is Growing

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Testing apps abound for smart phones The challenge is securing the phone for testing The challenge is not delivering tests on phones There is much talk about tests on smart phones

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Remote Proctoring Today

  • Remote Computer Lock Down
  • 360 Degree Monitoring Camera
  • Audio Monitoring
  • Real Time On-Line Observation
  • Recorded Test Sessions
  • Biometric ID Confirmation
  • Real Time ID Authentication
  • Keystroke Biometric
  • Digital Facial Monitoring
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  • The physical environment
  • Delivery system parameters
  • Video and audio monitoring
  • Proctoring standards
  • Interface with examinee
  • Recording requirements
  • ID authentication
  • Biometric monitoring

Currently under review by the International Standards Organization (ISO)

Remote Proctoring Standards

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Remote proctoring performed by robots.

Future Remote Proctoring

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Future Test Delivery Technology Project the interactive test

  • n any surface
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Project the test on an eyepiece display Future Test Delivery Technology

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Two Innovative Technologies Still in Search of a Market

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Computerized Paper Immediate Answer Sheet Scoring !

Smart Paper

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Computerized “Test Coat” for electronic test monitoring !

Smart Clothes

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Testing Markets Higher Ed and CTPs Psychometrics and Test Design

A Far Out Testing Future

Technology and Test Delivery Test Security and Data Forensics

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Taking a test on the palm of your hand Future Device Implants

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Hand Projection Prototype testing at the tips of your fingers

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Will future exams be delivered as projected images? Future Projection Technology

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An Over the Top Prediction!

With future testing delivered in non-traditional locations, on many different devices, incorporating multiple media, how do we achieve the standardization necessary to produce valid scores? In the distant future, standardization will be achieved through the management of examinees’ perceptions during testing.

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An Over the Top Prediction!

brain mapping psycho-pharmacology

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An Over the Top Prediction!

Future brain mapping and psycho-pharmacology will enable the selected modifications of the brain’s perceptions to achieve absolute virtual standardization - from the inside out? Virtual testing environments will be transmitted, integrated with the test. Standardization will be achieved as an altered state of consciousness! brain mapping psycho-pharmacology

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How about a more reasonable future testing prediction?

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Imagine Combining . . . Continuous Biometric Identification Wireless Remote Proctoring Projected Secure Personal Testing Space Device Based Test Delivery

(a.k.a. “cone of silence” - prototype now available) (work already underway) (capability coming soon) (a can do)

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Someday we could see Any Test . . . Any Time . . . Any Place . . .

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A Resource for the Future A Resource for the Future

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Current Developments and Future Directions in Testing

  • Dr. Louis Woodruff

Bucks County Community College Caveon Test Security

woodruff@bucks.edu lou.woodruff@caveon.com 609-947-4040

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